A draft report by Rob Case, James Clary, Rob Jaques, Theresa Jones, David Pritchard, and Seth Schipinski Presented to TTAC by Robert B. Case, PhD, PE January 6, 2016
Monon Rail-Trail in Indianapolis wikimedia.org 2 funcityfinder.com
multi-mode; multi-use guide.alibab.com usa.streetsblog.org doingindy.com snipview.com 3
Facilities being named for trail Google maps 4
Economic Development Google maps Google maps amamascorneroftheworld.com 5
Focus Walking and biking healthy and enjoyable Why don t more people walk & bike? slower, more dangerous, less comfortable Rail-trails faster, safer, more pleasant Focus: rail-trails: inactive rail right-of-ways 6
Purpose to help local government improve the existing active transportation network in Hampton Roads in a cost-effective way, by: locating inactive rail right-of-ways and analyzing the costs and benefits of converting them to multi-use trails 7
Inactive Rail Right-of-Ways in Hampton Roads Atlantic & Danville Bayville Bruce Road Churchland Churchland High Courthouse Larkspur Norfolk Southern VB Penniman Seaboard (Ph. 3) Southern Tyre Neck Virginian- East Virginian- West 8
Candidate Rail-Trails Note: Any path(s) in the Norfolk-Southern rightof-way must conform with LRT plans, e.g. constructing station access paths for LRT. 9
Quantitative Analysis Effectiveness of Candidate Rail-Trails 1. Estimating impact on usage of active transportation 2. Estimating rail-trail impact on real estate values 3. Estimating cost of candidate rail-trails 10
1. Estimating impact of each candidate rail-trail on usage of active transportation in trail vicinity 11
HRTPO staff built usage model based on 14 counties containing 6 rail-trails Rail Trail Location From To Length (miles) 1 Minuteman Commuter Bikeway Boston Alewife T Station Depot Park 10 2 Monon Trail Indianapolis 10th St & Massachusetts Ave E 169th & N Meridian St 18 3 Former Mpls. & St Louis R/R (4 trail names) Minneapolis Mississippi River @ E 27th St. Chaska Blvd 23 4 Porter Rockwell Trail Salt Lake City N Frontage Road Pioneer Ave 13 5 Cape Henry Trail Virginia Beach Jade St First Landing SP Entr / Shore Dr 2 6 Washington & Old Dominion Trail Northern Virginia N 21st St (Purcellville) S Shirlington Rd (Alexandria) 45 Of the 5,272 block groups (BGs) in these 14 counties, model compares BGs near the trail to BGs away from the trail. County Subject Rail-Trail in County 1 Middlesex County, MA Minuteman Commuter Bikeway 2 Marion County, IN Monon Trail 3 Hamilton County, IN Monon Trail 4 Hennepin County, MN Minneapolis Rail Trails (4 trails) 5 Carver County, MN Minneapolis Rail Trails (4 trails) 6 Salt Lake County, UT Porter Rockwell Trail 7 Utah County, UT Porter Rockwell Trail 8 City of Va. Beach, VA Cape Henry Trail 9 Loudoun County, VA Washington & Old Dominion Trail 10 Fairfax County, VA Washington & Old Dominion Trail 11 Arlington County, VA Washington & Old Dominion Trail 12 City of Alexandria, VA Washington & Old Dominion Trail 13 City of Fairfax, VA Washington & Old Dominion Trail 14 City of Falls Church, VA Washington & Old Dominion Trail 12
HRTPO active trans commuting model Low income persons are more likely to use active trans to work. Rail-trails appear to positively impact the usage of active trans by low-income and medium-high income workers. 13
Actual Persons using Active Transportation to Work Census, 2009 2013 14
Existing Usage of Active Trans 15
Induced Usage of Active Trans Note: Any path(s) in the Norfolk-Southern rightof-way must conform with LRT plans, e.g. constructing station access paths for LRT. 16
Total Usage of Active Trans- Build Note: Any path(s) in the Norfolk-Southern rightof-way must conform with LRT plans, e.g. constructing station access paths for LRT. 17
2. Estimating impact of each proposed rail-trail on home values in trail vicinity 18
Impact on Home Values Based on studies of existing trails: Austin: 9% increase in value of residences adjacent to rail-trail (low) Indianapolis: 14% increase in value of residences within 0.5 mile (high) 19
Impact on Home Values- Austin Experience (low) Potential Total Increase in Value of Homes Adjacent to Trail 20
Impact on Home Values- Indianapolis Experience (high) Potential Total Increase in Value of Homes within 0.5 mi of Trail 21
3. Estimating the cost of each proposed rail-trail 22
Cost of Candidatesexcluding ROW and bridges based on per-mile cost estimates of sections of Capital Trail Name Length (miles) Construction, Low Construction, High Total Cost Atlantic & Danville 2.96 $850,000 $980,000 $1,529,000 Bayville 0.85 $244,000 $282,000 $440,000 Bruce Rd 2.24 $643,000 $742,000 $1,157,000 Churchland 4.25 $1,220,000 $1,407,000 $2,196,000 Churchland High 0.95 $273,000 $315,000 $491,000 Courthouse 1.52 $437,000 $504,000 $786,000 Larkspur 1.22 $351,000 $404,000 $631,000 Norfolk Southern VB 10.55 $3,028,000 $3,493,000 $5,450,000 Penniman 3.21 $922,000 $1,063,000 $1,658,000 Seaboard (Ph. 3) 6.34 $1,820,000 $2,099,000 $3,275,000 Southern 10.53 $3,023,000 $3,486,000 $5,439,000 Tyre Neck 3.41 $979,000 $1,129,000 $1,762,000 Virginian- East 11.20 $3,215,000 $3,708,000 $5,785,000 Virginian- West 16.59 $4,762,000 $5,492,000 $8,569,000 23
Qualitative Analysis Environment of Candidate Rail-Trails First Map- Public Facilities Existing Public Transportation Routes Federal Facilities Parks Schools Second Map- Demographics and Networks Existing Public Transportation Routes Existing Own-Pavement Bike Facilities Population Employment 24
Layers used for Public Facilities qualitative analysis map of each candidate rail-trail 25
Layers used for Demographics & Networks analysis map of each candidate rail-trail 26
Example Public Facilities Map Churchland Candidate Rail-Trail 27
Example Demographics & Networks Map Churchland Candidate Rail-Trail 28
Discussion of each candidate Ownership Status e.g. current usage for water line Plans Qualitative analysis Quantitative analysis 29
Project History Sept. 2 Nov. 4 Nov. 13 Jan. 6 Stakeholder Kickoff Meeting TTAC Update Mid-Project Meeting Invited 50 stakeholders plus 100 interested citizens Draft Presentation to TTAC 30
Next Steps Public, Stakeholder Review Send comments by Friday January 22 to rcase@hrtpo.org Final report for approval TTAC: Wednesday March 2 HRTPO: Thursday March 17 31