Market Price Considerations Week Beginning June 5, 2017

Similar documents
Market Price Considerations Week Beginning May 1, 2017

Market Outlook Considerations Week Beginning September 11, 2017

Outlook for (some) Emerging Economies

AOC 2017AOC 2017AOC. Robert Johansson Chief Economist US Department of Agriculture Beijing, China (April 2017)

Global Economic Outlook

AIR PASSENGER MARKET ANALYSIS

Week Ending: Oct. 26, 2017

Week Ending: May. 3, 2018

Week Ending: Apr. 5, 2018

Week Ending: Jan. 25, 2018

Week Ending: Oct. 4, 2018

Week Ending: Sep. 13, 2018

Week Ending: Sep. 20, 2018

Week Ending: Sep. 27, 2018

Week Ending: Dec. 6, 2018

Week Ending: Jan. 24, 2019

Week Ending: Dec. 13, 2018

Week Ending: Nov. 15, 2018

Week Ending: Mar. 28, 2019

Domestic, U.S. and Overseas Travel to Canada

Quarterly Aviation Industry Performance

Week Ending: Mar. 14, 2019

Tourism Snapshot A Monthly Monitor of the Performance of Canada s Tourism Industry

Index of business confidence. Monthly FTK (Billions) Apr 2014 vs. Apr 2013 YTD 2014 vs. YTD 2013 Apr 2014 vs. Mar 2014

PREMIUM TRAFFIC MONITOR JULY 2014 KEY POINTS

Paraguay. International Trade Report January-May 2015

Tourism Snapshot. A focus on the markets that the CTC and its partners are active in. July 2011 Volume 7, Issue 7.

Tourism Snapshot A focus on the markets in which the CTC and its partners are active

AIR PASSENGER MARKET ANALYSIS JULY 2015 KEY POINTS

Commercial Exchange Rate

AIR PASSENGER MARKET ANALYSIS MAY 2015 KEY POINTS

Textile Per Capita Consumption

AIR PASSENGER MARKET ANALYSIS SEPTEMBER 2015 KEY POINTS

Global economy and aviation do we have room to grow?

GBTA BTI Outlook and Economic Forecast for Business Travel in Asia Pacific, Thailand and around the World

Index of business confidence. Monthly FTK (Billions) Aug 2013 vs. Aug 2012 YTD 2013 vs. YTD 2012 Aug 2013 vs. Jul 2013

AIR PASSENGER MARKET ANALYSIS

I The shipping market contents ISL

Airline Current Business Environment Alex Heiter

Regional Director Latin America and Caribbean

Tourism Snapshot A focus on the markets that the CTC and its partners are active in Ontario June 2011 Volume 7, Issue 6

Index of business confidence. Monthly FTK (Billions) May 2014 vs. May 2013 YTD 2014 vs. YTD 2013 May 2014 vs. Apr 2014

1.0 Introduction Zambia s Major Trading Partners Zambia s Major Export Markets... 4

Goldman Sachs Non-Deal Road Show. Boston, Massachusetts

Emini S&P 500 Continuous Weekly Chart

Tourism Snapshot. A focus on the markets in which the CTC and its partners are active. February 2015 Volume 11, Issue 2.

Tourism Snapshot A focus on the markets that the CTC and its partners are active in

Tourism Snapshot A Monthly Monitor of the Performance of Canada s Tourism Sector

AIR PASSENGER MARKET ANALYSIS JUNE 2015 KEY POINTS

AIR PASSENGER MARKET ANALYSIS

Opportunities and Risks in Africa

Caribbean: Outlook and Challenges

2019 Airline Economics Growth Frontiers Dublin. Steven F. Udvar-Házy Executive Chairman

Index of business confidence. Monthly FTK (Billions) June 2012 vs. June 2011 YTD 2012 vs. YTD 2011 RPK ASK PLF FTK AFTK FLF RPK ASK PLF FTK AFTK FLF

Economic & Real Estate Outlook

Tourism Snapshot A focus on the markets that the CTC and its partners are active in

FY2015 2nd Quarter Business Results

Latin America: Outlook and Challenges Alejandro Werner Director Western Hemisphere Department

Aviation Performance in NSW

PREMIUM TRAFFIC MONITOR OCTOBER 2015 KEY POINTS

PREMIUM TRAFFIC MONITOR DECEMBER 2014 KEY POINTS

Outlook for air travel markets

Airlines across the world connected a record number of cities this year, with more than 20,000 city pair connections*

Tourism Snapshot Year-in-review. Facts & Figures 6th edition.

PREMIUM TRAFFIC MONITOR SEPTEMBER 2013 KEY POINTS

Tourism Snapshot A Monthly Monitor of the Performance of Canada s Tourism Industry

AIR PASSENGER MARKET ANALYSIS JANUARY 2015 KEY POINTS

AIR TRANSPORT MARKET ANALYSIS JULY 2011

AIR PASSENGER MARKET ANALYSIS DECEMBER 2015 KEY POINTS

Presentation on Results for the 2nd Quarter FY Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. November 14, 2018

Quarterly Aviation Industry Performance

Tourism Snapshot. A focus on the markets in which the CTC and its partners are active. January 2013 Volume 9, Issue 1.

Hans-Peter Ring EADS Chief Financial Officer. Cowen Conference February 8 th 2012

Tourism and hotel market outlook

Results of Tourism Activity Mexico, February 2017

AIR TRANSPORT MARKET ANALYSIS MAY 2011

Tourism Snapshot. A focus on the markets in which the CTC and its partners are active. October 2012 Volume 8, Issue 10.

Economic climate in Latin America improved slightly, despite worsening in Brazil

BTMU Focus Latin America Argentina: Export Profile

July 2017 Travel Briefing: Air Passenger Traffic Hotel Occupancy Tax-Free Shopping

Results of Tourism Activity Mexico, March 2017

PREMIUM TRAFFIC MONITOR AUGUST 2015 KEY POINTS

Tourism Snapshot. June 2015 Volume 11, Issue 6. A focus on the markets in which Destination Canada (DC) and its partners are active.

AerCap Holdings N.V. Aengus Kelly, CEO. January 2017

BHP Billiton. Industry Trends - Consolidation & Diversification. Chip Goodyear - Executive Director and Chief Development Officer

Tourism Snapshot A focus on the markets that the CTC and its partners are active in

Alberto Calderon Group Executive and Chief Executive Aluminium, Nickel and Corporate Development

FY 2013 Nippon Paint Group Analysts' Meeting for Financial Results of First Half FY 2013

International economic context and regional impact

KERRIE MATHER MANAGING DIRECTOR AND CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER. Macquarie Conference 4 MAY 2016

AIR PASSENGER MARKET ANALYSIS MARCH 2015 KEY POINTS

BHP Billiton: A Strategy of Diversification

Statistical Overview of the Canadian Honey Industry 2013

Alberta Tourism Market Monitor

Monthly Fuel Price Report May June 2018

AIR PASSENGER MARKET ANALYSIS

Sydney North Shore. Information evening 14 August Regina Meani Your Technical Analyst

Index of business confidence. Monthly FTK (Billions) Sep 2013 vs. Sep 2012 YTD 2013 vs. YTD 2012 Sep 2013 vs. Aug 2013

Jan-18. Dec-17. Travel is expected to grow over the coming 6 months; at a slower rate

Tourism as an Economic Pillar. Mary Vrolijk 25 September 2015

Transcription:

Market Price Considerations Week Beginning June 5, 2017 DISCLAIMER-FOR-EDUCATIONAL-PURPOSES-ONLY Bobby Coats, Ph.D. Professor Economics Department of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness Division of Agriculture University of Arkansas System 1

Continued Next Slide

Continued Next Slide

Continued Next Slide

Commodity ETFs, Percent Change by 1 Week, 1 Month, 3 Months, 6 Month, & 1 Year Sorted by One Week Percent Change ETF Commodity One Week One Month Three Month Six Month One Year Symbol % Change % Change % Change % Change % Change Commodity ETFs Charts 55-85 PALL Physical Palladium Shares 6.09% 2.39% 9.21% 12.92% 56.43% NIB Cocoa Bloomberg Subindex 4.85% 12.12% 3.56% 19.85% 36.47% COW Livestock Bloomberg Subindex 4.51% 6.17% 17.93% 32.95% 7.53% SLV Silver Trust 1.16% 4.14% 1.25% 4.80% 9.00% GLD Gold Trust 0.89% 1.64% 3.43% 8.44% 5.14% DBP Precious Metals Fund 0.79% 2.02% 2.12% 7.16% 4.29% JJC Copper Bloomberg SubIndex 0.41% 2.70% 5.13% 3.57% 23.61% DBA Agriculture Fund 0.35% 0.75% 2.07% 1.12% 8.42% SOYB Soybeans Fund 0.06% 3.44% 9.67% 10.45% 13.26% LIT Lithium 0.03% 4.27% 13.63% 24.25% 25.58% LD Lead Bloomberg SubIndex 0.00% 0.00% 4.78% 5.92% 25.36% CORN Corn Fund 0.32% 0.16% 3.58% 1.77% 15.83% BAL Cotton Bloomberg Subindex 0.68% 3.37% 2.45% 4.20% 16.30% PPLT Physical Platinum Shares 0.71% 2.57% 3.61% 2.08% 1.02% JJG Grains Bloomberg Subindex 0.93% 3.23% 8.32% 3.85% 22.93% DBB Base Metals Fund 1.63% 2.37% 3.69% 1.42% 24.35% WEAT Wheat Fund 1.88% 5.03% 7.74% 1.02% 24.64% JJU Aluminum Bloomberg SubIndex 2.07% 0.53% 0.99% 14.64% 24.93% DJP Commodity Bloomberg Index 2.21% 2.08% 6.00% 6.27% 5.76% JJN Nickel Bloomberg SubIndex 2.32% 8.25% 20.37% 26.28% 4.95% UGA Gasoline Fund 2.93% 4.22% 5.58% 14.61% 11.05% DBC Commodity Tracking Fund 3.03% 1.70% 7.21% 7.56% 3.16% USL Oil Fund 12 Month Fund 3.25% 0.69% 10.51% 12.42% 10.51% GSP GSCI Commodity Total Return 3.37% 1.06% 8.20% 9.21% 11.19% USO Oil Fund 3 Month Fund 4.09% 0.60% 11.73% 14.11% 16.86% DBE Energy Fund 4.23% 0.93% 7.82% 11.56% 5.00% JO Coffee Bloomberg Subindex 4.44% 8.69% 16.03% 18.53% 8.49% BNO Oil Brent Fund 4.70% 1.18% 10.81% 11.92% 11.34% UNG Natural Gas Fund 9.01% 8.02% 0.44% 22.18% 6.62% SGG Sugar Bloomberg Subindex 9.77% 15.11% 32.42% 31.23% 29.87% GAZ Natural Gas 13.75% 13.60% 23.90% 41.62% 20.45% 125

Commodity ETFs, Percent Change by 1 Week, 1 Month, 3 Months, 6 Month, & 1 Year Sorted by 1 Month Percent Change ETF Commodity One Week One Month Three Month Six Month One Year Symbol % Change % Change % Change % Change % Change Commodity ETFs Charts 55-85 NIB Cocoa Bloomberg Subindex 4.85% 12.12% 3.56% 19.85% 36.47% COW Livestock Bloomberg Subindex 4.51% 6.17% 17.93% 32.95% 7.53% LIT Lithium 0.03% 4.27% 13.63% 24.25% 25.58% UGA Gasoline Fund 2.93% 4.22% 5.58% 14.61% 11.05% SLV Silver Trust 1.16% 4.14% 1.25% 4.80% 9.00% PPLT Physical Platinum Shares 0.71% 2.57% 3.61% 2.08% 1.02% PALL Physical Palladium Shares 6.09% 2.39% 9.21% 12.92% 56.43% DBP Precious Metals Fund 0.79% 2.02% 2.12% 7.16% 4.29% GLD Gold Trust 0.89% 1.64% 3.43% 8.44% 5.14% JJU Aluminum Bloomberg SubIndex 2.07% 0.53% 0.99% 14.64% 24.93% LD Lead Bloomberg SubIndex 0.00% 0.00% 4.78% 5.92% 25.36% CORN Corn Fund 0.32% 0.16% 3.58% 1.77% 15.83% USO Oil Fund 3 Month Fund 4.09% 0.60% 11.73% 14.11% 16.86% USL Oil Fund 12 Month Fund 3.25% 0.69% 10.51% 12.42% 10.51% DBA Agriculture Fund 0.35% 0.75% 2.07% 1.12% 8.42% DBE Energy Fund 4.23% 0.93% 7.82% 11.56% 5.00% GSP GSCI Commodity Total Return 3.37% 1.06% 8.20% 9.21% 11.19% BNO Oil Brent Fund 4.70% 1.18% 10.81% 11.92% 11.34% DBC Commodity Tracking Fund 3.03% 1.70% 7.21% 7.56% 3.16% DJP Commodity Bloomberg Index 2.21% 2.08% 6.00% 6.27% 5.76% DBB Base Metals Fund 1.63% 2.37% 3.69% 1.42% 24.35% JJC Copper Bloomberg SubIndex 0.41% 2.70% 5.13% 3.57% 23.61% JJG Grains Bloomberg Subindex 0.93% 3.23% 8.32% 3.85% 22.93% BAL Cotton Bloomberg Subindex 0.68% 3.37% 2.45% 4.20% 16.30% SOYB Soybeans Fund 0.06% 3.44% 9.67% 10.45% 13.26% WEAT Wheat Fund 1.88% 5.03% 7.74% 1.02% 24.64% UNG Natural Gas Fund 9.01% 8.02% 0.44% 22.18% 6.62% JJN Nickel Bloomberg SubIndex 2.32% 8.25% 20.37% 26.28% 4.95% JO Coffee Bloomberg Subindex 4.44% 8.69% 16.03% 18.53% 8.49% GAZ Natural Gas 13.75% 13.60% 23.90% 41.62% 20.45% SGG Sugar Bloomberg Subindex 9.77% 15.11% 32.42% 31.23% 29.87% 126

Commodity ETFs, Percent Change by 1 Week, 1 Month, 3 Months, 6 Month, & 1 Year Sorted by 3 Month Percent Change ETF Commodity One Week One Month Three Month Six Month One Year Symbol % Change % Change % Change % Change % Change Commodity ETFs Charts 55-85 COW Livestock Bloomberg Subindex 4.51% 6.17% 17.93% 32.95% 7.53% LIT Lithium 0.03% 4.27% 13.63% 24.25% 25.58% PALL Physical Palladium Shares 6.09% 2.39% 9.21% 12.92% 56.43% NIB Cocoa Bloomberg Subindex 4.85% 12.12% 3.56% 19.85% 36.47% GLD Gold Trust 0.89% 1.64% 3.43% 8.44% 5.14% DBP Precious Metals Fund 0.79% 2.02% 2.12% 7.16% 4.29% UNG Natural Gas Fund 9.01% 8.02% 0.44% 22.18% 6.62% JJU Aluminum Bloomberg SubIndex 2.07% 0.53% 0.99% 14.64% 24.93% SLV Silver Trust 1.16% 4.14% 1.25% 4.80% 9.00% DBA Agriculture Fund 0.35% 0.75% 2.07% 1.12% 8.42% BAL Cotton Bloomberg Subindex 0.68% 3.37% 2.45% 4.20% 16.30% CORN Corn Fund 0.32% 0.16% 3.58% 1.77% 15.83% PPLT Physical Platinum Shares 0.71% 2.57% 3.61% 2.08% 1.02% DBB Base Metals Fund 1.63% 2.37% 3.69% 1.42% 24.35% LD Lead Bloomberg SubIndex 0.00% 0.00% 4.78% 5.92% 25.36% JJC Copper Bloomberg SubIndex 0.41% 2.70% 5.13% 3.57% 23.61% UGA Gasoline Fund 2.93% 4.22% 5.58% 14.61% 11.05% DJP Commodity Bloomberg Index 2.21% 2.08% 6.00% 6.27% 5.76% DBC Commodity Tracking Fund 3.03% 1.70% 7.21% 7.56% 3.16% WEAT Wheat Fund 1.88% 5.03% 7.74% 1.02% 24.64% DBE Energy Fund 4.23% 0.93% 7.82% 11.56% 5.00% GSP GSCI Commodity Total Return 3.37% 1.06% 8.20% 9.21% 11.19% JJG Grains Bloomberg Subindex 0.93% 3.23% 8.32% 3.85% 22.93% SOYB Soybeans Fund 0.06% 3.44% 9.67% 10.45% 13.26% USL Oil Fund 12 Month Fund 3.25% 0.69% 10.51% 12.42% 10.51% BNO Oil Brent Fund 4.70% 1.18% 10.81% 11.92% 11.34% USO Oil Fund 3 Month Fund 4.09% 0.60% 11.73% 14.11% 16.86% JO Coffee Bloomberg Subindex 4.44% 8.69% 16.03% 18.53% 8.49% JJN Nickel Bloomberg SubIndex 2.32% 8.25% 20.37% 26.28% 4.95% GAZ Natural Gas 13.75% 13.60% 23.90% 41.62% 20.45% SGG Sugar Bloomberg Subindex 9.77% 15.11% 32.42% 31.23% 29.87% 127

Commodity ETFs, Percent Change by 1 Week, 1 Month, 3 Months, 6 Month, & 1 Year Sorted by 6 Month Percent Change ETF Commodity One Week One Month Three Month Six Month One Year Symbol % Change % Change % Change % Change % Change Commodity ETFs Charts 55-85 COW Livestock Bloomberg Subindex 4.51% 6.17% 17.93% 32.95% 7.53% LIT Lithium 0.03% 4.27% 13.63% 24.25% 25.58% JJU Aluminum Bloomberg SubIndex 2.07% 0.53% 0.99% 14.64% 24.93% PALL Physical Palladium Shares 6.09% 2.39% 9.21% 12.92% 56.43% GLD Gold Trust 0.89% 1.64% 3.43% 8.44% 5.14% DBP Precious Metals Fund 0.79% 2.02% 2.12% 7.16% 4.29% LD Lead Bloomberg SubIndex 0.00% 0.00% 4.78% 5.92% 25.36% SLV Silver Trust 1.16% 4.14% 1.25% 4.80% 9.00% BAL Cotton Bloomberg Subindex 0.68% 3.37% 2.45% 4.20% 16.30% PPLT Physical Platinum Shares 0.71% 2.57% 3.61% 2.08% 1.02% CORN Corn Fund 0.32% 0.16% 3.58% 1.77% 15.83% DBB Base Metals Fund 1.63% 2.37% 3.69% 1.42% 24.35% DBA Agriculture Fund 0.35% 0.75% 2.07% 1.12% 8.42% WEAT Wheat Fund 1.88% 5.03% 7.74% 1.02% 24.64% JJC Copper Bloomberg SubIndex 0.41% 2.70% 5.13% 3.57% 23.61% JJG Grains Bloomberg Subindex 0.93% 3.23% 8.32% 3.85% 22.93% DJP Commodity Bloomberg Index 2.21% 2.08% 6.00% 6.27% 5.76% DBC Commodity Tracking Fund 3.03% 1.70% 7.21% 7.56% 3.16% GSP GSCI Commodity Total Return 3.37% 1.06% 8.20% 9.21% 11.19% SOYB Soybeans Fund 0.06% 3.44% 9.67% 10.45% 13.26% DBE Energy Fund 4.23% 0.93% 7.82% 11.56% 5.00% BNO Oil Brent Fund 4.70% 1.18% 10.81% 11.92% 11.34% USL Oil Fund 12 Month Fund 3.25% 0.69% 10.51% 12.42% 10.51% USO Oil Fund 3 Month Fund 4.09% 0.60% 11.73% 14.11% 16.86% UGA Gasoline Fund 2.93% 4.22% 5.58% 14.61% 11.05% JO Coffee Bloomberg Subindex 4.44% 8.69% 16.03% 18.53% 8.49% NIB Cocoa Bloomberg Subindex 4.85% 12.12% 3.56% 19.85% 36.47% UNG Natural Gas Fund 9.01% 8.02% 0.44% 22.18% 6.62% JJN Nickel Bloomberg SubIndex 2.32% 8.25% 20.37% 26.28% 4.95% SGG Sugar Bloomberg Subindex 9.77% 15.11% 32.42% 31.23% 29.87% GAZ Natural Gas 13.75% 13.60% 23.90% 41.62% 20.45% 128

Commodity ETFs, Percent Change by 1 Week, 1 Month, 3 Months, 6 Month, & 1 Year Sorted by 1 Year Percent Change ETF Commodity One Week One Month Three Month Six Month One Year Symbol % Change % Change % Change % Change % Change Commodity ETFs Charts 55-85 PALL Physical Palladium Shares 6.09% 2.39% 9.21% 12.92% 56.43% LIT Lithium 0.03% 4.27% 13.63% 24.25% 25.58% LD Lead Bloomberg SubIndex 0.00% 0.00% 4.78% 5.92% 25.36% JJU Aluminum Bloomberg SubIndex 2.07% 0.53% 0.99% 14.64% 24.93% DBB Base Metals Fund 1.63% 2.37% 3.69% 1.42% 24.35% JJC Copper Bloomberg SubIndex 0.41% 2.70% 5.13% 3.57% 23.61% BAL Cotton Bloomberg Subindex 0.68% 3.37% 2.45% 4.20% 16.30% SLV Silver Trust 1.16% 4.14% 1.25% 4.80% 9.00% COW Livestock Bloomberg Subindex 4.51% 6.17% 17.93% 32.95% 7.53% GLD Gold Trust 0.89% 1.64% 3.43% 8.44% 5.14% JJN Nickel Bloomberg SubIndex 2.32% 8.25% 20.37% 26.28% 4.95% DBP Precious Metals Fund 0.79% 2.02% 2.12% 7.16% 4.29% PPLT Physical Platinum Shares 0.71% 2.57% 3.61% 2.08% 1.02% DBC Commodity Tracking Fund 3.03% 1.70% 7.21% 7.56% 3.16% DBE Energy Fund 4.23% 0.93% 7.82% 11.56% 5.00% DJP Commodity Bloomberg Index 2.21% 2.08% 6.00% 6.27% 5.76% UNG Natural Gas Fund 9.01% 8.02% 0.44% 22.18% 6.62% DBA Agriculture Fund 0.35% 0.75% 2.07% 1.12% 8.42% JO Coffee Bloomberg Subindex 4.44% 8.69% 16.03% 18.53% 8.49% USL Oil Fund 12 Month Fund 3.25% 0.69% 10.51% 12.42% 10.51% UGA Gasoline Fund 2.93% 4.22% 5.58% 14.61% 11.05% GSP GSCI Commodity Total Return 3.37% 1.06% 8.20% 9.21% 11.19% BNO Oil Brent Fund 4.70% 1.18% 10.81% 11.92% 11.34% SOYB Soybeans Fund 0.06% 3.44% 9.67% 10.45% 13.26% CORN Corn Fund 0.32% 0.16% 3.58% 1.77% 15.83% USO Oil Fund 3 Month Fund 4.09% 0.60% 11.73% 14.11% 16.86% GAZ Natural Gas 13.75% 13.60% 23.90% 41.62% 20.45% JJG Grains Bloomberg Subindex 0.93% 3.23% 8.32% 3.85% 22.93% WEAT Wheat Fund 1.88% 5.03% 7.74% 1.02% 24.64% SGG Sugar Bloomberg Subindex 9.77% 15.11% 32.42% 31.23% 29.87% NIB Cocoa Bloomberg Subindex 4.85% 12.12% 3.56% 19.85% 36.47% 129

Continued Next Slide

Continued Next Slide

Continued Next Slide

- Sectors Continued Next Slide

Commodity ETFs Continued Next Slide

Commodity ETFs Continued Next Slide

Commodity ETFs Continued Next Slide

$UST10Y 10 Year US Treasury Yield Weekly, Daily and Monthly Charts This Week Primary Consideration: We enter the week bullish with a potentially lower yield Economic Weakness, Event Risk Concerns, or Other Market Concerns/Factors will likely take yields lower to 2 or below before moving higher As global events unfold (economic, social, political, etc.) chart activity will provide guidance Potential trading range over the next one plus years given Global Government and Central Bank intervention and unfolding global events defining potential upside of 3 to 3.25 possibly higher and bottom in the coming months of a yield of 2 or lower Present market structure suggests financial institutions and borrowers remain winners at these levels Some suggest the 35 year bull bond market will be over with a yield that holds above 2.6, others at 3.0; Actually, global fiscal, monetary, trade, and regulatory policy market intervention likely make picking these points very premature This is a market that likely moves sideways for a few years and even revisits the previous low or lower

Chart 1. $UST10Y 10 Year US Treasury Yield, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017

Chart 2. $UST10Y 10 Year US Treasury Yield, Daily Chart, August 2016 June 2, 2017

Chart 3. $UST10Y 10 Year US Treasury Yield, Daily Chart, 2004 June 2, 2017

US Dollar Index Weekly, Daily and Monthly Charts This Week Primary Considerations: Remains Bearish: For a period the dollar should have more weakness than strength especially against the Euro Big Picture: The dollar has a bullish bias given global economic, social, political and military challenges Unless Middle East, North Korean, European, other anomaly events start to dominate market participant decisions for a period, then we are still DEFINING a trading range 95 104 Longer Term there is no question the dollar is bullish

Chart 4. U.S. Dollar Index, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017

Chart 5. US Dollar Index, Daily Chart, November 2016 June 2, 2017

Chart 6. US Dollar Index, Monthly Chart, 1997 June 2, 2017

Select Currency Charts Monthly Charts

Chart 7. EURO Monthly Chart, 1997 June 2, 2017 Sideways to up More strength than weakness for a yet to be defined period A move through 115 and holding would be positive

Chart 8. Australian Dollar Monthly Chart, 1997 June 2, 2017 Caution advised as market corrects Global commodity price weakness problematic

Chart 9. Canadian Dollar Monthly Chart 1997 June 2, 2017 Correction possibly completing, remain concerned about Canadian economic inefficiencies and soft global commodity prices overriding potential strength

Chart 10. Japanese Yen Monthly Chart 1997 June 2, 2017 Presently bullish Larger trend remains down

Chart 11. British Pound, Monthly Chart 1997 June 2, 2017 Weakness remains dominant trend, which remains positive for their equity market

Select Equity and Transportation Charts Monthly Charts

Chart 12. Dow Jones, Monthly Chart, 1997 June 2, 2017 Cautionary period Allow price action to unfold Larger trend remains up

Chart 13. Dow Transports Monthly Chart, 1997 June 2, 2017 Cautionary period Allow price action to unfold Larger trend remains up

Chart 14. S&P 500 Large Caps Monthly Chart, 1997 June 2, 2017 Cautionary period Allow price action to unfold Larger trend remains up

Chart 15. Nasdaq Composite, Monthly Chart, 1997 June 2, 2017 Momentum driven by a select few technology stocks Allow price action to unfold Larger trend remains up

Select Global Equity Charts

Chart 16. World less U.S. & Canada Weekly Chart, 2001 June 2, 2017 Trend remains up

Chart 17. Emerging Markets Monthly Chart, 1997 June 2, 2017 Entering a cautionary period Trend remains up

Chart 18. Australia Monthly Chart, 1997 June 2, 2017 Cautionary period as gains consolidate Watch global commodity demand Trend Remains Up

Chart 19. Brazil Monthly Chart 2000 June 2, 2017 Caution is advised due to political uncertainty Losing momentum

Chart 20. Canada Monthly Chart 1997 June 2, 2017 Consolidating gains Commodity softness weighing heavy on this market

Chart 21. China Monthly Chart, 2004 June 2, 2017 Economic momentum remains positive Be extremely cautious given Chinese response unknowns to unfolding economic and geopolitical events

Chart 22. Mexico Monthly Chart 1997 June 2, 2017 Building momentum

Chart 23. Japan, Monthly Chart 1997 June 2, 2017 Trend remains up

Chart 24. Russia Monthly Chart 2005 June 2, 2017 Global economic, social and political events and military friction weighing heavy on this market Losing momentum

Chart 25. India Monthly Chart 2005 June 2, 2017 Trend remains up

CRB Commodity Index Weekly, Daily and Monthly Charts This Week Primary consideration: Global economic uncertainties has this index dangerous weak, an additional leg down should be expected before bottom is in place Between Fed off again and on again accommodation and/or verbal guidance, building uncertainties surrounding fiscal, trade and regulatory policy simulative activities, the $CRB Commodity Index a key economic indicator has struggled Bigger Picture: Though spastic global macro forces in general remain supportive of the commodity sector For the CRB Commodity Index to breakout will likely be a function of oil price leadership and/or broad commodity support, a reasonably stable to weaker dollar and belief and confidence in global fiscal, monetary, trade and regulatory policy leadership

Chart 26. $CRB Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017

Chart 27. $CRB Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index, Daily Chart, November 2016 June 2, 2017

Chart 28. $CRB Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index, Monthly Chart, 2007 June 2, 2017

$WTIC Light Crude Oil Weekly, Daily and Monthly Charts This Week Primary Consideration: Near term prices remain in 45 to 55 dollar trading range Additional price weakness will likely be problematic for the $CRB Index and commodity sector Sustained oil prices below $50 presents macro challenges and raises global economic momentum concerns 2017 Likely primary range $40 to $60 with possible high in $72 area Saudi Arabia, OPEC and other oil producers have major role in limiting downside 2017 price floor As always, remain focused on the bigger Geopolitical Picture and Building Military Friction Light Crude Oil prices likely supported by Syrian, Middle East, and North Korean uncertainties and building Russian and U.S. military friction, Chinese positioning, Venezuela crisis, OPEC verbal guidance and global reflation Bigger Picture: Global economic, social, political and military uncertainties remain supportive of prices Washington Leadership likely bullish U.S. production

Chart 29. $WTIC, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017

Chart 30. $WTIC, Daily Chart, August 2016 May 12, 2017

Chart 31. $WTIC, Monthly Chart, 2007 June 2, 2017

Soybeans Weekly, Daily and Monthly Charts This Week Primary Consideration: In search of a bottom at $9.06 or possibly $8.35 A resumption of commodity index weakness, a likely function of fundamentals and Fiscal and Monetary Policy and Global Economic Uncertainties, could translate into a final price low at $8.35 or lower Simply stated watch the price action to define soybean price dynamics

Chart 32. Soybeans, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017

Chart 33. Soybeans, Daily Chart, 2016 June 2, 2017

Chart 34. Soybeans, Monthly Chart, 2007 June 2, 2017

Corn Weekly, Daily and Monthly Charts Near Term Primary consideration: Basing period underway followed by upward price momentum Cautionary Note: A resumption of oil price weakness could possibly be problematic for corn prices

Chart 35. Corn, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017

Chart 36. Corn, Daily Chart, November 2016 June 2, 2017

Chart 37. Corn, Monthly Chart, 2007 June 2, 2017

Rice Quarterly and Daily Charts Near Term Primary consideration: Slight bullish bias remains due to U.S. long grain 2017 acreage and production uncertainty, but slowly losing momentum This is a highly complex market with an array of factors impacting price from 2016/2017 fundamentals; 2017 acreage, production and quality uncertainties; present underlying aggregate commodity sector dynamics; problematic global economic momentum, geopolitical uncertainties, and/or global agronomic outlook

Chart 38. Rough Rice Weekly Chart June 2015 June 2, 2017

Chart 39. Rough Rice Daily Chart June 2016 June 2, 2017

Cotton Weekly, Daily and Monthly Charts Near Term Primary Consideration: With the 84-cent price objective achieved now we wait on price action to determine if additional price strength exists

Chart 40. Cotton, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017

Chart 41. Cotton, Daily Chart, September 2016 June 2, 2017

Chart 42. Cotton, Monthly Chart, 1997 June 2, 2017

Wheat Weekly, Daily and Monthly Charts Near Term Primary consideration: Global economic uncertainties weigh heavy on this market, but price potential to $4.71 to $5.51 remains a possibility

Chart 43. Wheat, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017

Chart 44. Wheat, Daily Chart, August 2016 June 2, 2017

Chart 45. Wheat, Monthly Chart, August 2016 June 2, 2017

S&P Sectors

- Sectors

Chart 46. Financial Sector, Weekly Chart February 2014 June 2, 2017

Chart 47. Health Care Sector, Weekly Chart February 2014 June 2, 2017

Chart 48. Technology Sector, Weekly Chart February 2014 June 2, 2017

Chart 49. Industrial Sector, Weekly Chart February 2014 June 2, 2017

Chart 50. Materials Sector, Weekly Chart February 2014 June 2, 2017

Chart 51. Energy Sector, Weekly Chart February 2014 June 2, 2017

Chart 52. Utilities Sector, Weekly Chart February 2014 June 2, 2017

Chart 53. Consumer Staples Sector Weekly Chart February 2014 June 2, 2017

Chart 54. Consumer Discretionary Sector Weekly Chart February 2014 June 2, 2017

Commodity ETFs

Commodity ETFs

Commodity ETFs

Commodity ETFs

Chart 55. Cotton, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 339

Chart 56. Brent Oil, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 340

Chart 57. Corn, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 341

Chart 58. Livestock, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 342

Chart 59. Agriculture, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 343

Chart 60. Base Metals, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 344

Chart 61. Commodity Index, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 345

Chart 62. Energy, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 346

Chart 63. Precious Metals, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 347

Chart 64. Commodity Index, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 348

Chart 65. Natural Gas, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 349

Chart 66. Gold, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 350

Chart 67. Goldman Sachs Total Return Commodity Index, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 351

Chart 68. Copper Subindex, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 352

Chart 69. Grains, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 353

Chart 70. Nickel, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 354

Chart 71. Aluminum, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 355

Chart 72. Coffee, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 356

Chart 73. Lead, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 357

Chart 74. Lithium, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 358

Chart 75. Cocoa, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 359

Chart 76. Palladium, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 360

Chart 77. Platinum, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 361

Chart 78. Sugar, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 362

Chart 79. Silver, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 363

Chart 80. Soybeans, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 364

Chart 81. Gasoline, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 365

Chart 82. Natural Gas, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 366

Chart 83. US 12 Month Oil Fund, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 367

Chart 84. US Oil Fund, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 368

Chart 85. Wheat, Weekly Chart, 2014 June 2, 2017 369

End