China Lodging Group (HTHT.US) Q Earnings Call August 17, 2017

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Transcription:

China Lodging Group (HTHT.US) Q2 2017 Earnings Call August 17, 2017

Agenda Lodging Landscape in China Strategy Review Operational and Financial Review Q & A Appendix 1

Strong Demand: Domestic Travel Remains ROBUST and Grows FASTER than Disposable Income Disposable Income per capita Domestic Travel Expenditures (USD) (in RMB billions) 2,309 2,627 3,003 3,296 3,383 +2% 3,452 1,931 2,271 2,628 3,031 3,420 +14% 3,899 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: China National Tourism Administration 2

Net Addition of Branded Hotel Supply Slowed Down Since 2016 # of Branded Hotels 30,000 25,000 5,106 6,000 5,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 3,648 2,669 2,803 2,610 2,194 24,150 21,481 1,363 16,375 952 12,727 9,924 7,314 3,757 5,120 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 # of branded hotels Net Addition Source: Inntie, China National Tourism Administration 3

Favorable Supply-Demand Relationship Drives Same-hotel RevPAR Growth Same-hotel RevPAR Growth For hotels in operation for at least 18 months All hotels Non-Shanghai hotels 12% 11% 12% 11% 7% 7% 2% 3% -2% -1% 3% 4% 10% 7% 5% 6% 7% 8% 5% 5% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% -1% 0% 0% 8.3% 5.8% -3% -5% -4% -3% -3%-0.3% -1.2% 0.5% 2.5% 10Q1 10Q3 11Q1 11Q3 12Q1 12Q3 13Q1 13Q3 14Q1 14Q3 15Q1 15Q3 16Q1 16Q3 17Q1 Same-hotel ADR Growth (2011, outside of Shanghai 7% 5% 3%3%3%3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0.8% 1.6% 1% -1% -0.7% 0.4% 1.8% 3% Same-hotel Occupancy Change 3% 4%5% 4% 4.5% 2% 3.3% 1% 0% 0.2% 0.7% -2% -2% -2%-2% -1% -2% -0.9%-0.4% -4% -3%-3%-5% -3% -3% -7% 11Q1 11Q4 12Q3 13Q2 14Q1 14Q4 15Q3 16Q2 17Q1 11Q1 11Q4 12Q3 13Q2 14Q1 14Q4 15Q3 16Q2 17Q1 * Normalized for Shanghai Expo 4

Chinese Consumers Purchase Power Fuels Long-Term Hotel ADR Growth Unit: US$ Comparison of Consumer Product Price Between China and US Item Brand Brand Diff. Economy Hotel ADR Midscale Hotel ADR 26 62 2.4x 47 114 2.4x Chinese Hotel ADRs are Significantly UNDER-PRICED vs. Other Consumer Products McMeal 5 7 1.4x Running Shoe 75 75 1.0x Movie Ticket 5 8 1.6x Source: Company estimates 5

Market Outlook in China: Midscale Boom and Economy & Midscale Consolidation China independent China chained US independent US chained Luxury Upscale Consumption upgrade drives midscale boom Midscale Economy&Midscale chained hotel % continue to grow Economy 100,000 30,000 Number of Hotels Source: Inntie, STR, Company estimates 6

Optimistic Blended RevPAR Growth Prospect Driven by ADR Grwoth and Mix Upgrade Quarterly Blended RevPAR Year-over-Year Growth (Q1 14-Q2 17) 9.8% 14.0% -2.0%-1.5% -1.0% -4.6% -3.3% -2.3% -6.2% -5.3% 1.1% 1.1% 3.2%5.7% Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 7

Agenda Lodging Landscape in China Strategy Review Operational and Financial Review Q & A Appendix 8

Strategic Focus for 2017 Upgrade for Economy Hotels Multi-brand Strategy - Fast Expansion of Midscale Hotels Continuous Growth in Same-hotel RevPAR 9

HanTing Same-hotel RevPAR Growth Accelerated to 8.0% in Q2 17 5.2% 8.0% -5.8% -5.4% -4.4% -4.9% -2.3% -3.3% -0.9% 1.1% 62% room inventory under HanTing brand(q2 17) Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 10

Upgraded Quality in HanTing is Well Received by Guests Cleanliness Rating 80% of guests surveyed indicated that their booking preferences are influenced by the cleanliness ratings Guests may reward housekeepers for quality service with their membership points 11

Our Midscale Brands Foot Print Incepted in 2010 Incepted in 2013 Rebranded in 2017 桔子水晶酒店 Crystal Orange Hotel 桔子酒店 精选 Orange Hotel Select Acquired in 2017 2010.. 2016 2017 Strategic Alliance with Accor Acquired in 2012 Rebranded in 2017 New Brands 12

Increasing Proportion of Mid and Up Scale Room Inventory Mid and Up Scale Rooms 90,000 24% 25% 57% 80,000 70,000 18% 19% 20% 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 11% 15% 60,539 63,442 84,942 15% 10% ~33,800 20,000 10,000 23,481 40,687 5% - 2014 2015 2016 2017Q1 2017Q2 0% Pipeline(17Q2) Mid and Up Scale Rooms As % of Total Rooms 13

A Robust Pipeline of Midscale Brands % of Rooms of Total Pipeline # of Hotels of Mid-and Up-Scale Pipeline Crystal Orange, 57 JI Hotel, 137 Starway Hotel, 49 Economy, 43% Mid-and- Up Scale, 57% CitiGo, 7 Hanting Plus, 14 Accor- Alliance Brands, 43 Manxin Hotel, 12 Launched or rebranded in 2017 14

Integration of Crystal Orange on Track Strong RevPAR Growth Integrated Direct Booking Same-hotel RevPAR 305 +12.4% 342 June'16 June'17 Enriched Talent Pool Mr. Wu Hai s new role as EVP of High- End Product Innovation, in addition to CEO of Crystal Orange Amy Liao, the Chief Architect / Designer of Crystal Orange, expanded her responsibilities to cover more high-end brands 15

Increasing Revenue Contribution from Mid and Up Scale Hotels Net Revenues Revenue from Mid-and-Upscale Hotels as % of Net Revenues (in RMB millions) +20.1% 1,989 +3pts 32% 1,657 29% Q2'16 Q2'17 Q2'16 Q2'17 16

Agenda Lodging Landscape in China Strategy Review Operational and Financial Review Q & A Appendix 17

Continue Fast Expansion with Increasing Focus on Quality Number of Hotels in Operation Leased and owned Hotels Manachised and Franchised Hotels 3,269 3,336 3,541 * Hotel Opening/Closures 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 Gross openings Closures 2,763 1,035 570 1,425 860 1,995 1,384 2,147 2,645 2,716 2,855 244 (18) 737 174 171 148 89 (49) (87) (22) (77) (231) 272 (67) 465 565 611 616 624 620 686 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Q1 2017Q2 Net openings 226 125 84 71 506 67 205 * Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2016 17Q1 17Q2 * Including 140 hotels consolidated from Crystal Orange Acquisition 18

Strong RevPAR Performance Leads to Improved Pipeline of 600+ Hotels Number of Hotels in Pipeline (Q1 16-Q2 17) 650 600 550 632 586 612 * 500 500 505 450 400 442 473 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 * Includes 57 hotels from Crystal Orange acquisition 19

RevPAR Growth Driven by Both ADR + Occupancy Growth ADR Increased 7.9% (RMB) 181 184 199 RevPAR Increased 14.0% YOY (RMB) 179 156 157 2015Q2 2016Q2 2017Q2 Occupancy Increased 4.9 points 86% 85% 90% 2015Q2 2016Q2 2017Q2 Weight of hotel rooms in 1 st - and 2 nd -tier cities Q2 15 Q2 16 Q2 17 77% 76% 77% 2015Q2 2016Q2 2017Q2 Weight of hotel rooms in midscale and upscale segment Q2 15 Q2 16 Q2 17 13% 16% 24% Figures excluding franchised Starway hotels 20

Net Revenues Increased 20.1% in 17Q2, or 12.9% Excluding Crystal Orange, beating our Q2 Guidance Net Revenues Net Revenues from Leased and Owned Hotels (in RMB millions) 12.9% yoy growth, excluding Crystal Orange (in RMB millions) 1,543 1,989 1,303 1,657 Q2'16 Q2'17 Net Revenues from Manachised and Franchised Hotels (in RMB millions) Q2'16 Q2'17 345 436 Net Manachised and Franchised Hotels Revenue as % of Net Revenues Q2 16 Q2 17 20.8% 21.9% Q2'16 Q2'17 21

Operating Margin Expanded by 6.4 Pts Income from Operations as % of Net Revenues 22.3% 6.4% 15.9% Q2'16 Q2'17 Hotel operating costs and other operating costs as % of net revenues 73.5% Pre-opening expenses as % of net revenues SG&A Expenses and other operating income as % of net revenues 5.7% 1.4% 2.1% 67.8% 9.7% 7.6% 0.8% 2.2% Q2'16 Q2'17 Q2'16 Q2'17 Q2'16 Q2'17 22

Core Financials Growth Remains Strong (in RMB millions) Core Financials* Growth EBITDA Net Income 450 (Margin 27%) 665 (Margin 33%) 210 (Margin 13%) 352 (Margin 18%) 2016Q2 2017Q2 2016Q2 2017Q2 Note: * excluding investment gain of 106m in Q2 16 and 38m in Q2 17 23

Strong Cash Balances Support Capital Investments and Acquisitions Abundant Funding Resource for Expansion (in RMB millions) Free cash flow = RMB 642 m 3,633 (4,041) 985 (343) (489) * 3,235 3,469 2,980 2,980 Cash and cash equivalents at 12/31/16 Net Cash from Operations Capex for maintainance and new developments Cash from financing (acquisition loan for Cystal Orange) Cash for investing (mainly acquistion of Crystal Orange) Others Cash and cash equivalents at 6/30/17 Note: *Mainly consist of 467m increase in restricted cash 24

Guidance Huazhu Huazhu + Crystal Orange Period Q3 17 FY 2017 Q3 17 FY 2017 Net Revenues Growth 13%-16% 12%-15% (Up from 10-13%) 30%-34% 23%-26% No. of Gross Opening 500-550* * Excluded 138 hotels consolidated from Crystal Orange acquisition 25

Agenda Lodging Landscape in China Strategy Review Operational and Financial Review Q & A Appendix 26

Agenda Lodging Landscape in China Strategy Review Operational and Financial Review Q & A Appendix 27

(in RMB millions) Adjustments Between Organic and Reported Financials Revenue EBITDA Net Income 1,657 1,989 119 556 703 38 36 316 * 4 390 38 106 106 1,657 1,870 450 630 210 348 2016Q2 2017Q2 2016Q2 2017Q2 2016Q2 2017Q2 Organic Crystal Orange Investment Gain Note: *14m consolidated from Crystal Orange, -10m acquisition loan interest expense 28

Same-Hotel Operational Data by Segment Number of hotels in operation Same-hotel RevPAR Same-hotel ADR Same-hotel Occupancy As of For the quarter ended For the quarter ended For the quarter ended September 30, September 30, September 30, September 30, yoy change yoy change 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 Economy hotels 1,868 1,868 161 160-0.8% 177 175-0.8% 91% 91% Leased hotels 518 518 167 165-0.9% 184 183-0.5% 91% 90% Manachised and franchised hotels 1,350 1,350 159 157-0.8% 173 171-0.9% 92% 92% Midscale and upscale hotels 182 182 245 263 7.5% 284 299 5.5% 86% 88% Leased hotels 70 70 285 311 8.9% 317 339 6.9% 90% 92% Manachised and franchised hotels 112 112 207 218 5.7% 250 259 3.7% 83% 84% Total 2,050 2,050 171 172 0.5% 188 189 0.4% 91% 91% Number of hotels in operation Same-hotel RevPAR Same-hotel ADR Same-hotel Occupancy As of For the quarter ended For the quarter ended For the quarter ended December 31, December 31, December 31, December 31, yoy change yoy change 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 Economy hotels 1,999 1,999 143 144 1.0% 165 165 0.2% 87% 87% Leased hotels 511 511 149 151 0.9% 175 175 0.3% 86% 86% Manachised and franchised hotels 1,488 1,488 140 141 1.1% 160 161 0.2% 87% 88% Midscale and upscale hotels 206 206 231 251 8.9% 274 295 7.6% 84% 85% Leased hotels 72 72 276 301 9.3% 307 336 9.4% 90% 90% Manachised and franchised hotels 134 134 195 211 8.2% 245 259 5.8% 79% 81% Total 2,205 2,205 153 157 2.5% 177 180 1.6% 86% 87% Number of hotels in operation Same-hotel RevPAR Same-hotel ADR Same-hotel Occupancy As of For the quarter ended For the quarter ended For the quarter ended March 31, March 31, March 31, March 31, yoy change yoy change 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 Economy hotels 2,144 2,144 133 139 5.0% 159 160 0.8% 84% 87% Leased hotels 503 503 139 147 5.7% 167 169 0.9% 83% 87% Manachised and franchised hotels 1,641 1,641 130 137 4.7% 155 156 0.8% 84% 87% Midscale and upscale hotels 236 236 214 233 9.2% 265 284 6.9% 81% 82% Leased hotels 76 76 257 279 8.9% 298 324 8.8% 86% 86% Manachised and franchised hotels 160 160 182 200 9.5% 239 252 5.4% 76% 79% Total 2,380 2,380 143 151 5.8% 172 175 1.8% 83% 87% Number of hotels in operation Same-hotel RevPAR Same-hotel ADR Same-hotel Occupancy As of For the quarter ended For the quarter ended For the quarter ended June 30, June 30, June 30, June 30, yoy change yoy change 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 Economy hotels 2,250 2,250 148 160 7.7% 168 172 2.2% 88% 93% Leased hotels 498 498 156 170 8.5% 180 184 2.7% 87% 92% Manachised and franchised hotels 1,752 1,752 146 156 7.5% 164 167 2.1% 89% 94% Midscale and upscale hotels 263 263 247 272 9.9% 288 306 6.1% 86% 89% Leased hotels 79 79 304 332 9.0% 333 357 7.3% 91% 93% Manachised and franchised hotels 184 184 207 230 10.9% 253 267 5.4% 82% 86% Total 2,513 2,513 162 175 8.3% 183 189 3.0% 88% 93% 29

Hotel Breakdown by Brands Hotel breakdown by brand Number of Hotels in Operation As of As of As of As of As of As of 12/31/2013 12/31/2014 12/31/2015 12/31/2016 3/31/2017 6/30/2017 Economy hotels 1,309 1,819 2,453 2,741 2,852 2,893 HanTing Hotel 1,226 1,648 2,003 2,181 2,203 2,213 Leased hotels 473 502 495 486 478 473 Manachised hotels 753 1,146 1,508 1,694 1,723 1,736 Franchised hotels 1 2 4 Hi Inn 83 158 302 375 387 395 Leased hotels 41 41 38 36 36 35 Manachised hotels 42 117 251 294 306 314 Franchised hotels 13 45 45 46 Elan Hotel 13 148 185 188 195 Manachised hotels 13 128 149 151 162 Franchised hotels 20 36 37 33 ibis Hotel 72 74 80 Leased and owned hotels 14 14 15 Manachised hotels 12 12 18 Franchised hotels 46 48 47 Orange Regular 10 Leased hotels 8 Manachised hotels 1 Franchised hotels 1 Midscale hotels and upscale hotels 116 176 310 457 484 648 JI Hotel 68 117 186 284 304 327 Leased hotels 48 62 75 81 84 85 Manachised hotels 20 55 111 201 217 239 Franchised hotels 2 3 3 Starway Hotel 46 55 118 136 141 148 Leased hotels 1 3 4 2 2 2 Manachised hotels 20 44 67 96 101 112 Franchised hotels 25 8 47 38 38 34 Joya Hotel 1 3 3 6 6 6 Leased hotels 1 2 2 3 3 3 Manachised hotels 1 1 3 3 3 Manxin Hotels & Resorts 1 1 2 2 3 4 Leased hotels 1 1 1 2 1 Manachised hotels 1 2 1 2 Franchised hotels 1 ibis Styles Hotel 10 10 10 Manachised hotels 7 6 6 Franchised hotels 3 4 4 Mercure Hotel 1 15 16 18 Leased hotels 1 2 2 2 Manachised hotels 12 13 15 Franchised hotels 1 1 1 Novotel Hotel 4 2 2 Manachised hotels 1 1 1 Franchised hotels 1 1 1 Grand Mercure Hotel 1 2 3 Leased hotels 1 1 Franchised hotels 1 1 2 Orange Selected 90 Leased hotels 42 Manachised hotels 32 Franchised hotels 16 Crystal Orange 40 Leased hotels 19 Manachised hotels 13 Franchised hotels 8 Total 1,425 1,995 2,763 3,198 3,336 3,541 30

Room Breakdown by Brands Hotel breakdown by brand As of As of As of As of As of As of 3/31/2016 6/30/2016 9/30/2016 12/31/2016 3/31/2017 6/30/2017 Economy hotels 245,096 250,963 256,280 260,557 261,843 274,588 HanTing Hotel 209,319 213,481 217,825 221,157 222,059 221,719 Leased hotels 56,681 56,461 56,494 56,491 55,443 54,591 Manachised hotels 152,638 157,020 161,267 164,602 166,430 166,750 Franchised hotels 64 64 186 378 Hi Inn 22,934 24,144 25,194 25,600 26,129 26,186 Leased hotels 3,575 3,429 3,412 3,411 3,349 3,031 Manachised hotels 17,482 18,552 19,011 19,361 19,947 20,267 Franchised hotels 1,877 2,163 2,771 2,828 2,833 2,888 Elan Hotel 12,843 13,338 13,261 13,800 13,655 14,349 Manachised hotels 11,009 11,216 10,935 11,121 11,082 11,880 Franchised hotels 1,834 2,122 2,326 2,679 2,573 2,469 ibis Hotel 12,075 12,244 10,274 10,251 10,615 11,280 Leased and owned hot 2,330 2,562 2,562 2,725 2,842 Manachised hotels 1,824 2,339 2,198 1,753 2,329 Franchised hotels 7,921 7,343 5,514 6,137 6,109 Orange Regular 1,054 Leased hotels 891 Manachised hotels 85 Franchised hotels 78 Midscale hotels and ups 47,066 51,413 55,666 60,348 62,892 84,942 JI Hotel 29,751 32,934 36,062 39,664 42,306 45,368 Leased hotels 13,498 13,488 13,504 14,314 14,745 14,905 Manachised hotels 16,253 19,297 22,409 25,201 27,287 30,189 Franchised hotels 149 149 149 274 274 Starway Hotel 12,852 13,760 13,463 13,206 12,798 14,325 Leased hotels 517 517 386 386 386 386 Manachised hotels 7,743 8,785 9,101 9,577 9,240 10,793 Franchised hotels 4,592 4,458 3,976 3,243 3,172 3,146 Joya Hotel 671 934 945 1,131 1,131 1,131 Leased hotels 315 326 337 523 523 523 Manachised hotels 356 608 608 608 608 608 Manxin Hotels & Resorts 236 229 203 78 230 419 Leased hotels 108 101 - - 168 189 Manachised hotels 128 128 203 78 62 168 Franchised hotels 62 ibis Styles Hotel 1,257 1,257 1,392 1,614 1,618 1,617 Manachised hotels 729 729 973 1,010 1,010 Franchised hotels 528 528 419 608 607 Mercure Hotel 1,993 1,993 3,295 4,026 4,180 4,446 Leased hotels 239 239 463 482 496 Manachised hotels 1,476 1,476 2,554 3,420 3,672 Franchised hotels 278 278 278 278 278 Novotel Hotel 306 306 306 629 629 629 Manachised hotels 306 306 306 306 306 Franchised hotels 374 323 323 Grand Mercure Hotel 191 191 191 191 550 731 Manachised hotels 359 360 Franchised hotels 191 191 191 191 191 371 Orange Selected 10,992 Leased hotels 5,431 Manachised hotels 3,699 Franchised hotels 1,862 Crystal Orange 5,284 Leased hotels 2,587 Manachised hotels 1,713 Franchised hotels 984 Total 292,162 302,376 311,946 331,347 335,900 359,530 31