Mining Industry Performance in 2016 Mining Conference, 26 April, 2016 Windhoek Show Grounds Veston Malango, CEO
Outline of Presentation 1)Highlights for 2016 2)Mining Industry Performance during 2016 3)Outstanding Issues & Challenges 4)Namibia s Global Competitiveness 5)Conclusions
Highlights in 2016 1. Langer Heinrich Uranium mine announced the secession of mining operations for the following two years in response to the plummeting uranium price in 2016. The company subsequently retrenched 316 employees, which comprised of 286 contractors due to mining curtailment and 30 LHU employees. 2. Two fatalities were recorded in 2016. The first occurred at B2Gold and the second at Namdeb Southern Coastal mine. 3. A two-month long strike involving a wage dispute spanning from the end of February to mid-april 2016 at the Rosh Pinah zinc mine severely curtailed production of zinc and lead concentrate. 4. Sulphuric acid plant at Tsumeb Smelter was officially opened on 6 April, 2016 by H.E. The President. 5. Husab mine officially came into production on 30 December, 2016. 6. Trebbling of refined copper production from Tschudi mine and a 12.4% increase in gold production at Otjikoto gold mine. Total gold production has more than doubled in the last two years. 7. Okandjande Graphite mine set to enter production in April 2017. 8. Namib Lead & Zinc mine set to re-open soon, once Mining Licence is granted project by North River Resources. 9. On 18 July 2016, Salt & Chemicals inaugurated expansion of its salt production operations. This will increase production from 700,000 tonnes p/a to 1,000,000 tonnes p/a. 10. Mining Licence granted to Navachab.
Mining industry generated > N$28.85 bn in revenue during 2016 Mining Industry Contribution (N$ bn) Wages & Salaries (Net) 3.433 (12%) Exploration Expenditure 0.428 (1%) Dividends to GRN 0.902 (3%) PAYE 0.845 (3%) Corporate Tax & Royalties paid 3.206 (11%) Dividends to other Shareholders 2.392 (8%) Procurement (Namibia spend) 11.703 (41%) CSR 0.088 (< 1%) Expenditure on Skills & Development 0.083 (< 1%) Other Operating Expenditure 5.77 (20%) Total 28.85 Source: Chamber of Mines of Namibia Other Operating Expenditure 20% Procurement 41% Wages & Salaries 12% Exploration Expenditure 1% Dividends to GRN 3% PAYE 3% Corporate Tax & Royalties paid 11% Dividends to other shareholders 8% Total Revenue to GRN:N$4.952 billion
Mining industry generated > N$25.28 bn in revenue during 2015 Mining Industry Contribution (N$ bn) Wages & Salaries (Net) 3.088 (12%) Exploration Expenditure 0.326 (1%) Dividends to GRN 0.639 (3%) PAYE 0.654 (3%) Corporate Tax & Royalties paid 3.763 (15%) Dividends to other Shareholders 0.770 (3%) Procurement (Namibia spend) 11.198 (44%) CSR 0.058 (< 1%) Expenditure on Skills & Development 0.079 (< 1%) Other Operating Expenditure 4.708 (19%) Total 25.284 Source: Chamber of Mines of Namibia Other Operating Expenditure 19% Procurement 44% Wages & Salaries 12% Exploration Expenditure 1% Dividends to GRN 3% PAYE 3% Corporate Tax & Royalties paid 15% Dividends to other shareholders 3% Total Revenue to GRN:N$5.056 billion
Comparison of Namibian Spend by the Mining Industry 2016 -- 2014 2016: N$11.70 billion (41% of total industry revenue) 2015: N$ 11.20 billion (44% of total industry revenue) 2014: N$ 7.26 billion (34 % of total industry revenue) Increase 2014-2015: N$ 3.94 billion, 54.3% Increase 2015-2016: N$ 500,000 million, 5%
Industry Performance Comparison 2015 & 2016 2016 2015 % Change Turnover N$28.85 billion N$ 25.28 billion 14% Wages & Salaries: operating mines & mine development companies N$4.17 billion N$3.76 billion 11% Fixed Investment N$3.48 billion N$5.47 billion -36% Exploration: operating mines (Excl. Swakop Uranium) Exploration: exploration companies & mine development companies N$428.3 million N$326.2 million 31% N$99.9 million N$164.7 million -39% Corporate tax N$1.75 billion N$2.35 billion -26% Royalties N$1.45 billion N$1.41 billion 3% Total taxes paid N$3.2 billion N$3.76 billion -15% Total taxes and dividends paid N$4.1 billion N$4.34 billion -6% Procurement N$11.8 billion N$11.2 billion 5% CSR: operating mines & development companies N$88 million N$60 million 47% Permanent employees 9,574 8,853 8% Temporary employees 699 716-2% Contractors 5,400 9,423-43%
Mining Contribution to GDP 20.0 18.0 Other mining Diamond mining 16.0 14.0 12.0 11.1% 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1990 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 2000 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 Source: Namibia Statistics Agency
Comparison of GDP Contribution by Primary Industries Agriculture Fishing & Fish Processing Mining 7.3% 3.5% 2.8% 11.1% Agriculture Tertiary Industries 58.4% 11.2 1.7% 3.9% Fishing & Fish Processing Mining Manufacturing Electricity & Water Construction Tertiary Industries Taxes Source: Namibia Statistics Agency
Fixed Investment 20 000 18 000 16 000 14 000 12 000 10 000 Government Mining 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 2000 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 Source: Namibia Statistics Agency
Gold Bullion Production 7 000 6 000 6,009 kg 6,604 kg 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 1990 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 2000 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 Source: Chamber of Mines Annual Reports
Contained Cu & Cu Cathode 18 000 16 000 14 000 12 000 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 13,913 tonnes 16,391 tonnes - '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 Source: Chamber of Mines Annual Reports Contained Cu Cu Cathode
Mining Share of Exports Non-mineral 46% 60% 48% 49% 40% 44% 43% 48% 45% 46% 46% 48% 50% 53% 54% 52% 51% 60% 56% 57% 52% 55% 54% 54% 52% 50% 40% 47% Mineral Exports ' 02 ' 03 ' 04 ' 05 ' 06 ' 07 ' 08 ' 09 ' 10 ' 11 ' 12 ' 13 ' 14 ' 15 Source: Namibia Statistics Agency
Total Exploration expenditure (N$m) 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 2000 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 Source: Namibia Statistics Agency and Chamber of Mines of Namibia
Employment in Mining Sector at end 2016 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 AREVA LODESTONE NAMDEB HOLDINGS LANGER HEINRICH NAVACHAB OHORONGO ROSH PINAH RÖSSING URANIUM SALT & CHEMICALS SALT COMPANY SAMICOR SKORPION WEATHERLY MINING B2GOLD BANNERMAN GECKO SWAKOP URANIUM NIMT Permanent Employment Temporary Employment Contractors Expatriates Total Employment: 15,926 With a multiplier of 7, mining provided jobs directly and indirectly to some 111,482 people Source: Chamber of Mines Annual Reports
Permanent Employment vs. Expatriates WEATHERLY 1 112 B2GOLD 19 781 SKORPION ZINC ROSH PINAH CORPORATION NAVACHAB 8 4 23 409 463 811 Industry employed 9,574 permanent Employees, out of which 253 were Expatriates. 97.36% Namibians, 2.64% Expats DUNDEE PRECIOUS METALS TSUMEB 7 594 LANGER HEINRICH URANIUM 20 309 RÖSSING 4 949 Expatriates Namibians DEBMARINE NAMIBIA 121 808 NAMDEB 29 1685 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 Source: Chamber of Mines Annual Reports
Outstanding Matters & Challenges NEEEF Public consultations concluded in 2016, with final Business Namibia submission to State House on 4 November. Awaiting feedback from GRN. We urge the urgent finalisation of a modified NEEEF, in support of HPP and of a pro- business and pro- investment framework. Namibia Investment Promotion Act, 2016 GRN has accepted that the Act is deficient and a joint Committee with MITSMED and Business Namibia has been set up to amend the Act to address all shortcomings. The revised Act needs to be enabling and transparent, not the current over-regulatory and excessively discretionary Act. Additional Conditions to Licences Chamber has finalised amendments as per fruitful outcome of engagements with the Minister of Mines and Energy in November 2016. Export Levy CoM engaged extensively with MoF on aspects of legislation which would present challenges to smooth implementation and administration by mining companies. CoM has submitted alternative proposals to MoF and changes are under consideration to be in the form of Regulations/amendments to the Act. Moratorium on Marine Phosphate mining CoM remains extremely concerned that a way forward on this issue has not yet been concluded. Depressed Uranium Price uncertainty around recovery in the uranium prices is delaying development of advanced uranium exploration projects.
Namibia s Global competitiveness for mining The 2014 Fraser Institute Report revealed that Namibia emerged in 2014 as the most attractive investment destination for mining and exploration in Africa, followed by Botswana. 30 African countries participated. Namibia ranked 25 th position globally, out of the 122 jurisdictions that were surveyed. Unfortunately, Namibia dropped three places in the 2015 Fraser Institute Report on the investment attractiveness index, after Morocco, Burkina Faso and Ghana. Namibia ranked 33rd position globally, out of the 109 jurisdictions that were surveyed. Namibia has further dropped 5 positions to ninth position in 2016 according to the latest Fraser report of 2016 (released at end of February, 2017). 18 countries in Africa participated in the survey. NEEEF and Additional Conditions to licences were cited as reasons. These rankings are reversible as we saw post 2011 when positive policy interventions reversed the negative threats of draconian taxes and strategic minerals. We rose to top position in Africa by 2014 and can do so again if we act quickly and decisively.
Investment Attractiveness Index Botswana Ghana Democratic Republic of Congo Zambia Eritrea Mali Burkina Faso Namibia Tanzania Ethiopia Uganda South Africa South Sudan Kenya Sierra Leone Mozambique Zimbabwe Ivory Coast Namibia 1 st position (2014) Namibia 4 th position (2015) Namibia 9 th Position (2016) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Source: 2016 Fraser Institute Survey of Mining Companies
Conclusions There is major potential for further value addition in up-stream linkages with lucrative local procurement spend by the mining sector. However, continued success stories of the mining sector will largely remain dependent on the attractiveness of Namibia as a sought after destination for investment into mining and exploration. As evidenced by the recent Fraser report, the investment climate has already deteriorated in the last 2 years as a result of unfavourable policy proposals in their current formats. To harness full economic potential of the sector, and during a time when it is most needed, urgent clarity on policy and regulatory proposals is required to support sustained growth of the economy and the desired subsequent redistribution of wealth.
Thank you! For more information: www.chamberofmines.org.na