The Evolution to a Formidable Tier One Iron Ore Major. Goldman Sachs JB Were Sixth Annual Australasian Investment Forum

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Transcription:

The Evolution to a Formidable Tier One Iron Ore Major Goldman Sachs JB Were Sixth Annual Australasian Investment Forum 11-12 March 2010

Disclaimer Important Notice The purpose of this presentation is to provide general information about Fortescue Metals Group Ltd ("Fortescue"). It is not recommended that any person makes any investment decision in relation to Fortescue based on this presentation. This presentation contains certain statements which may constitute "forward-looking statements". Such statements are only predictions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties which could cause actual values, results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed, implied or projected in any forward-looking statements. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by Fortescue that the material contained in this presentation will be achieved or prove to be correct. Except for statutory liability which cannot be excluded, each of Fortescue, its officers, employees and advisers expressly disclaims any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the material contained in this presentation and excludes all liability whatsoever (including in negligence) for any loss or damage which may be suffered by any person as a consequence of any information in this presentation or any error or omission therefrom. Fortescue accepts no responsibility to update any person regarding any inaccuracy, omission i or change in information in this presentation ti or any other information made available to a person nor any obligation to furnish the person with any further information. Competent Persons Statement The geological information in this presentation is based on information compiled by Mr Stuart Robinson, and by Dr John Clout. Mr Robinson and Dr Clout are both fellows of The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy and are both employees of Fortescue Metals Group Ltd. Mr Robinson and Dr Clout both have sufficient experience relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which they are undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2004 Edition of the Australasian Code for reporting of Exploration results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves. Mr Robinson and Dr Clout consent to the inclusion in this presentation of the matters based on the information in the form and context in which it appears.

Operational overview

Integrated Business ~ 55Mt shipped 55mtpa annual capacity imminent

Overview 1 Current run rate of ~ 40Mtpa annualised Chichester expansion in progress Target Production 55Mtpa within 12 months Cash costs US$27/tonne Strengthening outlook for iron ore prices Strong liquidity over US$700m cash (Dec 09)

Overview 2 ONLY GLOBAL SCALE PURE IRON ORE INVESTMENT Chichester hub will consolidate at 95mtpa Solomon feasibility 60mtpa study nears completion Utilises Port Hedland capacity of 155mtpa New Pilbara Port allows an initial additional100mtpa Studies contemplate total 200mtpa of new port capacity Two ports and three production hubs FMG Pilbara region medium term management target - 355mtpa RAPIDLY EXPANDABLE TIER ONE ASSETS

Mining overview Chichester Hub Production Optimising Cloudbreak and expanding Christmas Creek operations Cloudbreak production stable at ~ 40Mtpa Christmas Creek expansion underway to 15Mtpa Strip ratios gradually increasing from 2.5 : 1 up to 4.4 : 1 by end 2010 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Q1 09Q2 09Q3 09Q4 09Q1 10Q2 10 Production Mt (wet)

Infrastructure overview Chichester Hub Fortescue 40 State of the Art Logistics Rail BHP 37.5 Rio Vale 35.7 31.5 World s heaviest haul rail system» 40 tonne axle loads US (best) QCCM 32.7 32.7 Shortest rail cycle times in the Pilbara ~ 18 hrs LKAB China 28 30 State of the Art Logistics Port South Africa India 23 28 Highly efficient port Axle loads (t) () Ship loading rates achieved at ~ 7,000 tonnes per hour

Proven skills in Operations Ramp Up Records 50,000 45,000 40,000 FMG Cloudbreak Annual Pr roduction (kt) 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Credit Suisse estimates RIO Hope Downs RIO IOC (pellets and concentrate) RIO Robe River RIO Channar RIO Eastern Range BHP Mt Newman Joint Venture BHP Goldsworthy Joint Venture BHP Area C Joint Venture BHP Yandi Joint Venture BHP Jimblebar BHP Samarco FMG Cloudbreak

Fortescue Forging Ahead - Video

Production costs Cash costs per tonne US$/t Q1FY10 Q2FY10 Mining and processing 21 22 Rail and port 5 5 Total Direct Costs 26 27 Despite AUD/USD appreciation, cost per tonne held at US$27

Exploration 6.3 billion tonnes in 5 years Christmas Creek drilling commenced May 2004; Cloudbreak commenced November 2004; Solomon drilling commenced June 2007. Reserves now 1.6 billion tonnes Resources now 5.1 billion tonnes Additional 1.2 billion tonnes of magnetite resource Discovery cost under 2 cents per tonne.

Financial highlights HY2010 Revenues up 17% on previous period despite 20% price reduction Despite AUD/USD appreciation of 22%, cost per tonne held at US$27 Net equity up nine per cent on previous period Exceeded previous production guidance

Reconciliation of Half Year Underlying EBITDA Dec 08 and Dec 09 (US$M) 800 700 600 500 400 300 475 283 2 27 110 224 400 200 100 400 0

Income statement 2008-2009 (US$m) 6 Months to 31/12/2009 US$m 6 Months to 31/12/2008 US$m Revenue 1,189 1,015 EBITDA 426 479 EBIT 315 458 Net Profit After Tax 43 760 Result reflects strong ramp up and market conditions

Balance Sheet 2008-2009 As at 31/12/2009 US$m As at 31/12/2008 US$m Current assets 1,013 961 Non-current assets 3,628 3,448 Current liabilities 737 746 Non-current liabilities 2,978 2,812 Net assets 926 851 Total equity 926 851 Strong balance sheet massive operating and future reserve and resource base not reflected

Debt maturity 1200 1000 Senior Secured Notes US$ face 54.0 / paid 38.3 US$ 1,026m 800 EUR face 16.2 / paid 10.1 US$ face 2.5 / paid 1.8 600 EUR 299m 400 US$318m US$250m 200 Subordinated Notes US$100m 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Long-term repayment profile

Iron ore for generations

Iron ore for generations Captive market Asian growth engine 3 billion people, rapid urbanisation and industrialisation Competitive advantage of the Pilbara is growing China s ability to meet its own requirement declining fast Fortescue has delivered ~55mt to ~45 steel mills in Asia and Europe

Iron ore for generations Proven Value in Use for Customers Most mills using Rocket Fines at 30-45% of their sinter blend with 57.3-58.3% sinter Fe. Larger size mills using 20-35%

Iron ore for generations Tenements and Resources

Iron ore for generations Fortescue has a dominant Pilbara land position FMG: 71,400km 2 Rio: 11,000km 2 (Robe 4,200km 2 ) BHP: 6,500km 2

Iron ore for generations Strong reserve position Reserve Category Tonnes (Mt) Fe (%) SiO 2 (%) Al 2 O 3 (%) P (%) LOI (%) Proven 123 59.7 3.61 1.89 0.051 8.1 Probable 1,459 58.88 4.23 2.40 0.057057 7.6 Total 1,582 58.8 4.18 2.36 0.056 7.6

Iron ore for generations Resources supporting future generations Current Resources (Bt) Current Targets (Bt)* Further Potential (Bt)* TOTAL (Bt) Chichester Hub Solomon Hub Western Hub CB, CC, environs 2.87 1.8 1.3 6.0 Eastern Pilbara 05 0.5.05 10 1.0 Greater Solomon 2.45 1.0 1.5 4.9 Adjacent CID to west 0.5 0.5 1.0 Jeerinah Anticline 1.5 1.1 2.6 Western CID 0.5 0.5 1.0 Southern Pilbara 0.4 0.8 1.2 TOTAL HEMATITE 5.32 5.7 5.75 17.7 Northern Magnetite 1.23 1.5 1.0 3.7 Central Magnetite Multiple (15) projects generated at ~ 1 Bt each 15 TOTAL MAGNETITE 1.23 1.5 16 18.7 * Targets and forecasts are hypothetical in nature and may not be achieved

Iron ore for generations Three Hub Production Strategy

Three Hub Production Strategy Chichester, Solomon and Western Fortescue Infrastructure Dampier Karratha New Pilbara Port Port Hedland Fortescue Rail Proposed Fortescue Rail API Joint Venture Rio Tinto Rail BHP Rail Western Hub Solomon Hub Chichester Hub Tom Price Paraburdoo Newman

Iron ore for generations Chichester Hub

Iron ore for generations Tier 1 asset Mine, port and rail operation Port Hedland Christmas Creek Rail advanced construction 55mt shipped 55mtp capacity underway Chichester Hub 95mtpa long- term capacity Newman

Chichester Mining To Port Hedland d Existing Mine Proposed Mine Camp village accommodation Ore Processing Facility Airport Fortescue Rail Proposed Fortescue Rail Cloudbreak Christmas Creek Mindy Mindy Battle Hill Mt Lewin Mt Nicholas Rio Tinto Rail BHP Rail Horatio Newman

PORT Chichester Hub Short Term Total volume capacity to expand to 55Mtpa by early 2011 55 RoM (unprocessed) Mtpa Product (processed) Mtpa SOLOMON 39 CLOUDBREAK OPF with dry front-end and de-sand plant CLOUDBREAK MINE 34 Hauled to Cloudbreak OPF 16 8 CHRISTMAS CREEK OPF with wet front-end and desand plant 19 CHRISTMAS CREEK MINE Hauled to Christmas Creek OPF

PORT Chichester Hub Medium Term Growing from 55mtpa to 95mtpa 95 SOLOMON Cloudbreak 39 56 Christmas Creek

Iron ore for generations Pit operations Cloudbreak Employing techniques matched to our ore body characteristics Overburden trucks Excavator Surface miner OVERBURDEN Ore trucks ORE BODY

Iron ore for generations Christmas Creek on the move October 2009

Iron ore for generations Solomon Hub

Iron ore for generations Solomon Hub - video

Iron ore for generations Solomon Hub Initial production target 60mtpa Total Hedland operation growing to 155mtpa Fortescue Rio Tinto Dampier Solomon Hub 60 100 Port Hedland 155 Tom Price 95 Chichester Hub BHP Paraburdoo Newman 60

Solomon Mining To Pilbara Port To Port Hedland Planned Feasibility Mine Proposed Mine Camp village accommodation Ore Processing Facility Airport Fortescue Rail Raven Flying Fish Serenity Mt Sheila East Tom Price Firetail Kings Investigator Proposed Fortescue Rail Rio Tinto Rail BHP Rail

Iron ore for generations Solomon Momentum Three years in Progress - DFS underway, completion due end 2010 Exploration success 2.4 billion tonnes and growing; Land Access and Environmental consents / approval well advanced; and Mining leases applied for and metallurgy studies progressing. 5km 20 Mtpa BID 40 Mtpa CID

Iron ore for generations Firetail project Firetail north (including Joffre) and Firetail south all within close proximity; Additional BID targets in region from drilling of mapped mineralisation

Iron ore for generations Firetail Project Resource 300Mt including 116Mt of high grade @ 60.3% Fe Low strip ratio above water table Standard Pilbara style Brockman Traditional mining / traditional product Vertical exaggeration = 4 times No Vertical exaggeration

Iron ore for generations Kings CID More than 30km strike length of CID in valleys; Additional tonnages to be gained by exploring other valleys and infill some areas. Valley of the Queens Trinity Firetail Joffre Firetail North Firetail South Valley of the Kings

Iron ore for generations Kings CID Resource of 2Bt with upper CID grades ~ 58% Fe Standard Pilbara CID comparable Yandi Low strip ratios ~ 2.5 : 1 Vertical exaggeration = 4 times No Vertical exaggeration

Iron ore for generations Solomon Stage 1 60 mtpa Decision to mine in 2010 / 2011 Shipping from Port Hedland Item Capex Opex Port US$1,080m US$1.38/tonne Rail US$765m US$2.16/tonne (Solomon Rail Spur, not including rollingstock which will be leased) Mine US$765m US$17.60/tonne (Contract Mining) Plant US$630m US$1.98/tonne All figures are represented by Scoping estimates or Prefeasibility Studies only. Estimates may vary +/- 30% as a result of the Definitive Feasibility Study currently underway. Per annum volumes are targets and may not be achieved. Indicative Capex / Opex

Iron ore for generations Solomon Stage 2 Additional 100Mtpa Operation Target timeline 2013/14 Shipping from New Pilbara Port Item Mine Rail Port Total Capex $UA ~900 million ~1.17 billion ~3.6 billion ~$5.7 billion All figures are represented by Scoping estimates or Prefeasibility Studies only. Estimates may vary +/- 30% as a result of the Definitive Feasibility Study currently underway. Per annum volumes are targets and may not be achieved. Solomon Hub calculated with full Port and Rail Solomon now feeding 160mtpa

Iron ore for generations Western Hub

Three Iron Hubs ore for Twin generations Ports Dampier New Pilbara Port Karratha Western Hub

Western Mining To Pilbara Port To Pilbara Port Proposed Mine Camp village accommodation Ore Processing Facility Airport Fortescue Rail Proposed Fortescue Rail API Joint Venture Rio Tinto Rail BHP Rail Delphine Eliwana 1 &2 Wyloo Flying Fish

Iron ore for generations Western Pilbara projects Existing target developments Maximizes use of total rail infrastructure Rail spurs to access API new heavy axle western rail Rail spurs to Fortescue Central Rail Expansion provision i at New Pilbara port Can be delivered within 5 years

Iron ore for generations Magnetite

Magnetite No. Development Investors Multiple developments Dampier Karratha 17 16 15 Western 14 13 New Pilbara Port 12 11 10 3 Solomon Tom Price Port Hedland 9 8 1 2 Chichester 7 6 1 North Star FMG 2 Glacier Valley FMG/Baosteel JV 3 Tom Price Steel Mill 4 Neptune Metal Corporation 5 Jupiter Steel Mill 6 Millers Monster Steel Mill 7 Lawrences Reward Steel Mill 8 Lucy Corporate Investor 9 April Steel Mill 10 Simons Range Steel Mill 11 Constellation Corporate Investor 12 Southern Cross Steel Mill 13 Epsilon Steel Mill 14 Rods Reward Steel Mill 15 Mammoth Mesa Steel Mill 16 Davids Goliath Construction Co. 17 Scotts Mountain Metal Corporation Paraburdoo Newman 5 4

Chichester Hub Magnetite HAEMATITE MAGNETITE 1 2 To Port Hedland Magnetite development notes 1&2 Feasibility Study with slurry pipeline to existing rail line 4 & 5 Adjacent to proposed mine and Mt Newman township 6 & 7 Located at existing mine sites 8 & 9 Slurry pipeline to existing rail siding, mine infrastructure and water supply Existing Mine Proposed Mine Camp village accommodation Ore Processing Facility Airport Fortescue Rail Existing Mine Proposed Mine Cloudbreak Camp village accommodation 7 6 Ore Processing Facility Slurry ypp pipeline and rail loading 9 8 Christmas Creek Mindy Mindy Battle Hill Mt Lewin Mt Nicholas Proposed Fortescue Rail Rio Tinto Rail BHP Rail SCALE 1 Kilometres (km) 100 5 Horatio 4 Newman

Solomon Hub Magnetite HAEMATITE MAGNETITE Existing Mine Existing Mine Proposed Mine Proposed Mine Camp village Camp village accommodation accommodation Raven 10 To Pilbara Port Serenity 12 13 Mt Sheila East Firetail Kings To Port Hedland Investigator Ore Processing Facility Airport Ore Processing Facility Flying Fish Tom Price Slurry ypp pipeline and rail loading 3 11 Fortescue Rail Proposed Fortescue Rail Rio Tinto Rail BHP Rail SCALE 1 Kilometres (km) 100 Magnetite development notes: Adjacent to proposed mining facilities Slurry pipeline to rail stockyard and loading facilities

Western Hub Magnetite To Pilbara Port To Pilbara Port HAEMATITE MAGNETITE Existing Mine Proposed Mine Camp village accommodation Existing Mine 17 Proposed Mine Camp village accommodation 16 Delphine Eliwana 1 &2 14 Ore Processing Facility Airport Ore Processing Facility Slurry ypp pipeline and rail loading Flying Wyloo Fish 15 Fortescue Rail Proposed Fortescue Rail API Joint Venture Rio Tinto Rail BHP Rail SCALE 1 Kilometres (km) 100 Magnetite development notes: Adjacent to proposed mining facilities Slurry pipeline to rail stockyard and loading facilities

Iron ore for generations Magnetite long-term source of equity China needs magnetite Progressive rollout of magnetite with infrastructure hubs All projects either adjacent to existing rail or suitable for slurry line from mine to existing/planned rail Many projects adjacent to existing or planned Haematite mines More than 20Bt with targets identified for 18.7Bt

Iron ore for generations Magnetite is common to Fortescue Magnetite is BIF (banded d iron formation) Northern Magnetite Province Two major developments in progress: FMG/Baosteel JV Feasibility about to commence, 1.23 Bt Resource FMG North Star Scoping study completed & infill drilling targeting 1.5 Bt FMG targets further 1 Bt Central Magnetite Province Additional 15 projects being generated Each with target greater than 1Bt

Two Ports for Three Hubs

Three Hubs Two Ports Fortescue Infrastructure Dampier Karratha New Pilbara Port Port Hedland Fortescue Rail Proposed Fortescue Rail API Joint Venture Rio Tinto Rail BHP Rail Western Hub Solomon Hub Chichester Hub Tom Price Paraburdoo Newman

1 st Port The Herb Elliot Port at Port Hedland Current port infrastructure

Capacity (Mtpa) 55 95 155 Berths 2 3 5 Shiploaders 1 2 3 Capacity (Mtpa) 55 95 155 Stackers 2 2 4 Reclaimers 1 2 3 Capacity (Mtpa) 55 95 155 Train unloaders 1 2 3 Port infrastructure: 55, 95, 155Mtpa 5 th berth at South West Creek awaiting approval by Port Authority

Two ports for three hubs 2nd Pilbara Port (New) 100Mtpa from Solomon Hub 220 kilometre Central FMG Rail (if no access to Rio line) New multi-user Pilbara Port to 400Mtpa; Multi-user port start-up capex only $4 billion Can be delivered in 2013/2014 Total capex of port, rail and mine ~ $6 billion; Huge boost to state growth and regional infrastructure

Two ports for three hubs Pilbara Port - staged development

Two ports for three hubs New Pilbara port project - early cash flow option Access to Rio Rail Early Port beach head with 25Mtpa trans shipping i load-out Potential to share trans-ship costs with MCC CID or Brockman from Solomon deposits adjacent to rail Development Plan is under study

Iron ore for generations Proven skills low risk

Iron ore for generations Proven skills in Construction Completion Records From concept To reality Port Rail Herb Elliott Port 2006 2008 Fortescue Railway 2007 2008 Mine Cloudbreak Minesite 2006 2008 FACT: Fortescue built its infrastructure faster than any other mining company FACT: Fortescue ramped up production faster than any other mining company

Iron ore for generations Expansion risk considerations - answered Risk Resource Construction Operations Market Finance Mitigant Massive JORC resource base of 6.3 billion tonnes and growing Low tech civil works and very similar to works recently completed Proven team that has presided over the faster ramp up of any iron ore project in Australia s history. Proven value in use product with a track record of acceptance Ability to draw on internal cash flow and external capital sources underwritten by a strong business model and capital markets sector appetite

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