MINING IN TASMANIA: DINOSAUR OR DELIVERER?

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Transcription:

MINING IN TASMANIA: DINOSAUR OR DELIVERER? PRESENTATION TO A FORUM HOSTED BY THE ACADEMY OF TECHNOLOGICAL SCIENCES AND ENGINEERING (ATSE) FOR NATIONAL SCIENCE WEEK RACV APARTMENT HOTEL, HOBART 3 RD AUGUST 17

Once upon a time, mining was more important to Tasmania than it was to Australia as a whole and Tasmanian mining was nationally important Mining as a pc of gross product 8 % of gross product at factor cost 7 Gross value of Tasmanian mineral production as pc of national total % of national total 7 3 3 1 1 193 1973 1983 1993 3 13 1 Tasmania Australia 19 19 197 197 198 198 199 199 1 1 Note: Gross product at factor cost is gross product excluding net indirect taxes. Sources: Sir Bede Callaghan, Inquiry into the Structure of Industry and the Employment Situation in Tasmania (1977), p. 37; ABS, State Accounts (.), 199-93and 1-1 ; Tasmanian Year Books; former Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics, Commodity Statistics; ABS, Mining Operations (81.).

Mining has been declining in importance as a contributor to Tasmania s economy - and is a smaller share in Tasmania than any other State Mining as a pc of Tasmania s gross value added Mining as a pc of gross value added, States and Territories, 1-1 3. % of industry gross value added 3 % of total gross value added 3.. 1. 1 National average 1. 1. 9 9 9 9 98 8 1 1 1 1 Financial years ended 3 June 3 Note: industry gross value added is gross state product minus net indirect taxes and gross value added in ownership of dwellings. Source: ABS, State Accounts (.).

Mining has been declining in importance as an employer in Tasmania and accounts for a smaller share than in most other states Mining as a pc of total employment in Tasmania Mining as a pc of employment, States and Territories, 1-1. % of total employment 8 % of total employment 7. 1. 1. 3 National average. 1. 8 87 88 89 9 91 9 93 9 9 9 97 98 99 1 3 7 8 9 1 11 1 13 1 1 1 17 Financial years ended 3 June Note: Financial year figures are averages for August, November, February and May of each year. Source: ABS, Labour Force, Australia, Detailed, Quarterly (91...3).

Mining is a very high-productivity industry some more of those and Tasmania could do with Gross value added per hour worked, by industry, Australia 1-1 $ per hour worked, 1-1 Labour productivity (output per hour worked) by State & Territory, 1-1 11 $ per hour worked 1 Whole economy 1 1 9 National average Mining Financial & insurance services Electricity, gas & water Rental, hiring & real estate services Informn, media & telcoms services Wholesale trade Public administration & safety Administration & support services Construction Transport, postal & warehousing Manufacturing Profsnl, scientific & techncl services Agriculture, forestry & fishing Education & training Health care & social assistance Art and recreation services Retail trade Other services Accommodation & food services 8 7 $1.8 per hour Sources: ABS, Australian System of National Accounts (.) and Labour Force, Australia, Detailed, Quarterly (91...3).

High-productivity industries are under-represented in the Tasmanian economy, while low-productivity industries are over-represented Proportion of workforce employed in industries where Australia-wide productivity is above or below the average for all industries Tasmania and Australia, 1-1 Note: Industries where Australia-wide labour productivity is above the national all-industries average are mining; financial & insurance services; electricity, gas, water and waste disposal services; rental, hiring & real estate services; and information, media & telecommunications services. Industries where Australia-wide labour productivity is between and 1% of the all-industries average are wholesale trade; public administration & safety; administration & support services; construction; transport, postal and warehousing; manufacturing; professional, scientific & technical services; agriculture, forestry & fishing; and education & training. Industries where Australia-wide labour productivity is less than half the all-industries average are health care & social assistance; art & recreation services; retail trade; accommodation & food services; and other services. Sources: ABS, Australian National Accounts State Accounts (catalogue no..) and The Labour Force, Australia, Detailed, Quarterly (catalogue no. 91...3).

A larger mining sector would be good for State government revenues Revenue from mining royalties, States and Territories, 1-1 Mining royalty revenue as a pc of total State and Territory revenues, 1-1. $bn 1-1 18 % of total revenue 1-1. 1 3. 1 3. 1. 1. 8 1. 1. National average.. Source: State and Territory annual financial reports, 1-1. 7

Tasmania s relatively small mining sector may simply reflect the fact that there aren t many ore-bodies left to be found, and exploited Mineral exploration, Tasmania $mn (-qtr moving total) % of national total 3. 3 Mineral exploration expenditure, Tasmania (left scale). 3. Tasmanian exploration expenditure as a pc of national total (right scale) 1. 1 1. 1. 91 9 93 9 9 9 97 98 99 1 3 7 8 9 1 11 1 13 1 1 1 17. 8 Note: data are trend estimates. Source: ABS, Mineral and Petroleum Exploration Expenditure (81.).