TEU Millions Alphaliner Weekly Newsletter is distributed every Monday. The newsletter is available upon subscription. Information is given in good faith but without guarantee. Please send your feedback, comments and questions to data@alphaliner.com ALPHALINER Weekly Newsletter Volume 2010 Issue 1 29.01.2009 to 04.01.2010 Web: www.alphaliner.com E-mail: data@alphaliner.com Sales: commercial@axsmarine.com Chart of the week Top 20 Carriers - Ranked based on total capacity operated (Active and Idle) While there were no new entrants to the Top 20 list this year, there were a few changes in the list: APL jumped from 7th to 5th overtaking H-L and COSCO Hanjin returned to 9th after falling out of the Top 10 in 2008. 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 Idle 1 Jan 2010 Idle 1 Jan 2009 Active 1 Jan 2010 Active 1 Jan 2009 Alphaliner K Line jumped from 13th to 11th CSAV leaped from 16th to 13th 0.00 UASC went up one spot from 20th to 19th Top 20 carriers active capacity down by 2.4% INSIDE THIS ISSUE: Top 20 Carriers 1 Idle Fleet Update 3 2009 Fleet Recap 4 Service Updates Maersk adds 3rd Hamburg call MCC takes over Maersk intra-asia activities Corporate Updates Hamburg Süd report small loss for 2009 K Line appoints new CEO SCI eyes boxship purchase Delivery Updates December Deliveries Terminal Updates RSGT inaugurated 5 6 8 9 The active capacity of the Top 20 carriers dropped by 2.4% over the last 12 months, as capacity management has become the key to restoring the industry to profitability in 2010. Although the total operated fleet of the Top 20 carriers increased by 1.6% since 2009 based on the carrier capacity rankings released by Alphaliner on 1 January 2010, the effective capacity dropped due to an increase in the idle fleet. The combined capacity of the Top 20 carriers reached 10.81 Mteu on 1 January 2010 compared to 10.63 Mteu in 2009. The idled capacity of these carriers currently stands at 743,000 teu, representing 6.9% of the carriers operated fleet. The idle capacity for these carriers was 328,000 teu or 3.1% of their fleet on 1 January 2009. There were no new entrants to the Top 20 list although as a group, the Top 20 carriers share of the overall liner capacity fell marginally from 81.6% of the global capacity to 79.2%. Maersk retained its overall lead in the carrier rankings, despite losing some market share from 15.6% to 15.0%. Seven of the carriers (APL, Hanjin, K Line, Page 1 Copyright Alphaliner 1999-2010
Market Share by total capacity operated as at 1 Jan 2010 (Jan 2009 capacity in brackets) 21.5% Top 20 Carriers Fleet Breakdown by owned/chartered (in TEU) as at 1 Jan 2010 Maersk MSC CMA CGM Evergreen APL H-L COSCO CSCL Hanjin NYK K Line MOL CSAV OOCL YML Ham. Süd Zim HMM UASC PIL 20.8% Owned 34% 57% 32% 60% 22% 77% 58% 10% 70% 62% 48% 27% 58% 67% 15.0% 10.9% Chartered 7.6% 4.1% 3.0% 4.0% 3.2% 3.4% 3.3% 3.3% 1. Maersk - 15.0% (15.6%) 2. MSC - 10.9% (11.3%) 3. CMA CGM - 7.6% (7.6%) 4. Evergreen - 4.1% (4.8%) 5. APL - 4.0% (3.7%) 6. H-L - 3.4% (3.8%) 7. COSCO - 3.3% (3.8%) 8. CSCL - 3.3% (3.4%) 9. Hanjin - 3.2% (2.8%) 10. NYK 3.0% (3.3%) 11th-20th carriers - 21.5% (21.6%) Others - 20.8% (18.4%) 66% 43% 68% 40% 78% 23% 42% 90% 30% 38% 52% 73% 42% 33% CSAV, Zim, HMM and UASC) gained market share based on total capacity operated, while two retained the same share (CMA CGM and YML) and the remaining 11 carriers lost market share. Carriers that gained share however were largely left with surplus tonnage as there were limited deployment options as demand remain depressed for most parts of last year and practically all trades were unprofitable. Capacity management will remain key to the carriers bid to return to profitability in 2010. The industry was badly affected by the overcapacity problem in 2009 as carriers were unable to reduce capacity quickly enough as demand fell. The problem was exacerbated by the heavy commitment on new ships made by the carriers in 2007-8. The orderbook of the Top 20 carriers remain high at 35% of their existing operated fleet. Apart from Evergreen who are in the fortunate position of having no ships on order, all the other main carriers have significant commitments on new ships, with the orderbook percentage exceeding 50% for quite a few carriers including COSCO, Zim, UASC and Hanjin. Some of the orders have been pushed back to 2013-2014 although a large part of the capacity is still due to be delivered in 2010-2011. In capacity terms, MSC and CMA CGM has the largest orderbook at 556,000 teu and 497,000 teu respectively, with a large part of the new capacity due in the next two years. Maersk MSC CMA CGM Evergreen APL H-L COSCO CSCL Hanjin NYK K Line MOL CSAV OOCL YML Ham. Süd Zim HMM UASC PIL Top 20 Carriers - Orderbook breakdown by year TEU Millions 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Page 2 Copyright Alphaliner 1999-2010
Vessel Count Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 ALPHALINER Weekly Newsletter 2010 Issue 1 IDLE FLEET UPDATE Idle fleet starts the year at 11.6% Operators idle fleet As at 4 Jan 2010 (Top 10 only) Operator TEU Maersk 131,800 Hanjin 103,300 K Line 74,000 Zim 66,000 HMM 61,400 APL 59,000 MISC Bhd. 52,100 CSCL 49,000 COSCO 48,000 YML 44,900 The idle containership fleet rose marginally over the last fortnight to reach 1.51 Mteu or 11.6% of the total fleet as at 4 January 2010, compared to 1.48 Mteu two weeks ago. There are 581 idle vessels recorded by Alphaliner, including 9 VLCS vessels of above 7,500 teu currently unemployed. The increase is largely due to the implementation of winter capacity adjustment with a number of large ships temporarily idled. The CKYH alliance carriers are the most affected by these adjustments. Non-Operating Owners (NOO) fleet grew from 637,700 teu a fortnight ago to 666,800 teu as operators continue to return surplus tonnage. Idle fleet breakdown by Carrier/Non-Operating Owner capacity Idle Fleet Breakdown TEU Millions 1.60 1.40 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 NOO TEU Carrier TEU 5.1% As % of total fleet 0.40 0.20 0.00 1.1% 1.4% Alphaliner 6.5% Idle fleet as at 4 Jan 2010 TEU range Vessels 500-999 106 1,000-1,999 158 2,000-2,999 146 3,000-4,999 100 5,000-7,499 62 7,500 & over 9 Total 581 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Idle fleet breakdown by size range (Jan 2009-Jan 2010) Idle containerships by size range Alphaliner Size (teu) 7,500 & over 5,000-7,499 3,000-4,999 2,000-2,999 1,000-1,999 500-999 Page 3 Copyright Alphaliner 1999-2010
2009 FLEET RECAP Key Liner Fleet Development Figures - 2009 2009 has been one of the worst years for the liner industry on record, with the highest level of vessel idling and deletions as well as the lowest level of contracting of new ships. The following figures have been achieved during the year 2009, according to Alphaliner records : D E L I V E R I E S 268 cellular ships totalling 1,070,000 teu and 13,108,000 tdw have been delivered. In addition, 19 ships of non-cellular design totalling 12,500 teu and 215,000 tdw, have joined liner trades (comprising of general cargo, reefer and roro vessels). O R D E R S Two cellular ships of 1,060 teu and four conros of 2,920 teu were ordered during the whole of 2009, the lowest level of contracting activity recorded for the liner trades. D E L E T I O N S ( C E L L U L A R ) 207 cellular ships totalling 381,169 teu have been deleted in 2009 of which 204 units totalling 378,656 teu and 5,923,000 tdw have been scrapped while three celled ships totalling 2,513 teu have been either lost or converted to non-container use. These deletions represent 35.6% of the cellular tonnage capacity which have entered the market during the same period, an all-time record. D E L E T I O N S ( N O N - C E L L U L A R ) Note: The Alphaliner liner fleet statistics excludes containercapable ships which are not deployed on liner trades. A large pool of these ''container-capable'' ships are old units not fitted (or no longer fitted) with lashing gear and includes a large number of conbulkers, some of which do not have container sockets. These vessels are listed in the Alphaliner website solely for the sake of data completeness but are not included in the liner fleet calculations. It may explain why Alphaliner statistics differ from other fleet statistics. 52 non-cellular ships (tweendeckers and roros) used on liner services totalling 31,000 teu and 864,000 tdw have been scrapped. On top of this, 157 other container-capable vessels comprising conbulkers, cargo vessels and roro ships, totalling 85,000 teu for 2,800,000 tdw, were scrapped. These latter group of ships are not included in the liner fleet count as they are no longer involved on liner activities, some of them for over a decade. C E L L U L A R F L E E T The cellular ship fleet reached 4,718 ships totalling 13,057,000 teu as at 1 January 2010, i.e. a growth rate of only 5.6% over the last 12 months. L I N E R F L E E T The total fleet deployed on liner trades as at 1 January 2010 reached 5,891 ships totalling 13,637,000 teu, i.e. a growth rate of 4.6% in 12 months (The cellular ships represent 95.7% of that total). In deadweight terms, these 5,891 ships total 181,168,000 tons, a progression of 2.6% in 12 months. Page 4 Copyright Alphaliner 1999-2010
SERVICE UPDATES Maersk Line adds third weekly call at Hamburg Maersk AE-10 Service Details Maersk - AE-10 (New rotation from Jan 2010) Vessels Deployed: 7 x 5,500-7,000 teu Port Rotation Dachan Bay, Nansha, Ningbo, Shanghai, Kaohsiung, Yantian, Hong Kong, Tanjung Pelepas, Le Havre, Zeebrugge, Hamburg, Gdansk, Goteborg, Aarhus, Bremerhaven, Rotterdam, Singapore, Hong Kong, Kobe, Nagoya, Shimizu, Yokohama Maersk Line is to add a direct call at Hamburg on its Asia-Europe AE- 10 loop at the expense of Felixstowe. This latter port will remain served directly with the AE-7. The AE-10 European range will then cover successively : Le Havre, Zeebrugge, Hamburg, Gdansk, Goteborg, Aarhus, Bremerhaven, Rotterdam. Gdansk is also a recent addition. The AE-10 will bring to three the number of Maersk's Far East-Europe loops calling at Hamburg, adding to the AE-1 and AE-2, allowing more direct connections between China and Hamburg and reducing transit times for some port pairs. The first AE-10 vessel to call Hamburg will be the MAERSK SYDNEY, sailing from Shanghai on 12 January with an ETA at Hamburg on 11 February. It is recalled that the AE-10 is combined with the AE-1 in a butterfly system that employs a total of 20 ships of around 8,500 teu alternating on each of the two loops. MCC Transport takes over Maersk s Intra-Asia business MCC Transport has become the sole Intra Asia carrier for the A.P. Moller - Maersk Group, effective from 1 January 2010. MCC Transport is an independent company within the A.P. Moller - Maersk Group, headquartered in Singapore. It currently offers 30 weekly services in the East Asia region. MCC Transport has been handling intra Asia business since 1993 and has been given a boost during 2009 in taking in charge several Maersk Line s major Intra Asia services. From this week, Maersk Line s intra-asia bookings between North Asia and South East Asia (including Bangladesh) are handled by MCC and, with the issuing of MCC Transport bills of lading. Bookings to the Middle East, Indian subcontinent and Australia will continue to be handled by Maersk Line. MCC Transport Intra-Asia Service Network MCC Transport was established in 1993 by APM-Maersk following the acquisition of the liner operations of EAC (East Asiatic Company) and took under its umbrella APM-Maersk s Asia basedregional activities. It is the third brand in the APM-Maersk shipping family - after Maersk Line and Safmarine. Page 5 Copyright Alphaliner 1999-2010
CORPORATE UPDATES Hamburg Süd loss lower than competitors Hamburg Süd Shipping Turnover Breakdown 2008 Bulk 9% Tanker 2% 71M 381M Liner 89% 3,813M It is impossible to cancel at Korean shipyards for newbuildings, unless you are in breach of contract. That is not our style. We also need the (7,100 teu) vessels. Their design is tailored for the South American ports. Ottmar Gast CEO, Hamburg Süd Dec 2009 Hamburg Süd s CEO Ottmar Gast told German newspaper Hamburger Ablendblatt last week that the company will record a loss for 2009 but added that its losses are lower than for all other shipping companies that we know. The German carrier said that its revenue dropped by 28% from 4.45 billion in 2008 to 3.2 billion in 2009. Over the same period, container liftings fell by 14% from 2.72 million teu to 2.34 million teu. The company is part of the Oetker Group which does not provide profit and loss figures for its shipping division. Hamburg Süd s CEO emphasized that it did not require financial support from its parent company or from other sources, unlike many of its competitors suffering from the slump. Meanwhile the company confirmed that it will take delivery of the 10 x 7,100 teu newbuildings ordered in Daewoo over 2010-2012 for deployment in the South American trades. The carrier also has 4 x 4,600 teu units due in 2010 - two of these ships are owned and two more will be on long term charter from Schulte. Apart from its liner shipping operations which currently controls 104 containerships, Hamburg Süd also operates a tramp shipping fleet of 32 bulk carriers and 8 product tankers. K Line appoints new President/CEO K Line Fiscal 2009/2010 Projections For year ending March 2010 Container Business Billion Yen - Revenue 340 - Operating income/loss -74 Other Business (incl dry bulk, car carrier, tanker) - Revenue 470 - Operating income/loss 3 K Line has announced the appointment of Kenichi Kuroya as the company s new President and CEO, with effect from 1 April 2010, as the company focusses on turning around its ailing container shipping business. The incoming president had spent a large part of his carrier in K Line s liner business units and is currently the Managing Director of K Line s Singapore shipowning and operating unit K Line Private Limited. He will replace Hiroyuki Maekawa who will become Chairman of the K Line Board of Directors. The Japanese carrier expects to report an operating loss of JPY 71 billion and a net loss of JPY 79 billion ($850 M) for the financial year ending March 2010. All of the loss is coming from the container shipping business which acounts for 42% of the Group s turnover. Page 6 Copyright Alphaliner 1999-2010
SCI eyes boxship purchases The Shipping Corporation of India (SCI) has set aside $200-$225M to fund the acquisition of three new containerships in 2010. The stateowned company was quoted by the Press Trust of India to be preparing to secure board approval to proceed with the purchase as it cited a recovery in trade volumes for the decision to strengthen its containership fleet. SCI Fiscal 2009/2010 Result for six months ended Sep Container Segment INR Billion - Revenue 3.90 - Operating income/loss -1.70 Bulk Segment - Revenue 13.04 - Operating income/loss 2.42 SCI currently operates 10 containerships of between 1,000 to 4,400 teu including 5 owned units. The new ships will likely be in the 4,000 to 5,000 teu size range and will be deployed on the Indian Subcontinent-Europe Service (ISES) which it jointly operates with MSC. The ISES currently deploys seven ships of 3,000 to 5,700 teu, of which SCI contributes three units. The company had last invited bids to acquire two 5,000 teu container vessels in September 2007 but the plan failed to materialize due to worsening trade conditions. SCI s move to acquire the new ships contrasts with calls made by some of its board members as recently as last October to exit from the loss-making container shipping sector. For the six months of its fiscal year ended September 2009, SCI reported an operating loss of INR 1.70 billion ($37M) for its liner shipping business. SCI Operated Fleet as at 1 Jan 2010 Name Built Teu Route Status GREEN VALLEY 1995 1,012 Colombo/India Chartered RAJIV GANDHI 1994 1,869 UAE/India Owned INDIRA GANDHI 1994 1,869 UAE/India Owned LAL BAHADUR SHASTRI 1994 1,869 UAE/India Owned SCI TRUST 2001 2,082 FE/Indian sub. Chartered SCI VIJAY 1991 3,074 FE/Indian sub. Chartered SCI KOLKATA 1998 3,359 FE/Indian sub. Chartered SCI NEW DELHI 2009 3,534 Europe/Indian sub Chartered SCI MUMBAI 2008 4,400 Europe/Indian sub Owned SCI CHENNAI 2008 4,400 Europe/Indian sub Owned Page 7 Copyright Alphaliner 1999-2010
DELIVERY UPDATES December 2009 Deliveries Name Teu Operator ZIM ANTWERP 10,06 Zim NORTHERN JUVENILLE 8,411 MSC RDO CONCERT 6,966 UASC TIAN XING HE 5,100 COSCO TIAN LONG HE 5,100 COSCO OOCL CHARLESTON 4,578 OOCL ZIM UKRAYNA 4,330 Zim MERKUR HORIZON 4,255 Zim TANJA RICKMERS 4,250 Hanjin PRAIA 3,534 Hanjin NYK VERONICA 2,664 NYK POSEIDON FAITH 2,556 Maersk FPMC CONTAINER 9 1,118 FPMC AL RUMEILA 1,043 QNNC HERCULES J. 1,036 N.A. BELUGA MODERATION 917 SITC KIARA 713 CMA The TIAN LONG HE (5,100 teu) is delivered COSCO Container Lines has received the TIAN LONG HE, fourth of 12 panamaxes of 5,100 teu ordered at Jiangnan Changxing in two steps in April 2006 and February 2007. The new ship has no employment for the moment. She follows the TIAN XING HE, delivered at the beginning of December. The BELUGA MODERATION (917 teu) joins SITC German owner Beluga Schiffahrts has received the BELUGA MODERA- TION, a 917 teu ship contracted with Netherlands shipbuilder Volharding, which had sub-contracted her construction in China. The BELUGA MODERATION has joined her charterer SITC under the name SITC MODERATION for assignment to the SITC Korea-China- Haiphong service, replacing the 787 teu SITC QINGDAO. The KIARA (713 teu) joins CMA CGM German owner Armin Klingenberg has received the KIARA, last of four ships of 713 teu ordered at the Hangzhou Dongfeng SB Co Shipyard. The ship, delivered several months late, is currently proceeding to Mauritius, where she will join her charterer CMA CGM for assignment to its service connecting Mauritius, Reunion, North Madagascar and Comoros. She will replace the 607 teu CONSISTENCE. The KIARA follows the CATALINA, delivered in August 2009. Page 8 Copyright Alphaliner 1999-2010
TEU Millions ALPHALINER Weekly Newsletter 2010 Issue 1 TERMINAL UPDATES Red Sea Gateway receives first ship call Jeddah Container Throughput 2000-2008 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 The first phase of Jeddah's new Red Sea Gateway Terminal (RSGT), was inaugurated on 22 December with the maiden call of UASC's AL MUTANABBI, a 3,802-teu panamax vessel employed in the carrier's India-Med-USEC 'Mina'service. The $530M RSGT is a greenfield terminal development located in the northward extension of the Jeddah Islamic Port. Its shareholders include Saudi Industrial Services Company (SISCO), Saudi Trade & Export Development Company (TUSDEER), Xenel and MMC Corp. which owns the Port of Tanjung Pelepas in Malaysia. By late summer 2010, the fully-completed facility will offer three berths of 1035m, with a capacity of up to 1.8 Mteu per year. RSGT is developed under a build-operate-transfer agreement with the Saudi Port Authority. Jeddah now offers three dedicated container terminals. Apart from the new RSGT, there are Gulftainer's Jeddah North Terminal and DPW's South Terminal. The port's annual teu handling capacity will reach about 5 Mteu per year, once RSGT is fully operational. Volumes in Jeddah have increased from 1.04 Mteu in 2000 to 3.3 Mteu in 2008 driven by the strong demand for transhipment cargo in the Red Sea region. Map of Jeddah Port showing location of container terminals Page 9 Copyright Alphaliner 1999-2010