Presents at the Global Transportation Conference. Boston. May 15, 2013

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Transcription:

Presents at the Boston May 15, 2013 2013 Global Transportation Conference

Caution Regarding Forward-looking Information Air Canada s public communications may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws. Such statements may be included in this presentation and may be included in other communications, including filings with regulatory authorities and securities regulators. Forward-looking statements may be based on forecasts of future results and estimates of amounts not yet determinable. These statements may involve, but are not limited to, comments relating to strategies, expectations, planned operations or future actions. Forward-looking statements are identified by the use of terms and phrases such as anticipate", believe", could", estimate", expect", intend", may", plan", predict", project", will", would", and similar terms and phrases, including references to assumptions. Forward-looking statements, by their nature, are based on assumptions and are subject to important risks and uncertainties. Forecasts or forward-looking predictions or statements cannot be relied upon due to, amongst other things, changing external events and general uncertainties of the business. Actual results may differ materially from results indicated in forward-looking statements due to a number of factors, including without limitation, industry, market, credit and economic conditions, the ability to reduce operating costs and secure financing, pension issues, energy prices, currency exchange and interest rates, employee and labour relations, competition, war, terrorist acts, epidemic diseases, environmental factors (including weather systems and other natural phenomena and factors arising from man-made sources), insurance issues and costs, changes in demand due to the seasonal nature of the business, supply issues, changes in laws, regulatory developments or proceedings, pending and future litigation and actions by third parties as well as the factors identified throughout Air Canada's public disclosure file available at www.sedar.com, including section 18, Risk Factors, of Air Canada s 2012 Management s Discussion and Analysis of Results of Operations and Financial Condition dated February 7, 2013 and section 13, Risk Factors, of Air Canada's First Quarter 2013 Management's Discussion and Analysis dated May 3, 2013. Any forward-looking statements contained in this presentation represent Air Canada's expectations as of the date of this presentation (or as of the date they are otherwise stated to be made) and are subject to change after such date. However, Air Canada disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required under applicable securities regulations. 2

Agenda About Air Canada Leveraging Competitive Advantages Building a Stronger Air Canada Financial Results Going Forward 3

About Air Canada

Leading Share in All Markets Domestic accounts for 39% of passenger revenue Transborder accounts for 20% of passenger revenue International accounts for 41% of passenger revenue WJA 35% Air Canada 55% Other Airlines 10% AMR 10% Other Airlines 9% WJA 19% LCC 4% Air Canada 35% DAL 6% UAL 17% SWG 4% WJA 4% Other Airlines 25% LH 3% KLM 7% BA 4% CATH 6% Air Canada 37% TRZ 10% Source: OAG data, based on full year 2012 available seat miles (ASMs) 5 AC Revenue Split based on 2012 full year revenues

Fleet Flexibility to Adjust to Market Demand Planned Fleet Dec 2012 Dec 2013 Dec 2014 Dec 2015 Mainline Boeing 787 - - 7 12 Boeing 777-300 12 16 17 17 Boeing 777-200 6 6 6 6 Boeing 767-300 30 27 21 17 Airbus A330-300 8 8 8 8 Airbus A321 10 10 10 10 Airbus A320 41 41 41 41 Airbus A319 38 30 13 8 EMBRAER 190 45 45 45 45 EMBRAER 175* 15 - - - Total Mainline 205 183 168 164 Air Canada rouge Boeing 767-300 - 2 8 12 Airbus A319-8 25 30 Total Air Canada rouge - 10 33 42 Combined total fleet 205 193 201 206 6 * As of May 3, 2013, four Embraer 175 aircraft have been transferred from Air Canada's mainline fleet to Sky Regional. The transfer of an additional 11 Embraer 175 aircraft, subject to certain conditions, is expected to be completed by the end of 2013.

Air Canada Express Important Part of North American Strategy provides feeder traffic to Air Canada's scheduled routes CRJ aircraft (41) 50-75 seats Dash 8 aircraft (86) 37-74 seats Embraer (4) 73 seats Beech aircraft (17) 18 seats 7 Jazz fleet at 122 aircraft (including 21 Q-400 aircraft) Q-400 aircraft are optimized for short-haul operations and deliver fuel efficiency, passenger comfort and lower operating costs than the aircraft they replace New collective agreement with ACPA allows for transfer of jets/prop of less than 76 seats to regional carriers Four Embraer 175 aircraft transferred to Sky Regional Planned transfer of an additional 11 Embraer 175 aircraft to Sky Regional by the end of 2013 Sky Regional will operate these aircraft under a capacity purchase agreement, at a lower cost than mainline (as reported on May 3, 2013)

Other Award Winning Services Contribute to Profitability Canada's largest provider of air cargo services One of Canada's leading tour operators 8 Won 2012 "Carrier of the Year" award in western, Eastern & central Canada Forwarders Choice Awards Won 2012 "Favourite Tour Operator" award at Baxter Travel Media's Agents' Choice Awards

2012 Awards & Recognition 2012 Skytrax World Airline Awards 3rd consecutive year 2012 Skytrax ranking: Best International Airline in North America Ranked the only international Four-Star Airline in North America Global Traveler magazine 2012 4th consecutive year Executive Travel Magazine 2012 Leading Edge Awards 5th consecutive year Business Traveler magazine 2012 5th consecutive year Best Airline in North America Best Flight Experience to Canada Best North American Airline for International Travel Best North American Airline Inflight Experience 9 Premier Travel magazine Best North American Airline for Business Class Service Best North American Airline for International Travel Best Flight Attendants in North America

Leveraging Competitive Advantages

Industry-Leading Products & Services The only international carrier in N.A. to receive a four star ranking by Skytrax Frequent flyer recognition program "Air Canada Altitude" Star Alliance membership Maple Leaf Lounges Concierge program Lie-flat beds in Executive First Personal seat back entertainment at every seat Mobile-friendly booking and check-in 11

Investing in New Aircraft, Products & Services Five new Boeing 777s are expected to be strategically deployed on select international markets Boeing 787 Dreamliner aircraft, with expected delivery starting in 2014, will provide international expansion opportunities New Boeing 777s and 787s will be configured with three classes of service: Economy, Premium Economy and Executive First Air Canada rouge will be well-positioned in the growing leisure market New Boeing 777 three class configuration 36 Executive First 44 inch pitch 24 Premium Economy 38 inch pitch 398 Economy 31 inch pitch 12

Targeting Enhanced Profitability Through Low-cost Leisure Airline Airbus A319 Boeing 767-300ER Air Canada rouge is scheduled to begin service with two Boeing 767 aircraft and two Airbus A319 aircraft (to be transferred from Air Canada's mainline fleet in 2013) with a transfer of an additional six Airbus A319 aircraft expected before the end of 2013 Air Canada rouge to pursue opportunities in markets made viable by its lower operating cost structure destinations at start-up include Venice, Italy, Edinburgh, Scotland and certain sun destinations and announced year round service to Dublin Ireland beginning in 2014 Air Canada rouge will, subject to market conditions, expand to other destinations as Air Canada takes delivery of new Boeing 787 aircraft thereby freeing up other aircraft for transfer to the Air Canada rouge fleet may operate up to 20 Boeing 767-300ER and 30 Airbus A319 aircraft, for a total fleet of 50 aircraft 13

Building on a Powerful Global Network Air Canada Spring/Summer 2013 Air Canada rouge as at July 2013 178 Direct Destinations: 59 in Canada 55 in the U.S. 64 internationally 15 th Largest Airline in the World 350 aircraft >1,500 daily flights ~35M passengers carried 14

Enhancing Market Presence Through Star Alliance & Joint Venture Star Alliance 6 th time winner Best Airline Alliance in the 2012 Skytrax World Airline Awards 15 15 27 Members 4,570 Aircraft 194 Countries Served 21,900 Daily Departures 1,329 Airports >1000 Lounges >670M Passengers/year

Building a Stronger Air Canada

Improving Profitability by Focusing on Four Key Priorities Pursuing revenue enhancements and transforming costs to enhance competitiveness Expanding internationally and increasing connecting traffic through international gateways Engaging with customers, with a particular emphasis on premium class passengers and products Fostering positive culture change 17

Cost Transformation and Revenue Enhancement 18 Concluded collective agreements with all major Canadian unions which included modifications to the defined benefit pension plans (remain subject to regulatory approval) Concluded and finalizing new agreements with aircraft maintenance service providers on a cost competitive basis Entered into an agreement which, subject to conclusion of certain conditions, provides for the transfer of 15 Embraer 175 aircraft (four of which have already been transferred) to Sky Regional who will operate these aircraft at a lower cost Announced the launch of Air Canada rouge with a lower cost structure to improve profitability in leisure markets Re-branded frequent flyer program (Air Canada Altitude) to build loyalty and generate incremental revenue Announced the introduction of three class service (Economy, Premium Economy and Executive First) on new Boeing 777 and 787 aircraft Actively pursuing other initiatives including: lowering fuel consumption, bettering turnaround times, reducing credit card fees, improving productivity in call centres and enhancing passenger revenues through product and service innovations

Leveraging Opportunities for Revenue Growth Growing ancillary revenues through various passenger-related fees including: Paid upgrades Baggage fees Seat selection fees Improved net Aeroplan revenue Reduced Aeroplan frequent flyer accumulation fees to 50% on Tango service for international routes Launch of loyalty program for small businesses Loyalty program caters to small and medium-size businesses allowing them to earn rewards and complimentary services Introduction of new Revenue Management System (RMS) which is being phased in over the next two years Lowest price guarantee assures customers of best available price on-line 19

Expanding Internationally and Increasing Traffic Through World Class Hubs Vancouver Calgary Toronto Montreal 20 Increasing global connecting traffic via Canada continued strength of sixth freedom traffic through Toronto Pearson Fully automated baggage handling for Air Canada customers connecting to the U.S. through Toronto Announced plans for a major international expansion with a focus on key gateways to Asia and launching service to new destinations including Istanbul

Enhancing Culture to Increase Competitiveness Promoting Entrepreneurship Engagement Empowerment Earnings for performance Emphasis on cost containment is forging a more entrepreneurial culture Cross-functional approach to operational excellence is motivating employees, reducing costs and increasing customers' satisfaction levels Renewed focus on constructive, respectful and transparent dialogue with employees through various vehicles including town halls and online forums Implementing a talent management plan to focus on defining and developing key behaviours for employees Encouraging employee feedback and ideas Focused on employee awareness of the importance of achieving financial goals Many industry honours and awards are indication Air Canada employees are participating in transformation 21

Financial Results

Full Year 2012 & First Quarter 2013 Results Full Year 2012 First Quarter 2013 Adjusted EBITDAR (1) of $1,327M Adjusted EBITDAR (1) Margin of 10.9% Passenger load factor of 82.7% - up 1.1 pp Unit passenger revenue (P-RASM) up 3.2% Adjusted CASM (2) increased 1.0% EBITDAR of $145M EBITDAR Margin of 4.9% Passenger load factor of 81.0% up 1.8 pp Unit passenger revenue (P-RASM) up 1.1% Adjusted CASM (2) increased 1.4% Adjusted net debt of $4.0B at Mar 31, 2013 decreased $249M from Mar 31, 2012 (1) Excludes the impact of benefit plan amendments (2) Excludes fuel expense, the cost of ground packages at Air Canada Vacations and unusual items 23

Maintaining Strong Liquidity Position C$ billions 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 $1.2 $1.0 $1.4 $2.2 $2.1 $2.0 $2.1 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Q1 2013 % of trailing 12-month operating revenues 12% 9% 14% 20% 18% 17% 17% Note: Liquidity is comprised of unrestricted cash, cash equivalents and short term investments 24

Improving Strength of Balance Sheet $6,500 Adjusted net debt down almost $1.8 billion from 2009 $6,000 Millions $5,500 $5,000 $5,768 $4,500 $4,874 $4,576 $4,000 $4,281 $3,987 $3,500 Dec 31 Dec 31 Dec 31 Dec 31 Mar 31 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 25

Managing the Risks Reached important agreement with Government of Canada on extending pension funding arrangements to January 30, 2021 Required payments of at least $150 million annually with an average of $200 million per year over seven years, to contribute an aggregate minimum of $1.4 billion in solvency deficit payments Successfully completed a private offering of enhanced trust certificates (EETCs) to finance five new Boeing 777-300ER aircraft Enormous interest by investors New attractive source of financing Three tranches of certificates with combined face value of $715 million and blended coupon rate for all tranches of 4.7% Lowering fuel price risk through effective fuel hedging policy Strategy is to hedge at least 40% of the next 12 months expected consumption As at April 30th, 2013, Air Canada had hedged 33% of its anticipated fuel consumption for remainder of 2013 at WTI-equivalent capped price of US$98 per barrel 26 Hedge portfolio comprised of call options and call spreads protects against significant spikes in fuel prices and allows Air canada to benefit fully from declining jet fuel prices

2013 Outlook Outlook* Available seat miles (system) Increase 1.5 to 2.5% Available seat miles (Canada).. Increase 0.5 to 1.5% Adjusted CASM**. Decrease 0.5 to 1.5% Major Assumptions* Canadian dollar per U.S. dollar. $1.02 Jet fuel price CAD cents per litre 86 cents Canadian GDP growth of 1.25% to 1.75% * As reported on May 3, 2013 ** Adjusted CASM excludes fuel expense, the cost of ground packages at Air Canada Vacations and unusual items such as impairment charges 27

Going Forward

Committed to Improving Profitability Leverage and expand international network by capitalizing on competitive advantages widely-recognized brand extensive global network loyalty program (Aeroplan) competitive products and services geographically well-positioned hubs introduction of new Boeing 777 and 787 aircraft Launch of Air Canada rouge to compete more effectively in the current industry environment, lower unit costs, improve margins and better manage seasonality Extend global reach by further developing commercial alliances with major international carriers 29

Committed to Improving Profitability Increase sixth freedom traffic from the U.S. to connect through the airline s hub airports in Canada to onward international flights Promote premium class cabin and broaden the airline s access to corporate customers by focusing on small and medium size enterprises Introduce new products and services and modify existing ones to increase competitiveness including premium economy cabin on international widebody fleet Continue cost reduction efforts and capitalize on new opportunities, including through the execution of new MRO agreements Leverage positive changes in collective agreements to reduce costs and expand use of jets/props of less than 76 seats at regional carriers Maintain a strong balance sheet 30