Middle East Airline Capacity Winter 2013/14 Boeing Commercial Airplanes Istanbul Technical University Air Transportation Management M.Sc. Program BOEING is a trademark of Boeing Management Company. Network, Fleet and Schedule Strategic Planning Module XX : 14 March 2014
World Regional Definitions
Middle East Capacity Report Summary December 2013 vs. December 2012 Airline capacity (ASKs) to/from/within the Middle East increased 11.2% from the prior year, 1.5x the global average Growth was led by the Gulf 3, Saudia, and the region s LCCs Most of the region s other flag carriers remained static, or suffered declines Political turmoil in the region was limited in impact, with Egyptair and Syrian Arab Airways making capacity cuts Other flag carriers, including Gulf Air and Bahrain Air, lack competitive strength relative to the LCCs and the Gulf 3 Europe, South Asia, and South East Asia were the largest markets by ASKs Intra-Middle East remained the largest market in terms of seats
Middle East Capacity December 2013 vs. December 2012; all traffic to/from/within; all airlines 12% 11.2% 8% 7.6% 6% 5.4% 4% 2% 2.2% 2.1% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length Seats per flight
Middle East Capacity vs. Global Average All airlines, December 2013 vs. December 2012 12% 11.2% Middle East Global Average 8% 7.6% 7.4% 7.6% 6% 5.4% 5.6% 4% 2% 2.2% 2.1% 0.2% 1.7% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length Seats per
Middle East capacity December 2013 vs. December 2012; flights to/from/within the region 12% 11.3% 11. Middle Eastern carriers Other airlines 7.9% 8% 6.6% 5.8% 6% 5.3% 4% 2% 2.3% 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length Seats per
Regional flows to/from the Middle East ASKs; All carrier domiciles; December 2013 vs. December 2012 25 20 5% 2012 2013 15 Billions 10 5 4% 31% 4% 12% 39% 7% 21% -2% 39% 0
Seat Capacity by region To/from the Middle East, Dec 2013, all airlines, Seats (millions) 0.7 North America 0.2 Northeast Asia 0.8 CIS 0.5 China 1.6 4.1 South Asia 0.4 Oceania Southeast Asia 0.1 South America 5.3 Europe 8.3 Intra-ME 1.6 Africa
Capacity Changes Among Top Airlines ASKs; Middle East Domiciled Carriers Dec. 2013 vs. Dec. 2012 Billions 25 20 12% 2012 2013 15 10 14% 29% 5 0 17% -5% 6% 27% 12% -28% -2% 5% 1% 16%
Capacity Changes Among Top Carriers Carriers domiciled outside region; Middle East ASKs Dec. 2013 vs. Dec. 2012 Billions 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 5% new 12% New Qantas service: Daily A380s from MEL and SYD to DXB, continuing to LHR -6% -13% -12% -7% New services to DXB, AUH, DOH, DMM, and RUH 3% -15% -5% new -2% 2012 2013-39% -1% 21% 2 166% 0.2 0
Largest Capacity Changes - Airlines Weekly seats to/from/within Middle East 120 100 80 Thousands 60 40 20 0-20 -40
Equipment Usage December seats to/from/within Middle East; all airlines 8 7 6 9% 13% Dec. 2012 Dec. 2013 Millions 5 4 3 7% 6% 2 1 0-11% -44% -2% 5% -11% -19% 96% -6% 41% -89%
Capacity Changes by Business Model Seats; Middle East Domiciled Carriers Dec. 2013 vs. Dec. 2012 Millions 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 13% Dec. 2012 Dec. 2013 3 18% 2 1 0 3% Gulf 3 Other Flag Carriers Low Cost Others
Middle East Capacity Gulf 3 December 2013 vs. December 2012; all traffic flows 16% 14% 12% 8% 6% 11. 12.7% 15. 4% 2% 1.2% 1.5% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length Seats per
Gulf 3 Capacity, 2009-2013 (December) ASK development Emirates, Qatar, and Etihad 30 25 Billions 20 15 10 5 0 2009 2013 Emirates Qatar Etihad CAGR = 13.5% CAGR = 16.6% CAGR = 16.7%
Gulf 3 growth rates by airline Dec. 2013 vs. Dec. 2012; all traffic flows to/from/within Middle East 3 3 3 29.3% 25% 25% 25% 21. 2 2 2 17.9% 15% 12.1% 10.5% 8.4% 15% 10.3% 12.7% 13.8% 15% 5% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length 0.6% 1.9% Seats per 5% 0.5% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length 2.2% Seats per 5% 5.1% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length Emirates Qatar Etihad 2.7% Seats per
Gulf 3 flows to/from/within the Middle East Seats; December 2013 vs. December 2012 2.5 2 9% 8% 2012 2013 Millions 1.5 1 11% 29% 0.5 0 21% 12% 18% 9% 18% 39%
Equipment Usage Gulf 3 December ASKs Billion 20 18 16 14 July 2012 July 2013 22% Billions 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 45% 4% -4% 7% -12% -5-19% -2% 39% 669% 1% -5%
Flag Carriers capacity Growth December 2013 vs. December 2012; all traffic flows 2 2 2 16.7% 15% 15% 15% 7.7% 6.6% 5% -1.1% 0.3% 1.5% 0.3% 1.4% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length Seats per 5% 4.6% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length 3. Seats per 5% Flights Seats ASKs Stage length -1.2% 0.4% Seats per -5% -5% -5% -3.9% -3.6% -4.6% Flag carriers* Saudia Flag carriers ex. Saudia * Does not include G3
-12% 9% 4% 2% 1% Capacity Changes by Airline Flag Carriers Seats; Dec. 2013 vs. Dec. 2012 2.5 2.0 8% Dec. 2012 Dec. 2013 Millions 1.5 1.0-4% Operated in Dec. 2012, but did not publish schedule Voluntary liquidation 0.5 0.0 3% 24% -10-31%
Middle East Capacity Low-cost airlines December 2013 vs. December 2012; all traffic flows 2 15% 14. 17.8% 16.1% 5% Stage Length 3.3% -5% Flights Seats ASKs -0.8% Seats per
LCC Capacity by Airline ASKs; December 2013 vs. December 2012 1.8 1.6 1.4 27% 8% 2012 2013 Billions 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 18% 0.4 0.2 0.0-2% Flydubai Air Arabia Flynas Jazeera
LCCs growth rates by airline Dec. 2013 vs. Dec. 2012; all traffic flows to/from/within Middle East 3 25% 27.1% 3 25% 6 5 46.9% 4 2 18.7% 18.7% 2 3 26. 15% 15% 2 18.3% 16.5% 5% 5.7% 5% 7.2% 7.2% 7.9% - Flights Seats ASKs Stage length Seats per Flights Seats ASKs Stage length 0. Seats per Flights Seats ASKs Stage length 0.7% 0. Seats per Flydubai Air Arabia Flynas -2-3 -18.1%
LCC flows to/from/within the Middle East Seats; December 2013 vs. December 2012 1.6 1.4 15% 2012 2013 1.2 Millions 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 14% 48% 38% 53% 0 Middle East South Asia CIS Africa Europe
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