Investor Presentation

Similar documents
2016 Annual Shareholders Meeting

2Q 2018 Investor Presentation. Alaska Air Group

3Q 2018 Investor Presentation. Alaska Air Group

Management Presentation. March 2016

Management Presentation. May 2013

Stifel 2017 Transportation & Logistics Conference Tammy Romo, EVP and CFO

Cowen Securities 6 th Annual Global Transportation Conference June 11, 2013

J.P. Morgan Aviation, Transportation and Industrials Conference

INVESTOR PRESENTATION. May 2015

Management Presentation. September 2015

Management Presentation. November 2018

CREDIT SUISSE GLOBAL INDUSTRIALS CONFERENCE DECEMBER 4, 2014

Global Transportation Conference. New York June 18, 2008

American Airlines Group Inc.

INVESTOR PRESENTATION. Imperial Capital Global Opportunities Conference September 2015

Management Presentation. November 2013

Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Transportation Conference. June 16, 2010

Management Presentation. August 2012

Jumpstart 2017 Lukas Johnson SVP, Commercial. June 2017

Citi Industrials Conference

Montreal September 24, 2008

VIRGIN AMERICA MARCH 2016

2018 Annual Meeting of Stockholders

2010 ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING. May 4, 2010

Gerry Laderman SVP Finance, Procurement and Treasurer

1Q 2017 Earnings Call. April 18, 2017

American Airlines Group Inc.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT

WH Smith PLC Acquisition of InMotion providing access to the world s largest travel retail market 30 October 2018

2017 Marketing and Communications Conference. November 6, 2017

2Q 2017 Earnings Call. July 19, 2017

Airline Mergers and Consumers. Before the US DOT Advisory Committee for Aviation Consumer Protection

STAYING TRUE. Scotia Capital Transportation & Aerospace Conference. November 15, 2011

Investor Update April 22, 2008

Management Presentation. May 2012

Management Presentation. November 2011

Jazz Air Income Fund presented by Joseph Randell, President and Chief Executive Officer National Bank Financial Transportation & Logistics Conference

STAYING TRUE. BofAML Global Transportation Conference. May

JP Morgan Aviation, Transportation and Industrials Conference MARCH 15, 2017

10TH ANNUAL WOLFE RESEARCH GLOBAL TRANSPORTATION CONFERENCE MAY 23, 2017

Transportation and Logistics Conference. Toronto March 18, 2008

Management Presentation. September 2011

1Q 2017 EARNINGS PRESENTATION APRIL 25, 2017

Corporate Presentation National Bank Transportation and Logistics Conference March 24, 2010

Montie Brewer, President and CEO Joshua Koshy, Executive VP and CFO UBS Transport Conference

E190 REPLACEMENT & FLEET UPDATE JULY 11, 2018

ACI-NA JumpStart Conference. Cleveland, Ohio June 2018

Spirit Airlines Maxim Group Growth Conference March 26, 2012

1Q 2018 Earnings Call. April 18, 2018

Spirit Overview & 2016 Priorities

Aviation Suppliers Association Pioneering the Future of the Supply Chain. June 17, 2014

Investor Update: Delta Marketing & Codeshare Agreement

Michael Rousseau Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

US Airways Group, Inc.

JETBLUE INVESTOR DAY NOVEMBER 19, 2014

Investor Relations Update January 25, 2018

Investor Update April 23, 2009

Bank of America Merrill Lynch2016Transportation Conference

Transportation and Aerospace Conference 2014

2017 Annual Meeting of Stockholders

Cowen 11 th Annual Global Transportation Conference

Corporate presentation CIBC Whistler Institutional Investor Conference January 21, 2010

Scotia Capital Transportation & Aerospace Conference. June 5, 2007

Investor Update Issue Date: April 9, 2018

Investor Update July 24, 2007

Spirit Airlines Reports First Quarter 2018 Results

Investor Update October 23, 2008

4Q 2018 EARNINGS PRESENTATION JANUARY 24, 2019

Investor Relations Update October 25, 2018

US AIRLINE COST AND PRODUCTIVITY CONVERGENCE: DATA ANALYSIS

Allegiant Travel Company Reports First Quarter 2009 Financial Results

Investor Update April 24, 2007

J.P. Morgan Global High Yield & Leveraged Finance Conference Miami, FL

AIR CANADA REPORTS 2010 THIRD QUARTER RESULTS; Operating Income improved $259 million or 381 per cent from previous year s quarter

CONTACT: Investor Relations Corporate Communications

Investor Update July 22, 2008

Jazz Air Income Fund. presented by Allan Rowe, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP REPORTS RECORD FEBRUARY TRAFFIC AND CAPACITY

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP REPORTS RECORD DECEMBER TRAFFIC RESULTS

Airline Industry Overview For the Regional Airline Association. December 8, 2010

Frequent Fliers Rank New York - Los Angeles as the Top Market for Reward Travel in the United States

Delta Air Lines Reports June 2009 Quarter Financial Results

March Raymond James Institutional Investors Conference

Thank you for participating in the financial results for fiscal 2014.

JumpStart Providence, RI

American Airlines Group Reports December Traffic

Our 2018 Priorities. Welcome Aboard! Further improve our overall Guest experience. Strengthen our footprint for the future. Drive ancillary revenue

44th Consecutive Profitable Quarter Fourth Quarter Fully Diluted Earnings per Share of $0.94 Full Year Fully Diluted Earnings per Share of $4.

Joshua Koshy, Executive Vice President & CFO. Changing the Game

Managing in a High Cost Energy World

Outlook for Air Travel

Air Canada. Transportation & Aerospace Conference presents at the. Toronto November 20, 2012

ALASKA AIRLINES: TAKING FLIGHT

CONTACT: Investor Relations Corporate Communications

2014 RBC CAPITAL MARKETS' CANADIAN AIRLINE AND AEROSPACE INVESTOR DAY

2010 Global Transportation Conference

Spirit Airlines Reports Second Quarter 2018 Results

Presents at the. September 21, 2011

Copa Holdings Reports Net Income of $57.7 million and EPS of $1.36 for the Third Quarter of 2018

Investor Update January 29, 2008

Transcription:

Investor Presentation

Safe harbor This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Forward-looking statements are based on, and include statements about, the Company s estimates, expectations, beliefs, intentions, and strategies for the future, and are not guarantees of future performance. Forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties, assumptions, and other factors that are difficult to predict and that could cause actual results to vary materially from those expressed in or indicated by them. Please refer to the risk factors described in Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the detailed factors discussed under "Risk Factors" in the Company s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2015. 2

Our strategy is simple and balanced Safety & Compliance People Focus Hassle Free (Easiest airline to fly) Energetic & Compelling Brand Low Fares, Low Costs & Network Growth 3

Good execution against that strategy has helped us grow our network for our customers 14 New Markets 6 New Markets 20 New Markets in 14 New Markets in 8 New Markets* in Includes new markets announced for 2017 as of 11/8/16 4

outpace the industry revenues $5.4B $5.6B $5.8B* $4.3B $4.7B $5.0B $3.8B $3.4B 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 * 2016 estimate using consensus (not endorsed by Alaska Air Group) Estimates are for Alaska Air Group 2016 standalone, without effect of Virgin America adjustment 5

And provide returns for our owners Adjusted Net Income and EPS * 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 * 2016 estimate using consensus (not endorsed by Alaska Air Group) Estimates are for Alaska Air Group 2016 standalone, without effect of Virgin America adjustment 6

2016 is shaping up to be another strong year financially Industry and Sector Leading Pre-Tax Margin (LTM 9/30/16) 19.7% 24.8% 11.5% 13.4% 14.4% S&P 500 Industrials Legacies LCC's Alaska 7

And the underlying business is operating well Safe Great Operation Employee Engagement Award Winning Service 8

We have a long history of successful growth Alaska Mainline ASM Growth by Year, 1995 2016 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 U.S. Domestic Industry Data from A4A 9

This growth has helped us diversify our revenue and cash flows PacNW/ Canada 12% Transcon 11% Midcon 2% Alaska 20% 55 % PacNW/ Canada 5% Mountain 11% Mexico 8% California 36% Mountain 9% Mexico 5% * 2016 revenue estimate using consensus (not endorsed by Alaska Air Group) 10

The Virgin America acquisition will position us as the 5 th largest airline in the U.S. with an unparalleled ability to serve West Coast travelers 11

It provides a platform for growth of our low-fare, premium product Powerful West Coast Network Enhanced International Partnerships Access to Constrained Airports California Customer Base Opportunity to Grow & Improve Loyalty 12

The market size is significant North America Revenue Low Fare Premium Product Carriers Network Carriers 66% 12% 19% Low Cost Carriers 3% Ultra Low Cost Carriers 13

California is our single largest opportunity Population 11.9 Million Daily Passengers North America 71,700 AK 0.7M WA 7.2M Population 39.1 Million Daily Passengers North America 185,700 CA 39.1M 2.5x PacNW Daily Passengers 3x PacNW Population OR 4.0M 14

with very attractive characteristics Characteristic Metric US Rank Population 39.1M #1 Gross State Product $2.3T #1 North America Pax/Day 185,700 #1 Intl Passengers/Day 11,750 #3 Gross State Product Growth 4% #4 Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis 15

Our combined network provides tremendous options for customers living on the West Coast + 16

AS WN UA DL AA HA B6 NK From day one, the combined carrier will offer more seats from the West Coast, so that we can serve customers better 22% 21% 16% 12% 12% 7% 2% 1% Share of West Coast Seats North America Seat Share from Alaska, Oregon, Washington, and California YE3Q16; total is less than 100% because smaller other category is excluded 17

and offer a significant presence at all major metropolitan areas Anchorage 46 Flights 9 Gates Seattle 291 Flights 32 Gates Portland 123 Flights 20 Gates San Francisco 73 Flights 10 Gates LAX 79 Flights 12 Gates Bay Area 115 Flights LA Basin 102 Flights Average scheduled daily flights for Alaska and Virgin America YE3Q16 18

We will serve all 10 of the top markets from SFO SFO Customer Utility Service in Top 10 Markets from SFO 6% Alaska - Today 58% Alaska - Post Merger Rank Market 1 JFK 2 LAX 3 Las Vegas 4 Chicago 5 Boston 6 SEATTLE Seattle 7 Newark 8 San Diego 9 Denver 10 Dulles Utility percentage represents share of domestic revenue for the year ended Q32015. 19

And our utility in LAX increases substantially LAX Customer Utility 58% 10% Current Future Service in Top 10 Markets from LAX Rank Market 1 JFK 2 San Francisco 3 Chicago 4 Seattle 5 Las Vegas 6 Denver 7 Newark 8 Honolulu 9 Boston 10 Atlanta Utility percentage represents share of domestic revenue for the year ended Q32015. 20

With Virgin America, we obtain valuable gates and landing slots on the East and West Coast SFO 8 Gates LGA 12 Slots DCA 10 Slots JFK 23 Slots EWR 15 Slots LAX 6 Gates DAL 2 Gates 21

Both Alaska and Virgin America have lower costs than legacy carriers Limited Service Carriers Premium Value Carriers Legacy Carriers 11.63 6.67 7.14 7.29 7.46 8.27 9.14 9.38 4.85 5.00 Spirit Allegiant Southwest Hawaiian Alaska Jetblue Virgin Delta American United Source: Alaska Mainline and Competitors, 12 Months Ending September 30, 2016 Stage-length adjusted CASM formula: other airline CASM x (other airline stage length / Alaska mainline stage length) ^ 0.5. 22

Our customers benefit from our lower fares Our fares are ~25% lower than legacy carriers $205 $210 $215 $169 $170 Source: U.S. Department of Transportation, 12 months ended Q3 2015 North American Origin and Departures (stage-length adjusted to industry average fare of 1,165) 23

Industry leading operational reliability Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Virgin Amer. Alaska Virgin Amer. Virgin Amer. Virgin Amer. Alaska Virgin Amer. Virgin Amer. Virgin Amer. Alaska Virgin Amer. Alaska Sources: On-time and canceled flights data for full year 2014 from masflight. Includes regional affiliate flights. extreme delays, which are 45 minutes or longer, compiled by FlightStats Inc. Two-hour tarmac delays, mishandled baggage, and consumer complaints from Department of Transportation based on 12 months ended in November. DOT involuntary-bumping data 12 months through September. 24

Award-winning customer service #1 Traditional Carrier 9 straight years Best Domestic Airline 9 straight years 25

on one of the youngest Fleet Age in Years 22 17 5 7 9 9 10 10 12 14 Source: Airfleets.net. Mainline only. 26

and most fuel efficient fleets in the country 83 Fuel Efficiency ASM s/gallon 82 76 75 74 70 70 68 66 65 Source: 2015 10-K reports. Mainline only. 27

Planned fleet growth comes from both mainline aircraft and E-175 regional aircraft Projected Fleet Count 12/31/16 12/31/17 12/31/18 Total Mainline Fleet 155 152 160 Q400s* 52 52 37 E175s* 15 33 43 Total Regional Fleet* 67 85 80 Alaska Air Group 222 237 240 Virgin America 63 68 73 * Indicates aircraft are operated under capacity purchase agreements with Horizon or other regional airlines The expected fleet counts at December 31, 2016 and beyond are subject to change. Virgin America s fleet plan is as reported. 28

Addition of E-175 s in our fleet creates a superior onboard experience for our customers and opens up new markets Air Group s Fleet Range E-175 737- NG Cabin Height 6 7 7 3 Regional Jets 76 Seats Aisle Width 19.75 16.7 Seat Width 18.25 17.5 1,700 mi. 29

Starting in 2017, Alaska will introduced dedicated Premium Class product on 737s and E175s Premium Economy Seats +30 Main Cabin Seats -30 Net Seats -4 Premium Economy Seats +24 Main Cabin Seats -27 Net Seats -3 30

Our partner portfolio gives our customers expansive global reach 31

90% of revenue is Alaska generated and partner traffic remains robust, while composition has shifted 2014 9% of Revenue is from Codeshare 2016 6% of Revenue is from Codeshare International Interline $53M (1%) Domestic Interline $113M (2%) International Interline $50M (1%) Domestic Interline $115M (2%) Delta $190 Others $71 American $225 Total Codeshare $486M (9%) Delta $65 Others $65 American $190 Total Codeshare $320M (6%) 32

Our credit card offers the best value proposition amongst comparable airlines Annual Fee $75 $95 $95 $95 $99 Miles for on Airline Spend 3X 2X 2X 2X 2X Companion Certificate $99 Top Rated Loyalty Program* Free Bag Foreign Transaction Fees 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Bonus Miles 30K 30K 30K 30K 25K 33

Our enhanced network and service offerings should help us grow our loyalty further Mileage Plan Members Affinity Card Membership 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* All 2016 data is year ending Q3 2016 34

And we are committed to taking care of employees Combined Incentive Pay 2012 2013 2014 2015 35

This combination creates significant value for our owners Average Annual Run Rate Estimates Revenue Synergies $175M Net Cost Synergies $50M Total Synergies $225M 36

These synergies are in line with recent deals in the sector $680M 6.5% $2.0B 6.3% Net Synergies $1.0B - $1.2B 3.9% $225M 3.1% Average: 4.4% of Annual Returns > $400M > $1.0B 2.8% 2.7% Source: SEC filings by other airlines Notes: Delta / Northwest announced merger with $1.1b in synergies and revised upward to $2.0b after closing. Average reflects actuals only 37

We expect synergies to ramp up quickly 90% 100% 65% 30% Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 38

Post merger our leverage is comparable to other airlines Debt-to-Cap 88% 59% ~ 61% 64% 66% 78% 38% 39% 43% LUV JBLU DAL ALGT ALK SAVE UAL HA AAL Source: OALs come from 9/30/16 company filings. ALK is a pro forma modeled on the combined carrier. 39

and in line with S&P 500 industrials Debt-to-Cap ~55% by end of 2017 ~ 61% Half of S&P 500 Industrials have leverage between 40-60% ~45% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100+% Post Close 2020 We are committed to re-de-leveraging the balance sheet 40

We have a track record of balanced cash flow allocation Cash Flow from Operations Pension Contributions Capex (Aircraft/Other) Cash Returned to Shareholders Debt Payments Net of Borrowing 2010 to 2015 cash generation and deployment. Capex includes both aircraft and other capex 41

And we have consistently returned capital since 2007 and grown the dividend since inception Shareholder returns since 2010 Increased dividend each year since inception $102 27.5 $68 $347 $505 ~$130 10.0 $45 $79 $28 $59 $159 ~$200 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2013 2016 Share Repurchase Dividend * Dividend spend subject to Board approval. + Share repurchase based on current expected case subject to change 42