NORTHERN ROCKIES REGIONAL AIRPORT Terminal Expansion ANALYSIS 31 st August 2012
INTRODUCTION The purpose of this report is to analysis the current schedule of operations and assumptions within the 2010 Airport Business plan to develop a potential future schedule of activity (based upon NRAA approved growth expectations). From that future schedule an anticipated peak number of passengers within a given hour (PPHP) can be determined. The PPHP is then the basis for sizing of the future terminal to a defined planning year; in this case 2028. The Planning Year 2028 has been chosen to align the terminal expansion with the recently completed NRAA Long Term Strategic Plan (InterVistas 2010). Critical Planning Assumptions for 2028 Planning Year: Larger charter aircraft and scheduled traffic flows through the terminal building 80% load factor for all charter and scheduled operations Growth based upon medium forecast (2008) 2.2%/annum growth rate LOS C to be used for terminal planning Domestic operations only Pre-board screening planned within program The IATA Level of Service (LOS) recommendations have been used as a way to define terminal area allocations. Level of service C or better when considering facility capacities has been assigned as a baseline for assessment. The LOS definitions are noted below for NRAA reference: IATA Level of Service A - An excellent level of service; conditions of free flow; no delays and excellent levels of comfort; impact on queuing systems must be considered. B - High level of service. Conditions of stable flow; very few delays and high levels of comfort; C - Good level of service. Conditions of stable flow; acceptable delays and good levels of comfort; D - Adequate level of service. Conditions of unstable flow; acceptable delays for short periods of time and adequate levels of comfort; E - Inadequate level of service. Conditions of unstable flow, unacceptable delays and inadequate levels of comfort. F - Unacceptable level of service. Conditions of cross-flows, system breakdowns and unacceptable delays; an unacceptable level of comfort. Note: Any revision to the assumptions above will have an impact on the size requirements for the terminal building. 1
BUSY HOUR analysis of one week in June 2012 All Traffic Assumptions: a. All flights are for passenger traffic b. 80% load factor applied for both arrivals and departures Arrivals: Tuesday, 11am Hour Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday 6 0 109 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 130 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 59 90 0 0 0 0 9 64 24 64 39 90 0 0 10 126 0 57 90 40 0 0 11 27 181 14 14 14 0 0 12 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 40 40 159 40 40 24 0 14 0 24 0 0 24 0 40 15 40 0 39 24 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 312 566 423 207 208 24 40 Arriving aircraft and seats in identified busy hour Departures: Tuesday, 10am Hour Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 109 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 30 0 15 0 0 0 10 64 183 64 39 90 0 0 11 154 0 130 90 40 0 0 12 0 40 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 126 17 14 14 24 0 14 54 54 174 40 40 0 40 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 40 24 24 24 24 0 0 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 Total 312 566 423 222 208 24 40 Departing aircraft and seats in identified busy hour Aircraft Seats Canadian North 737-200 112 Central Mountain Air Dornier Do.328 30 Jazz Air CRJ-200 50 DH8-100 37 Total 229 2
Passengers Passengers BUSY HOUR analysis of one week in June 2012 All Traffic Total Passengers* by Hour of Day - Commercial and Charter Tuesday - Total Passengers* by Hour - Commercial and Charter 400 400 350 350 300 300 250 200 250 200 Majority of the day operates 150 pax/hr combined 150 150 100 100 50 50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Hour of Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Hour of Day Tuesday *Assuming 80% load factor 3
BUSY HOUR analysis of one week in June 2012 Commercial Traffic Assumptions: a. All flights are for passenger traffic b. 80% load factor applied for both arrivals and departures Arrivals: Tuesday, 7am Hour Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday 6 0 109 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 130 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 59 90 0 0 0 0 9 24 24 24 24 90 0 0 10 0 0 17 90 0 0 0 11 27 14 14 14 14 0 0 12 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 40 40 40 40 40 24 0 14 0 24 0 0 24 0 40 15 40 0 24 24 0 0 0 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 146 400 209 192 168 24 40 Arriving aircraft and seats in identified busy hour Aircraft Seats Canadian North 737-300 112 Jazz Air CRJ-200 50 Total 162 Departures: Tuesday, 10am Hour Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 0 109 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 30 0 0 0 0 0 10 24 183 24 24 90 0 0 11 27 0 90 90 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0 17 14 14 24 0 14 54 54 54 40 40 0 40 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 40 24 24 24 24 0 0 Total 146 400 209 192 168 24 40 Departing aircraft and seats in identified busy hour Aircraft Seats Canadian North 737-300 112 Central Mountain Air Dornier Do.328 30 Jazz Air CRJ-200 50 DH8-100 37 Total 229 4
BUSY HOUR analysis of one week in June 2012 Charter Traffic Assumptions: a. All flights are for passenger traffic b. 80% load factor applied for both arrivals and departures Arrivals: Tuesday, 11am Hour Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday 9 40 0 40 15 0 10 126 0 40 0 40 11 0 166 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 0 0 13 0 0 119 0 0 14 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 0 15 0 0 Total 166 166 214 15 40 Departures: Monday, 11am and Tuesday, 13am Hour Monday Tuesday WednesdayThursday Friday 9 0 0 0 15 0 10 40 0 40 15 0 11 126 0 40 0 40 12 0 40 0 0 0 13 0 126 0 0 0 14 0 0 119 0 0 15 0 0 15 0 0 Total 166 166 214 30 40 Arriving aircraft and seats in identified busy hour Aircraft Seats Flair Air 737-400 158 North Cariboo DH8-300 50 Total 208 Departing aircraft and seats in identified busy hour Aircraft Seats Monday Ener Jet 737-700 149 Monday North Cariboo PC-12 9 Tuesday Flair Air 737-400 158 5
Passengers Passengers BUSY HOUR analysis of one week in June 2012 Arriving Traffic Arriving Passengers* by Hour of Day - Commercial and Charter Tuesday - Arriving Passengers* by Hour - Commercial and Charter 400 400 350 350 300 300 250 200 150 250 200 150 Majority of the day operates below 100 pax/hr for arrivals 100 100 50 50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Hour of Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Hour of Day Tuesday *Assuming 80% load factor 6
Passengers Passengers BUSY HOUR analysis of one week in June 2012 All Departing Departing Passengers* by Hour of Day - Commercial and Charter Tuesday Departing* Passengers by Hour - Commercial and Charter 400 400 350 350 300 300 250 250 200 150 200 150 Majority of the day operates below 100 pax/hr for departures 100 100 50 50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Hour of Day 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Hour of Day Tuesday *Assuming 80% load factor 7
BUSY HOUR analysis of one week in June 2012 Fleet Mix a. The fleet mix at the Northern Rockies Regional Airport is characterized by a variety of passenger aircraft types ranging from piston aircraft to narrowbody twin-engine aircraft. CRJ B737 Narrowbody twin-engined jet 110-160 seats CRJ Regional jet 50-75 seats DO-328 Dash8 / DO328 Twin Turboprop aircraft 30-72 seats b. The fleet mix during the existing busy hour identified is as follows: 1 x B737-200 Canadian North 112 seats 1 x CRJ-200 Air Canada Express 50 seats 1 x Dash8-100 Air Canada Express 37 seats 1 x Dornier 328 Central Mountain Air 30 seats B737-200 8
Annual Passenger Movements SCHEDULE 2012/2028 Forecast Traffic Growth Combined Aggregate Growth Rate (CAGR) a. Passenger movements CAGR 2008-2028: 9.1% b. Aircraft movements CAGR 2008-2028: 5.0% 200,000 180,000 195,000 pax/annum c. The lower CAGR on aircraft movements reflects the expected increased in the use of larger aircraft (including B737) at Fort Nelson airport. Actual Passengers/Annum (charter and scheduled passengers at the main terminal) 2009 43,500 2010 51,400 2011 59,678 (TBC) Forecast Passengers/Annum (charter and scheduled passengers at the main terminal) 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 2008 2013 2018 2023 2028 34,400 86,000 130,000 164,000 195,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 34,400 pax/annum - 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Year 9
Peak Hour Passengers SCHEDULE 2012/2028 Peak Hour a. Previous work conducted as part of the business case (2008) did not take account of the use of B737 size aircraft at the Fort Nelson Airport. b. Based on existing schedule (June 2012), the peak hour demand is driven by 1xB737-300, 1xDornier 328, 1xCRJ-200 and 1xDH8-100 departing between 10am and 11am. Total seats 229. 300 250 One-Way Peak Passengers (Business Case 2008) One-Way Peak Passengers (2012 Airbiz) 253 c. Airbiz forecast peak hour passenger are based on 80% load factor. 200 d. Existing peak hour passenger demand is grown using the absolute growth in passengers between 2013 and 2028 (70 additional PPHP) which dampens the effect of the strong existing peak of the busy hour. 150 140 e. In practice, the growth in PPHP will be more incremental, directly resulting from new services or up-gauging of existing services during the busy hour. 100 PEAK PASSENGER HOUR DEMAND (PPHP) 2008 2013 2018 2023 2028 50 One Way 183 213 233 253 Combined 366 426 466 506 0 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Year 10
TERMINAL PLAN 2012 Existing Functional Areas Arrivals Departures 1 - Baggage Offload 65 m2 4 - Car Rental 6 m2 2 - Baggage carousel 72 m2 6 - Baggage Makeup 26 m2 7 - Check-in 62 m2 General Allocation 8 - Departures Lounge 140 m2 3 - Circulation 89 m2 5 - Washroom 40 m2 TOTAL AREA 500 m2 (approximately) 4 1 2 3 5 Office Nav Canada Nav Canada 6 7 8 M/E Nav Canada Off Existing Terminal 11
TERMINAL PROGRAM 2028 Functional Requirements Ye a r Existing 2013 2018 2023 2028 Check-in Counters / Bag Drop 3 5 6 7 6 Kiosks 0 1 3 3 3 Security Units 0 2 2 2 3 Baggage Make-up belts 1 1 1 2 2 Dom Baggage claims 1 1 1 1 1 Ye a r 2013 2018 2023 2028 Check-In 62 320 320 370 370 m 2 Security 0 210 210 210 310 m 2 Domestic Holdroom 140 300 349 382 414 m 2 Baggage Make-up 91 435 435 783 783 m 2 Domestic Baggage claim & hall 72 226 249 264 280 m 2 Concessions 6 60 91 115 137 allowance Airline Offices 0 68 71 91 98 3% Govt/Other Offices 0 68 71 91 98 3% Public Toilets 40 68 71 91 98 3% Circulation 89 452 474 609 654 20% Mechanical and Electrical Systems 0 113 118 152 163 5% Functional Program 500 2,319 2,459 3,159 3,405 Terminal Size: The 2018 Terminal should be approximately 2,459m 2, based upon the planning assumptions with an IATA LOS C. Planning Assumptions Review: Check-In Economy passengers 100% How many passengers have bags 100% Bags/passenger 1 Self Serve Kiosks (40% use) Yes Web Check-in Usage No Transit Passengers 0% Holdroom Standing 20% Seated 80% Meeter/Greeter Ratio.1 Dwell Time/passenger 45 min Notes: Current terminal is +/- 500m 2 Car rental booths are within concession allowance Airport offices are remote from the terminal Airline and other offices are allocated within the office allowances CATSA office space is allocated within the Security area Kiosk usage and application is set lower than average. This is done so as to not undersize a conventional checkin hall Nav Canada functions are excluded from these calculations Concessions include allocations for food & beverage and retail tenants (mix of each to be confirmed in concept design) 12
TERMINAL PLAN 2028 Long Term Planning (current) 13
LONG TERM STRATEGIC PLANNING Apron - Recommendations Apron I Since the airport is currently handling 737-200 traffic on a weekly basis and increased traffic from this aircraft type is expected, it is highly recommended that the apron be expanded to aid in apron traffic and parking management. More specifically, it is recommended that Apron I be expanded to the south by approximately 40 meters and to the southeast by 385 meters, totalling an area of 15,400m2. In addition, the closed area of Apron II would also need to be rehabilitated so that Taxiway B can be moved south to accommodate additional aircraft parking on Apron II. This would provide a safe manoeuvring area on Apron I should all aircraft parking spots be utilized at one time. Terminal Reserve Planning Principle: The apron, location of aircraft and passenger movements direct the location and configuration of the terminal. 14
TERMINAL PLAN 2028 Terminal Area Terminal Reserve Primary Apron 15
TERMINAL PLAN 2028 Terminal Area Flow, Option 1 Passenger Drop-off Ground Loaded Passengers Passenger Pickup Terminal Reserve Additional Terminal Reserve Constraint: Transitional Zoning 16
TERMINAL PLAN 2028 Terminal Area Flow, Option 2 Passenger Pickup Ground Loaded Passengers Passenger Drop Off Terminal Reserve Additional Terminal Reserve Constraint: Transitional Zoning 17
TERMINAL PLAN 2028 Concept Option Development Based upon discussions the planning team will proceeded with concept development, using the planning information herein,. Three options were be developed for further discussions with the NRAA. The three adjoining sketches outline the three options: 1 Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Western Expansion Eastern Expansion Split Expansion NRAA provided a draft copy of their 2012 parking plan, which is to be taken into account when developing the terminal concepts. 2 3 Constraint: Transitional Zoning 18
TERMINAL PLAN 2028 Concept Option Development NEXT STEPS Architectural concepts will be developed for the preferred option: Option 1 Western Expansion Primary points of consideration for the preferred concept are: - Use of the current apron - Use of the existing roadway and parking - Alignment with draft parking plan - Terminal phasing planning - Ongoing use of the existing terminal - Consideration of transitional zoning constraints to the west 1 Constraint: Transitional Zoning 19