AFTA Travel Trends July 2017 AFTA Travel Trends Report 2017
Inbound and Outbound overview Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the balance of trade between Inbound and Outbound Travel for Year end of May 2017. It uses information provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Overseas Arrivals and Departures (OAD) data set.
Total Visitor and Australian departure and arrivals Year End May 2017 The ABS collects data on all travellers entering and leaving Australia through the Inbound and Outbound Passenger Card. This section displays the number of international tourists entering and Australians departing Australia as of May Year end 2016 and 2017. For travel and tourism to be sustainable it is imperative that the trade between each country is balanced and this snapshot tracks overall benefits to each country. The countries chosen are the major Australian source markets and desired destinations. May YE 2016 Total Number of international visitors to Australia Inbound May YE 2016 Total number of international trips by Australians Outbound May YE 2017 Total Number of international visitors to Australia Inbound May YE 2017 Total number of international trips by Australians Outbound New Zealand 1,316,200 1,288,100 1,355,600 1,352,800 China 1,132,200 437,200 1,256,300 471,100 UK 697,500 605,100 725,600 597,100 USA 648,600 1,029,800 750,200 1,069,600 Singapore 422,900 367,400 445,900 393,900 Japan 373,200 335,300 422,700 377,300 Malaysia 357,700 249,900 399,700 256,000 South Korea 251,500 64,500 293,400 256,000 India 236,600 298,900 274,300 329,500 Hong Kong 232,700 218,400 262,800 212,500 Indonesia 148,300 1,162,800 179,500 1,208,800 Thailand 83,400 546,800 93,700 530,000 Fiji 32,700 345,700 37,700 342,200 National Total 7,759,800 9,611,100 8,525,100 10,019,900 Source: May 2017 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals and Departures - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted
Inbound Report Introduction These snapshots provide an overview of the performance of the Australian inbound tourism sector. It uses information provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Overseas Arrivals and Departures (OAD) data set. Performance indicators are provided for each market and month. A neutral rating is provided for markets which have a year on year variation of (+/-) 2%.
Where are our participants? Total inbound tourists to Australia May 2017 This section displays the number of international tourists travelling to Australia each month as of May Year end 2016 and 2017. Key Highlights April over takes May as the highest visitation month for the year. Average growth for May for the last three years is 7.6% p.a. Month 2016 2016 Year end change 2017 2017 Year end change 2017 Performance June 616,200 8.7% 692,400 12.4% Positive July 608,200 6.1% 691,600 13.7% Positive August 622,200 7.4% 691,600 11.2% Positive September 635,200 10.2% 709,200 11.6% Positive October 630,900 6.4% 707,800 12.2% Positive November 647,200 10.8% 701,700 8.4% Positive December 660,800 11.2% 706,300 6.9% Positive January 658,400 12.0% 713,600 8.4% Positive February 647,200 6.4% 715,800 10.6% Positive March 673,100 8.5% 712,400 5.8% Positive April 679,700 12.1% 748,400 10.1% Positive May 680,700 11.9% 734,300 7.9% Positive Total 7,759,800 9.3% 8,525,100 9.9% Positive 750,000 700,000 650,000 600,000 550,000 500,000 of tourists 2016 of tourists 2017 5 year average Source: May 2017 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted
Where are our participants? Year end changes to top Australian source markets May 2017 This section displays the performance of the top Australian source markets for international travellers as of May Year end 2016 and 2017. Destination 2016 2016 Year end change 2017 2017 Year end change 2017 Performance New Zealand 1,316,200 4.1% 1,355,600 3.0% Positive China 1,132,200 22.6% 1,256,300 11.0% Positive UK 697,500 4.4% 725,600 4.0% Positive USA 648,600 14.2% 750,200 15.7% Positive Singapore 422,900 12.7% 445,900 5.4% Positive Japan 373,200 13.9% 422,700 13.3% Positive Malaysia 357,700 7.7% 399,700 11.7% Positive South Korea 251,500 17.2% 293,400 16.7% Positive India 236,600 7.9% 274,300 15.9% Positive Hong Kong 232,700 13.7% 262,800 12.9% Positive National Total 7,759,800 9.3% 8,525,100 9.9% Positive 1,400,000 Key Highlights Growth from China is up 16.8% p.a for the last two years. Major source markets up an average of 11% for the year. 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 New Zealand China UK USA Singapore Japan Malaysia South Korea India Hong Kong YE 16 Coutnry YE 17 Country 5 year average Source: May 2017 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted
Where are our participants? Monthly changes to top Australian source markets May 2017 This section displays the performance of the top Australian source markets for international tourists comparing the month of May 2016 to May 2017. Destination 2016 2016 Year end change 2017 2017 Year end change 2017 Performance New Zealand 111,200 1.4% 111,900 0.6% Neutral China 100,000 16.7% 109,100 9.1% Positive UK 59,000 4.4% 59,700 1.2% Neutral USA 58,600 20.3% 66,100 12.8% Positive Singapore 38,400 25.9% 40,300 4.9% Positive Japan 33,600 20.0% 35,300 5.1% Positive Malaysia 32,400 17.8% 34,400 6.2% Positive South Korea 22,600 19.6% 24,600 8.8% Positive India 21,400 16.3% 24,500 14.5% Positive Hong Kong 19,600 8.9% 24,400 24.5% Positive National Total 680,700 11.9% 734,300 7.9% Positive Key Highlights NZ experiences two consecutive years of neutral growth. 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 USA is up an average of 16.6% for the last two years. 40,000 20,000 0 New Zealand China UK USA Singapore Japan Malaysia South Korea India Hong Kong May-16 May-17 5 year average Source: May 2017 Short-term Movement, Visitor Arrivals - Selected Countries of Residence: Seasonally adjusted
Outbound Report Introduction This snapshot provides an overview of the performance of the Australian outbound travel sector. It uses information provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Overseas Arrivals and Departures (OAD) data set. Performance indicators are provided for each market. A neutral rating is provided for markets which have a year on year variation of (+/-) 2%.
Total outbound Australian travellers May 2017 This section displays the number of Australians travelling outbound each month as of May Year end 2016 and 2017. Month 2016 2016 Year end change 2017 2017 Year end change 2017 Performance Jun-2016 785,200 2.9% 841,800 7.2% Positive Jul-2016 784,500 3.6% 831,800 6.0% Positive Aug-2016 788,700 3.1% 828,200 5.0% Positive Sep-2016 784,000 3.7% 825,700 5.3% Positive Oct-2016 808,600 6.7% 840,800 4.0% Positive Nov-2016 788,900 3.7% 811,100 2.8% Positive Dec-2016 809,500 4.5% 828,800 2.4% Positive Jan-2017 821,400 5.8% 849,700 3.4% Positive Feb-2017 796,800 2.4% 833,600 4.6% Positive Mar-2017 840,600 5.5% 809,600-3.7% Negative Apr-2017 797,100 2.1% 851,700 6.8% Positive May-2017 805,800 4.2% 867,100 7.6% Positive Total 9,611,100 4.0% 10,019,900 4.3% Positive Key Highlights For the last quarter, monthly performance has been inconsistent with the 5 year average, however the market has still grown by 3.6%. May 2017 up 3.4% on the 2016 performance. 880,000 860,000 840,000 820,000 800,000 780,000 760,000 740,000 720,000 700,000 2016 2017 5 year average Source: May 2017 Short-term Movement, Resident Departures - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted
Year end changes to popular international destinations travelled to by Australian s May 2017 This section displays the performance of the top destinations Australian s are travelling to as of May Year end 2016 and 2017. Destination 2016 2016 Year end change 2017 2017 Year end change 2017 Performance New Zealand 1,288,100 4.9% 1,352,800 5.0% Positive Indonesia 1,162,800 3.8% 1,208,800 4.0% Positive USA 1,029,800 5.2% 1,069,600 3.9% Positive UK 605,100 9.5% 597,100-1.3% Neutral Thailand 546,800-1.3% 530,000-3.1% Negative China 437,200 7.4% 471,100 7.8% Positive Singapore 367,400 0.9% 393,900 7.2% Positive Japan 335,300 26.5% 377,300 12.5% Positive Fiji 345,700 2.9% 342,200-1.0% Neutral India 298,900 7.4% 329,500 10.2% Positive National Total 9,611,100 4.0% 10,019,900 4.3% Positive 1,600,000 Key Highlights Thailand continues to decline following a neutral 2016 and is down to 2011 movement volumes. 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 China outbound is performing strongly with 15.2% growth over the two years. 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 New Zealand Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India YE 16 Country YE 17 Country 5 year average Source: May 2017 Short-term Movement, Resident Departures - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted
Monthly changes to popular international destinations travelled to by Australian s May 2017 This section displays the performance of the top destinations Australian s are travelling to comparing February 2016 to May 2017 Destination 2016 2016 Year end change 2017 2017 Year end change 2017 Performance New Zealand 105,300 1.5% 118,900 12.9% Positive Indonesia 107,400 17.2% 99,200-7.6% Negative USA 84,100 2.1% 92,300 9.8% Positive UK 47,700 5.1% 51,800 8.6% Positive Thailand 45,100 0.2% 47,700 5.8% Positive China 34,700-6.0% 46,700 34.6% Positive Singapore 30,200 0.3% 32,400 7.3% Positive Japan 30,800 27.8% 33,000 7.1% Positive Fiji 27,800-3.1% 28,800 3.6% Positive India 25,100-1.6% 29,900 19.1% Positive National Total 805,800 4.2% 867,100 7.6% Positive 140,000 Key Highlights Indonesia retreats from a record growth month in 2016 but still grew on 2015 numbers by 9.6%. China achieves record growth of 34.6% for the month. 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 New Zealand Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India 16 Country 17 Country 5 year average Source: May 2017 Short-term Movement, Resident Departures - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted
Reasons to travel to popular international destinations by Australian s May 2017 This section displays the performance of the popular destinations visited by Australian s by reason of travel in May 2017. 100.0% Holiday Visiting friends/relatives Business Other Reasons for Journey New Zealand 37.0% 34.0% 21.1% 7.9% Indonesia 85.3% 6.8% 4.3% 3.6% USA 64.4% 14.3% 10.9% 10.4% UK 53.2% 30.6% 10.5% 5.8% Thailand 76.4% 10.9% 5.9% 6.7% China 43.0% 30.6% 19.3% 7.1% Singapore 49.1% 17.0% 23.4% 10.6% Japan 71.9% 12.3% 10.8% 5.0% Fiji 75.4% 12.0% 4.9% 7.7% India 29.1% 53.2% 10.7% 7.1% National Total 59.6% 21.7% 11.1% 7.6% 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% New Zealand Indonesia USA UK Thailand China Singapore Japan Fiji India Holiday Visiting friends/relatives Business Other Reasons for Journey Source: May 2017 Short-term Movement, Resident Departures - Selected Destinations: Seasonally adjusted
Airlines Introduction This snapshot provides the market share of each airline for international travel. Information is sourced directly from the Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development. Department Summary: Fifty-eight international airlines operated scheduled services to/from Australia during April 2017 (includes five dedicated freight airlines but excludes airlines operating only via code share arrangements). Source: International Airline Activity Monthly Publications, April 2017
Monthly Share of passengers carried Apr-16 Apr-17 Airline activity - Month End April 2017 This snapshot displays the market share of each airline for international travel for the month of April 2017. Qantas Airways 16.2% 16.5% Jetstar 10.0% 8.9% Emirates 9.1% 8.3% Singapore Airlines 8.1% 7.9% Air New Zealand 7.1% 6.7% Virgin Australia 6.0% 5.8% Cathay Pacific Airways 5.2% 5.0% AirAsia X 3.5% 4.3% Etihad Airways 2.8% 3.2% Thai Airways International 2.5% 2.8% Etihad Airways, 3.2% Thai Airways International, 2.8% This information from the Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development presents statistical information on the scheduled operations of international airlines operating into/out of Australia. Air New Zealand, 6.7% AirAsia X, 4.3% Cathay Pacific Airways, 5.0% Virgin Australia, 5.8% Qantas Airways, 16.5% Jetstar, 8.9% Singapore Airlines, 7.9% Emirates, 8.3% Source: International Airline Activity Monthly Publications, April 2016 and April 2017
Year End share of passengers carried March -16 Year End share of passengers carried April - 17 Airline activity Year End April 2017 This snapshot displays the market share of each airline for international travel of Year end April 2017. Qantas Airways 15.9% Qantas Airways 15.8% Jetstar 9.4% Jetstar 9.3% Emirates 9.3% Emirates 8.6% Singapore Airlines 8.5% Singapore Airlines 8.1% Virgin Australia 7.1% Air New Zealand 6.6% Air New Zealand 7.1% Virgin Australia 6.0% Cathay Pacific Airways 5.2% Cathay Pacific Airways 4.7% AirAsia X 3.3% AirAsia X 4.1% Etihad Airways 3.0% Etihad Airways 3.2% Malaysia Airlines 2.8% China Southern Airlines 2.9% Others 28.3% Others 30.7% Qantas Airways, 15.8% This information from the Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development presents statistical information on the scheduled operations of international airlines operating into/out of Australia. China Southern Airlines, 2.9% Others, 30.7% Jetstar, 9.3% Emirates, 8.6% Etihad Airways, 3.2% AirAsia X, 4.1% Cathay Pacific Airways, 4.7% Virgin Australia, 6.0% Air New Zealand, 6.6% Singapore Airlines, 8.1% Source: International Airline Activity Monthly Publications, April 2016 and April 2017
For further information please contact: Dean Long AFTA s National Manager Strategy and Policy E: Dean.Long@afta.com.au Ph: 02 9287 9900 AFTA Travel Trends Report 2017