Second Quarter 2004 Teleconference

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Transcription:

Second quarter marginally positive despite to strong yield pressure and record high jet fuel prices MSEK, April-June 2004 Change Revenues 15 143 15 300-157 EBITDAR 1 493 1 608-115 Lease, depreciation & financial net -1 589-1 692-103 Second Quarter 2004 Teleconference August 11, 2004 EBT bef. cap gains *) 9-13 +22 *) Ex restructuring costs of MSEK 75 (44) Group Scandinavian Airlines Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines Airline Support Business Airline Related Business Hotels 2 Unprecedented yield fall and record high jet fuel prices offset by significant cost reductions 1st Half 2004 Traffic revenues down MSEK 1 900 due to yield pressure Currency and volume adjusted fuel costs up approx 500 MSEK Exceptionally strong pressure on yields but volumes up Yields down (currency adjusted) 16% Scandinavian Airlines Group traffic up 11% Negative impact offset by large unit cost reduction Turnaround 2005 ahead of plan Unit cost (currency adjusted) for SK down 14% first half 23% accumulated vs 2002. Large reduction in European perspective. First half earnings before taxes and exceptionals improved with MSEK 300 vs. last year Other important events 2 nd Quarter and summer period SAS Braathens successfully launched on the Norwegian market Scandinavian Airlines transported a record number of intercontinental passengers Process to incorporate Business units initiated Implemented Oct 1 2004 Scandinavian Airlines has signed more than 300 new corporate agreements with small and medium size companies Blue 1 introduces Finnish domestic routes The Norwegian Competition Authority examines price structures on the Norwegian market 3 4

Why our statement that a positive result is difficult to achieve in 2004? The year started with weak demand Significant increased capacity in Scandinavia from a number of new start up airlines New players 5 => overcapacity and low cabin factors => very low average prices Record high oil prices Strong 2 nd Quarter result not achievable As from June price increases to offset Jet Fuel as well as improved yield management initiated by the largest operator: SAS Group Yield development improved in June uncertainties due to overcapacity situation a non sustainable situation Very promising start for SAS Braathens in Norway to continue to build on Braathens strong profitability Operative in May 2004 Boeing 737 fleet only New web site 2 nd most popular in Norway New price concepts one way pricing Appr. 50 aircraft and 35 destinations - 440 daily departures Stable market share domestic appr. 85% Braathens today one of few European Airlines delivering shareholder returns 6 Braathens April-June 2004 Total revenues 1 685 1 736 EBITDAR 389 274 EBIT 204 83 EBT 200 73 Updated market segmentation and analysis of customer priorities Business- and Economy Class are 25 year old concepts in the airline industry Current concepts does not fully match the rational needs and emotional preferences of customers The competitive environment and products have changed in the European airline industry Three segments have been identified for the new commercial strategies Price Customers looking for air transportation at low prices Productivity Customers who value hassle-free traveling and time-saving features Comfort Estimated share of passengers 7 Customers who also value additional comfort such as lounge access and better inflight service 40-45% 30-40% 20-30% Gunilla Berg CFO

Cost savings more than offset yield decline and increased jet fuel costs EBT before gains and exceptionals - Business area January June ChangeMSEK 2004 vs. 2,7 3,0 2,0 1,0 0,0-1,0-0,5-2,0-3,2 1,3 0,3 Q2 April-June April-Jun Q2 January-June Business area 2004 Change 2004 Scandinavian Airlines -223-68 -1 331 Subsidiary & Aff. Airlines 239 19-48 Airline Support Businesses 130 137 138 Airline Related Businesses 10-30 22 Hotels 7 48-93 Group eliminations, other -154-84 -310 EBT, before gains & exceptionals 9 22-1 622-3,0-4,0 Yield Turnaround 2005 Fuel Other including volume EBT before exceptionals 9 10 Reduced yield pressure for June and indications for July positive Total yield change vs last year 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% Jan Mar May jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May 11 2004 12 Yield enhancements under implementation Commercial Turnaround Focus on added value for the customer More info August 23 Price adjustments in Sweden and Denmark In Denmark fare adjusted with DKK 50-200/leg In Norway fare adjusted with NOK 40-90 as from August 17 th In Swedish fare adjusted with SEK 50-75/leg Active yield management Reduced number of low fare tickets during peaks System improvements Jet fuel surcharge will be neutralized by higher fuel costs SAS Corporate agreements focus on small and medium sized customers. More than 300 new contracts signed in 2004 Group Mainline Airline Operations Subsidiary & Affiliated Airlines Airline Support Business Airline Related Business Hotels

Unit cost continues to improve significantly - down 23% since 2002 SAS Group Turnaround 2005 ahead of plan Index last year, EBITDAR level (currency adjusted) Scandinavian Airlines 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% 1st Q 2nd Q 3rd Q 4th Q 1st Q 2004 2nd Q 2004 9th Quarter in a row with improved unit cost Unit cost in Q2 down by 12% Adjusted for jet fuel price increases unit cost down by 15% Accumulated unit cost down 23% since 2Q 2002 One of largest reductions among European Airlines Total financial effect of implemented activities compared to plan MSEK 14 000 14 000 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 4800 4200 66% 9200 9800 70% Plan Status Jun 2004 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Reduction of personnel 6 000 6 000 2400 2450 60% 59% 3600 3550 1400 1450 Plan Status Jun 2004 To be implemented Implemented 13 14 Spanair on track Jørgen Lindegaard CEO Hit by 23% increased jet fuel costs in Q2 Most punctual in Europe in February One way prices on whole system New Business Class setup well received Traffic up 19,9% Yields down 12% Unit cost down 13% in 1 st Half Jet fuel costs up MSEK 107 in Q2 Positive expectations for 2004 16 April-June 2004 Total revenues 2 057 1 997 EBITDAR 347 382 EBIT 84 101 EBT 71 86

Hotels back in black numbers 2nd Quarter mostly driven by the new hotel brands Sum up 1 st half 2004 Recovery in the marketplace and effects from Turnaround 2005 Number of rooms sold increased Price pressure reduced REVPAR increased 3% Revenues up 17% driven by new units Unit cost sharp down April-June January-June MSEK 2004 2004 Revenues 1 121 903 2 039 1 745 Operating expensives -1 084-904 -2 059-1 821 EBITDA 37-1 -20-76 Adjusted EBITDA 45 4-5 -72 EBIT 6-28 -82-135 EBT 7-39 -93-154 Market share position unchanged Number of hotels in operation increased 11% (from 162 to 180) New hotels have significantly contributed to improved result 7 new Radisson SAS hotels and 15 Park Inn, and 1 Regent hotels opened in the first half 2004 Very difficult trading conditions 1 st Half high fuel prices and yield pressure Turnaround 2005 according to plan Unit cost reductions so far up to 23% for Scandinavian - large reduction in European perspective Yield improvements expected in second half Still uncertainties due to overcapacity situation Strong performance by several business units New Commercial strategies to repossess initiative Snowflake expanded to most of network To be presented in details August 23 17 18