EADS: New Stage of Maturity. Nathalie Errard VP Investor Relations

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Transcription:

EADS: New Stage of Maturity Nathalie Errard VP Investor Relations Lagardere Investor Day, June 1 st, 2006 1

Content Integration and Rise to Leadership 2005 Group Financials New Challenges, New Growth 2

A Simple Story: Synergies, Scale, Control EADS 2005 Divisional Highlights Airbus Military Transport Aircraft Eurocopter Space (Astrium 100% since Jan. 2003) Defence and Security Systems** Order book 201.9 bn 20.9 bn 9.9 bn 10.9 bn 18.5 bn Revenues 22.2 bn 0.8 bn 3.2 bn 2.7 bn 5.6 bn EBIT* 2,307 m 48 m 212 m 58 m 201 m Civil Defence in % of external revenues A400M, 88% CN235, C295... 47% 53% 30% 70% 94% Astrium, Launch Vehicles, CASA Espacio, Space Services, CILAS, Sodern Military Air Systems (Eurofighter,...), Missiles (MBDA,..), Defence Elect., EADS Telecom, EADS Services * pre goodwill and exceptionals 3

Group EBIT*: Growth Through the Downturn EADS Group EBIT* in millions + 104 % 2,852 2,432 Airbus 1,399 1,412 1,694 1,426 1,655 1,361 1,543 1,353 1,919 2,307 Headquarters 123 67 230 222 (222) (268) 418 455 290 (400) 9 58 MTA, Eurocopter, Defence&Security Systems & others Pro-forma 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Space Note: Astrium 100% consolidated since 2003; Airbus 100% consolidated since 2001 Restatement of 2004 figures, following IFRS2 implementation (stock options expenses included. * pre goodwill and exceptionals 4

Delivering Consistently 2005 EADS promised Book-to-bill over one EBIT* of 2.75 bn Revenues ~ 33 bn FCF pre-customer fin. >0 EPS 1.65.and achieved 2.7 2.85 bn 34.2 bn 2.2 bn 2.11 (comparable basis: 1.75 ) 2004 Book-to-bill over one EBIT* of 2.2 bn Revenues ~ 32 bn (@ =1.30$**) FCF pre-customer financing >0 1.4 2.4 bn 31.8 bn(@ =1.24$**) 1.8 bn 2003 Book-to-bill over one EBIT* ~stable from 2002 Revenues ~stable from 2002 FCF pre-customer financing >0 >2.0 + 8 % 30.1 bn 2.1 bn 2002 Book-to-bill over one EBIT* of 1.4 bn Revenues stable Net cash position slightly positive 1.04 1.4 bn 29.9 bn very positive * pre goodwill and exceptionals ** yearly average market rate 2001 Book-to-bill over one EBIT* +15% from 2000 Revenues +20% from 2000 Free Cash Flow ~0 2.0 + 21% + 27% 0.9 bn 5

5 Years of Remarkable Performance Evolution as of May 5th, 2006 BAES and Boeing in euros (adjusted at daily spots) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 190 170 174 Base 100 : July 10, 2000 150 130 110 90 70 154 90 82 79 68 50 30 10 J AS ONDJ FMAMJ J AS ONDJ FMAMJ J AS ONDJ FMAMJ J AS OND J FMAMJ J A S ONDJ FMAMJ J AS OON DJ FMA Finmeccanica THALES eur BAES eur CAC 40 BOEING eur EADS eur 6

Continued Dividend Growth Gross Dividend Per Share, in 0.65* 0.50 0.50 0.30 0.40 0.50 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005* * Board proposal to be submitted to the AGM on May 4th, 2006 and to be paid in June 2006 7

Content Integration and Rise to Leadership 2005 Group Financials New Challenges, New Growth 8

2005 Financial Highlights in bn FY 2005 FY 2004 change Revenues of which Defence EBIT* 34.2 7.7 2.85 31.8 7.7 2.43 +8% 0 % +17 % EBITDA 4.4 3.8 +14% self-financed R&D** 2.1 2.1-2% in bn Dec. 2005 Dec. 2004 change New orders 92.6 44.1 +110% Total Order book 253.2 184.3 +37 % of which Defence 52.4 49.1 +7 % * pre goodwill impairment and exceptionals ** IAS 38: 293m capitalised during FY2005; 169m during FY 2004 9

2005 Financial Highlights FY 2005 m in % of Revenues EBIT* 2,852 8.3% FY 2004 m in % of Revenues 2,432 7.7% Interest result Other financial result Taxes (155) (22) (825) (0.5%) (0.1%) (2.4%) (275) (0.9%) (55) (0.2%) (664) (2.1%) Net income** 1,676 4.9% EPS (1)** 2.11 1,203 3.8% 1.50 in bn Dec. 2005 Dec. 2004 change Net Cash position 5.5 4.0 +39 % (1) Average number of shares outstanding: 794,734,220 in FY 2005 and 801,035,035 in FY2004 * pre goodwill impairment and exceptionals ** Accounting change based on revised IAS 32, previously FY2004 figures amounted to Net income = 1,030 m and EPS = 1.29 comparable figures of FY2005: Net income = 1,387 m and EPS = 1.75 10

Development of Net Cash in m FY 2005 Net cash position at the beginning of the period 3,961 Gross Cash Flow from Operations* 3,868 Change in working capital 1,239 Cash used for investing activities** (2,694) of which Industrial Capex (additions) (2,818) of which Customer Financing 174 of which Others (50) Free Cash Flow** 2,413 Free Cash Flow before customer financing 2,239 FY 2004 3,008*** 2,858 2,155 (3,399) (3,017) (188) (194) 1,614 1,802 Capital increase 187 43 Share buyback (288) (81) Dividend paid (396) (320) Non-recourse customer financing (121) (369) Payments for liabilities of puttable instruments (93) (64) Others (174) 130 Net cash position at the end of the period 5,489 * gross cash flow from operations, excl. working capital change ** excl. change in securities, consolidation changes *** Adjusted by ( 97m) for IFRIC 4 3,961 11

2006 Guidance Airbus deliveries in 2006: over 10% increase vs. 2005 EADS EBIT* 2006 target between 3.2bn and 3.4bn EPS** between 2.35 and 2.55 per share Revenues above 37bn FCF pre-customer financing still robust Revenues in bn EBIT* in bn EPS** in 30.1 31.8 34.2 >37 2.85 2.4 1.5 3.2-3.4 2.11 1.5 2.35 2.55 0.26 2003 2004 2005 Target 2006 2003 2004 2005 Target 2006 2003 2004 2005 Target 2006 * pre goodwill impairment and exceptionals ** 2006 target based on /$ closing spot rate similar to 2005 one. 12

Content Integration and Rise to Leadership 2005 Group Financials New Challenges, New Growth 13

Unprecedented Discount to Industry 25.00 20.00 15.00 22.9 16.2 10.00 5.00 13.1 11.1 10.6 8.8 0.00 Boeing BAE Systems EADS EV / EBITA 2007 EV / EBITA 2006 Source UBS, 17 May 2006 14

Perceived Strengths & Weaknesses Strengths Weaknesses GROUP: Cash-flow generation Delivery on financial targets Transparency and reliability AIRBUS: Strong financial performance Strong orderbook Strong product family (incl. A380) Cost saving programme EC / DS / MTAD / SP / Others: Eurocopter commercial positioning Strong defence / space platforms Effective turn-around of Space Huge orderbook EXTERNAL & GROUP: US$ Exposure Event risks (pandemic, terror, war) Sub-performing businesses AIRBUS: Weakness in Long Range segment Pricing pressure? Exposure to cycle / downturn risk High R&D / Capex level EC / DS / MTAD / SP / Others: Insufficient profitability Complex development programmes under Firm Fixed Prices General: Execution issues / delays 15

The Airbus product line: A Key Asset... Evolving A380 Seats 500 Total firm sales : 5 736 A340-600 400 350 A300-600R 300 250 200 A340-500 A350-900 A330-300 A340-300 A310-300 A321 A350-800 A330-200 A320 150 A319 A318 100 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 Range (nm) 16

Vulnerability to US$ Weakness: Natural Hedging & Money Market Hedging $ Revenues Market hedging @ hedged rate IAS 39 Compliant Net exposure hedged systematically Natural hedging @ /$ market rate For Reporting For Guidance & Profits, R&D, SG&A, Taxes $ Costs, Engines Revenues No conversion necessary Costs 17

Hedge Policy Approx. half of EADS US$ revenues naturally hedged by US$ procurement. In Q1 matured hedges of $ 3.5 bn at an average hedge rate of 1 = 1.09$. US$ bn 20 15 10 5 0 10.2 15.6 EADS hedge portfolio, 31st March 2006 ($ 51.9 bn), average rate 1 = 1.14 $ and 1 = 1.59 $ 13.3 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 9 months vs $ 1.12 1.14 1.14 1.16 1.21 1.22 vs $ 1.56 1.57 1.56 1.61 1.67 1.67 7.7 4.2 0.9 Mark-to-market value = 3.7 bn (excluding swap instruments) 18

Growth Drivers at Airbus Plateau beyond 2008 India subject to China economy & Middle East political stability US legacy carriers Global Industrial Development A380 ramp-up Progressive EBIT & cash contribution reflect learning curve A350 development : new segment in LR a/c Ongoing cost initiatives Route06 Leverage mindset & organization Hunt new cost saving pools Growth & savings counteract currency, afford product & market investments 19

Growth Outside of Airbus 1000 800 600 400 EADS EBIT* ex-airbus ( M) ~1bn Margin growth driven by: 25% top line growth 2005-2008 Planned export orders Optimized cost structure Proactive portfolio management 200 0-200 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Over and above plan Major US campaigns UK - Saudi Eurofighter and further exports A400M export opportunities Moving product developments ahead, transitioning to production, diversifying into services 20