Analyst Presentation. 9 th June 2006

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Transcription:

Analyst Presentation 9 th June 2006 1

Existing Principal Shareholding Structure CITIC Pacific 46.30% 25.40% 10.00% 68.36% CNAC(HK) 43.29% 7.71% 17.79% 28.50% Dragonair Source: Announcement on 9 th June 2006 2

Proposed Transaction Steps (1) 1 Cathay Pacific acquires all the Dragonair shares that it does not already own in consideration for the issue of 548 million new Cathay Pacific shares at HK$13.50 each and HK$822 million cash Values 100% of equity of Dragonair at HK$10 billion Description of Transaction (a) 2 acquires 399 million Cathay Pacific shares from Swire Pacific and CITIC Pacific at HK$13.50 each to hold 10.16% of Cathay Pacific (17.5% including its subsidiary CNAC Limited) 3 Cathay Pacific increases its stake in to 20% by subscribing for 1,179 million new H shares at HK$3.45 cash per share CNAHC (45.5%) Cathay Pacific (20.0%) CNAC Group (13.0%) Public (21.5%) (a) Subject to regulatory and shareholders approvals 3

Proposed Transaction Steps (2) Description of Transaction Cont d (a) 4 Swire Pacific and CITIC Pacific sell Cathay Pacific shares in the open market to achieve final shareholding structure for Cathay Pacific of: Swire Pacific (40.0%) (b) (17.5%) CITIC Pacific (17.5%) Public (25.0%) Following the Transaction (a) Operating Agreement between and Cathay Pacific implemented Cathay Pacific distributes a HK$0.32 per share special dividend (HK$1,258 million) (a) Subject to regulatory and shareholders approvals (b) Including Cathay Pacific shareholding held by subsidiary, CNAC Limited 4

Post Transaction Principal Shareholding Structure CITIC Pacific 40.00% 17.50% 10.16% 20.00% Cathay Pacific 68.36% CNAC(HK) 7.34% 100.00% Dragonair Source: Announcement on 9 th June 2006 5

Operating Agreement between and Cathay Pacific Sales and Marketing Reciprocal sales representation for passenger services in Greater China will be responsible for passenger sales for Cathay Pacific in Mainland China Cathay Pacific will be responsible for passenger sales for in Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan Code Share and Joint Ventures Code share arrangements for all passenger services between Hong Kong and Mainland China; and Joint venture, on a profit share basis, between HKG / Beijing, HKG / Dalian, HKG / Chengdu, HKG / Hangzhou, HKG / Chongqing 6

Operating Agreement between and Cathay Pacific (Cont d) Business Cooperation Align and co-ordinate the passenger networks Promotion of traffic on each others networks and through the Beijing and Hong Kong hubs Explore opportunities for joint purchasing and the use of each other s services; product development support; and co-operation in the areas of engineering, ground handling, catering, cargo services, information technology, purchasing, safety and security New Cargo Joint Venture and Cathay Pacific intend to establish an air cargo joint venture based in Shanghai Dragonair will remain as a principal airline (including its brand and identity) within the Cathay Pacific Group 7

Benefits for customers More destinations, greater travel choice Enhanced convenience for travel between Mainland China and the rest of the world Shorter connection time and enhanced connectivity More flight frequency Flexibility: one ticket, unrestricted travel on three airlines 8

Benefits for the China aviation industry Greater international traffic flows through Beijing and Hong Kong hubs Enhancement of Beijing and Hong Kong as major Asian aviation hubs Hong Kong and Mainland China will benefit from an aviation industry better able to compete in a global marketplace The multiplier effect: more business opportunities for tourism, retail, ground handling and the hospitality industries Stronger and more coordinated marketing efforts for tourism in and out of Hong Kong and Mainland China 9

Transaction Rationale: all three airlines and their shareholders benefit Greater network reach and connectivity Integration of Cathay Pacific and Dragonair networks and increased co-operation between and Cathay Pacific Promotes Beijing and Hong Kong Airports as major Asian hubs and gateways into China Increased traffic flows, transit customers and network utilisation Improved service quality through transfer of knowledge and know-how between the airlines Revenue and costs synergies through increased connectivity and thus load factors, network alignment and adoption of best practices Further business opportunities between and Cathay Pacific from cargo JV, Operating Agreement 10

Complementary Passenger Networks Stockholm Copenhagen Helsinki Moscow Ulaanbaatar Anchorage London LHR Paris Amsterdam Frankfurt Rome Vienna Beijing Urumqi DalianSeoul Sapporo Chengdu Tianjin Osaka New Delhi Tokyo Fukuoka Nagoya Kuwait Bahrain Karachi Chongqing Shanghai Riyadh Mumbai Hong Kong Dhaka Taipei Dubai Kuming Taipei Hanoi Guangzhou Xiamen Bangkok Manila Vancouver San Francisco Los Angeles Toronto New York JFK Ho Chi Minh City Cebu Colombo Penang Kota Kinabalu Kuala Lumpur Singapore Jakarta Surabaya Denpasar Cairns Johannesburg Brisbane Perth Adelaide Sydney Auckland Melbourne Dragonair Cathay Pacific Cathay Pacific Code-share Code-share 11

Comparison of CX and KA Operational Data Year 2005 Cathay Pacific Dragonair Cathay Pacific + Dragonair Fleet (Number of Aircraft) 102 # 34 136 176 Passenger 82 28 110 170 Freighter 20 # 6 26 6 Routes 92 36 118* 316 Revenue passengers carried (mn) 15 5 20 28 Staff 15,806 2,976 18,782 18,447 RPK (mn) 65,110 6,485 71,595 52,405 ASK (mn) 82,766 10,065 92,831 70,662 ATK (mn) 18,103 # 3,028 21,131 11,422 * Includes 10 overlapping Cathay Pacific and Dragonair routes # Includes Air Hong Kong Source: Corporate websites and annual reports 12

Creating one of the Strongest Airline Groupings In The World ATK Billion 40 30 20 10 26 23 23 33 11 21 + 16 11 - Lufthansa Singapore Airlines British Airways Cathay Pacific + Dragonair Emirates RPK Billion 140 120 100 80 60 40-20 111 108 British Airways 89 81 Lufthansa Qantas Singapore Airlines 124 52 72 Cathay Pacific + Dragonair + 62 Emirates 52 Source: Corporate websites and annual reports Notes: 1) Cathay Pacific s ATK figure includes Air Hong Kong 2) Singapore Airlines ATK figure includes SIA Cargo 3) All airlines (except Emirates) RPK and ATK figures correspond to the 12 months period ended 31 December 2005 4) Emirates figures are extracted from its annual report for financial year ended 30 March 2006 13

Transaction outcome Creating one of the strongest airline groupings in the world Enhancing the position and boosting the development of the Beijing and Hong Kong hubs Great for Mainland China Great for Hong Kong 14

Operating data comparison Cathay Pacific + Dragonair Singapore Airlines Qantas Emirates British Airways Lufthansa Group Fleet (Number of Aircraft) 136 176 103 200 85 290 432 Routes 118* 316 60 145 83 206 373 Revenue passengers carried (m 20 28 17 33 14 36 51 Staff 18,782 18,447 14,391 35,520 17,296 49,490 92,303 RPK (mn) 71,595 52,405 80,988 88,873 62,260 111,141 108,185 ASK (mn) 92,831 70,662 108,606 115,675 82,009 146,954 144,182 ATK (mn) 21,131 11,422 22,887 n.a. 15,803 22,982 26,486 * Includes 10 overlapping Cathay Pacific and Dragonair routes Source: Corporate websites and annual reports Notes: 1) Cathay Pacific s fleet and ATK figures include Air Hong Kong 2) Singapore Airlines figures include SIA Cargo 3) All airlines (except Emirates) Revenue Passengers Carried, RPK, ASK and ATK figures correspond to the 12 months period ended 31 December 2005 4) Emirates figures are extracted from its annual report for financial year ended 30 March 2006 15

Share price history Cathay Pacific 15.00 3.80 14.50 3.60 HK$3.45 14.00 3.40 HK$ 13.50 13.00 HK$13.50 HK$ 3.20 3.00 2.80 12.50 2.60 12.00 2.40 11.50 2.20 11.00 Jun-05 Jul-05 Sep-05 Oct-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 Jun-06 Source: Bloomberg 2.00 Jun-05 Jul-05 Sep-05 Oct-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 Jun-06 Source: Bloomberg Cathay Pacific HK$ HK$ Last price prior to announcement 12.95 Last price prior to announcement 3.10 1 month average 13.23 1 month average 3.30 3 month average 13.61 3 month average 3.10 6 month average 13.77 6 month average 2.87 16

Transaction costs and cash impact for Cathay Pacific Cost of acquiring Dragonair shares not already owned Cash consideration Value of new shares to be issued Total HK$ million 822 7,399 8,221 Note A B A+B HK$ million Note Total cash outlay for Cathay Pacific Cash consideration for Dragonair acquisition Increasing shareholding in to 20% Special dividend 822 4,068 1,258 A C D Total 6,148 A+C+D Notes: A: 10% of total consideration paid for 82.21% in Dragonair B: 548 million new Cathay Pacific shares to be issued at HK$13.50 per share (90% of total consideration paid for 82.21% in Dragonair) C: Purchase of 1,179 million new shares at HK$3.45 per share D: HK$0.32 per share special dividend to post transaction shareholders (3,931 million shares in issue post transaction) 17