Q1 FY 13 IMS Analyst & Investor presentation. 3 months to 31 December 2012

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Transcription:

Q1 FY 13 IMS Analyst & Investor presentation 3 months to 31 December 2012 24 th January 2013 1 1

Progress against strategic objectives 1. Drive demand, conversion and yields across Europe Passenger numbers up by 6.2% Load factors increased by 1 percentage point Revenue per seat up by 8% (1) Operational roll-out of allocated seating successfully completed 2. Maintain cost advantage Cost per seat (excluding fuel) increase of less than 3% (1) easyjet Lean delivering sustainable savings 3. Build strong number 1 and 2 network positions Improving network returns New network points including Moscow, Luxembourg and Turin 4. Disciplined use of capital Sale and leaseback progressing (1) At constant currency 2

Robust revenue performance 1. Drive demand Q1 13 Q1 12 Change Passengers (m) 13.7 12.9 6.2% Load factor (%) 88.6% 87.6% 1.0ppt Seats (m) 15.5 14.7 5.0% Sector length (km) 1,057 1,083 (2.4%) Total revenue ( m) 833 763 9.2% Total revenue per seat ( ) 53.87 51.83 3.9% @ constant currency ( ) 55.96 51.83 8.0% 3

Strong growth in seat revenue 1. Drive demand Q1 12/13 Q1 11/12 Change @ cc Seat revenue ( m) 821 749 9.6% 13.8% per seat ( ) 53.07 50.87 4.3% 8.4% Non-seat revenue ( m) 12 14 (13.0%) (9.7)% per seat ( ) 0.80 0.96 (17.2%) (14.0)% Seat revenue Further competitor capacity retrenchment Limited disruption Reallocating capacity to routes with higher returns Improvements to easyjet.com Revenue management improvements Good start to ski season Non-seat revenue impacted by structural decline in insurance market 4

Capacity discipline in market 1. Drive demand OAG capacity change FY13 H1 3% 0% -2% United Kingdom 9% 4% 11% 5% 5% -1% easyjet change Competitors on easyjet markets Total on easyjet markets 6% 4% -1% -3% -6% -5% -8% -8% -8% France Switzerland Spain Italy easyjet markets H1 capacity Competitors on easyjet routes YOY Chg Winter Chg since Nov 12-2.5% -0.7% easyjet +3.6% No chg Market on easyjet routes Competitors in total SH market -0.8% No chg -4.5% -0.5% Capacity discipline 1.8m competitor seats removed on easyjet routes in H1 Further competitor retrenchment in UK, Spain, Germany French market growing through AF regional strategy Switzerland: building presence in Geneva and Basel High fuel cost increasing marginal cost of flying - importance of low cost base 1) Source: OAG. 6 months to end of March 13 as per OAG December 2012; RYA estimated as not currently updated in OAG; based on easyjet city pairs 5

Maintain cost advantage 2. Cost Advantage Q1 FY 13 Reported Constant currency Cost per seat excluding fuel 0.5% increase 2.9% increase Q1 performance Cost increase driven by 16m increase in airport charges especially at regulated airports in Spain and Italy Lower than anticipated disruption costs due to fewer cancellations from external industrial action and adverse weather easyjet lean easyjet lean delivered further sustainable savings in Ground Operations: renegotiating ground handling contracts and deals at non-regulated airports easyjet lean has delivered 12m additional sustainable savings YTD. 6

Build strong number 1&2 network positions 3. Network positions Pan-European network Network from Nice New network points include Luxembourg, Moscow and Turin. New bases in Nice & Toulouse have attained number 2 market positions with > 20% market share. Additional aircraft in Manchester, Edinburgh, Gatwick, Geneva and Rome. Network from Madrid 7

Disciplined use of capital 4. Capital Discipline Key principles Strong balance sheet is a source of competitive advantage Access to funding at lower cost Withstand potential exogenous shocks easyjet committed to covering cost of capital easyjet will self fund fleet replacement, growth and pay dividends Rigorous approach to capital allocation embedded throughout easyjet Sale and leaseback progressing 12 new A320s and the 12 oldest A319 aircraft. 9 A320 and 12 A319 aircraft have been signed. Remaining 3 A320 leases targeted to conclude within the next month. 8

Next Generation evaluation progressing well 4. Capital Discipline Technical evaluation completed Clear cost advantage from moving to next generation and continuing to replace 156 seat aircraft with 180 seater aircraft Commercial evaluation progressing well Engaging with Boeing, EADS and Bombardier, Pratt and Whitney and CFM To achieve optimal commercial outcome, easyjet may convert 3 options from existing framework transaction to provide capacity for summer 2014 Proposal will be brought to shareholders to cover next generation and bridging period 2015 to 2017. The objective of any proposal will be to ensure that easyjet is able to: 1. Improve on its current cost advantage over competitors on its routes through the introduction of the next generation of more fuel efficient aircraft. 2. Introduce more cost efficient 180 seater aircraft to replace the 156 seat A319s. 3. Retain its leading market positions; as its existing fleet ages and older aircraft exit the fleet. 4. Support the prudent planned capacity increases of 3-5%; in line with our current strategy of delivering sustainable growth and returns. 5. Continue to benefit from the flexibility available in its fleet planning arrangement, ensuring that easyjet maintains the ability to phase timing of deliveries to reduce the risk of holding surplus capacity. 9

Hedging update Fuel requirement US dollar requirement Euro surplus Half year ending 31 March 2013 86% at $986/tonne 86% at $1.61/ 80% at 1.18/ Full year ending 30 September 2013 78% at $985/tonne 82% at $1.60/ 75% at 1.18/ Full year ending 30 September 2014 55% at $993/tonne 62% at $1.58/ 56% at 1.22/ Sensitivities $10 per tonne movement in the price of jet fuel will impact the full year pre-tax result by +/-$3 million 1 cent movement in the :$ will impact the full year pre-tax result by +/- 1.4 million 1 euro cent movement will impact the full year pre-tax result by +/- 1.0 million 10

Forward bookings H1 bookings ahead of prior year % Seats sold * 88% 89% Winter 11/12 Winter 12/13 70% 72% Q1 Jan Feb Mar H1 H1 (Oct 12 to Mar 13) * As at 21-01-13 11

Outlook Capacity (seats flown) FY c.+3.5% (before disruption) H1 c.+3.5% (before disruption) Revenue per seat (constant currency) H1 up 6-8% (assuming normal disruption levels) Cost per seat ex fuel (constant currency) FY c.+3 to 4% (assuming normal disruption levels) H1 c.+3.5 to 4.5% (assuming normal disruption levels) Headwinds: Unit fuel cost to be between 5 million to 25 million higher year on year (1) c. 35 million to 40 million adverse movement from foreign exchange rates (2) First half result First half loss is expected to be between 50 million and 75 million loss (assuming normal disruption levels) Although the economic environment remains challenging, easyjet s strong customer proposition, combined with the actions that management is taking ensures that easyjet is well positioned going forward to deliver sustainable growth and returns. (1) Assuming fuel remains between $1,000MT to $1,100/MT trading range (2) based on spot rates:, US $ to sterling 1.58, euro to sterling 1.19 Jet cif $1,054 per metric tonnes as at noon on 23.1.13 12

Disclaimer This communication is directed only at (i) persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments who fall within the definition of investment professionals in Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2001; or (ii) high net worth bodies corporate, unincorporated associations and partnerships and trustees of high value trusts as described in Article 49(2) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2001. Persons within the United Kingdom who receive this communication (other than those falling within (i) and (ii) above) should not rely on or act upon the contents of this communication. Nothing in this presentation is intended to constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in investment activity for the purposes of the prohibition on financial promotion contained in the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. This presentation has been furnished to you solely for information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on to any other person, nor may it be published in whole or in part, for any other purpose. This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer for sale or subscription of, or solicitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for, any securities of easyjet plc ( easyjet ) in any jurisdiction nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of easyjet. Without limitation to the foregoing, these materials do not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States. Securities may not be offered or sold into the United States absent registration under the US Securities Act of 1933 or an exemption there from. easyjet has not verified any of the information set out in this presentation. Without prejudice to the foregoing, neither easyjet nor its associates nor any officer, director, employee or representative of any of them accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss however arising, directly or indirectly, from any reliance on this presentation or its contents. This presentation is not being issued, and is not for distribution in, the United States (with certain limited exceptions in accordance with the US Securities Act of 1933) or in any jurisdiction where such distribution is unlawful and is not for distribution to publications with a general circulation in the United States. By attending or reading this presentation you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations. 13 13