AIR/GROUND SIMULATION OF TRAJECTORY-ORIENTED OPERATIONS WITH LIMITED DELEGATION

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AIR/GROUND SIMULATION OF TRAJECTORY-ORIENTED OPERATIONS WITH LIMITED DELEGATION Thomas Prevot Todd Callantine, Jeff Homola, Paul Lee, Joey Mercer San Jose State University NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA Everett Palmer, Nancy Smith, NASA Ames Research Center Moffett Field, CA 2007/6/6 1

Summary Simulated airspace operations with Continuous Descent Arrivals (CDA), automated arrival management, airborne spacing, controller tools, and data link Varied two flight deck conditions: (1) with airborne spacing (2) without airborne spacing, over three ground-side conditions: Automated Arrival Management System with (1) current day controller displays (2) advanced ATC scheduling and spacing tools, and (3) the same tools integrated with controller pilot data link communication. Analyzed controller workload, safety, arrival time errors, inter-arrival spacing, energy management 2

Outline Background: Merging & Spacing at Louisville Trajectory-Oriented Operations with Limited Delegation (TOOWiLD) Concept of Operations for Managing Arrivals Test Airspace Experimental Design Results Feasibility: Workload, safety, CDA success rate Runway throughput: Inter-arrival spacing with and without airborne spacing Accuracy/predictability: Arrival time errors at the threshold CDA efficiency: Energy management along the CDA Concluding Remarks 3

Background: Flight Deck-Based Merging & Spacing (FDMS) Concept with Airline-Based Sequencing and Spacing (ABESS) at SDF M&S En Route Operations Inbound aircraft are preconditioned using GOC speed advisories based on sequence and spacing at en route merge fix. Spacing advisories may also be assigned. Advisories are sent to the flight deck using ACARS. Little-to-no ATC involvement. Centralia Cheri SDF M&S Arrival Operations Aircraft that are within ADS-B range may engage airborne merging and spacing. Preconditioned SDF arrivals are cleared by ATC for CDAs. Little-to-no ATC involvement. 4

TOOWiLD* Concept of Operations for Managing Arrivals During Simulation Arrival Management System uplinks arrival message to participating aircraft including runway STA and speed schedule for on-time Continuous Descent Arrival Arrival message includes airborne spacing information for equipped aircraft as appropriate. Runway STA assignment 300 NM from airport Controllers issue CDA clearances, are informed about airborne spacing of participating aircraft and intervene if if required for separation, and manage non-participating aircraft Flight crews execute clearances and speed advisories. Flight crews engage and follow spacing guidance when within ADS-B range. Runway Threshold Controllers monitor all arrivals. *TOOWiLD: Trajectory-Oriented Operations With Limited Delegation 5

ACARS arrival information message At the STA freeze horizon (300 NM from the airport) an arrival information message is sent by the automation via ACARS: SDF ARRIVAL UPS913 17R AT 17:03:20 UTC CRZ.78 DES.78/275 LEAD: UPS907 MERGE PT: CHERI SPACING: 105 SEC SDF ARRIVAL UPS913 17R AT 17:03:20 UTC CRZ.78 DES.78/275 6

TOOWiLD Simulation Airspace 7

CDA chart Pilot Notes 1. KSDF ATIS indicates when CDA procedures are in effect for B757/767 arrivals. 2. Load CDA 17R with filed transitions and ILS approach. Close any discontinuities between the arrival and the ILS final approach. 3. Verify speed/altitudes constraints in FMS match Cheri CDA arrival chart. 4. Verify FMS cruise/descent speed based on the GOC arrival uplink message. 5. MCP altitude should be set based on ATC assigned altitude. To maintain a constant descent during arrival request lower altitude well in advance of any Top Of Descent. 6. Enter any ATC speed or route changes in the FMS and use power or speed brakes to reacquire VNAV path. Flight level change or vertical speed should not be required. 7. For best VNAV path performance enter spacing algorithms speed into FMS prior to descent. 8. ARM approach after receiving ATC clearance for the ILS approach. NOTE: The altitude constraints at individual waypoints are not ATC restrictions they are point to initiate the speed slowdowns. 8

Experimental Design September 2006 NASA Ames Research Center Airspace Operations Lab Flight Deck Display Research Lab Participants 4 radar certified controllers (3 ARTCC, 1 TRACON) 8 airline pilots (3 current UPS pilots) Traffic Extended UPS night-time arrival push mixed with day time crossing traffic (mixed equipage) 2 Scenarios at high current day traffic levels 12 Data Collection runs Two basic Scenarios. each ~75 minutes 2 Flight Deck conditions: Current day FMS & ADS-B out +Airborne spacing for 70% of UPS aircraft (Eurocontrol Co-space logic) 3 ATC Workstation conditions: Arrival management system with current day displays +ATC tools for sequencing and spacing +ATC tools integrated with data link 9

6 Conditions simulating different Flight Deck and ATC equipage levels ATC equip. + ATC tools Flight Deck equip. Arrival Management System + controller pilot data link communication FMS (RNAV) CDA s with automated sequencing & spacing CDA s with automated sequencing and spacing and time-based metering by ATC CDA s with automated sequencing and spacing, time-based metering by ATC and CPDLC + Airborne Spacing CDA s with automated sequencing & spacing and airborne spacing CDA s with automated sequencing and spacing and time-based metering by ATC and airborne spacing CDA s with automated sequencing and spacing, time-based metering by ATC and CPDLC and airborne spacing 10

Result Summary It seems possible to conduct continuous descent arrivals in high density airspace. Acceptable workload, safe, very little vectoring Airborne spacing has positive effect on runway throughput and no negative impact on on-time arrivals. Better inter-arrival spacing, equal arrival time accuracy The highly automated arrival management concept was very effective in all conditions. Good arrival time accuracy ATC tools reduce the mean error for non-participating aircraft and reduce the variability of all aircraft Higher arrival time accuracy with ATC tools Energy management remains a primary issue to be addressed. Relative energy along CDA 11

Traffic Count (Scenario 1 and 2) # of aircraft # of aircraft Scenario 1 (Run3) 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 elapsed time ZKC-50 ZID-91 ZID-17 SDF-262 Scenario 2 (Run 6) 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 elapsed time ZKC-50 ZID-91 ZID-17 SDF-262 2 complex scenarios at high traffic densities. High altitude: 10-21 aircraft Low altitude: Approach: 5-10 aircraft 7-12 aircraft During these traffic conditions 96 % of arrivals flew the CDA approach routing and did not receive a heading vector below 11.000 feet 12

Controller Workload by ATC condition Average Workload by ground tools ZKC50 Average Workload by ground tools ZID91 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 No ATC Tools ATC Scheduling Tools ATC Scheduling + Data link Average Workload by ground tools ZID17 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 No ATC Tools ATC Scheduling Tools ATC Scheduling + Data link 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 No ATC Tools ATC Scheduling Tools ATC Scheduling + Data link Average Workload by ground tools SDF262 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 No ATC Tools ATC Scheduling Tools ATC Scheduling + Data link Controller workload was manageable and followed primarily traffic count. No impact from ATC condition in mixed equipage environment 13

7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Controller Workload by flight deck condition Average workload ZKC50 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Workload No Spacing Spacing Average Workload ZID17 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 No Spacing Spacing 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Average Workload ZID91 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 No Spacing Spacing Average Workload SDF262 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 No Spacing Controller workload was followed manageable primarily and traffic followed count. primarily No measurable traffic count. No impact from from airborne spacing in mixed environment Spacing 14

Safety Separation violations by condition: Arr. Mgmt. Sys. +ATC tools +Data link Total FMS/CDA 1 (1) 0 (1) 0 (1) 1 (3) +Airborne spacing 0 (3) 1 (2) 0 (1) 1 (6) Total The 1st value refers to violations lasting for at least 12 seconds (RADAR sweep), the 2nd value to violations of less than 12 seconds. Only one Louisville arrival involved in separation violation 1 (4) 1 (3) 0 (2) All operations were considered safe by all participants. The observed separation violations were short and simulation related (multi-pilot errors) 15

Inter-arrival spacing at the runway - arrival peak - Number of Aircraft in Bin 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0-35 -25-15 -5 5 15 25 35 Actual Spacing - Required Spacing Bins Not Spacing Spacing Current day Airborne Spacing Spacing error (seconds) 6.3 (15.6) -1.5 (5.4) mean and variance of interarrival spacing at the runway was significantly reduced (t (70) = 3.95, p < 0.001, F (70,70) = 8.38, p < 0.001). Airborne spacing produced very precise relative spacing at the threshold, and therefore can increase runway throughput 16

Arrival time accuracy for participating aircraft - all participating arrivals- Actual scheduled time of arrival at runway, mean (and standard deviation) in seconds Arr. Mgmt. Sys. +ATC tools +Data link Total FMS/CDA -2.2 (30.4) 4.1 (15.6) 13 (37.4) 5.0 (29.8) airborne spacing shows marginally significant lower mean (t two-tailed pair-wise : (124) = 1.8; p < 0.07). ATC-tools reduce variability (F(83,81) = 8.53, p <0.001) +Airborne spacing 3.3 (53.0) -7.8 (11.1) -0.02 (24.7) -1.56 (34.7) Arrival Management System accounts for main effect Total 0.5 (43.0) -1.8 (14.7) 6.5 (32.1) The automated arrival management system was able to organize the arrival flow such that most aircraft arrived within 30 seconds of their arrival time, which was assigned 40 minutes before touchdown 17

Arrival time accuracy - all non-participating arrivals - Actual scheduled time of arrival at runway, mean (and standard deviation) in seconds Arr. Mgmt. Sys. +ATC tools +Data link Total FMS/CDA -26.2 (52.8) -2.1 (27.2) -2.9 (26.0) -10.4 (37.9) +Airborne spacing -28.7 (55.5) -0.8 (18.8) -0.7 (33.3) -9.75 (37.7) Total -27.3 (50.3) -1.5 (22.7) -1.8 (29.1) No effect of airborne spacing without controller tools non-participating aircraft arrived on average 26 seconds earlier than in the tools condition (t (23) = - 2.1, p < 0.047) with a much larger variability (F (18,39) = 3.8, p < 0.001) ATC tools connected to the arrival management system enabled controllers to manage the arrival time of non-participating aircraft more precisely 18

Energy management speed and altitude at CHERI Altitude (ft) Indicated Airspeed (knots) 18000 16000 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 360 340 320 300 280 260 240 220 200 Arrival Management System Altitude at CHERI 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 251 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 251 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 Landing Sequence (all runs, 26 flights/run) FMS+CDA + ATC Tools + Data Link scenario 1 scenario 2 scenario 1 scenario 2 scenario 1 scenario 2 Arrival Management System FMS +CDA+Airborne Spacing Airspeed at CHERI 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 251 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 251 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 scenario 1 scenario 2 scenario 1 scenario 2 scenario 1 scenario 2 Landing Sequence (all runs, 26 flights/run) FMS+CDA + ATC Tools + Data Link FMS +CDA+Airborne Spacing Nominal crossing at CHERI was 11000 feet, 240 knots Controllers and pilots were briefed that airborne spacing speed would take precedence over speed on CDA Good altitude compliance, peaks indicate problems with getting clearance on time Speed varies in airborne spacing condition Speed adjustments during the initial idle descent portion resulted in aircraft being high or fast at the first crossing restriction 19

Energy management Relative energy at CHERI Energy relative to 11000/240 crossing (%) 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 Arr. Mgmt. Sys. +ATC tools +Data link Total Arrival Management System ENERGY AT CHERI FMS/CDA 102.2 (2.5) 102.5 (5.3) 104.4 (8.9) 102.9 (6.1) + ATC Tools + Data Link 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 scenario 1 scenario 2 scenario 1 scenario 2 scenario 1 scenario 2 Landing Sequence (all runs, 26 flights/run) FMS+CDA FMS +CDA+Airborne Spacing +Airborne spacing 107.4 (5.1) 109.1 (10.0) 107.5 (6.1) 108.8 (7.7) Total 104.8 (4.7) 105.6 (8.6) 105.9 (8.1) Relative energy: actual energy as a percentage of nominal energy for CHERI crossing restriction (240/11000) Aircraft conducting airborne spacing had a significantly higher relative energy mean at CHERI (t (58) = 4.2; p < 0.001). Hardly any aircraft was low on energy, which is typical at the first crossing restriction after an idle descent. 20

Energy relative to 5600/220 crossing (%) Energy relative to 5000/190 crossing (%) Energy relative to 4000/180 crossing (%) 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 Arrival Management ENERGY AT DC190 + ATC Tools + Data Link 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 scenario scenario scenario scenari scenari scenario Arrival Management System Landing Sequence (all runs, 26 flights/run) FMS+CDA ENERGY AT FMS BT17R +CDA+Airborne Spacing 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 251 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 Landing Sequence (all runs, 26 flights/run) FMS+CDA + ATC Tools + Data Link scenario 1 scenario 2 scenario 1 scenario 2 scenario 1 scenario 2 Arrival Management System FMS +CDA+Airborne Spacing ENERGY AT IF17R 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 251 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 1 5 10 15 20 25 scenario 1 scenario 2 scenario 1 scenario 2 scenario 1 scenario 2 Landing Sequence (all runs, 26 flights/run) FMS+CDA + ATC Tools + Data Link FMS +CDA+Airborne Spacing Energy management Relative energy inside the TRACON Base turn Final turn The CDA s were designed with nominal lower power segments during approach. The excess energy from the initial crossing restriction was largely absorbed downstream of CHERI 21

Concluding Remarks It seems possible to conduct continuous descent arrivals in high density airspace. Airborne spacing has positive effect on runway throughput and no negative impact on on-time arrivals. The highly automated arrival management concept was very effective in all conditions. ATC tools reduce the mean error for non-participating aircraft and reduce the variability of all aircraft. Energy management remains a primary issue to be addressed. 22