Cost Cutting for Success: Factors Influencing Costs

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Transcription:

Cost Cutting for Success: Factors Influencing Costs Dr George Williams Reader in Airline Economics

Unit Cost (pence per ASK) in 2005/6 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 BA Connect Flybe easyjet Virgin Atlantic Monarch Astraeus First Choice

Irrespective of whether an airline has high or low operating costs, a thorough knowledge and breakdown of them is vital in order for management to: monitor performance (to check if targets / budgets are being met. If not, remedial action can be taken) set appropriate fares and tariffs evaluate new routes, aircraft acquisition and outsourcing opportunities

For most carriers labour forms the largest input cost (typically 25-40% of total operating costs) Considerable variation exists in airline cost structures making comparison difficult Airline managers need to be aware of future trends in the availability, price and quality of key input factors (including Outsourcing opportunities) Some cost items are more controllable than others. It is important to know what influence management can exert on each input factor

Airline operating costs are traditionally sub-divided into direct and indirect elements, after the exclusion of non-operating items such as profits earned by subsidiaries and those from asset sales. (Interest payments traditionally have also been excluded, but this distorts comparisons with carriers that lease their aircraft.)

The widely used breakdown of operating costs that follows is recommended by ICAO and is similar to the approach adopted in the UK and US. The ICAO system has the advantage that the cost categories employed correspond to functional areas within the airline.

Direct Operating Costs refer to the expenses incurred directly in the operation of a particular aircraft and include three main items: Flying Expenses [Flight Crew Salaries & Expenses / Fuel & Oil / Airport & En-Route Charges / Aircraft Insurance / Rental of Flight Equipment and Crews] Maintenance and Overhaul [Labour costs / Spares used / Maintenance Overheads] Aircraft Depreciation

Indirect Operating Costs include all those items of expenditure which are not directly related to the operation of a particular aircraft: Station and Ground Costs Passenger services Ticketing, Sales and Promotion General Administration

In practice the distinction between direct and indirect operating costs is not always clear cut. On average, direct operating costs (DOCs) account for around one half of the total operating costs of scheduled carriers. However, wide variations are apparent between airlines. The DOC proportion of total cost can vary between 45% and 70%.

IATA INTERNATIONAL SCHEDULED SERVICES DISTRIBUTION OF COSTS IN 2003 DIRECT OPERATING COSTS (DOC) % FLIGHT OPERATIONS 32.0 Flight Crew (6.2) Fuel and Oil (16.5) Airport & En-Route Charges (9.3) MAINTENANCE 10.4 DEPRECIATION / RENTALS / INSURANCE 14.0 TOTAL D.O.C. 56.4

INDIRECT OPERATING COSTS (IOC) % STATION AND GROUND 9.8 PASSENGER SERVICES 12.8 Cabin Attendants (6.7) Other Pax Services (6.1) TICKETING, SALES AND PROMOTION 14.5 GENERAL AND ADMIN. 6.5 TOTAL I.O.C 43.6 Source: IATA Airline Economic Results and Prospects 2004

While the ICAO approach enables the operating costs of an airline to be isolated and compared with other carriers, it provides neither a basis for pricing decisions nor a means for deciding the appropriate level of service frequency to provide on a route. In order to be able to undertake these activities it is necessary to consider the concept of escapability.

To enable an airline manager to know exactly which costs the company will avoid if a particular flight is not operated it is necessary to subdivide direct operating costs into fixed and variable elements. The variable direct operating costs are those items of expenditure that can be escaped if a flight is not operated. Alternatively, they are the additional costs incurred when an extra flight is operated.

Sources of Cost Differences Direct Operating Costs Indirect Operating Costs Seating Density / Load Factor

Unit Operating Costs in 2005 80 70 60 DOC IOC US cents per ATK 50 40 30 20 10 0 Portugalia Air Europa Continental Swiss Air France Lufthansa Thai Nippon Cargo Air Asia

% Direct Operating Costs in 2005 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Portugalia Continental Lufthansa Swiss Air France Thai Nippon Cargo Air Europa Air Asia

DOC breakdown in 2005 40 35 US cents per ATK 30 25 20 15 Flight Operations Maintenance & Overhaul Depreciation 10 5 0 Portugalia Swiss Lufthansa Thai Nippon Cargo Air Asia

IOC breakdown in 2005 40 35 30 User Charges & Station Costs Ticketing Sales & Promotion Pax Services US cents per ATK 25 20 15 10 5 0 Portugalia Swiss Lufthansa Thai Nippon Cargo Air Asia

Major Factors Affecting Airline Operating Costs Aircraft Characteristics speed and capacity determine aircraft productivity Route Structure and Type of Network - stage length affects aircraft and crew utilization, fuel used per block hour, relative station costs and some maintenance expenses - service frequency directly influences aircraft and crew utilization rates - average length of passenger haul affects sales and passenger handling costs

Aircraft Productivity Seat km per hour 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 B747-400 A380 200,000 100,000 B707 0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Payload Seat km per hour Range Cost per seat km Range Range

Unit Cost against Stage Length (2005/6) (Average Aircraft Seating Capacity) 8 7 Flybe (101) 6 pence per ASK 5 4 3 easyjet (148) Monarch (255) BA (232) Virgin Atlantic (344) 2 First Choice (225) Thomas Cook (246) 1 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 km

Airline Staff Productivity in 2006 9,000,000 8,000,000 7,000,000 6,000,000 ASK per Employee 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 - Monarch easyjet First Choice GB Airways XL Virgin Atlantic BA

Passenger Load Factors in 2006 100 90 80 70 60 % 50 40 30 20 10 0 Virgin Atlantic BA GB Airways easyjet Monarch XL First Choice

Operating Cost Comparison 2005/6 Financial Year Airline Unit Cost Load Factor Av. Stage Av. Seats (pence per ASK) (% pass-km) Length (km) per aircraft BA 4.62 76.3 2260 232 easyjet 4.34 81.7 967 148 First Choice 2.46 89.9 2460 225 flybe 7.17 65.7 480 101 Monarch 2.71 83.4 2227 255 Thomas Cook 2.46 89.0 2785 246 Virgin Atlantic 3.51 73.9 7160 344

Major Factors Affecting Airline Operating Costs Marketing Policy - scale and type of sales promotional activity - amount and quality of in-flight and ground handling services provided External Economic Factors - aviation fuel prices - landing fees and en-route charges - exchange rates - level of economic activity

Survival Strategies Survival Strategies

Improvements Improvements in Airlines in Airlines Productivity Productivity

Short Haul Unit Cost Performance of European Majors Source: IATA

OPEC Oil Production Capacity and Output Million barrels per day 41 39 37 35 33 31 29 27 25 23 21 19 17 15 OPEC Production Capacity Current OPEC production is nearly at the same level as it was in 1980 OPEC Output 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 Source: International Energy Agency (IEA) and Goldman Sachs Commodity Research

Fuel as a % of operating costs for various regions 35% 30% 25% 25% 27.8% 24% 27% 20% 15% 13.2% 17.6% 20.3% 16.8% 19.8% 14.6% 18.9% 10% 10.3% 5% 0% European Asian US 2003 2004 2005 2006 Source: UBS Global Analyser European Airlines are less exposed to fuel cost - due to fuel hedging

Fuel prices and fuel efficiencies (1993 - June 2007) 14 13 12 11 10 9 Brent Oil Prices Fuel efficiency $70 $60 $50 $40 $30 $20 $10 8 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Source: IATA Over the last number of years there has been an annual improvement in fuel efficiency of 2.5%, saving the industry around $2 billion per year. However the airline fuel bill for 2007 is expected at $119 billion 26% of operating costs.