China Lodging Group (HTHT.US) Q4 and full year 2017 Earnings Call March 13, 2018

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Transcription:

China Lodging Group (HTHT.US) Q4 and full year 2017 Earnings Call March 13, 2018

Agenda Strategy Review Operational and Financial Review Q & A Appendix 1

Strong RevPAR Growth Driven by ADR + Occupancy Increase and Mix Upgrade Quarterly and Full Year Blended RevPAR Growth Full year -4.1% +2.8% +14.4% ADR +10.0% OCC +3.5pts 14.0% 17.3% 15.0% 9.8% -2.3% -3.3% -6.2% -5.3% 1.1% 1.1% 3.2% 5.7% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016 2017 2

Accelerated Growth in Revenues and Expanded Profit Margin Net Revenues Net Reveues and Growth Operating Income and Margin 1,600 20.0% (in RMB millions) 1,400 (in RMB millions) 17.6% 18.0% 16.0% 5,775 6,539 8,170 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 10.4% 601 13.3% 871 1,438 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 2015 2016 2017-2015 2016 2017 0.0% EBITDA and Margin Net Income and Margin 2,500 2,000 (in RMB millions) 22.0% 26.5% 28.9% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 1,400 1,200 1,000 (in RMB millions) 12.3% 15.1% 18.0% 16.0% 14.0% 12.0% 1,500 1,000 500 1,272 1,730 2,361 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 800 600 400 200 7.6% 437 805 1,237 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% - 2015 2016 2017 0.0% - 2015 2016 2017 0.0% 3

Consistent Asset-light Strategy % of Rooms under Manachised and Franchised Models +2pts 78% 76% +3pts 73% 2015 2016 2017 4

Robust Hotel Pipeline to Support Fast and Quality Expansion Number of Hotels in Pipeline (Q1 16-Q4 17) 750 700 696 650 600 550 632 586 612 606 +254 hotels, 57% yoy increase 500 450 400 505 473 442 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 * At the end of 2017, Pipeline included 112 hotels under Accor s brands and 94 hotels under Crystal Orange brands 5

Milestone of 100,000,000+ Members Rapid Growth in Membership Program Strong Direct Channels (in millions) 103.0 (in room nights, 2017) 78.6 20 X 49.1 31.8 Direct Channels, 87% 5.1 8.4 15.1 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 6

Hua Zhu World Conference 2,000 participants, including: 900 franchisees 550 business partners 40 media journalists 30 investors and analysts Showcase Hua Zhu s brands and innovative digital solutions 18 hotel brands Hua Zhu E-purchase H-World 7

Great Achievements in All Strategic Priorities Priorities in 2017 1 Upgrade for Economy Hotels 2 Multi-brand Strategy - Fast Expansion of Midscale Hotels Achievements 38% of HanTing rooms upgraded HanTing same hotel RevPAR grew by 7.6% Roll out new design for Elan and Hi Inn JI grew to 390 hotels in operation Acquisition of Crystal Orange Launched CitiGO, urban Manxin and HanTing Premium; Re-launched Starway 316 mid-and-upscale hotels net added, ~82% of total net rooms added in 2017 3 Continuous Growth in Samehotel RevPAR Same-hotel RevPAR growth of 7.7% in 2017 (economy: 7.4%; mid-and-up scale: 8.2%) 8

HanTing Same-hotel RevPAR Increased by 7.6% in 2017 1 Full year -5.1% -1.3% +7.6% 8.0% 9.8% 6.8% 1.1% -0.9% -2.3% -3.3% 5.2% October: +4.1% November:+8.2% December:+8.7% -5.8% -5.4% -4.4% -4.9% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016 2017 9

Upgrade of Economy Hotels 1 HanTing 38% rooms upgraded; 7.6% yoy growth in same-hotel RevPAR Introduction of HanTing 2S Elan Roll-out new model; 226 hotels in operation; 5.2% yoy growth in same-hotel RevPAR Hi Inn Roll-out new model; 396 hotels in operation; 5.1% yoy growth in same-hotel RevPAR 10

Successful Integration of Crystal Orange 2 Double-digit Growth in Same-hotel RevPAR Post Acquisition 6.8% Post acquisition 14.5% 12.3% 10.4% 2016 Jun'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Accelerated Development Number of hotels in operation +52% +21% ~ 233 153 126 2016 2017 2018E Enriched Talent Pool Mr. Wu Hai s new role as EVP of High- End Product Innovation, executive Chairman of Crystal Orange Ms. Juan Cao appointed as CEO of Crystal Orange Cost Synergies Completed integration of operational and booking systems, loyalty program and back-office supports Further improvements in hotel operational efficiency Amy Liao, the Chief Architect / Designer of Crystal Orange, expanded her responsibilities to cover more high-end brands 11

We Launched 3 New Midscale Hotel Products 2 CitiGO Manxin HanTing Premium 6 in operation;11 in pipeline 11 in operation; 16 in pipeline 5 in operation; 39 in pipeline 12

Increasing Revenue Contribution from Mid- and Up-Scale Hotels 2 Revenues from Mid- and Up-Scale Hotels Grew by 68%; Mid- and Up-scale Hotels Revenues Contribution Increased by 9pts to 38% Revenue Growth, 2016-2017 Revenue breakdown, 2017 (in RMB millions) 3,086 +68% 1,840 mid- and up-scale, 38% economy, 62% 2016 2017 13

Group Same-hotel RevPAR Growth Reached 6.5% in Q4 17 and 7.7% in FY 2017, Accelerating Samehotel ADR Growth 3 Same-hotel RevPAR Growth For hotels in operation for at least 18 months FY2017: +7.7% 10% 7% 5% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% -1% 0% 0% 5.8% -3% -5% -4% -3% -3%-0.3% -1.2% 0.5% 2.5% 8.3% 9.5% 6.5% October: +3.3% November:+8.2% December:+8.4% 12Q1 12Q3 13Q1 13Q3 14Q1 14Q3 15Q1 15Q3 16Q1 16Q3 17Q1 17Q3 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% -1% Same-hotel ADR Growth (2011, outside of Shanghai 0% 0% FY2017: +3.7% 1% -1% 0% 4.5% 2% 3% 2% 4.9% -1% 0% -2% Same-hotel Occupancy Change -3% -5% -3% -3% -3% FY2017: +3.3pts 3% 4.4% -1% 0% 0% 1% 4.5% 1.3% 14Q1 14Q4 15Q3 16Q2 17Q1 17Q4 14Q1 14Q4 15Q3 16Q2 17Q1 17Q4 Note: Crystal Orange hotels RevPAR are not included in our reported same-hotel RevPAR statistics until they have been in Huazhu s system for more than 18 months.. 14

Strategic Focus for 2018 Fast Expansion of Midscale Hotels Continuous Growth in Same-hotel RevPAR through Quality Improvements Innovation in Upscale Segment 15

Agenda Strategy Review Operational and Financial Review Q & A Appendix 16

Continue Fast Expansion with Increasing Focus on Quality Number of Hotels in Operation Leased and owned Hotels Manachised and Franchised Hotels 3,269 3,746 Gross openings Closures Hotel Openings/Closures 2,763 737 665 1,035 570 1,425 860 1,995 1,384 2,147 2,645 3,075 (231) 89 (22) 272 167 137 (67) (52) (47) (188) 465 565 611 616 624 671 Net openings 506 67 205 115 90 477 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2016 17Q1 17Q2 17Q3 17Q4 2017 17

RevPAR Growth Driven by Both ADR + Occupancy Growth (RMB) ADR Grew 13.1% in Q4 17 and 10.0% in 17 211 203 186 185 RevPAR Increased 15.0% in Q4 17 and 14.4% in 17 (RMB) 158 181 180 157 Q4'16 Q4'17 2016 2017 Occupancy Grew 1.4 pts in Q4 17 and 3.5 pts in 17 85% 86% 85% 88% Q4'16 Q4'17 2016 2017 Q4'16 Q4'17 2016 2017 18

Net Revenues: Q4 +32.6%, FY +25.0%, at High-end of Guidance Net Revenues Net Revenues from Leased and Owned Hotels (in RMB millions) (in RMB millions) 6,343 8,170 5,212 6,539 1,291 1,719 1,670 2,215 Q4'16 Q4'17 2016 2017 Net Revenues from Manachised and Franchised Hotels Q4'16 Q4'17 2016 2017 (in RMB millions) 1,411 1,787 Net Manachised and Franchised Hotels Revenue as % of Net Revenues Q4 16 Q4 17 2016 2017 368 483 22.0% 21.8% 21.2% 21.9% Q4'16 Q4'17 2016 2017 19

Full Year Operating Margin Expanded by 4.3 Pts Income from Operations as % of Net Revenues 17.6% 4.3% 13.3% 2016 2017 Hotel operating costs and other operating costs as % of net revenues 75.5% Pre-opening expenses as % of net revenues SG&A Expenses and other operating income as % of net revenues 5.9% 1.4% 0.2% 69.6% 10.0% 10.2% 1.1% 2.5% 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 Note: The Company booked impairment loss in other hotel operating costs totaling RMB92 million in Q4 2017, and RMB169 million for the full year 2017. These were related to leased hotels assets that were loss-making, early termination of leases due to rezoning, military properties as ordered by the authorities, and others. 20

Strong Profit Growth and Margin Expansion (in RMB millions) Profit Growth EBITDA Net Income 2,361 1,237 1,730 2.4pts (Margin 28.9%) 805 2.8pts (Margin 15.1%) (Margin 26.5%) (Margin 12.3%) 2016 2017 2016 2017 21

Strong Cash Balances Support Hotel Expansion and Capital Investments Abundant Funding Resource for Expansion (in RMB millions) Free cash flow = RMB 1,633 m 2,453 (820) 4,259 (5,369) (306) 23 3,235 3,475 Cash and cash equivalents at 12/31/16 Net Cash from Operations Capex for maintainance and new developments Fundings Acquisitions and Investments Dividend payment Others Cash and cash equivalents at 12/31/17 22

New Rules on Revenue Recognition Item New Rule Old Rule Impact Initial Franchise Fee Loyalty Program Award Points Deferred and recognized over the initial term of franchise agreement Revenue is deferred upon point issuance. Recognized as REVENUES upon point redemption, net of any reward reimbursement paid to the franchisees and other third parties Recognized as revenue upon hotel opening Recognized as OPERATING COSTS and SELLING EXPENSES upon point issuance, net of the reimbursement received from the franchisees Reduce net revenues by approximately RMB10 million for 2017 Increase net revenues by approximately RMB73 million, and increase operating costs and selling expenses by approximately RMB63 million for 2017 Adoption of new Accounting Standards on Revenue Recognition - ASC 606 Effect from January 1, 2018 on a retrospective basis prior years comparative revenue to be adjusted in 2018 financials No impact on cash flow 23

2018 Guidance Hotel Openings Gross opening of 650-700 hotels 60%-65% hotels under mid- and up-scale brands Revenue Guidance Q1 18 net revenues to grow 27%-29%, excluding adoption of new rules on revenue recognition Full year 2018 net revenues to grow 16%-19%, excluding adoption of new rules on revenue recognition 24

Agenda Strategy Review Operational and Financial Review Q & A Appendix 25

Agenda Strategy Review Operational and Financial Review Q & A Appendix 26

Minority Interest in Acquisition of Beijing Sanyuan Hotels Novotel Sanyuan and Ibis Sanyuan Prime location at CBD, Beijing Transaction Highlights A total cash consideration of RMB1.18 bn; 20% by China Lodging and 80% by TPG Capital Asia; expected to be closed by June 30, 2018 703 hotel rooms in total; Ibis Sanyuan to be renovated to CitiGO Cash outflow ~ USD24 million. No significant impact on 2018 financials Rationale Strengthen our mid-and-upscale brands by securing prime locations in tier-1 cities for flagship hotels Novotel and CitiGO Enjoy asset value appreciation based on operational excellence Target to exit within 3-5 years The Company s capital engaged in real estate will be limited. Stick to asset-light model 27

Same-Hotel Operational Data by Segment Number of hotels in operation Same-hotel RevPAR Same-hotel ADR Same-hotel Occupancy As of For the quarter ended For the quarter ended For the quarter ended March 31, March 31, yoy March 31, yoy March 31, yoy 2016 2017 2016 2017 change 2016 2017 change 2016 2017 change Economy hotels 2,144 2,144 133 139 5.0% 159 160 0.8% 84% 87% 3.5% Leased hotels 503 503 139 147 5.7% 167 169 0.9% 83% 87% 3.9% Manachised and franchised hotels 1,641 1,641 130 137 4.7% 155 156 0.8% 84% 87% 3.3% Midscale and upscale hotels 236 236 214 233 9.2% 265 284 6.9% 81% 82% 1.7% Leased hotels 76 76 257 279 8.9% 298 324 8.8% 86% 86% 0.1% Manachised and franchised hotels 160 160 182 200 9.5% 239 252 5.4% 76% 79% 3.0% Total 2,380 2,380 143 151 5.8% 172 175 1.8% 83% 87% 3.3% Number of hotels in operation Same-hotel RevPAR Same-hotel ADR Same-hotel Occupancy As of For the quarter ended For the quarter ended For the quarter ended yoy June 30, June 30, June 30, yoy June 30, yoy change change change 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 Economy hotels 2,250 2,250 148 160 7.7% 168 172 2.2% 88% 93% 4.8% Leased hotels 498 498 156 170 8.5% 180 184 2.7% 87% 92% 4.9% Manachised and franchised hotels 1,752 1,752 146 156 7.5% 164 167 2.1% 89% 94% 4.7% Midscale and upscale hotels 263 263 247 272 9.9% 288 306 6.1% 86% 89% 3.1% Leased hotels 79 79 304 332 9.0% 333 357 7.3% 91% 93% 1.4% Manachised and franchised hotels 184 184 207 230 10.9% 253 267 5.4% 82% 86% 4.2% Total 2,513 2,513 162 175 8.3% 183 189 3.0% 88% 93% 4.5% Number of hotels in operation Same-hotel RevPAR Same-hotel ADR Same-hotel Occupancy As of For the quarter ended For the quarter ended For the quarter ended September 30, September 30, yoy September 30, yoy September 30, yoy 2016 2017 2016 2017 growth 2016 2017 growth 2016 2017 growth Economy hotels 2,316 2,316 162 177 9.4% 176 183 4.3% 92% 96% 4.5% Leased and owned hotels 498 498 169 185 9.6% 186 196 5.3% 91% 94% 3.6% Manachised and franchised hotels 1,818 1,818 159 174 9.3% 172 179 3.9% 92% 97% 4.8% Midscale and upscale hotels 287 287 265 290 9.5% 303 319 5.2% 87% 91% 3.6% Leased hotels 81 81 320 344 7.5% 346 365 5.4% 92% 94% 1.8% Manachised and franchised hotels 206 206 233 259 11.0% 276 291 5.3% 84% 89% 4.6% Total 2,603 2,603 177 193 9.5% 194 202 4.5% 91% 96% 4.4% Number of hotels in operation Same-hotel RevPAR Same-hotel ADR Same-hotel Occupancy As of For the quarter ended For the quarter ended For the quarter ended December 31, December 31, yoy December 31, yoy December 31, yoy 2016 2017 2016 2017 change 2016 2017 change 2016 2017 change Economy hotels 2,406 2,406 146 156 6.9% 167 175 5.1% 87% 89% 1.5% Leased and owned hotels 492 492 152 166 9.2% 178 189 6.3% 85% 88% 2.4% Manachised and franchised hotels 1,914 1,914 144 152 6.1% 163 171 4.6% 88% 89% 1.2% Midscale and upscale hotels 323 323 249 261 4.8% 300 313 4.4% 83% 83% 0.3% Leased hotels 81 81 314 321 2.4% 348 364 4.5% 90% 88% -1.9% Manachised and franchised hotels 242 242 217 231 6.5% 273 286 4.7% 79% 81% 1.4% Total 2,729 2,729 162 172 6.5% 187 196 4.9% 87% 88% 1.3% 28

Hotel Breakdown by Brands Number of Hotels in Operation As of As of As of As of As of 12/31/2013 12/31/2014 12/31/2015 12/31/2016 12/31/2017 Economy hotels 1,309 1,819 2,453 2,813 2,974 HanTing Hotel 1,226 1,648 2,003 2,181 2,244 Leased hotels 473 502 495 486 454 Manachised hotels 753 1,146 1,508 1,694 1,786 Franchised hotels 1 4 Hi Inn 83 158 302 375 396 Leased hotels 41 41 38 36 30 Manachised hotels 42 117 251 294 321 Franchised hotels 13 45 45 Elan Hotel 13 148 185 226 Manachised hotels 13 128 149 193 Franchised hotels 20 36 33 ibis Hotel 72 100 Leased and owned hotels 14 16 Manachised hotels 12 38 Franchised hotels 46 46 Orange Hotel 8 Leased hotels 6 Manachised hotels 1 Franchised hotels 1 Midscale hotels and upscale hotels 116 176 310 456 772 JI Hotel 68 117 186 284 390 Leased hotels 48 62 75 81 91 Manachised hotels 20 55 111 201 296 Franchised hotels 2 3 Starway Hotel 46 55 118 136 174 Leased hotels 1 3 4 2 2 Manachised hotels 20 44 67 96 141 Franchised hotels 25 8 47 38 31 Joya Hotel 1 3 3 6 6 Leased hotels 1 2 2 3 3 Manachised hotels 1 1 3 3 Manxin Hotels & Resorts 1 1 2 2 11 Leased hotels 1 1 1 2 Manachised hotels 1 2 6 Franchised hotels 3 HanTing Plus Hotel 5 Leased hotels 1 Manachised hotels 4 ibis Styles Hotel 10 13 Manachised hotels 7 10 Franchised hotels 3 3 Mercure Hotel 1 15 20 Leased hotels 1 2 2 Manachised hotels 12 15 Franchised hotels 1 3 Novotel Hotel 2 4 Manachised hotels 1 3 Franchised hotels 1 1 Grand Mercure Hotel 1 4 Leased hotels 1 Manachised hotels 1 Franchised hotels 1 2 Orange Selected 103 Leased hotels 44 Manachised hotels 41 Franchised hotels 18 Crystal Orange 42 Leased hotels 19 Manachised hotels 15 Franchised hotels 8 Total 1,425 1,995 2,763 3,269 3,746 economy hotels 91.9% 91.2% 88.8% 86.1% 79.4% mid-upscale hotels 8.1% 8.8% 11.2% 13.9% 20.6% 29

Room Breakdown by Brands Number of rooms in operation As of As of As of As of As of 12/31/2013 12/31/2014 12/31/2015 12/31/2016 12/31/2017 Economy hotels 138,576 185,959 238,156 270,808 279,619 HanTing Hotel 130,747 172,341 205,577 221,157 223,121 Leased hotels 54,154 57,306 57,277 56,491 52,300 Manachised hotels 76,593 115,035 148,300 164,602 170,443 Franchised hotels 64 378 Hi Inn 7,829 12,551 21,340 25,600 26,063 Leased hotels 4,422 3,895 3,698 3,411 2,727 Manachised hotels 3,407 8,656 16,725 19,361 20,466 Franchised hotels 917 2,828 2,870 Elan Hotel 1,067 11,239 13,800 16,120 Manachised hotels 1,067 9,837 11,121 13,963 Franchised hotels 1,402 2,679 2,157 ibis Hotel 10,251 13,474 Leased and owned hotels 2,887 Manachised hotels 4,522 Franchised hotels 6,065 Orange Hotel 841 Leased hotels 678 Manachised hotels 85 Franchised hotels 78 Midscale hotels and upscale hotels 14,303 23,996 40,687 60,539 100,056 JI Hotel 9,106 17,052 27,559 39,664 53,054 Leased hotels 6,891 10,260 13,195 14,314 15,868 Manachised hotels 2,215 6,792 14,364 25,201 36,912 Franchised hotels 149 274 Starway Hotel 4,959 6,321 12,138 13,206 16,914 Leased hotels 131 451 604 386 386 Manachised hotels 2,222 4,939 7,183 9,577 13,677 Franchised hotels 2,606 931 4,351 3,243 2,851 Joya Hotel 141 515 515 1,131 1,131 Leased hotels 141 315 315 523 523 Manachised hotels 200 200 608 608 Manxin Hotels & Resorts 97 108 236 78 1,150 Leased hotels 97 108 108-277 Manachised hotels 128 78 769 Franchised hotels 104 HanTing Plus Hotel 446 Leased hotels 98 Manachised hotels 348 ibis Styles Hotel 1,614 1,841 Manachised hotels 1,425 Franchised hotels 416 Mercure Hotel 239 4,026 4,664 Leased hotels 239 496 Manachised hotels 3,546 Franchised hotels 622 Novotel Hotel 629 1,697 Manachised hotels 1,374 Franchised hotels 323 Grand Mercure Hotel 191 882 Leased hotels 360 Manachised hotels 151 Franchised hotels 191 371 Orange Selected 12,648 Leased hotels 5,732 Manachised hotels 4,817 Franchised hotels 2,099 Crystal Orange 5,629 Leased hotels 2,686 Manachised hotels 1,959 Franchised hotels 984 Total 152,879 209,955 278,843 331,347 379,675 economy rooms 90.6% 88.6% 85.4% 81.7% 73.6% mid-upscale rooms 9.4% 11.4% 14.6% 18.3% 26.4% 30