Disaster Prevention Monitoring in a Vulnerable Environment Mahabir Pun

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Transcription:

Disaster Prevention Monitoring in a Vulnerable Environment Mahabir Pun Nepal Wireless Project Nepal Research & Education Network 14 April 2008, Japan

My Involvement Chairman, the Institute for Himalayan Conservation Nepal since 2000 Team Leader Nepal Wireless Networking Project since 2002 Vice Chairman Nepal Research and Education Network since 2006

Relay Station 1 Receiver at 3,220m

Impact of Climate Change in the Himalayas Rate of increase of warming by 0.15 C to 0.6 C per decade Rate of glaciers shrinking is higher in recent decades The numbers of Glacial lakes are increasing Glacial lakes Outburst Floods (GLOFs)

Nepal Context 8 out of 10 highest Mountains in the world Total Glaciers - 3252 covering 5223 sq. km in Nepal 2323 glacial lakes in Nepal ( Source: ICIMOD and UNEP)

Glaciers and glacial lakes in Nepal Mahakali Basin Karnali Basin Gandaki Basin Koshi Basin Glacial lakes - 2323

Potentially dangerous glacial lakes Source: Hiromichi FUKUI, Faculty of Policy Management, Global Security Research Center, Keio University

GLACIAL LAKE OUTBRUST FLOOD The highest risk from climate change is the increasing risk of Glacial Lake Outburst Flood Impacts UPON mountain eco-system Displaces downstream villages Further south, huge damage to corps and other livelihoods There are many new glacial lakes being formed in the high Himalayas 20 potential GLOF in Nepal

GLOF Risks in the Himalayas Extensive Study only done in Dudhkoshi Basin by Samjwal et al (ICIMOD) Big Damage due to Dig Tso burst in 1985 Preventive work done in only in Tso Rolpa Current Research work between NREN, ICIMOD, DNPW, Keio University, NARO and APAN-JP on Imja-Tse in Khumbu This week there is expedition in Everest region already.

Objectives To demonstrate the real time monitoring of Imja glacial lake as a pilot study for potential Glacial Lake Outburst Flood hazard To provide early warning to save mountain communities, infrastructure and environment To build local area Wireless network (wifi) between the villages and connect with VSAT terminal to provide Internet connectivity and access for the local community

Imja Glacier Retreat and Growing Lake Source: Hiromichi FUKUI, Faculty of Policy Management, Global Security Research Center, Keio University CORONA 15 DEC 1962 SPACE SHUTTLE DEC 1983 LANDSAT TM 1992 IRS ID PAN 19 MAR 2001 ENVISAT, ASAR, 18 October 2007 Quickbird Jan 2006 IRS LISS3 2005

Networking of field sensor and transmission station in Mt. Everest region for the real time monitoring of Lake Imja Tsho Everest Everest base camp Kalapathar Khumbu Glacier Loboche (Pyramid) Chhukung Ri Imja lake 25 Km Phortse Dingboche Tengboche Pangboche Namche bazaar Quangde

Imja Lake at 5,110 m

Wireless Relay at Chhukung with Prof. Hiramichi Fukui

Pictures of field server deployment

Real Time Image of Imja Lake (2007/11/13, 12:54 PM)

Regular Monitoring, Early Warning and Mitigation Measures Simulation of GLOF Vulnerability and risk assessment (Near) Real time monitoring Networking of field sensor and transmission station Wireless Sensor Network

Lessons Learned ICT technologies can help in monitoring and documenting changes. Will also help in taking preventive measures. ICT can also increase the awareness in local communities about potential hazards A public private partnership between local communities, government, service providers and scientific researchers can only get the work done

Technology Lessons Learned Wireless Network can be made to work in remotest areas Low power self sufficient devices embedded with appropriate sensors are needed to avoid big impact on fragile ecosystem Power storing technology still needs more work for remote and cold areas.

Next Steps Enhanced observation, monitoring Promote exchange of data and information Enhance cooperative studies among other area Promote capacity building Considering systematic way for mitigation and adaptation

Our Bigger Plan Deploy more wireless enabled field stations Weather stations, sensor network, field servers Build a network from Khumbu region to Dhaulagiri /Annapurna region to monitor changes happening between the six 8000m+ and several 7000m+ mountains in the region.

Mount Everest to Dhaulagiri ~ 370 KM

Invite all interested parties NREN, NWP and partners in Nepal welcome other participants who have stake in these activities. Imja FS website : http://de04.gsec.keio.ac.jp:9080/glacier/se nsordata.html Eco-Everest Expedition www.ecoeverest.net.np

PHILOSOPHICAL SOLUTION TO REDUCE THE CLIMATE CHANGE WE MUST REDUCE HUMAN GREED IN ORDER TO REDUCE THE EMISSION OF CARBON DIOXIDE

Thank you Mahabir@nren.net.np Mahabir@himanchal.org www.nepalwireless.net www.nren.net.np