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Transcription:

Cathay Pacific Airways Annual Results for the year ended 31 st December 2011 14 March 2012 1

Annual Result 2011 2010 Change Group attributable profit HK$5,501m HK$14,048m -60.8% Group Turnover HK$98,406m HK$89,524m +9.9% Profit Margin 5.6% 15.7% -10.1%pt Return on Capital Employed 8.6% 22.0% -13.4%pt Earnings per share HK 139.8 HK 357.1-60.9% Dividends per share HK 52 HK 111-53.2% Available tonne kilometres 26,383m 24,461m +7.9% Cost per ATK (with fuel) HK$3.45 HK$3.16 +9.2% Cost per ATK (w/o fuel) HK$2.01 HK$2.02-0.5% Revenue Load Factor 77.0% 81.1% -4.1%pt Breakeven Load Factor 72.2% 69.3% +2.9%pt 2

Airlines operating profit 2011 HK$M 2010 HK$M 4,025 9,465 Profit on disposal of HAECO and HACTL shares - 2,165 Gain on deemed disposal of Air China shares - 868 Airlines' operating profit before non-recurring items and tax Tax charge (609) (1,347) Airlines' profit after tax 3,416 11,110 Share of profits from subsidiaries & associates 2,085 2,938 5,501 14,048 Profit attributable to owners of Cathay Pacific 3

HK$m Reconciliation of airlines operating profit before non-recurring items and tax : 2010 to 2011 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 Pax +8,424m Cargo -392m ` 10,000 8,000 +1,813m 6,000 4,000 2,000 9,424-12,169m -3,075m 4,025m 0 2010 Traffic Traffic Fuel Fuel Others 2011 turnover turnover hedging gain 4

Passenger Service - Key Numbers 2011 vs 2010 Turnover HK$67,778m + 14.2% Seat Capacity (ASK) 126,340m +9.2% Passenger Number 27.6m +2.9% Yield per Revenue Pax Km HK 66.5 +8.7% Load Factor 80.4% -3.0% pt 5

Passenger Yield 68 66 64 63.5 66.5 62 60 58 56 60.4 61.2 54 52 50 52.9 51.1 48 46 45.7 45.4 45.8 46.3 44 43.3 42 40 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 6

PASSENGER LOAD FACTOR (JAN 2008 - DEC 2011) 90% 85% 80% 75% 70% 65% 60% JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2008 2009 2010 2011 7

Passenger Service - by Region ASK (m) vs 2010 Load Factor vs 2010 Yield Change India, Middle East, Pakistan and Sri Lanka 11,467 +4.4% 74.2% -3.3% pt +9.5% Southeast Asia 16,020 +11.9% 82.6% -0.2% pt +7.5% SW Pacific and South 19,082 +4.1% 76.3% -3.9% pt +10.7% Africa Europe 22,552 +7.4% 83.7% -2.2% pt +10.1% North Asia 25,375 +4.4% 73.5% -6.2% pt +14.8% North America 31,844 +18.7% 87.1% -2.8% pt +4.0% Systemwide 126,340 +9.2% 80.4% -3.0% pt +8.7% 8

Passenger Services Development in 2011 New passenger services to Abu Dhabi (2 Jun) and Chicago (1 Sep) Increased frequencies to:- Paris : double daily (including 3 flights per week via Amsterdam) Taipei: 108 flights per week Toronto: double-daily New York: four flights a day Milan: daily Jakarta : three-times-daily Surabaya : daily Singapore : eight-times-daily Increased capacity in Mainland China & Taipei 9

Passenger Services Development in 2012 Planned increased frequencies of Cathay Pacific :- Penang : 10 flights a week Nagoya : three-times-daily Singapore : 61 flights a week Kuala Lumpur : four-times-daily Bangkok : six-times-daily Taipei : 114 flights a week 10

Passenger Services Development in 2012 Planned increased flight frequencies of Dragonair :- - Okinawa: to 4 flights a week - Ningbo: to double daily - Qingdao: to 10 flights a week Resume scheduled services to Xian and Guilin 11

Cargo Service - Key Numbers 2011 vs 2010 Group Turnover HK$25,980m +0.3% Cathay Pacific and Dragonair Cargo Capacity (ATK) 14,367m + 6.9% Cargo Carried 1,649k tons - 8.6% Yield per tonne km HK$2.42 + 3.9% Load factor 67.2% -8.5%pt 12

HK$ Cargo & Mail Yield 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.25 2.26 2.54 2.33 2.42 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.85 1.86 1.80 1.78 1.76 1.75 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 13

CARGO AND MAIL LOAD FACTOR (JAN 2008 - DEC 2011) 85% 80% 75% 70% 65% 60% 55% 50% JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 2008 2009 2010 2011 14

Cargo Operating Performance 2011 Managed capacity to keep in line with demand. Continue to seek opportunities in new markets : - Bengaluru - Chongqing and Chengdu - Zaragoza Expanded network through passenger airline growth. 15

Cargo Terminal Total investment costs HK$ billion Up to 2010 1.9 2011 2.4 2012 1.4 2013 - Total 5.7 16

Fleet composition changes (CX/KA) Fleet @ 31 Dec 2010 159 Deliveries (6x777-300ERs, 4x747-8Fs, 3xA330-300) 13 Returned (2xA340-300, 1XA330-300) (3) Deregistered (1x747-400) (1) Leased out ( 3 x747-400bcf to AHK) (3) Sold (1x747-400BCF) (1) Fleet @ 31Dec2011 164 Parked (2x A340-300) (2) Operating fleet @ 31 Dec 2011 162 Passenger aircraft 138 Freighter 24 17

New Aircraft as at March 2012 Orders brought forward at 1 Jan 2011 67 Delivered (13) New Orders March 2011 25 August 2011 12 December 2011 2 Total as of 31 Dec 2011 93 New Orders in January 2012 8 Delivered in February 2012 (5) Total as of 14 March 2012 96 18

Aircraft Delivery Plan as at March 2012 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 B747-8F 3 2 5 B777-200F 4 2 2 8 A320-200 2 2 A330-300 5 4 6 3 18 A350-900 2 10 10 12 4 38 B777-300ER 4 8 8 5 25 Total 14 14 18 12 12 10 12 4 96 19

Cargo Fleet Plan 2011 Fleet composition as at 31 Dec 2011 24 x 747 Freighters : 6 x 747-400F, 6 x 747-400ERF, 8 x 747-400BCF and 4 x 747-8F Future development Sale 2 x 747-400BCF to Air China Cargo New delivery 747-8F 4 in 2012 and 2 in 2013 777-200F 4 in 2014, 2 in 2015 and 2 in 2016 HK$250m impairment on B747-BCFs 20

Products and Services New business class seats 15 aircraft of these types had been installed at end of 2011. 50 aircraft are expected to be retrofitted with the new products by end of 2012, 63 by end of 2013. New Premium Economy cabins 87 aircraft by end 2013. started to install the new cabins in our long-haul aircraft. New economy class seat 63 aircraft by end 2013. Continue to upgrade lounges. 21

Group Operating Cost 2011 vs 2010 HK$m Staff 14,772 + 6.7% Inflight service & passenger 3,794 +14.7% Landing, parking & route 13,105 +16.0% Fuel 38,877 + 37.5% Aircraft maintenance 8,468 + 19.7% Depreciation, amortisation & leases 9,402 + 0.1% Net finance charges 744-23.9% Others 4,488-14.8% Total Operating Cost 93,650 + 17.9% 22

HK$ Airlines Cost per ATK without Fuel 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 2.08 2.00 2.02 2.01 1.95 1.89 1.79 1.82 1.73 1.73 1.69 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 23

Staff no. Productivity - Staff 25,000 ATK 2,500 20,000 2,000 15,000 1,500 10,000 1,000 5,000 500 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Staff no. at year end ATK per HK$'000 staff cost ATK (in '000) per staff 0 Note: Includes KA from Oct06 24

Financial Risk Management Currency All major currencies are hedged in compliance with our policy. Liquidity First issue on new MTN programme in 2011 of HK$658m - 7 yrs. Further SGD150 million in 2012-5 yrs. Unpledged liquid funds and undrawn committed lines HK$22bn at 31 Dec 2011. Interest rates Overall cost of debt remains low. Margins have widened, but yield curve at historically attractive levels. Strategic management of fixed / floating ratio taking advantage of low fixed rates to lock in aircraft financing. 25

Fuel hedging as at 14 March 2012 Fuel hedging coverage 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2012 Jan-Jun 2013 Brent (US$/barrel) 26

Major subsidiaries AHK Air Hong Kong Operates a fleet of eight owned Airbus A300-600F and three dry-leased aircraft. Load factor dropped by 3% points but yield improved by 19%. Lower profit in 2011 compared to 2010. Cathay Pacific Catering Services Produced 22.9 million meals, an increase of 4% Market share is 64% in 2011. Increase in the volume of sales and profit, but cost increase in raw material, fuel and wages resulted in a lower profit margin. Asia Miles Membership exceeds 4 million worldwide, 46% of whom reside in Mainland China. Won Best FFP award for the seventh consecutive year. 27

Air China Cathay Pacific has a 19.53% interest in Air China. Air China plays an important role in our business, contributing approximately 31.1% of our consolidated profits before tax in 2011. Cathay Pacific accounts for Air China for the 12 months ended 30 th September 2011 and any significant events or transactions during their last quarter. 28

Air China / Cathay Pacific Cargo Joint Venture CX acquired 49% economic interest in Air China Cargo (ACC) and the cargo joint venture was formally approved and established on 28 Feb 2011 and officially launched in May 2011. CX Group selling assets to ACC - 4 x 747-400BCFs (one was sold in 2010; one was sold in 2011, the other 2 will be sold in 2012) - 2 spare engines (one sold in 2011 and one to be sold in 2012) Strategic Objective: Grow Air China Cargo to become preeminent cargo carrier in Beijing & Shanghai 29

Balance Sheet 31 Dec 11 Shareholders' Funds Gross Borrowings Less: Liquid Funds (less OD) HK$55,809m HK$43,335m HK$(19,597m) 31 Dec 10 HK$54,274m HK$39,629m vs Dec 10 2.8% up 9.4% up HK$(24,194m) 19.0% down Net Borrowings Capital Employed (incl. non-controlling interests) HK$23,738m HK$79,682m HK$15,435m HK$69,864m Net Debt/Equity Ratio 0.43 HK$15,777m 0.28 +0.15 times HK$12,553m 25.7% up Investment in Air China 53.8% up 14.1% up 30

Liquid Fund Flow 2011 2010 Inflow HK$'M HK$'M New financing 12,187 5,815 Operating activities 13,980 17,599 Disposals & others 2,840 4,915 Outflow Capital expenditure (17,610) (8,299) Acquisition of additional (3,098) (1,130) shareholding in an associate Loan repayment (8,930) (9,349) Dividend paid (3,966) (1,868) Net (outflow) / inflow (4,597) 7,683 31

Profit & Net Debt/Equity Ratio Profit / (loss) - HK$ m 20,000 D/E ratio - times 0.8 15,000 10,000 5,000 SARS 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0 (5,000) (10,000) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Profit/(Loss) Net debt/equity ratio 32

Airline Strategy Grow our international network, expand frequencies and further develop Hong Kong as one of the world s leading aviation hubs. Ensure that quality and our brand are not compromised and the service proposition to the customer remains strong. Continue to develop the strategic relationship with Air China. Maintain a prudent approach to financial risk management. 33

Outlook Global economic uncertainties continues into 2012. Softening in pax demand being seen. Cargo demand remains weak. High fuel price remains a concern. Continue enhancement of products and services to strengthen our competitive edge. 34

Q & A For more information, please visit our website www.cathaypacific.com 35

Audit Qualification Appendix 1-1 HKSA 600 Audits of Group Financial Statements. Effective from 2010 for December year ends. Applies to the CX Group including components (i.e. subsidiaries and associated companies). A full audit is required to be performed on each component of individual financial significance to the Group. 36

Audit Qualification Appendix 1-2 Accounting for Air China Air China's audited financial statements are not available at the time CX publishes its annual results for the year to 31st December. CX therefore consolidates Air China s results based on results 3 months in arrears i.e. the 31 December annual report uses 12 months of Air China s results to 30 September, and any significant events or transactions for the period from 1 October to 31 December. Air China s quarterly results are prepared in accordance with PRC GAAP. These results are adjusted to comply with IFRS. 37

Audit Qualification Appendix 1-3 Accounting for Air China Air China's results under PRC GAAP for the period 1 October 2010 to 30 September 2011 were RMB10.6bn. Q3 2011 results announced on 27 October 2011 were in full compliance with PRC regulatory requirements although not audited. It was not practical to perform a full audit of the specific split of the results for the 12 months to 30 Sept 2011 prior to release of Q3 2011 results. Implications Air China is be a significant component of CX Group s results for the year to 31st December 2011. 38

Audit Qualification Appendix 1-4 Implications Air China was not deemed to be a significant component for the year ended 31st December 2010. Whilst the accounts are produced on a consistent basis with prior years, there is a technical audit qualification. Air China s results to 31 December is audited by their auditor, Ernst & Young. Air China has always had unqualified audit opinions. The working relationship and co-operation between CX and Air China remains healthy and positive. 39