Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2011 Results Presentation. February 1, 2012

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Transcription:

Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2011 Results Presentation February 1, 2012

This presentation may include forward-looking comments regarding the Company s business outlook and anticipated financial and operating results. These expectations are highly dependent on the economy, the airline industry, commodity prices, international markets and external events. Therefore, they are subject to change and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that may arise after the date of this presentation. More information on the risk factors that could affect our results are contained on our Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2010. Information, tables and logos contained in this presentation may not be used without consent from LAN 2

Contents I. 4Q AND FY 2011 FINANCIAL RESULTS II. STRATEGIC INITIATIVES & FUTURE OUTLOOK 3

Highlights 4Q and FY 2011 (US$ million) 4Q 2011 % Change (YoY) FY 2011 % Change (YoY) Total Revenues 1,535 17.9% 5,718 26.4% Passenger Revenues 1,074 20.8% 4,009 28.9% C argo Revenues 428 15.8% 1,577 23.1% Total Operating Expenses -1,366 25.1% -5,179 32.8% Operating Income 169-19.6% 540-13.4% Operating Margin 11.0% -5.1 pp 9.4% -4.3 pp Net Income 113-31.6% 320-23.7% EBITDAR * 322-2.3% 1,119 5.2% EBITDAR Margin 21.0% -4.3 pp 19.6% -3.9 pp 4Q 2011 results continue to reflect solid demand trends in both passenger and cargo operations Operating margin in 4Q 2011 reflects higher costs related to the startup of LAN s operations in Colombia and the ongoing effects of the volcanic ash cloud Operating margins were also affected by an increase in fuel prices, a part of which were not recovered via the fuel surcharge mechanism * EBITDAR = Operating income + depreciation & amortization + aircraft rentals 4

4Q 2011 - Operating Margin Analysis Operating Margin (%) 1.3% 16.2% 3.5% 6.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 1.1% 11.0% 2010 Yield F.O Fuel LAN Colombia Ash Cloud LATAM Costs Others 2011 2.46 Fuel Price* [US$] 3.17 +28.8% 211 Op. Margin [US$MM] 169-19.6% *Fuel price excludes fuel hedge 5

FY 2011 - Operating Margin Analysis Operating Margin (%) 1.4% 7.7% 10.1% 13.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 1.3% 9.4% 2010 Yield F.O Fuel LAN Colombia Ash Cloud LATAM Costs Others 2011 2.32 Fuel Price* [US$] 3.18 +37.2% 623 Op. Margin [US$ MM] 540-13.4% *Fuel price excludes fuel hedge 6

Passenger Business - Revenue Increases 20.8% in 4Q 2011 +13.3% +10.8% -1.8 pp. 11.134 12.611 9.096 10.076 81,7% 79,9% Pax Capacity (million ASK) Pax Traffic (million RPK) Pax Load Factor +9.1% +6.7% 9,8 10,7 8,0 8,5 Pax Yield (US$ cents) Pax RASK (US$ cents) 4Q 2010 4Q 2011 7

Passenger Business - Capacity Growth 4Q 2011 ASK 4Q 2010 ASK 4Q 2011 Dom. Peru 8% Dom. Argent. 7% Dom. Ecuador 1% Dom. Ecuador 1% Dom. Argent. 7% Dom. Peru 7% Dom. Colombia 5% Regional 23% Intl. (Long Haul) 46% Intl. (Long Haul) 42% Regional 24% Dom. Chile 15% Dom. Chile 14% Growth in ASK (4Q11 vs. 4Q10) 13.3% International (Long Haul) 1.3% Regional 17.2% Chile Domestic 9.9% Peru Domestic 0.4% Argentina Domestic 22.3% Ecuador Domestic 54.8% 8

Integrating LAN Colombia Turnaround Process LAN Colombia s Fleet Recover reliability and OTP LAN safety and security standards(iosa) Improve flight offers & quality of service Recover profitability Rebranding AIRES to LAN (Dec 2011) Grow capacity with Airbus A320 fleet BOEING 737-700 Aircraft: 6 Seats: 148 DASH 8-Q400 Aircraft: 4 Seats: 78 AIRBUS A320 Aircraft: 3 Seats: 168/174 DASH 8-200 Aircraft: 10 Seats: 37 Turnaround Process Rebranding Integrating LAN Colombia 9

Cargo Business - Revenue Increases 15.8% in 4Q 2011 +9.8% +10.0% +0.2 pp. 1.239 1.360 890 979 71,8% 72,0% Cargo Capacity (million ATK) Cargo Traffic (million RTK) Cargo Load Factor +5.2% +5.4% 41,6 43,8 29,9 31,5 Cargo Yield (US$ cents) Cargo RATK (US$ cents) 4Q 2010 4Q 2011 10

4Q 2011- Cost Analysis Costs (US$ millions) 4Q11 4Q10 Variation (%) Wages & Benefits 251 229 10% Fuel Costs 468 319 47% Commissions to Agents 55 49 14% Depreciation & Amortization Other Rental & Landing Fees 108 92 17% 176 173 1% Passenger Service 33 32 4% Aircraft Rentals 45 27 66% Maintenance Expenses 43 30 45% Other Operating Expenses 186 142 32% Main Impacts Increased headcount, LAN Colombia, partially offset by depreciation of Latin American currencies 29% higher fuel costs 19% increase in passenger and cargo traffic revenues Delivery of 14 A320 Family and 3 Boeing 767-300 passenger aircraft Higher handling costs and aeronautical 45.3 rates partially offset by lower ACMI leasing costs. More passengers transported Incorporation of 23 aircraft of LAN Colombia, 1 B767F and 6 Airbus A320s Larger fleet, including LAN Colombia Commercial and distribution system expenses Total Costs 1,366 1,092 25% 11

Solid Financial Position EBITDAR/ Interest expenses Liquidity (US$ mm) (% of revenues LTM) 27% 488 24% 160 20% 19% 160 160 21% 208 4.1 4.1 3.8 3.7 3.7 737 44.1 618 388 487 375 526 332 525 473 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Cash PDPs with own funds Committed credit lines Adj. Debt/ EBITDAR 3.8 3.9 4.3 4.3 4.4 LAN remains one of the few investment grade airlines in the 43,5 world 41,3 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 12

Fuel Hedges Fuel Hedges (% of consumption) 90% 71% 34% 60% 30% 0% 10% 10% 10% 15% 9% 12% 10% 28% 5% 22% 10% 5% 5% 7% 10% 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 WTI Swap WTI Collar 1 WTI Collar 2 WTI Collar 3 WTI Call Option WTI Swap: $94.1 $94.5 $85.3 $86.4 WTI Collar 1: $60 / $90 $70 / $95 $75 / $95 $75 / $100 WTI Collar 2: $75 / $100 $75 / $95 $75 / $97 $70 / $93.6 WTI Collar 3: $75 / $97 $70 / $91.9 WTI Call Option: $130 13 Note: hedging position as of January 31, 2012

Contents I. 4Q AND FY 2011 FINANCIAL RESULTS II. STRATEGIC INITIATIVES & FUTURE OUTLOOK 14

Net Fleet Deliveries 2012-2014 15 7 9 17 A320 Fam Short Haul 2011 2012 2013 2014 2 3 7 3 7 2 B787 B767 2011 2012 2013 2014 Long Haul 1 2 B777F B767F Cargo Total Fleet CAPEX (US$ millions) 2011 2012 2013 2014 841 1,759 1,374 1,598 Total CAPEX (2012-2018) US$ 8.9 bn 15

2012 Estimated Capacity Expansion Passenger ASK Growth Cargo ATK Growth 25% 20% 15% 10% 10,2% 9,2% 13,7% 12% -14% 12% - 14% 25% 20% 15% 10% 20,5% 12,4% 7% - 9% 5% 5% 0% 0% -5% -10% 2009 2010 2011 2012E -5% -10% -6,0% 2009 2010 2011 2012E 16

Milestones in the Merger with TAM Aug 13, 2010 LAN and TAM announce their intentions to combine Mar 1, 2011 ANAC approved the proposed corporate structure Antitrust Brazil SEAE (Aug 2011) SDE (Aug 2011) CADE (Dec 2011) Nov 15, 2011 F4 SEC filing (preliminary version) Jan 18, 2012 Edital CVM filing (preliminary version) Jan18, 2011 LAN and TAM signed binding agreements Antitrust Europe Germany (Jul 2011) Italy (Aug 2011) Spain (Oct 2011) Antitrust Chile TDLC (Sep 2011) Supreme Court (pending) Shareholder Meetings LAN (Dec 2011) TAM (Jan 2012) 17

Detailing the Updated Estimated US$600~700M in Synergies Revenue: Cargo~$120-125M, Pax ~$240-285M Cost: ~$240-290M Lower bound Synergy source Value US$ Millions Rationale Synergy source Value US$ Millions Rationale Upper bound Cargo 120 125 New service, sharing of best practices Airports 30 35 Consolidation of functions in overlapping stations Network relevance 75 85 Improved access to joint hubs and combined network appeal Procurement 70 100 Leveraging economies of scale in contracts New and increased connectivity 70 80 Combined network creates new city pairs and increased service Corporate 20 20 Streamlining of corporate overhead and some functions New flights 45 45 Combined network supports new flights and hubs IT 65 70 Efficiencies of common IT platforms Other passenger revenue 35 50 Includes consolidation of partner airline contracts and increased utilization Maintenance 20 25 Leveraging economies and efficiencies of scale Frequent flyer 15 25 Consolidation of the programs and sharing of best practices Sales 35 40 Efficiency of combined sales efforts 18

Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2011 Results Presentation February 1, 2012