John Leahy Chief Operating Officer, Customers Airbus Annual Press Conference

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Transcription:

John Leahy Chief Operating Officer, Customers Airbus Annual Press Conference 13 January 2014

A year of new industry records 2013 result Previous records Airbus records Airbus orders 1,619 gross 1,608 (Airbus 2011) 1,458 (Airbus 2007) 1,503 net 1,419 (Airbus 2011) 1,413 (Boeing 2007) Airbus year-end backlog 5,559 aircraft 4,682 (Airbus 2012) Orders Deliveries Backlog Airbus Deliveries 626 aircraft 648 (Boeing 2013)

2013 Airbus firm orders End November 1,408 gross 1,314 net Dec 2 Undisclosed A319/A320/A321(CEO and NEO) 60 2 Undisclosed A320 (CEO and NEO) 40 4 Undisclosed ACJ320 1 10 United A319/A320ceo -12 17 Z/C Aviation Partners One LLC A319 1 18 Air Asia X A330-300 25 19 Undisclosed A330-200 4 20 Air Caraibes A350-1000 3 20 Undisclosed A320neo 20 23 Emirates A380 50 31 Turkish Airlines A321neo 7 31 Kingfisher A350-800/A380-10 End December 1,619 gross 1,503 net

2013 Airbus sales Gross Net A320ceo 377 286 A320neo 876 876 A330-200 (incl Freighters) 18 10 A330-300 59 59 A350-900 180 179 A350-1000 59 59 A380 50 42 TOTAL 1,619 1,503 Firm orders 2013 record year -8 A350-800 net

2013 Airbus and Boeing world market share Gross order share since 1995 100 80 60 Boeing 82% Airbus 51% 1,619 aircraft 40 20 0 Airbus 18% 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 Boeing 49% 1,531 aircraft Data to end 2013

2013 Airbus and Boeing world market share Net order share since 1995 100 80 60 Boeing 82% Airbus 53% 1,503 aircraft 40 20 0 Airbus 18% 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 Boeing 47% 1,355 aircraft Data to end 2013

2013 gross market share Units Revenues Airbus 1,619 51% Boeing 1,531 49% Airbus $240.5 53% Boeing $215.8 47% 3,150 industry orders $456.3bn industry Data to end 2013

2013 market share by category - gross Single aisle 2,461 orders Widebody 622 orders VLA 67 orders A320 737 1,253 51% 1,208 49% A330 A350 316 51% 306 49% 767 777 787 A380 747-8 50 75% 17 25% ACJ 4 57% BBJ 3 43% NEO 876 56% MAX 699 44% A350 239 57% 787 183 43% A380 pax 50 82% 747-8 pax 11 18% Data to end 2013

2013 net market share Units Revenues Airbus 1,503 53% Boeing 1,355 47% Airbus $225.0 53% Boeing $197.6 47% 2,858 industry orders $422.6bn industry Data to end 2013

2013 market share by category - net Single aisle 2,208 orders Widebody 596 orders VLA 54 orders A320 737 1,162 53% 1,046 47% A330 A350 299 50% 297 50% 767 777 787 A380 747-8 42 78% 12 22% ACJ 1 25% BBJ 3 75% NEO 876 56% MAX 699 44% A350 230 56% 787 182 44% A380 pax 42 81% 747-8 pax 10 19% Data to end 2013

Delivery comparison over the last 10 years Annual deliveries 800 600 400 Airbus Boeing 2004-2011 Airbus delivered most aircraft 200 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Data to end 2013

Backlogs Airbus A320ceo 1,688 A320neo 2,610 A330 267 A350 812 A380 182 Total 5,559 Boeing 737NG 1,917 737 MAX 1,763 767 49 787 916 777 (incl 66 777X) 380 747 55 Total 5,080 Backlog 5,559 record industry backlog Data to end 2013

2013 Airbus order backlog by region Airbus backlog and GMF Lessors 17% North America 12% 20% Latin America 7% 8% Europe & CIS 18% 24% Africa 1% 3% Backlog of 5,393 aircraft Middle East 10% 7% Asia Pacific 34% 38% backlog GMF Data to end 2013. Corporate, MRTT less than 1%

1,253 new A320 Family orders in 2013. 876 A320neo, 377 A320ceo 10,193 firm orders 5,895 deliveries 4,298 firm order backlog 1,688 CEO 2,610 NEO A320 Takes-off or lands every 2 seconds with 99.6% reliability Commercial data to end 2013. In-Service data Summer 2013

A320neo: Featuring new engines and Sharklets A320neo 15% lower fuel burn, more range Most comfortable single aisle High commonality with A320ceo

NEO leads the MAX in orders and customers A320neo 48 customers* Including 2 customers converting 35 A320ceo A320neo 2,610 orders 60% 737 MAX 1,763 orders 40% 22 identified customers Including 9 customers converting 159 737NG 60% prefer A320neo Data to end 2013. *3 unidentified

A320neo is a better optimised aircraft 737NG CFM56-7B 737 MAX A320 A320neo Leap-1B CFM56-5B Leap-1A26 / PW1127G-JM By pass ratio: 9 By pass ratio: 12 61 69 68 81 68 OWE: +3.2 tonnes OWE: +1.8 tonnes With equivalent specifications A320 has the same OWE as 737-800W A320neo is 1.4 t lighter than 737 MAX 8

Airbus Widebody Family: matching market demand

Wide-body sales in 2013 Net passenger and freighter wide-body orders in 2013 2013 orders 500 400 300 200 230 182 341 Airbus wide-body 309 Boeing wide-body 100 0 69 42 47 66 2 12 A380 A350 A330 787 767 777 777X 747-8

500 400 300 200 100 Airbus leads Boeing in wide-body sales 0 Net passenger and freighter wide-body orders since 2008 Includes commitments from Dubai Airshow not yet firm orders 115 495 446 213 99 434 280 A380 A350 A330 787 767 777 777X 747-8 Orders since 2008 1,056 Airbus wide-body 1,042 Boeing wide-body 16 Net orders from Jan 2008 to end 2013

77 new A330 Family orders in 2013 1,313 firm orders 1,046 deliveries 267 backlog A330 Takes-off or lands every 22 seconds with 99.0% reliability Commercial data to end 2013 In-Service data August 2013

242 tonne A330-300

A330 cost efficiency in long range configuration 2,000 nm sector Direct operating cost per seat Datum DOC per seat +6% A330 242 tonnes Lower cost than the 787 A330-300 242t 300 seats 8-abreast 787-9 251t 304 seats 9-abreast A330-300 199t 400 seats 787-9 197t 364 seats Assumptions. All layouts to equivalent comfort standard. 2000nm sector, JAR 3%, 200nm diversion, fuel price 3 US$/Usg Engine thrust for A330-300 at 199t = 68k GE powered. Same delta improvement on engine re-rate assumed on 787-9 as A330-300

Making the A330 a successful Regional aircraft A330 Regional Lower operational weight MTOW - 199t other weights offered Optimized thrust Engine rated at 68k lbs Lowest cost per seat regional aircraft Up-to-date cabin Tailored for shorter ranges

A330 serving Asia s domestic and regional markets 2,700nm with 400 pax A330-300 @199t MTOW Beijing 6,100nm with 300 pax A330-300 @242t MTOW A330 versatility from long-haul to short-haul Assumptions: JAR 3%, 200nm diversion. 85% annual reliability winds, 3% track allowance

Domestic PRC will be the largest flow in 2032 Domestic PRC Domestic USA Intra Western Europe Western Europe - USA Asia - Western Europe Domestic India Asia - PRC Domestic Brazil Intra Asia Western Europe - Middle East Western Europe - South America Domestic Asia Asia - Middle East Western Europe - PRC Indian Sub - Middle East Asia - USA PRC - USA Central Europe - Western Europe South America - USA Indian Sub - USA 2012 2032 Billions RPK 20-year CAGR 2012 2032 7.0% 1.9% 2.9% 3.0% 4.3% 9.8% 6.2% 7.0% 6.1% 4.8% 4.8% 5.7% 8.0% 5.7% 6.1% 4.2% 6.5% 5.9% 5.3% 6.6% 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

A330-300 Regional: lowest cost per seat 2,000 nm sector Cash operating cost per seat Direct operating cost per seat A330 Regional Datum COC per seat Datum DOC per seat +12% Lower cost than the 787 787-9 197t 380 seats A330-300 199t 400 seats 24 J, 356 Y 24 J, 376 Y 9-abreast 9-abreast (Short range configuration) A330-300 199t 400 seats 787-9 197t 380 seats 24 J, 376 Y 24 J, 356 Y 9-abreast 9-abreast (Short range configuration) Assumptions. All layouts to equivalent comfort standard. 2000nm sector, JAR 3%, 200nm diversion, fuel price 3 US$/Usg, Airbus Standard Economic rules Lease rates: 787-9 - $1.25m A330-300 - $900k

239 new A350 XWB orders in 2013 812 firm orders 39 customers 812 backlog

Japan Airlines places 31 firm orders, 25 options for the A350 XWB JAL 18 A350-900 13 A350-1000 Order value $9.5 bn replaces 777 fleet

A350 XWB strength in simplicity A350-1000 A350-900 A350-800 777-9 777-300ER 777-8 777-200LR 787-10 787-9 787-8 A350 XWB Step ahead of 787 Generation beyond 777 Three models of latest generation aircraft Seven models of different generations

A350-900 offers more revenue potential than 787-10 Payload (kg) 70 000 60 000 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 10 000 787-10 (250.8t) A350-900 (268t) 331* pax & bags 315 passengers + baggage +16t cargo +1,600 nm range Long haul cargo 16t cargo twice a week earns >$5 million per year 0 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000 8 000 9 000 10 000 Range (nm) Typical 2-class configurations with 48 J-class at 60-inch pitch, Typical airline flight profile and reserves, * Airbus estimate

A350-900 capability versus 787-10 Payload (kg) 70 000 60 000 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 10 000 787-10 (250.8t) 331* pax & bags 315 passengers + baggage A350-900 (250t) 0 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000 8 000 9 000 10 000 Range (nm) Typical 2-class configurations with 48 J-class at 60-inch pitch, Typical airline flight profile and reserves, * Airbus estimate

Unrivalled A350-1000 efficiency a step change in efficiency 777-300ER LHR 40t MTOW more than A350-1000 20 t structure 20 t fuel SIN + 40T MTOW 6,500 nm mission, 350 passengers

A350-1000 vs. 777X. 777-9 190t OWE 777-300ER 175t OWE +15 t* -20 t 5 th derivative 4-frame stretch Frame sculpting Bigger wing featuring wtifolding wings Engine upsize 777-9 OWE Up to 35t heavier than a A350-1000 for 35 more seats A350-1000 155t OWE Clean sheet design

A350 XWB and 777 competitive position Fuel burn per seat A350-800 A350-900 20% 15% 10% 5% 777-8* 777-9* Comparable efficiencies 2.9l/pax/100km A350-1000 0% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 777-300ER Fuel burn per trip Shaping efficiency A350-900 unmatched fuel efficiency today A350-1000 will be one step further Typical airline rules : A350-900 at 315 seats, A350-1000 at 369 seats, 777-9X at 405 seats (10 abreast), 777-8X at 342 seats (10abreast), 777-300ER at 365 seats (9 abreast),, (*) Airbus estimate

50 new A380 orders in 2013 304 firm orders 19 customers 182 backlog A380 25 deliveries in 2013 Over 1.2M flight hours and 50M passengers to date

Traffic will double in the next 15 years World annual RPK (trillion) 16 14 12 ICAO total traffic 2012-2022 Airbus GMF 2013 2022-2032 4.4% 2012-2032 4.7% 10 5.1% 8 6 Air traffic has doubled 4 every 15 years 2 Air traffic will double 0 in the next 15 years 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017 2022 2027 2032 Source: ICAO, Airbus

2012: 42 mega-cities Handling more than 10,000 long haul passengers per day 42 Aviation Mega-cites 93% Of long-haul traffic on routes to/from/via 42 cities 0.8M Daily passengers: long-haul traffic to/from/via Mega cities Long-haul traffic Concentrated on a few main centres Source: GMF 2013; Cities with more than 10,000 daily passengers, Long haul traffic: flight distance >2,000nm, excl. domestic traffic;

2032: 89 mega-cities Handling more than 10,000 long haul passengers per day 89 Aviation Mega-cites 99% Of long-haul traffic on routes to/from/via 42 cities 2.2M Daily passengers: long-haul traffic to/from/via Mega cities Long-haul traffic Concentrated on a few main centres Source: GMF 2013; Cities with more than 10,000 daily passengers, Long haul traffic: flight distance >2,000nm, excl. domestic traffic;

A380: The large aircraft of choice Net orders passenger and freighter and VIP aircraft 747-8 119 orders 28% A380 72% market share A380 304 orders 72% Data to end 2013, Source: Airbus Orders & Deliveries, Boeing includes 9 747 VIP and 1 A380 VIP

A380: The large aircraft of choice Net orders passenger and VIP aircraft 747-8 51 orders 14% A380 86% market share Takes-off or lands every 2 seconds A380 304 orders 86% Data to end 2013, Source: Airbus Orders & Deliveries, Boeing includes 9 747 VIP and 1 A380 VIP

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