AMT China Staff AMT - Beijing Representative Office AMT - Shanghai Liaison Office Xingbin Li Chief Representative Phone: (86-10) 6410-7374, 6410-7375, 6410-7376 amtbro@public.bta.net.cn (lixingbin@amtchina.org) 011-86-13901179646 (Cell) Sean Jiang Business Development Manager Phone: (86-21) 6279-7640 Ext. 6219 amt_sho@online.sh.cn (jiangfeng@amtchina.org) 011-86-13801803680 (Cell) Shanghai Technology & Service Center AMT Guangzhou Liaison Office Harry Xiao General Manager Phone: (86-21) 5868-2809 (harryxiao@amtchina.org) 011-86-13585950550 (Cell) Bill Chan Regional Manager Phone: (86-20) 8365-2629 (billchan@amtchina.org) 011-86-15802772746 (Cell)
Aerospace
Civil Aircraft Market Growth RPK 100000 10000 RPK growth: 8.4% FTK growth: 10.5% 1000 100 10 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Source: China Civil Aviation Bureau
Civil Aircraft Market Growth Market demand RPK annual growth: 14% (2007-2026) 2026) Passenger traffic bet. China and US will double bef. 2012 Airport China will invest 1.4 tril RMB in new airports (2006-2010) Commercial airports: from current 142 to 192. Civil aircraft demands : Will have 3815 passenger aircrafts & 568 cargo aircrafts by 2027 Will need 2822 large jets & 993 regional aircrafts by 2027 Will need 2763 civil helicopters in next 20 years
Regional Aircraft Market Potential No. of Seats of the Aircraft No. of Aircrafts in 2005 No. of Aircrafts in 2025 Demand bet. 2006~2025 (61-100) 13 439 437 (40-60) 35 305 295 ( 39) 29 154 146 Total 77 898 878 Source: China Civil Aviation Bureau
30-60 seats The Size Range ERJ - Jet Xinzhou Turbo Prop 90-105 seats ARJ 700 ARJ 900 150-300 seats C919 C929
China s s Civil Aircraft Manufacturing 1. Regional Aircrafts 2. Large jets 3. Helicopters 4. Aero engines 5. Subcontracting 6. Aero equipments
China s s Civil Aircraft Manufacturing Regional Aircrafts (600-1200kms 1200kms; <100 seats) ARJ21: - 700 (90 seats) & 900 (105 seats) : - First ARJ21-700 rolled out on Dec.21, 2007. - First ARJ21 delivered in 2009. - Capacity(2012): 50 per year - Orders received: 208 units - Target: sell 500 units in 20 years
China s s Civil Aircraft Manufacturing Regional Aircrafts ARJ21 features: - Chinese Design (western design software) - Western engines (GE) - Western flight controls and avionics - Cockpit designed for easy transition from 737 platform
China s s Civil Aircraft Manufacturing Regional Aircrafts ARJ21 production sites: - SAMF-final assembly & stabilizer section - CAC- nose assembly - XAC -wing assembly & fuselage - SAC tail section
China s s Civil Aircraft Manufacturing Regional Aircrafts ERJ145 (<50 seats) Harbin/Embraer License Xinzhou 60 /600 (MA): -Xi an
Civil Aircraft Manufacturing Large aircraft (C919): by 2016 China s s large aircraft program (payload > 100 tons/w.150-200 seats) Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China,Ltd based in Shanghai w. $ 2.7 billion investment Global sourcing
Civil Aircraft Manufacturing Civil helicopter (Harbin) - HC/EC120 (5 seats) (\w.( Europe & Singapore) - Z 15 or EC 175 (6-ton helicopter)
Civil Aircraft Manufacturing Other civilian aircrafts: Y-88 (Shaanxi Aircraft Manufacturing Co.) Y-12 (Harbin Aviation Industry Co.) Xiao Ying 500 (Shijiazhuang Aviation Industry Co.) L162 Sports Plane (Shenyang Aircraft)
Aero Engine Manufacturing Aircraft engines Mainly for military purposes so far Developing own civil aircraft engines Current manufacturers: - Shenyang Liming Aircraft Engine Co. - Guizhou Liyang Aircraft Engine Co. - Xian Aircraft Engine Co. - Nanfang Aviation industry Co. - Chengdu Aircraft Engine Co. - Harbin Dongan Aircraft Engine Co.
China Aircraft Offset Programs Assembly/Part Program Source/Offset Vertical Fin & Tail Boeing 737 Empennage Boeing 757 Boeing USA Vought USA Final Assembly MD-82 McDonnell USA Center Wing Box Nose/Wing /Door ATR42 A320 Alenia Italy Airbus Europe
Subcontract Manufacturing 1 mil $ 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 30% annual gr owt h 790 600 460 1000 0 Source: China Aviation Website '07 '08 '09 '10
Civil Aircraft Manufacturing A320 assembly program: JV in Tianjin bet. Airbus & China Zhongtian (est. over 1 billion $ investment) Assembly started in 2008 1 st delivery in 2009 44 planes per year by 2011 284 planes to be assembled by 2016
Other Manufacturing Airborne equipment Airport equipment Aircraft maintenance 266 companies $1 billion business per year
Key Players - Restructured AVIC Group(Military and civilian division) http://www.avic.com.cn/ Xian Aircraft Shenyang Aircraft Chengdu Aircraft Shaanxi Aircraft Jiangxi Hongdu Aviation Harbin Aircraft
Where Are They Located in China Harbin Aircraft Shenyang Aircraft Xian Aircraft Shanghai Aircraft Jiangxi Hongdu Aircraft Chengdu Aircraft
1999-2008 China Space Industry >60 launches >50 Chinese satellites 66 spacecrafts 11 Moon prober 2009 13 satellites 11 Mars probe Source: China Aerospace Website
Focuses on: China Space Plan Manned spacecraft Moon probe Hi-Res earth observation system Beidou positioning & navigation system New generation of heavy-duty rockets 2015 Satellite Export: 10% of world s s total Commercial Launch: 15% of world s s total Source: China Aerospace 11 th 5-Year-Plan
Where Are They Located in China 117 key players Liaoning 9% Shanghai 9% Sichuan 8% Hubei 6% Shaan'xi 14% Jiangxi 5% Jiangsu 5% Hunai 5% Beijing 17% Other areas
Where Are They Located in China Future 4+4 bases: Inner Mongolia Beijing Tianjin Shaanxi Shanghai Sichuan Shenzhen Hainan