Citi Industrials Conference

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Transcription:

Citi Industrials Conference June 13, 2017 Andrew Levy Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements included in this presentation are forward-looking and thus reflect our current expectations and beliefs with respect to certain current and future events and anticipated financial and operating performance. Such forward-looking statements are and will be subject to many risks and uncertainties relating to our operations and business environment that may cause actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. Words such as expects, will, plans, anticipates, indicates, believes, forecast, guidance, outlook and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Additionally, forward-looking statements include statements that do not relate solely to historical facts, such as statements which identify uncertainties or trends, discuss the possible future effects of current known trends or uncertainties or which indicate that the future effects of known trends or uncertainties cannot be predicted, guaranteed or assured. All forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon information available to us on the date of this presentation. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, changed circumstances or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. Our actual results could differ materially from these forward-looking statements due to numerous factors including, without limitation, the following: our ability to comply with the terms of our various financing arrangements; the costs and availability of financing; our ability to maintain adequate liquidity; our ability to execute our operational plans and revenue-generating initiatives, including optimizing our revenue; our ability to control our costs, including realizing benefits from our resource optimization efforts, revenue-generating initiatives, cost reduction initiatives and fleet replacement programs; our ability to utilize our net operating losses; our ability to attract and retain customers; demand for transportation in the markets in which we operate; an outbreak of a disease that affects travel demand or travel behavior; demand for travel and the impact that global economic conditions have on customer travel patterns; excessive taxation and the inability to offset future taxable income; general economic conditions (including interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates, investment or credit market conditions, crude oil prices, costs of aircraft fuel and energy refining capacity in relevant markets); economic and political instability and other risks of doing business globally; any potential realized or unrealized gains or losses related to fuel or currency hedging programs; the effects of any hostilities, act of war or terrorist attack; the ability of other air carriers with whom we have alliances or partnerships to provide the services contemplated by the respective arrangements with such carriers; disruptions to our regional network; the costs and availability of aviation and other insurance; industry consolidation or changes in airline alliances; competitive pressures on pricing and on demand; our capacity decisions and the capacity decisions of our competitors; U.S. or foreign governmental legislation, regulation and other actions (including Open Skies agreements and environmental regulations); the impact of regulatory, investigative and legal proceedings and legal compliance risks; the impact of any management changes; labor costs; our ability to maintain satisfactory labor relations and the results of any collective bargaining agreement process with our union groups; any disruptions to operations due to any potential actions by our labor groups; weather conditions; and other risks and uncertainties set forth under Part I, Item 1A., Risk Factors, of UAL s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2015, as well as other risks and uncertainties set forth from time to time in the reports we file with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. 1

Key investment highlights Managing business to maximize margin and ROIC Defined strategy to close margin gap to peers by 2020 Managing costs and disciplined capital investment Strong liquidity levels and healthy balance sheet Will continue to return excess cash to shareholders 2

Demonstrating progress on Investor Day initiatives Operational Integrity Segmentation Re-fleeting & Upgauge 3

Operational Improvement

At Investor Day we committed to improving reliability and efficiency April & May combined performance Mainline operating metrics UA DL AA Completion factor (%) 1 99.8 99.2 98.2 99.4 On-time departure D :00 (%) 1 69.7 67.4 62.7 53.7 On-time arrival A :00 (%) 1 68.9 62.8 66.2 58.1 On-time arrival A :14 (%) 1 82.1 79.4 79.9 78.5 # Relative performance rank Achieved #1 performance in all metrics for April and May combined Note: competitive data based on masflight. 5

Turn performance and maintenance reliability is improving Turn performance 1 (% of flights departing on time D :00) 67.2% Total maintenance cancellation rate 1 (% of flights cancelled) (50%) +0.8 pts 66.4% 2016 2017 2016 2017 D:00 and completion factor focus has intensified 1 Results January through May for each year 6

Improving operations drive cost savings Improved operations lead to increased revenue and lower cost Quicker aircraft turn times, fewer cancellations and long delays Enables incremental utilization of aircraft Reduction of 30% 40% in other airline reaccommodation cost year-to-date Improvement driven by better reliability and new tracking tools Expect savings to continue to ramp up Irregular operations spend has declined 7

Segmentation

Basic Economy is rolled out in the majority of the U.S. domestic network ~270 UA nonstops BE for sale in MSP non-stops First travel date April 18 th Remaining domestic non-stops January February March April May June July ~100 UA nonstops All domestic flow markets Basic Economy fares now available everywhere in the U.S. except Hawaii Pace of roll-out consistent with plan Hawaii and Latin markets are set to roll-out by the end of 2017 Exploring further product segmentation in our long-haul international markets 9

Basic Economy is performing well Basic Economy fare available all the way up the economy fare structure Greater choice results in better upsell revenue 60% - 70% of passengers select the standard product over Basic when given a clear choice Improves ability to compete with ULCC s Part of broader revenue strategy to further segment the cabin and better optimize pricing 10

Initial Basic Economy results showing operational improvement Gate checked bag volume (% of flights with at least one gate checked bag) Basic Economy reliability (% of flights departing on time D :00) (15.0) pts +2.8 pts Pre Basic Economy Post Basic Economy Pre Basic Economy Post Basic Economy While still early in the roll out, Basic Economy is having the desired positive impact on reliability performance Note: Basic Economy launched on inbound and outbound MSP flights on April 18 th ; Pre Basic Economy measures April 1 st through April 17 th, 2017 11

Re-fleeting & Upgauge

Upgauging and densification lead to better unit cost economics Average Narrowbody and Express Gauge 1 Seats per departure +19% 101 105 Seat densification projects add incremental capacity, where marginal 97 revenue exceeds modest carrying costs 88 88 91 Upgauging the fleet with larger aircraft and seat densification drive more efficient growth 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017E 1 Includes all Narrowbody and Express aircraft regardless of region flown 13

Gauge is the predominant driver of capacity growth in 2017 Seat configuration by aircraft type 364 303 120128 150 138 118126 166 154 179 167 231 213 183 214 A319 A320 737-700 737-800 737-900 757-300 767-300 777-200 Pre modification Post modification 1 Densification of aircraft drives more value from existing assets 1 Represents 19 domestic configured 777-200 aircraft; 10 aircraft were previously in an international configuration (266 seats) 14

Optimizing regional fleet mix Percentage mix of regional aircraft available seat miles 70/76 seat 39% 39% 42% 56% 64% 67% 50 seat or less 61% 61% 58% 44% 36% 33% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 YTD Improving regional product with larger two-cabin aircraft Note: Pilot contract scope clause - up to 255 70/76-seat aircraft of which 153 can be 76-seat aircraft 15

What s next? Continued focus on operational improvement Network optimization in both the domestic and international networks Implementation of new revenue management system (Gemini) begins in late Summer 2017 Rebanking initiative starts with IAH in Fall 2017; ORD and DEN in early 2018 Maturation of Basic Economy and decision on Premium Economy Update on fleet strategy Plan to provide update on our Investor Day initiatives progress in 4Q17 16