FLL Master Plan Update Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) Briefing #1. September 28, 2016

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Transcription:

FLL Master Plan Update Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) Briefing #1 September 28, 2016

TAC Committee Role: Internal Stakeholders To provide input on the master planning analysis from the technical and operational perspectives. 2

Briefing Agenda Background Master Planning Team Study Overview Master Planning Process and Schedule FLL The Airport in Context Internal Visioning Charrette Key Themes Aviation Activity Forecasts Landside Analyses and Integration with Regional Transportation Modes and Initiatives Next Steps 3

Background October 2014 County Commission Board approved RFP No. R1277707P1 for Airport Master Plan Update Consultant Services January 2015 Final Evaluations and Rankings Completed March 2015 County Commission Board Approved Ranking and Negotiations Commenced October 2015 County Commission Board Approves Agreement with Ricondo & Associates, Inc. for Airport Master Plan Update Consultant Services November 2015 Notice to Proceed Issued 4

Master Planning Team 5

Study Overview Changes in the overall aviation market and the global economy warrant master plan updates. COMPLETED 2010 Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) and the Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT) will partly fund the master plans. COMPLETED 2009 Two sequential phases were identified to correlate with federal and state funding. 6

FLL Master Planning Process and Schedule PHASE 1 (within 12 months) PHASE 2 (within 24 months) Task in Progress IMMEDIATE NEEDS Stakeholder engagement throughout the Study to occur through Master Plan Committee Meetings, Stakeholder briefings, and Public meetings 7

The Airport in Context A. FLL Historical Perspective B. FLL s Role Today 8

FLL Historical Perspective: 1996-2006 18 16 Millions Enplaned Passengers (MEP) 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 FY 2015 Passenger Enplanements: 13.2 MEP 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Note: Passenger Enplanements from FY1996 to FY2004 do not include Non-Revenue Passengers. Sources: Airport Passenger Enplanements Data (FY2005-FY2015), Broward County Aviation Department; Airport Passenger Enplanements Data (FY1996-FY2004), Terminal Area Forecast (TAF). 9

FLL Historical Perspective: 2006-Present 18 16 Millions Enplaned Passengers (MEP) 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Note: Partial opening of Concourse G at FLL includes the west portion of the concourse only. The opening of the eastern portion of Concourse G is scheduled to occur in 2017. Source: Airport Passenger Enplanements Data (FY2005-FY2015), Broward County Aviation Department. 10

FLL Role Today Sources: Woods & Poole Economics, Inc., March 2016; Map Resources, March 2016. 11

Physical Constraints of the Airport FLL Physical Airport Attributes Sources: Broward County Aviation Department, FLL Airport Layout Plan, August 2013; Broward County Aviation Department, Interlocal Agreement Entered into by and between City of Dania Beach and Broward County, November 2013. 12

Physical Constraints of the Airport Comparable Airport Boundaries Denver International Airport (Ratio 18.5:1) Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport (Ratio 9.5:1) Orlando International Airport (Ratio 7.3:1) Atlanta-Hartfield International Airport (Ratio 2.6:1) Baltimore/Washington International Airport (Ratio 2.2:1) Miami International Airport (Ratio 1.8:1) 13

Existing Cargo Tenant Facilities Source: Fort Lauderdale Hollywood International Airport 2015 Aerial, Provided By Broward County Aviation Department. 14

Existing General Aviation Tenant Facilities Source: Fort Lauderdale Hollywood International Airport 2015 Aerial, Provided By Broward County Aviation Department. 15

Physical Constraints of the Airport FLL Development Opportunities and Constraints 16

FLL Current Long-term Airport Plan 17

Internal Visioning Charrette March 2016 Key Themes 18

General Themes for the Airport Planning process needs to include partners (transit, port, CVB) to ensure synergy; Be creative and innovative with key stakeholder partners, particularly FLL s three airlines that have emphasized that they want to grow and grow quickly. Keep that easy-in/easy-out and hometown feel as best we can at FLL. Maintain balance among all facilities. 19

Market Opportunities for the Airport Maintain a diverse air carrier base; consideration for potential mergers among FLL s dominant airlines. International Airlines and traffic growth how much should BCAD be in the forefront of pursuing international activity? Do we want to compete with Miami? What does international growth mean in terms of facility development for FLL? Can we expand cargo? Is it truly in our future (why or why not)? Expansion of cargo needs to provide consideration for potential noise impacts. 20

Operational and Safety Considerations for the Airport Roadway system and parking facilities are becoming deficient; Are there things that we can do to increase our accessibility? Ensure that users can get in and out safely and efficiently. Focus on both terminal and non-terminal roadways, curbfront/passenger roadway crossings and overall walking distances. Leverage multimodal opportunities to Port, convention center, and beyond. How will the demographics affect airport facility and regional transportation needs? How do we ensure seemless connectivity for all passengers (and their baggage) between transportation modes? 21

Strategic and Business Considerations for the Airport Avoid or minimize building throw-away investments. Identify the highest and best value use of scarce airport property including assessing facility needs as tenant leases expire; explore opportunities to optimize real estate holdings. How do we make sure that people can safely and quickly get from one end of where you start out to the very end? 22

AVIATION ACTIVITY FORECASTS 23

Forecasts Enplaned Passengers Baseline, Accelerated Baseline, and FAA 2015 TAF Annual Enplaned Passengers (millions) 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 13.2m (Actual) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Fiscal Year Historical Accelerated Baseline FAA TAF Accelerated 26.2 m 3.5% CAGR Baseline 22.3m 2.7% CAGR FAA 2015 TAF 20.8m 2.5% CAGR NOTES: FAA 2015 TAF excludes non-revenue passengers. CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate. CAGR may not match due to rounding of enplaned passenger values. SOURCES: Broward County Aviation Department (Historical); Innovata; JetBlue Airways; Southwest Airlines; Spirit Airlines; FAA Terminal Area Forecasts; US DOT O&D Survey (DB1B); Ricondo & Associates, Inc. 24

Master Plan Forecasts Draft Forecasts Enplaned Passengers (Originating vs. Connecting) Annual Enplaned Passengers (millions) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 13.2m 90% - Originating 10% - Connecting 26.2m 80% - Originating 3.5% CAGR 20% -Connecting 3.0% Originating 5.8% Connecting 22.3m 86% - Originating 2.7% CAGR 14% -Connecting 2.5% Originating 4.0% Connecting 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Originating Connecting Adjusted Baseline NOTES: CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate. CAGR may not match due to rounding of enplaned passenger values. SOURCES: Broward County Aviation Department; Innovata; JetBlue Airways; Southwest Airlines; Spirit Airlines; Ricondo & Associates, Inc. 25

Master Plan Forecasts Draft Forecasts Enplaned Passengers (Domestic vs. International) Annual Enplaned Passengers (millions) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 13.2m 80% - Domestic 20% - International 3.5% CAGR 2.8% Domestic 5.5% International 2.7% CAGR 2.4% Domestic 3.8% International 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Domestic International Adjusted Baseline 26.2m 70% - Domestic 30% - International 22.3m 77% - Domestic 23% - International NOTES: CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate. CAGR may not match due to rounding of enplaned passenger values. SOURCES: Broward County Aviation Department; Innovata; JetBlue Airways; Southwest Airlines; Spirit Airlines; Ricondo & Associates, Inc. 26

Master Plan Forecasts Resulting Airport Shares of Total O&D Passengers 50 40 30 20 Baseline O&D Enplanements (mil) 50% 50% 45% 50% 50 40 30 20 Accelerated O&D Enplanements (mil) 53% 53% 52% 45% 10 10-2015 2020 2025 2035 0 2015 2020 2025 2035 MIA/PBI FLL MIA/PBI FLL Sources: Broward County Aviation Department,; US DOT O&D Survey (DB1B), Ricondo & Associates, Inc. (Historical O&D estimates andforecasts). 27

Forecasts Total Aircraft Operations Baseline, Accelerated Baseline, and FAA 2015 TAF Total Aircraft Operations (thousands) 500.0 450.0 400.0 350.0 300.0 250.0 200.0 150.0 100.0 50.0 0.0 FY 2015 274.8k (Actual) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Fiscal Year Historical Baseline Accelerated 2015 FAA TAF Accelerated 432.6k 2.3% CAGR Baseline 400.3k 1.9% CAGR FAA 2015 TAF 387.1k 1.8% CAGR NOTES: CAGR = Compound Annual Growth Rate. CAGR may not match due to rounding of operation values. SOURCES: Broward County Aviation Department (historical); Innovata; JetBlue Airways; Southwest Airlines; Spirit Airlines; FAA Terminal Area Forecasts; US DOT O&D Survey (DB1B); Ricondo & Associates, Inc. 28

FLL Immediate Needs 5-Year (2020) Capacity Assessment, Needs and Solutions/Options for: Gates Hardstands Terminal/Passenger Processing Facilities Public Parking Terminal Access West Side Land Use Plan and Integrated Facility Layout Plan and Airside Access Plan North Side Land Use Plan and Integrated Facility Layout and Airside Access Plan 29

FLL Landside Analyses Study Area Study Area Boundary 30

FLL Landside and Access Flows Terminal 2 Terminal 1 Terminal 3 Palm Garage Hibiscus Garage Cypress Garage/RAC Terminal 4 Legend: Entry Flow Exit Flow Recirculation 31

Regional Roadway Studies to be Inventoried FDOT District 4 Exit Ramp Assessment for FLL, August 2014 FDOT District 4 US1 and Griffin Road Intersection Study (2015) Broward County Intermodal Center and People Mover System FLL to Port Everglades (June 2009) FDOT I-95 Interchange Master Plan Study FDOT I-95 Express Lanes Phase 2 Project Corridor Traffic Analysis Report for I-95 Express Phase 3C I-95/I-595 Interchange Modification Report 32

Integration with Regional Transportation Modes and Initiatives Study Area MPO s Transportation Improvement Program Commitment 2040 MPO s Long Range Transportation Plan SR-7 Multimodal Improvements Corridor Study The WAVE All Aboard Florida Tri-Rail Coastal Link Commuter Rail Service Airport/Seaport Connectivity State Transportation Improvement Program FDOT District 4 s Five Year Adopted Work Program FLL Connectivity with Freeway Management System 33

Broward County Transit / WAVE Streetcar Initiatives Strategic Goal: Improve intra-airport connectivity and, to the extent practical or possible, also improve connectivity to various County and regional multi-modal initiatives planned directly east of the Airport. SOURCES: JACOBS, Central Broward Transit Study Phase 1/WAVE Extensions, April 2016. 34

Regional Transportation Initiatives Strategic Goal: Improve intra-airport connectivity and, to the extent practical or possible, also improve connectivity to various County and regional multi-modal initiatives planned directly east of the Airport. Source: Kimley Horn And Associates, Inc., April 2016. 35

Next Steps Demand/Capacity Landside Systems and non- Terminal Area Facilities Other Immediate Needs Public Safety Facilities, North and West Side Land Use Plans 36

THANK YOU