Propulsion Trends in Container Vessels

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Propulsion Trends in Container Vessels Contents: Page Introduction... 3 Market Development... 3 - The fleet in general today... 3 - Size of a container ship... 3 - Development in ship size... 3 - New products for container ships... 4 - Development in transport capacity... 5 - Development in ship speed... 5 Container Ship Classes... 6 - Small feeder... 6 - Feeder... 6 - Panamax... 6 - Post-Panamax... 6 - Suezmax... 7 - Post-Suezmax... 7 Estimate of an Average Container Vessel as a Function of teu Size... 7 - Average ship particulars as a function of teu size... 7 - Propulsion power demand as a function of teu size... 7 - Propulsion power demand as a function of ship speed... 10 Ultra Large Container Ships... 11 - Twin-screw versus single-screw... 11 - Propellers for ultra large single-screwed container ships... 12 - Reduced operating costs per teu for ultra large container ships... 13 Main Engine Selection... 14 - Engine output below 100,000 kw... 14 - Engine output exceeding 100,000 kw... 15 Summary... 16 References... 16 MAN B&W Diesel A/S, Copenhagen, Denmark

2

Propulsion Trends in Container Vessels Introduction The use of containers started during the Second World War, and the first ship specifically designed for container transportation appeared in 1960, viz. the Supanya, of 610 teu. Particularly, the amount of cargo shipped in containers has increased considerably over the last fifteen years, resulting in a rapid increase in both the number and the size of container vessels during this period. When the size of container ships increased to 4,500-5,000 teu, it was necessary to exceed the Panamax maximum breadth of 32.3 m, and thus to introduce the post-panamax size container ships. The largest container ships ordered today are of 9,600 teu at 115,000 dwt. Container ships of 10,000-12,000 teu, or even 18,000 teu, may be expected within the next decade. For these very large vessels of the future, the propulsion power requirement may be up to about 100,000 kw/136,000 bhp. Investigations conducted by a propeller maker show that propellers can be built to absorb such high powers. Single-screw vessels are therefore still being considered in our investigations, along with twin-skeg vessels (with two main engines and two propellers). The larger the container ship, the more time is required for loading and unloading and, as the time schedule for a container ship is very tight, the extra time needed for loading/unloading means that, in general, larger container ships may have to sail at a proportionately higher service speed. As shown below, container vessels in the size range of 400-3,000 teu still hold a very important part of the freight market, so we have also included this low teu range in the investigation of the container ship market. Market Development The fleet in general today The world container fleet consists of some 3,250 ships (end of August 2004) with a combined capacity of close to 7.1 million teu. The world order book includes 780 ships, and is relatively big with a combined capacity of 3.1 million teu containers. As shown above, the fleet is developing fast. The ships are growing in both number and size, and the largest container ships on order (end of August 2004) have a capacity of close to 9,600 teu. Size of a container ship The size of a container ship will normally be stated by means of the maximum number of teu-sized containers it is able to carry. The abbreviation teu stands for twenty-foot equivalent unit, which is the standard container size designated by the International Standards Organisation. The length of 20 feet corresponds to about 6 metres, and the width and height of the container is about 2.5 metres. The ship dimensions, such as the ship breadth, therefore depend on the number of containers placed abreast on deck and in the holds. Thus, one extra container box abreast in a given ship design involves an increased ship breadth of about 2.8 metres. The average loaded container weighs about 10-12 tons, so the container vessels are/have often been dimensioned for 12-14 dwt per teu but, of course, this may vary. However, as the maximum number of teu containers to be transported is an important marketing parameter for the container vessels, it looks like the latest design of the largest container vessels larger than about 4,000 teu has an approximately 10% higher stacking/loading capacity in number of teu compared to 4-5 years ago. This is only possible if the average loaded container weight for dimensioning of the ship during the same period has been reduced about 10%. When comparing the size of, especially the large container vessels, the maximum deadweight tonnage of the ship therefore also has to be considered together with the maximum number of teu. In this paper, using the high weight of containers, our teu-size for large container vessels therefore might be somewhat conservative, meaning that, for instance, the 6,000 teu container size used in this paper often today might be called an approx. 6,600 teu container vessel by the shipbuilders. Development in ship size The reason for the success of the container ship is that containerised shipping is a rational way of transporting most manufactured and semi-manufactured goods. This rational way of handling the goods is one of the fundamental reasons for the globalisation of production. Containerisation has therefore led to an increased demand for transportation and, thus, for further containerisation. The commercial use of containers (as we know them today) started in the second half of the 1950s with the delivery of the first ships prepared for containerised goods. Fig. 1a and Fig. 1b show container ships delivered from 1960-2004, in terms of the number of ships and teu capacity. The development in the container market was slow until 1968, when deliveries reached 18 such vessels. Ten of these 18 ships had a capacity of 1,000-1,500 teu. In 1969, 25 ships were delivered, and the size of the largest ships increased to 1,500-2,000 teu. 3

Number of ships delivered 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Number of TEUs delivered 1,000 TEU 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1960 1960 8,001-6,001-8,000 5,501-6,000 5,001-5,500 4,501-5,000 4,001-4,500 3,501-4,000 3,001-3,500 2,501-3,000 2,001-2,500 1,501-2,000 1,001-1,500 501-1,000 1-500 1962 1962 1964 8,001-6,001-8,000 5,501-6,000 5,001-5,500 4,501-5,000 4,001-4,500 3,501-4,000 3,001-3,500 2,501-3,000 2,001-2,500 1,501-2,000 1,001-1,500 501-1,000 1-500 1964 1966 1966 1968 1968 1970 1970 1972 Fig. 1a: Year of the container ship deliveries (number of ships) 1972 Fig. 1b: Year of the container ship deliveries (number of teu) 1974 1974 1976 1976 1978 1978 1980 1980 1982 1982 1984 1984 1986 1986 1988 1988 1990 1990 1992 1992 1994 1994 1996 1996 1998 1998 2000 2000 2002 2002 Year 2004 Year 2004 With the American New York, delivered in 1984, the container ship size passed 4,600 teu. For the next 12 years, the max. container ship size was 4,500-5,000 teu (mainly because of the limitation on breadth and length imposed by the Panama Canal). However, in 1996, the Regina Mærsk exceeded this limit, with an official capacity of 6,400 teu, and started a new development in the container ship market. Since 1996, the maximum size of container ships has rapidly increased from 6,600 teu in 1997 to 7,200 teu in 1998, and up to 9,600 teu in ships to be delivered in 2006. In the future, ultra large container ships carrying 12,000-18,000 teu may be expected, see later. The increase in the max. size of container ships does not mean that the demand for small feeder and coastal container ships has decreased. Ships with capacities of less than 2,000 teu account for more than 50% of the number of ships delivered in the last decade. New products for container ships Container ships compete with conventional reefer ships and, when the Regina Mærsk was delivered in 1996, it was the ship with the largest reefer capacity, with plugs for more than 700 reefer containers. There is almost no limit to the type of commodities that can be transported in a container and/or a container ship. This is one of the reasons why the container ship market is expected to grow faster than world trade and the economy in general. In 1972, the first container ships with a capacity of more than 3,000 teu were delivered from the German Howaldtwerke Shipyard. These were the largest container ships until the delivery of the 4,100 teu Neptune Garnet in 1980. 4 Deliveries had now reached a level of 60-70 ships per year and, with some minor fluctuations, it stayed at this level until 1994, which saw the delivery of 143 ships. In the future, we will see new product groups being transported in containers, one example being cars. Some car manufacturers have already containerised the transport of new cars, and other car manufacturers are testing the potential for transporting up to four family cars in a 45-foot container.

Number of ships delivered 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 4,001-6,000 2,501-4,000 1,501-2,500 1-1,500 Number of TEUs deliveredelivered 1,000 TEU 1600 6,001-1400 6,001-1200 4,001-6,000 1000 2,501-4,000 800 1,501-2,500 600 1-1,500 400 9-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 23-24 24-25 25-26 26-27 27-28 Knots Fig. 2a: Average ship speed of container ships delivered from 1960-2004 (number of ships) Development in ship speed Fig. 2a and Fig. 2b show that the increase in ship size has been followed by a corresponding demand for higher design ship speeds. For ships in the size range of up to 1,500 teu, the speed is between 9 and 25 knots, with the majority of the ships (58%) sailing at some 15-19 knots. The most popular speed for the 1,500-2,500 teu ships is 18-21 knots, which applies to 70% of these ships. In the 2,500-4,000 teu range, 90% of the ships have a speed of 20-24 knots. 71% of the 4,000-6,000 teu ships have a speed of 23-25 knots. Finally, 80% of the ships that are larger than 6,000 teu have a speed of 24-26 knots. For the future ultra large container ships, a ship speed of 25-26 knots may be expected, whereas a higher ship speed would involve a disproportionately high fuel consumption. 200 0 9-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 23-24 24-25 25-26 26-27 27-28 Knots Fig. 2b: Average ship speed of container ships delivered from 1960-2004 (number of teu) Development in transport capacity All in all, the demand for transport capacity increases by 9-10% per year, and there is a fine balance between the yards order books for container ships for delivery in 2005 and 2006, and the expected increase in the market (total 450 ships ~1.9 million teu), i.e. no scrapping is envisaged. In total, the number of container ships delivered increased from 150 a year in 1994-1995 to 250 in 1998. As a consequence of the financial crises in the industrialised East Asian countries, deliveries decreased to 114 ships in 1999 and 115 in 2000. This shows how important the East Asian region is to the container ship market. 5

Container Ship Classes Small Feeder Depending on the teu size and hull dimensions, container vessels can be divided into the following main groups or classes. However, adjacent groups will overlap, see Fig. 3: Small Feeder <1,000 teu Feeder 1,000-2,500 teu Panamax 2,500-4,500/5,000 teu Post-Panamax 4,500/5,000-10,000 teu Suezmax 10,000-12,000 teu Post-Suezmax >12,000 teu The small feeder container vessels are normally applied for short sea container transportation. The beam of the small feeders is, in general, less than 23 m. Feeder The feeder container vessels greater than 1,000 teu are normally applied for feeding the very large container vessels, but are also servicing markets and areas where the demand for large container Vessel type Dimensions Number of containers Small Feeder Ship breadth up to approx. 23.0 m Up to 1,000 teu Feeder 1,000 2,500 teu Ship breadth approx. 23-30 m Panamax max.: 2,500 4,500/5,000 teu Ship breadth equal to 32.2 / 32.3 m (106ft) Ship draught for passing canal, up to 12.0 m (39,5 ft) Overall ship length 294.1 m (965 ft) Post-Panamax max.: 4,500/5,000 10,000 teu Ship breadth larger than 32.3 m Suezmax max.: 10,000 12,000 teu Ship breadth up to 70 m Ship draught up to 21.3 m (70 ft) Draught x breadth up to Approx. 820 m 2 Overall ship length up to 500 m Post-Suezmax More than 12,000 teu One or more Suezmax dimensions are not met The Panama Canal: The lock chambers are 305 m long and 33.5 m wide, and the largest depth of the canal is 12.5 13.7 m. The canal is about 86 km long, and passage takes eight hours. At present, the canal has two lanes, but a possible third lane with an increased lock chamber size is under consideration in order to capture the next generation of container ships of up to about 12,000 teu. vessels is too low. The beam of the feeders is, in general, 23-30 m. Panamax Until 1988, the hull dimensions of the largest container ships, the so-called Panamax-size vessels, were limited by the length and breadth of the lock chambers of the Panama Canal, i.e. a max. ship breadth (beam) of 32.3 m, a max. overall ship length of 294.1 m (965 ft), and a max. draught of 12.0 m (39.5 ft) for passing through the Canal. The corresponding cargo capacity was between 4,500 and 5,000 teu. These max. ship dimensions are also valid for passenger ships, but for other ships the maximum length is 289.6 m (950 ft). However, it should be noted that, for example, for bulk carriers and tankers, the term Panamax-size is defined as 32.2/32.3 m (106 ft) breadth, an overall length of 225.0 m for bulk carriers and 228.6 m (750 ft) for tankers, and no more than 12.0 m (39.5 ft) draught. The reason for the smaller length used for these ship types is that a large part of the world s harbours and corresponding facilities are based on these two lengths,respectively. Post-Panamax In 1988, the first container ship was built with a breadth of more than 32.3 m. This was the first post-panamax container ship. The largest vessels on order with a capacity of approx. 9,600 teu have exceeded the Panamax beam by approx. 13 m. The Suez Canal: The canal is about 163 km long and 80 135 m wide, and has no lock chambers. Most of the canal has a single traffic lane only with several passing bays. It is intended to increase the depth of the canal before 2010 in order to capture the largest container ships to be built. Fig. 3: Container ship classes and canals 6

Suezmax Investigations, Ref. [1], show that in future, perhaps within the next five years, Ultra Large Container Ships (ULCS) carrying some 12,000 teu containers can be expected. This ship size, with a breadth of 50 m / 57 m, and corresponding max. draught of 16.4 m /14.4 m for passing through the Suez Canal, may just meet the present Suezmax size. Post-Suezmax However, investigations, Ref. [2], indicate that in about 10 years the ULCS will perhaps be as big as 18,000 teu, with a ship breadth of 60 m and a max. draught of 21 m. Today, this ship size would be classified as a post-suezmax ship, as the cross-section of the ship is too big for the present Suez Canal. It is claimed that the transportation cost per container for such a big ship may be about 30% lower than that of a typical 5,000-6,000 teu container vessel of today, see also later section, Reduced operating costs per teu for ultra large container ships. A draught of 21 m is the maximum permissible draught through the Malacca Strait. In Ref. [2] the name Malaccamax has therefore been used. With the intended increase of the crosssection breadth and depth of the Suez Canal over the coming ten years, the 18,000 teu container ship will also be able to pass the Suez Canal. On the other hand, a future container ship with a draught of 21 m would require existing harbours to be dredged. Today, only the harbours of Singapore and Rotterdam are deep enough. As a rough guide, based on the present dimensions (year 2004), Fig. 3 shows an example of how container ships can be classified. Estimate of an Average Container Vessel as a Function of teu Size Average ship particulars as a function of teu size On the basis of container ships built or contracted in the period 1995 to 2004, as reported in the Lloyd s Register Fairplay s PC Register, we have estimated the average ship particulars. On this basis, we have made a power prediction calculation (Holtrop & Mennen s method) for such container vessels in various sizes up to 8,000 teu (8,600 teu). For the future ultra large container ships, we have predicted the dimensions up to 18,000 teu. The estimated ship particulars are shown in Figs. 4-8. As previously mentioned, the teu size of the container vessels in this paper refers to the relative high weight of the average loaded containers. Particularly for larger container vessels, the teu size often may be referred to a lower weight involving a higher number of teu. This higher number of teu is also stated in parentheses in the tables in Figs. 6-8. Ship particulars and propulsion demand of average vessels The ship particulars for the 12,000 and 18,000 teu container vessels have been estimated on the basis of the investigations referred to in Refs. [1] and [2]. However, for the 18,000 teu container ship we assume that an overall length of 470 m will be possible, assuming that the problem with the hull strength will be solved, instead of the 400 m used in Ref. [2]. This will reduce the ship draught and enable more harbours to handle such a large container ship. Propulsion power demand as a function of teu size On the basis of the estimated average ship particulars, the average ship speed, and the average deadweight at design draught, we have calculated the needed for propulsion. Ship size teu 400 600 800 1,000 Container ship class Small Small Small Small Deadweight (design) dwt 5,700 8,400 11,000 13,500 Length overall m 105 122 136 150 Length between pp m 98 113 126 140 Breadth m 17.2 19.2 21.4 22.7 Design draught m 6.5 7.6 8.2 8.7 Block coefficient, Lpp 0.70 0.69 0.67 0.66 Sea margin % 15 15 15 15 Engine margin % 10 10 10 10 Ship speed knots 15.0 16.0 16.8 17.5 kw 3,300 4,800 6,200 7,600 Main engine options: 1. 5S35MC 7S35MC 5L50MC 5S50MC-C 2. 6L35MC 8L35MC 5S46MC-C 6S50MC 3. 5L42MC 6S42MC 6L50MC 4. 6S46MC-C Fig. 4: 400-1,000 teu container vessels single-screw 7

The results are shown in Figs. 4-7 Ship particulars and propulsion demand of average vessels, together with the selected main engine options, and are valid, in all cases, for singlescrew vessels and, for 6,000-18,000 teu ship sizes, also for twin-skeg vessels, see Fig. 8. The average deadweight at design draught, the average service ship speed and the total propulsion SMCR power as functions of the number of Ship particulars and propulsion demand of average vessels Ship size teu 1,200 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 Container ship class Feeder Feeder Feeder Feeder Panamax Deadweight (design) dwt 16,000 20,000 26,000 31,000 37,000 Length overall m 155 175 185 200 220 Length between pp m 147 165 175 190 210 Breadth m 25.0 28.0 30.0 30.0 32.2 Design draught m 9.2 10.0 11.5 11.5 12.0 Block coefficient, Lpp 0.63 0.60 0.59 0.62 0.62 Sea margin % 15 15 15 15 15 Engine margin % 10 10 10 10 10 Ship speed knots 18.3 19.5 20.0 21.0 22.0 kw 9,400 12,300 14,800 19,800 25,200 Main engine options: 1. 6S50MC-C/ME-C 6S60MC-C/ME-C 5L70MC-C/ME-C 7L70MC-C/ME-C 6K90MC-C/ME-C 2. 7S50MC-C/ME-C 7S60MC 7S60MC-C/ME-C 7S70MC-C/ME-C 7K80MC-C/ME-C 3. 7S50MC 5L70MC-C/ME-C 6S70MC-C/ME-C 6L80MC 8K80MC-C/ME-C 4. 8S46MC-C 5S65ME-C 6S65ME-C 7S65ME-C Fig. 5: 1,200-3,000 teu container vessels single-screw Ship particulars and propulsion demand of average vessels Ship size teu 4,000 (4,400) 4,500 (5,000) 4,500 (5,000) 5,000 (5,500) Container ship class Panamax Panamax Post-Panamax Post-Panamax Deadweight (design) dwt 48,000 54,000 54,000 59,000 Length overall m 280 293 280 280 Length between pp m 265 280 267 267 Breadth m 32.2 32.2 37.0 40.0 Design draught m 11.8 12.2 12.5 12.5 Block coefficient, Lpp 0.64 0.65 0.59 0.59 Sea margin % 15 15 15 15 Engine margin % 15 15 15 15 Ship speed knots 23.5 24.0 24.2 24.5 kw 36,100 41,000 41,000 45,700 Main engine options: 1. 8K90MC-C/ME-C 9K90MC/ME 9K90MC/ME 10K90MC/ME 2. 8K90MC/ME 9K90MC-C/ME-C 9K90MC-C/ME-C 10K90MC-C/ME-C 3. 7K98MC/ME 7K98MC/ME 8K98MC/ME 4 7K98MC-C/ME-C 7K98MC-C/ME-C 8K98MC-C/ME-C Fig. 6: 4,000-5,000 teu container vessels single-screw 8

teu are shown in Fig. 9 Container vessels average ship design. However, with regard to the 1,500 teu container vessels, it seems that the average ship speeds used during 1995-2004 are about 0.7 knots higher than expected when comparing with the trend for the average vessel. The examples calculated for a given teu size container vessel should be considered as indications only as, for instance, the deadweight in one case may be much higher than in another, depending on the average weight of each teu container (10 tons/12 tons/14 tons, etc.) used as a basis for the design of the vessel. Ship particulars and propulsion demand of average vessels Future Ship size teu 6,000 (6,600) 8,000 (8,600) 12,000 18,000 Container ship class Post-Panamax Post-Panamax Suezmax Post-Suezmax Deadweight (design) dwt 70,000 93,000 137,000 200,000 Length overall m 305 335 400 470 Length between pp m 290 320 380 450 Breadth m 43.0 43.0 52.5 60.0 Design draught m 12.5 13.6 14.6 15.7 Block coefficient, Lpp 0.60 0.64 0.62 0.62 Sea margin % 15 15 15 15 Engine margin % 15 15 15 15 Ship speed knots 25.0 25.3 25.5 25.5 kw 53,800 67,000 85,700 103,000 Main engine options: 1. 12K90MC-C/ME-C 12K98MC-C/ME-C 12K108ME-C 14K108ME-C 2. 12K90MC/ME 12K98MC/ME 15K98MC-C/ME-C 18K98MC-C/ME-C 3. 10K98MC-C/ME-C 10K108ME-C 15K98MC/ME 18K98MC/ME 4 10K98MC/ME Fig. 7: 6,000-18,000 teu container vessels single-screw Ship particulars and propulsion demand of average vessels Future Ship size teu 6,000 (6,600) 8,000 (8,600) 12,000 18,000 Container ship class Post-Panamax Post-Panamax Suezmax Post-Suezmax Deadweight (design) dwt 70,000 93,000 137,000 200,000 Length overall m 305 335 400 470 Length between pp m 290 320 380 450 Breadth m 43.0 43.0 52.5 60.0 Design draught m 12.5 13.6 14.6 15.7 Block coefficient, Lpp 0.60 0.64 0.62 0.62 Sea margin % 15 15 15 15 Engine margin % 15 15 15 15 Ship speed knots 25.0 25.3 25.5 25.5 kw 2x26,900 2x33,500 2x42,800 2x51,400 Main engine options: 1. 2x6K90MC-C/ME-C 2x6K98MC-C/ME-C 2x8K98MC-C/ME-C 2x7K108ME-C 2. 2x6K90MC/ME 2x8K90MC-C/ME-C 2x10 K90MC-C/ME-C 2x9K98MC-C/ME-C 3. 2x8K80MC-C/ME-C 2x10K80MC-C/ME-C 2x12K80MC-C/ME-C 2x12K90MC-C/ME-C Fig. 8: 6,000-18,000 teu container vessels twin-skeg 9

Feeder Post-Panamax Suezmax Post-Suezmax Propulsion power demand as a function of ship speed In the lower part of the teu range, as can be seen in Fig. 9, the ship speed appears to be higher the larger the ship is, whereas in the higher teu range, it looks as if 25-26 knots is (and will be) the normal ship speed range. When the required ship speed is changed, the will change too, and other main engine options will be selected. This trend with the average vessel and average ship speed as the basis is shown in detail in Figs. 10-13 Propulsion demand as a function of ship speed. DWT at design draught dwt 200,000 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 SMCR power kw Small Feeder Panamax DWT of ship at design draught Average design ship speed (knot) of main engine (kw) Ship speed in service knots 30 28 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 Using Figs. 10-13, it is possible to estimate the requirement for a given size of container ship sailing at a given required ship speed. 0 2,000 0 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 TEU Fig. 9: Container vessels average ship design 10 The nominally rated lines for the selected main engines are also shown in the above Figs. If, for a required ship speed, the needed for a given main engine is not sufficient, please note that the relevant main engines used for container ships as shown in the chapter Main Engine Selection, may be delivered in updated versions with higher power output. Propulsion demand as a function of ship speed Including 15% sea margin and 10% engine margin kw 12,000 10,000 8,000 7S50MC-C/ME-C 6S50MC-C/ME-C 6L50MC 5S50MC-C/ME-C Small Feeder Average vessels Feeder 19.0 kn 18,5 kn 18.0 kn 17.5 kn 6,000 4,000 2,000 5S46MC-C 6S42MC 8S35MC 7S35MC 5L42MC 7L36MC 6S35MC 6L36MC 5S35MC 17.0 kn 16.5 kn 16.0 kn 15.5 kn 15.0 kn 14.5 kn 14.0 kn 13.5 kn 0 Ship size 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 teu Fig.10: 400-1,200 teu container vessels single-screw 10

Propulsion demand as a function of ship speed Including 15% sea margin and 10% engine margin Fig. 11: 1,200-3,500 teu container vessels single-screw Propulsion demand as a function of ship speed Including 15% sea margin and 15% engine margin 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 kw Feeder Panamax 7K90MC-C/ME-C 5,000 8K80MC-C/ME-C 7K80MC-C/ME-C 8S70MC-C/ME-C 7L70MC-C/ME-C 7S70MC-C/ME-C 7S65ME-C 7L70MC 6L70MC 7S60MC-C/ME-C 6S60MC-C/ME-C 7S50MC-C/ME-C 6S50MC-C/ME-C kw 65,000 60,000 55,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 11K98 * 10K98 * 12K90 * 11K90 * 10K90 * 8K98 * 9K90 * 8K90 * 7K90 * 1,000 Average vessels 18.0 kn 17.5 kn Fig. 12: 3,500-6,000 teu container vessels single-screw 19.5 kn 19.0 kn 18.5 kn 20.0 kn 20.5 kn 21.5 kn 21.0 kn 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 24.0 kn 23.5 kn 23.0 kn 22.5 kn 22.0 kn *) MC-C/ME-C and MC/ME types Panamax Average vessels 25.0 kn Post-Panamax 24.5 kn 23.5 kn 23.0 kn 23.0 kn 22.5 kn 22.0 kn Ship size teu 26.0 kn 25.5 kn 25.0 kn 24.5 kn 24.0 kn Ship size 4,000 5,000 6,000 teu Ultra Large Container Ships Twin-screw versus single-screw A twin-screw vessel with twin-skeg has almost the same wake fraction (about 0.02 lower) and thrust deduction factor (about 0.02 lower) as a single-screw vessel because of the similar hull shape in front of the propellers. Furthermore, for a twin-skeg vessel, it will be possible to install somewhat smaller propellers with fewer propeller blades, but with a larger total disc area compared with a single propeller, and this may improve the open-water propeller efficiency by about 4 percentage points. However, the total hull surface area has been estimated to be about 5% larger for a twin-skeg design than for the single-screw vessel because of the extra rudder and the modified aft-body. Our calculations show that the improved propeller efficiency will be almost offset by the increased hull resistance, which means that the twin-skeg vessel will require almost the same propulsion power as the single-screw vessel, and almost the same propeller speed. Investigations carried out some 30 years ago for medium sized ro-ro vessels by The Swedish State Shipbuilding Experimental Tank indicate that compared with a single-screw vessel a conventional twin-screw vessel will need about 10% extra power, whereas a twin-screw twin-skeg vessel may save up to 5%. As shown above, and assuming the 5% extra hull surface area for the twin-skeg vessel, we found almost no saving. However, with less increase of the hull surface area, a power saving might be possible. 11

Propulsion demand as a function of ship speed Including 15% sea margin and 15% engine margin Fig. 13: 6,000-18,000 teu container vessels single-screw The total is also valid for twin-skeg vessels Propeller diameter mm 11,000 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 kw 94 r/min 120,000 110,000 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 Diameter 14K108ME-C 12K108ME-C 14K98 * 10K108ME-C 12K98 * 11K98 * 10K98 * 12K90 * 104 r/min Post-Panamax Suezmax 40,000 23.5 kn Ship size 30,000 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 teu *) MC-C/ME-C and MC/ME types 94 r/min 104 r/min Weight Weight of propeller ton 200 180 160 140 120 100 60,000 80,000 100,000 KW Fig. 14: Propellers for ultra large single-screwed container ships Post-Suezmax Average vessels 26.5 kn 26.0 kn 25.5 kn 25.0 kn 24.5 kn 24.0 kn 80 A container vessel with two engines and two propellers, including the necessary auxiliary systems and modification of the hull, will no doubt be more expensive in first cost than a container vessel with a single propeller. The future of container vessels with two propellers will therefore depend on the possibility of finding an appropriate design for the ship s hull, and on whether the ship s resistance and the water flow around the propellers can be kept at levels that can match the state of the art for single-screw ships. For ultra large container ships, the use of two propellers instead of one may, of course, also depend on the availability of a single-propeller propulsion system with one large propeller directly coupled to one large main engine. As described in the chapter Main Engine Selection, MAN B&W Diesel will be able to meet the expected power requirements for a single propeller with one large direct-coupled main engine. Propellers for ultra large singlescrewed container ships The building of larger container ships while retaining the application of a simple single-screw hull is obviously, as already mentioned, the cheapest solution, both with regard to investments and operating costs. Therefore, the propeller manufacturers are doing their utmost to design and produce a feasible large propeller for the present and future large container ships, because the main engine needed is already available, ref. our K98 and K108 engines. According to one of the large propeller designers, you can always get over the size problem with the design of the propellers. 12

Today, there are already some foundries in the world with the capability to produce single-cast, six-bladed fixed pitch propellers up to about 125 t (finished weight), and with some investment, this could be increased to 150 t. The approximate relationship between the weight (finished), diameter, engine/ propeller speed and propulsion SMCR power for a six-bladed propeller for a single-screw container ship is shown in Fig. 14. This Fig. indicates that a 12K108ME-C with the nominal MCR of 83,400 kw at 94 r/min might need a propeller diameter of about 10 m with a finished weight of about 130 t. Ship speed in service 25.0 knots 15% sea margin 15% engine margin Needed propulsion kw 80,000 60.000, 40,000 20,000 0 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 TEU Container ship size Reduced operating costs per teu for ultra large container ships Despite the fact that large container ships are able to call at fewer ports, thus increasing the cost of feeder transport, the container ships built or ordered seems to be larger and larger. Thus, it is to be expected that 10,000 teu and 12,000 teu might be a more popular choice in the future for the arterial routes of container ships. The main reason for this trend, of course, has to be justified by the considerable operating cost reductions per teu for a large ship compared to a smaller ship. In order to confirm the above allegation, the main engine operating costs, including fuel, lubricating and maintenance costs for large container ships from 6,000 to 12,000 teu and with a ship speed in service of 25 knots, have been estimated. Fig. 15 shows the expected needed propulsion of the main engine in question and Fig. 16 shows the estimated annual main engine operating costs per teu, while Fig. 17 shows the corresponding relative savings per teu compared to the 6,000 teu container ship. Fig. 15: Comparison of ultra large container ships Needed propulsion of single-screw container ships Ship speed in service 25.0 knots Main engine operating costs per TEU USD/TEU/year y 1500 1000 500 0 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 TEU Container ship size Service load... 85% SMCR Sea service... 300 days/year Fuel price... 160 USD/t Cyl. oil price... 1000 USD/t System lub. oil price... 900 USD/t Maintenance costs... Average for a long time in operation Fig. 16: Comparison of ultra large container ships Annual main engine operating costs per teu 13

Saving in operating costs per TEU %/TEU 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 TEU Container ship size Fig. 17: Comparison of ultra large container ships Relative saving in main engine operating costs per teu The influence of other operating costs, such as manning, insurance, port charges, etc. has not been considered. Furthermore, as the large container ships are able to call fewer ports, the cost of feeder transport and landside transport might probably increase and eat up some of the reduced teu transporting costs, but depend on the route structures and good loading facilities for the large container ships. Main Engine Selection Engine output below 100,000 kw Given the ship size and the required ship speed, the optimum main engine can be selected. For instance, for an average 3,000 teu container vessel with a service speed of 22 knots, the 7K80MC-C/ME-C engine with a nominal MCR of 25,270 kw at 104 r/min is a potential main engine. However, if the service speed required is only 21 knots, the 6K80MC-C/ME-C with a nominal MCR of 21,660 kw at 104 r/min may be sufficient. The present MAN B&W Diesel engine programme is shown in Fig. 18, and covers the unit power span from 1600 kw (2180 bhp) to the 97,300 kw (132,300 bhp) available from a 14K108ME-C engine. If, to a required ship speed, the needed for a given main engine is not sufficient, please note that the following relevant main engines used for container ships also may be delivered in updated versions with a higher mep, involving a higher power output shown in parentheses: S46MC-C (+5.3%) with mep = 20.0 bar and 129 r/min S50MC-C/ME-C (+5.3%) with mep = 20.0 bar and 127 r/min S60MC-C/ME-C (+5.3%) with mep = 20.0 bar and 105 r/min S70MC-C/ME-C (+5.3%) with mep = 20.0 bar and 91 r/min L70MC-C/ME-C (+5.3%) with mep = 20.0 bar and 108 r/min K98MC-C/ME-C (+5.5%) with mep = 19.2 bar and 104 r/min K98MC/ME (+8.9%) with mep = 19.2 bar and 97 r/min. 14

Power BHP kw x 1000 200 150 100 80 60 40 30 20 15 10 8 6 4 2 140 120 100 90 70 80 60 50 40 30 20 15 10 8 6 4 2 S90MC-C/ME-C S80MC-C/ME-C S65ME-C S80MC S70MC-C/ME-C S70MC K90MC/ME S60MC-C/ME-C S60MC S50MC-C/ME-C S50MC K108ME-C K98MC/ ME S46MC-C K98MC-C/ME-C K90MC-C/ME-C K80MC-C/ME-C L80MC L70MC-C/ME-C L70MC L60MC-C/ME-C L60MC S42MC L50MC S35MC L42MC L35MC 1 S26MC 50 60 70 80 90 100 120 140 160 200 250 Speed r/min Fig. 18: Marine engine programme 2004 Engine output exceeding 100,000 kw The investigations indicate that a main engine producing 103,000 kw and directly coupled to a single propeller with six blades and 10 m diameter can meet the expected power and speed requirement of about 25.5 knots of an 18,000 teu single-screw container vessel. Today s standard engine programme does not include a single engine capable of developing such outputs. However, as mentioned above, it is possible to uprate the cylinder outputs for some engines and, if needed in the future, also for the K108ME-C. The problem is whether a corresponding single-screwed propeller is available on the market. If not, a twin-skeg vessel may be used. If a twin-skeg vessel is preferred for an 18,000 teu container ship with a design ship speed of about 25.5 knots, our calculations indicate that for example 2 x 9-cylinder K98MC-C/ME-C engines and two propellers each of 9.0 m diameter and five blades can meet the power demand, which means that the existing main engine and propeller designs may be used. 15

Summary The container ship market is an increasingly important and attractive transport market segment, which may be expected to become of even greater importance in the future. With the expected ultra large container ships and the intended increased depth (dredging) of the Panama and Suez Canals to cater for these ships, the demands on the design and production of the main engines and propellers may grow. The current MAN B&W Diesel engine programme is well suited to meet the main engine power requirement for the container ship types and sizes that are expected to emerge in the foreseeable future. As described, and irrespective of whether a single-screw or a twin-screw propeller system may be preferred for the future ultra large container ships, MAN B&W Diesel is able to meet the main engine power needs of the container ship fleet. References [1] Ultra Large Container Ships (ULCS), June 2000, A study by Lloyd s Register [2] Malacca-max, The Ultimate Container Carrier, 1999, Prof. twijnolst et al., Delft University, The Netherlands 16