Presentation on Results for the 1st Quarter FY Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. August 14, 2017

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Transcription:

Presentation on Results for the 1st Quarter FY 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. August 14, 2017

Table of Contents 1. FY 2017 1st Quarter Financials (1) Overview (2) Segment Information 2. Reference Materials Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 1

Crude Oil Price Trends <Monthly Dubai Crude Oil Price Trends and Assumptions for Performance Forecasts> (US$/Bbl.) FY 2016 Actual FY 2017 Actual 5/15 Assumption Assumption Announced on 5/15: US$50/Bbl. FY 2017 1Q Average: US$49.8/Bbl. FY 2016 1Q Average: US$43.2/Bbl. Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 2

JPY/USD Exchange Rate (TTS) Trends <Monthly JPY/USD (TTS) Trends and Assumptions for Performance Forecasts> (JPY/USD) FY 2017 1Q Average: JPY112.1/USD FY 2016 1Q Average: JPY109.1/USD Assumption Announced on 5/15: JPY110/USD FY 2016 Actual FY 2017 Actual 5/15 Assumption Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 3

Overview <FY 2017 1st Quarter Results> Operating income increased by 10.0 billion year-on-year to 34.6 billion due to increased earnings in the resources segment resulting from pricing changes, among other factors Ordinary income increased by 14.9 billion year-on-year to 39.1 billion, and as a result, net income attributable to owners of the parent increased by 7.0 billion year-on-year to 25.4 billion <Forecast for FY2017 Performance> Our forecasts announced on May 15 remain unchanged Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 4

1. FY 2017 1st Quarter Financials

(1) Overview 1) Crude Oil / Exchange Rates Crude Oil (DB FOB) Crude Oil (Brent) Naphtha Price (Customs) Thermal Coal (NEWC) Exchange Rate (TTS) (Units: $/Bbl., $/Ton, /$) 43.2 49.8 6.6 15.2% 33.9 53.8 19.9 58.7% 395 482 86 21.9% 51.0 83.2 32 63.1% 109.1 112.1 3.0 2.7% * Brent prices and thermal coal prices are averages based on the calendar year (January-March). 2) Consolidated Income Statement (Summary) (Units: billion) Net Sales Operating Income (Inventory impact) (Excluding inventory impact) Non-operating Income/Loss Ordinary Income Extraordinary Gain/Loss Net Income attributable to owners of the parent (Excluding inventory impact) FY2016 1Q FY2017 1Q Change FY2016 1Q FY2017 1Q Change 678.8 831.7 153.0 22.5% 24.6 34.6 10.0 40.7% 6.3 (6.0) (12.4) - 18.2 40.6 22.4 122.6% (0.4) 4.5 4.9-24.2 39.1 14.9 61.4% (0.8) (0.3) 0.5-18.4 25.4 7.0 37.8% 14.0 29.5 15.5 110.5% * Gross average method of inventory valuation * Inventory impact represents the impact of inventory valuation and the reduction in book value of inventory assets * Figures rounded to the nearest billion yen Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 5

(2) Segment Information 1) Operating Income (Units: billions) FY2016 1Q FY2017 1Q Change Petroleum Products (Excluding inventory impact) Petrochemical Products Resources Oil Exploration and Production Coal, etc. Others Reconciliation Total (Excluding inventory impact) 17.3 6.9 (10.4) (60.2%) 10.7 12.9 2.2 20.5% 9.3 10.2 0.9 9.7% (1.3) 18.4 19.7 - (1.5) 6.8 8.3-0.2 11.6 11.4 5754.4% 0.1 0.6 0.5 965.6% (0.7) (1.4) (0.7) - 24.6 34.6 10.0 40.7% 18.2 40.6 22.4 122.6% * Fiscal years for Oil Exploration and Production included in the Resources Business and coal operations end in December Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 6

(2) Segment Information 2) Factors Causing Changes in Operating Income (Year-on-year) (Units: billions) Petroleum Products (10.4) Increase in Product Margins +4.6 Increased Refinery Fuel Costs, etc. (2.4) Inventory Impact (12.6) Petrochemical Products +0.9 Increase in Product Margins, etc. +0.7 Manufacturing fuel costs, etc. +0.2 Oil Exploration and Production +8.3 Price-related, etc. +8.0 Operating Expenses, etc. +0.3 Coal, etc. / Other +11.2 Price-related +12.6 Foreign Exchange, etc. (1.2) Others/Reconciliation (0.2) Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 7

2. References

Table of Contents 1. Financial Reporting (1) Net Sales by Segment (2) Extraordinary Gains/Losses (3) Consolidated Balance Sheet 2. Sensitivity 3. Sales and Production 4. Foreign Exchange 5. Market Conditions 6. Capacity Utilization at Refineries 7. Number of Service Stations Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 8

1. Financial Reporting (1) FY 2017 1Q Net Sales by Segment FY2016 1Q FY2017 1Q Change (Units: billions) Petroleum Products Petrochemical Products Resources Oil Exploration and Production Coal, etc. Others/Reconciliation Total 508.4 631.1 122.6 24.1% 107.1 114.3 7.2 6.7% 51.2 72.2 21.0 41.0% 15.8 19.2 3.4 21.4% 35.4 53.0 17.6 49.7% 12.0 14.2 2.1 17.7% 678.8 831.7 153.0 22.5% Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 9

1. Financial Reporting (2) Extraordinary Gains/Losses (Units: billions) FY2016 1Q FY2017 1Q Change Gain on Sale of Fixed Assets Gain on Sale of Affiliate Stock Other Total Extraordinary Gains Loss on Sale and Depletion of Fixed Assets Impairment Losses Other Total Extraordinary Losses Total Extraordinary Gains/Losses 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 (0.1) 0.8 0.3 (0.5) 0.1 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.3 (0.6) (0.8) (0.3) 0.5 Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 10

1. Financial Reporting (3) Consolidated Balance Sheet Cash and Deposits Receivables Inventory Other Current Assets Total Current Assets Tangible Fixed Assets (Land) (Other) Other Fixed Assets Total Fixed Assets Total Assets (Units: billions) 3/31/2017 6/30/2017 Change 3/31/2017 6/30/2017 Change 91.4 141.6 50.2 Payables 331.6 296.7 (34.9) 327.4 290.1 (37.3) Short-term Borrowings 471.6 473.6 2.0 430.9 421.5 (9.4) Other Current Liabilities 341.8 352.1 10.3 110.1 103.7 (6.4) Total Current Liabilities 1,145.0 1,122.4 (22.5) Long-term Borrowings Other Fixed Liabilities 579.1 583.8 4.7 297.6 287.7 (9.9) 959.8 956.9 (2.8) Total Fixed Liabilities 876.7 871.5 (5.2) 1,022.1 1,016.5 (5.6) Total Liabilities 2,021.7 1,993.9 (27.8) 584.4 585.5 1.2 Shareholders Equity 429.2 452.1 23.0 Other Comprehensive Income 437.7 431.0 (6.7) 154.6 149.3 (5.4) 659.8 655.2 (4.6) Noncontroling Interests 36.1 33.4 (2.7) 1,681.9 1,671.7 (10.1) Total Net Assets 619.9 634.8 14.8 Total Liabilities and 2,641.6 2,628.7 (12.9) Net Assets 2,641.6 2,628.7 (12.9) Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 11 Total Interest-bearing Debt Equity Ratio 1,052.3 1,059.0 6.6 22.1% 22.9% 0.8%

2. Sensitivity (1) Impact of a US$1/bbl. Increase in Crude Oil Prices on FY Earnings Petroleum Increase in refinery fuel costs, etc. (2) Impact of a 1 JPY/USD Depreciation on FY Earnings ( 0.6 billion) Products Inventory impact 3.5billion Oil Exploration & Production Petroleum Increase in refinery fuel costs, etc. 2.9 billion 1.4 billion ( 0.3 billion) Products Inventory impact 1.5 billion Petrochemical Products Oil Exploration & Production 1.2 billion 0.4billion * In addition to the above, the resources and other businesses are impacted by fluctuations in exchange rates with other currencies (NOK, AUD, GBP, etc.) - Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 12

3.Sales and Production (1)Sales Volume (Domestic Fuel Oil Sales Volume: Non-consolidated) (Units:Thousand KL,% ) FY 2016 1Q Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 13 FY 2017 1Q Change Gasoline 1,936 1,929 (7) (0.4%) (Premium-Unleaded) 215 208 (7) (3.3%) (Regular-Unleaded) 1,720 1,721 0 0.0% Naphtha 50 65 15 29.6% Jet Fuel 399 448 49 12.4% Kerosene 316 314 (2) (0.7%) Diesel Oil 1,442 1,474 33 2.3% Heavy Fuel Oil A 518 486 (31) (6.1%) Heavy Fuel Oil C 534 528 (6) (1.2%) Toal Domestic Sales Volume 5,195 5,245 50 1.0% Exported Volume 870 591 (279) (32.0%) (General Exports) 347 156 (190) (54.9%) Total Sales Volume 6,065 5,836 (229) (3.8%)

3.Sales and Production (2)Sales Volume (Petrochemical Products: Non-consolidated) (Units:Thousand tons, %) FY 2016 1Q FY 2017 1Q Change Petrochemical Products-Total 826 801 (26) (3.1%) (Basic Chemicals) 816 790 (26) (3.2%) (Performance Chemicals) 11 11 (0) (0.3%) (3)Sales Volume (Lubricants) (Units:Thousand KL,% ) FY 2016 1Q FY 2017 1Q Change Lubricants 281 305 23 8.3% *Includes sales of overseas licenses Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 14

3.Sales and Production (4)Oil Exploration & Production Production Volume (including Gas) (5) Coal Production Volume Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 15 (Units:Thousand BOED) FY 2016 1Q FY 2017 1Q Change Norway 35.1 38.7 3.6 10.2% United Kingdom 4.3 5.3 1.0 22.6% Vietnam 0.3 0.0 (0.3) (100.0%) Total('000BOED) 39.7 44.0 4.2 10.7% Total('000BOE) 3,616 3,958 342 9.5% *Figures based on interest owned by Idemitsu's resource development subsidiaries (Units:Thousand tons) FY 2016 1Q FY 2017 1Q Change Ensham 1,017 965 (52) (5.1%) Muswellbrook 330 329 (1) (0.3%) Boggabri 1,442 1,345 (97) (6.7%) Tarrawonga 133 179 46 34.8% Sub Total 2,922 2,818 (104) (3.6%) Malinau 310 302 (8) (2.5%) Total Production Volume 3,232 3,120 (112) (3.5%) *Figures based on interst owned by Idemitsu Group *Fiscal years for Oil Exploration and Production and Coal operations end in December

4.Foreign Exchange (1)USD Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 16

4.Foreign Exchange (2)Norwegian Krone Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 17

4.Foreign Exchange (3)Norwegian Krone Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 18

4.Foreign Exchange (4)Australian Dollar Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 19

4.Foreign Exchange (5)Australian Dollar Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 20

5.Market Conditions (1)Crude Oil Prices (Dubai and Brent) Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 21

5.Market Conditions (2)Gasoline, Crude Oil CIF (Prices and Spreads) Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 22

5.Market Conditions (3)Diesel Oil Crude Oil CIF (Prices and Spreads) Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 23

5.Market Conditions (4)Paraxylene, Naptha (Prices and Spreads) Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 24

5.Market Conditions (5)Styrene Monomer, Naptha (Prices and Spreads) Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 25

6.Capacity Utilization at Refineries Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 26

7.Number of Service Stations Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 27

Precaution statement about forecasts Any information about forecasts for the Company s operating results, management strategy and management policy contained in this documents other than historical facts is prepared, according to judgments made by the top management of the Company based on information available as of the publication of the document. Actual business environments contain potential risk factors and uncertainties including economic situations, crude oil prices, trends in petroleum products, market conditions, currency exchange rates and interest rates. Consequently, actual operating results of the Company may substantially differ from forecasts due to changes in the important factors mentioned above. Copyright 2017 Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. All Rights Reserved. 28