FY18 Q1 Results Media Call 13 FEBRUARY Cavtat, Croatia

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Transcription:

Results Media Call 13 FEBRUARY 2018 Cavtat, Croatia

Our business model Holiday experiences contribute 59% to our earnings SALES & MARKETING 41% EBITA 20m customers Northern Central Western ROIC FY17: 85% 3 ~150 TUI Aircraft, 3rd party flying Own, 3rd party committed & non-committed Strategy: Market demand, digitalisation, diversification HOLIDAY EXPERIENCES 59% EBITA GROUP PLATFORMS Portfolio approach Owned / managed / JV ROIC FY17: 13% Owned / JV ROIC FY17: 20% Owned / JV ROIC FY17: 24% DS 381 1 Hotels 15 2 Ships 115 Destinations Strategy: growth, diversification 3rd party distribution 3rd party distribution 3 rd party distribution INTEGRATION BENEFITS/ STRATEGY Own customer end-toend 20m customers to optimise own hotels/ cruises demand Unique TUI holiday experiences differentiating TUI from competition in Sales & Marketing and driving high NPS Diversified across Sales & Marketing as well as Holiday Experiences 1 This number includes concept hotels and 3 rd party concept hotels as at end of Q1 FY18 2 As at end of Q1 FY18 3 This number relates to Sales & Marketing/ all other 2

TUI Group Strong Q1 performance TURNOVER 3.5bn +9.1% 1 UNDERLYING EBITA - 24.9m +57.9% 1 Q1 performance affected by a combination of operational and external events Market trends intact Good trading for current and future seasons Well positioned to deliver at least 10% underlying EBITA growth for FY18 1 REPORTED EBITA - 45.1m +35.1% GUIDANCE REITERATED AT LEAST 10% UNDERLYING EBITA GROWTH FOR FY18 1 1 At constant currency rates 3

Business model Transition continues to be reflected in our financial performance UNDERLYING EBITA ( m) -89-80 -60 Growth in hotel and cruise capacity, good underlying trading 11 Good performance in Nordics, Belgium and Netherlands plus nonrepeat of TUI fly sickness offset by FX currency inflation in UK 17-11 Includes impact of Corsair extended maintenance -43 38 Gain on disposal of three Riu hotels -20-25 Non-receipt of receivables 1 1 FY15 Q1 FY16 Q1 Holiday Experiences Sales & Marketing All other segments Pre Riu Disposals and Niki bankruptcy Riu Disposals Impact of Niki bankruptcy 2 1 Excludes discontinued operations 2 FX translation impact is less than 0.5m 4

Holiday Experiences Hotels & Resorts with solid operational performance AVERAGE OCCUPANCY % 86 85 73 75 Hotels & Resorts RIU SEVEN OPENINGS IN Q1 35 since merger of which ~60% are low capital intensity AVERAGE REVENUE PER BED 63 65 63 64 UNDERLYING EBITA M 49.2 Hotels & Resorts RIU 94.4 TURNOVER AND EARNINGS ( m) BRIDGE UNDERLYING EBITA ( M) 49 39 RIU Flat 3-1 4 Robinson Blue Diamond % Turnover 144.8 141.2 2.5 Underlying EBITA 94.4 49.2 91.9 o/w Equity result 14.3 14.9-4.0 Disposal gain of 38m from three Riu hotels, Robinson in line with last year and Blue Diamond reflecting reduced costs and growth in rates. Demand for Turkey and North Africa continues to improve Other Pre FX 90 94 FX 5

Holiday Experiences Cruises - Strong market continues to drive earnings TUI CRUISES 143 149 1.3 100 1.0 99 Occupancy % Pax Days (m's) Av Daily Rate MARELLA CRUISES 122 129 101 101 692 528 Occupancy % Pax Days (000's) Av Daily Rate TURNOVER AND EARNINGS ( M) % Turnover 192.3 151.9 26.6 Memo: TUI Cruises Turnover 280.6 217.7 28.9 Underlying EBITA 37.5 28.1 33.5 o/w EAT TUI Cruises * 25.2 16.9 49.1 * TUI Cruises joint venture (50%) is consolidated at equity HAPAG-LLOYD CRUISES 549 533 74 75 71 76 UNDERLYING EBITA M 28.1 37.5 BRIDGE UNDERLYING EBITA ( M) 28 8 Reflects new ship capacity for both TUI Cruises and Marella Cruises and dry dock costs for Hapag-Lloyd Cruises 3-2 37 Occupancy % Pax Days(000's) Av Daily Rate TUI Cruises Marella Cruises Hapag- Lloyd Cruises 1 1 FX translation impact is less than 0.5m 6

Holiday Experiences Destination Services well-positioned for strong future growth TURNOVER AND EARNINGS ( M) % Turnover 38.4 31.2 23.1 Underlying EBITA at constant currency 1.1 2.8 Strong increase in turnover Seasonal business profile Operating model changed in FY17 leading to a shift in earnings to Q3 and Q4 Expect to deliver in 15% in underlying EBITA YOY for FY18 1 1 At constant currency rates 7

Sales & Marketing Portfolio of source markets continues to deliver good underlying result CUSTOMERS (000 s) UNAIDED AWARENESS % TURNOVER AND EARNINGS ( M) 1.249 1.364 1.246 1.261 1.001 954 FY17 Q1 44% 45% 53% 67% TUI Pre Rebrand % Turnover 3,028.5 2,798.3 8.2 Northern Central Western ONLINE DISTRIBUTION % 45 48 FY18 Q1 4% 3% UK 6% 22% Nordics Belgium N'lands DIRECT DISTRIBUTION % 72 74 TUI Dec 2017 Underlying EBITA -133.4-129.4-3.1 BRIDGE UNDERLYING EBITA ( M) -129 Good performance in Nordics, Belgium and Netherlands plus non-repeat of TUI fly sickness offset by FX currency inflation in UK 2-133 16-20 -2 FY17 Q1 Northern Region Central Region Western Region Niki Bankruptcy FY18 Q1 1 1 FX translation impact is less than 0.5m 8

Current Trading remains in line with our expectations HOLIDAY EXPERIENCES SALES & MARKETING HOTELS & RESORTS Seven further openings scheduled for Summer 2018 Demand for Western Med and Caribbean remains strong Turkey and North Africa continues to improve CRUISES Demand remains strong with an increase in yield for all three brands New ship launches for TUI Cruises, Marella Cruises and Hapag-Lloyd Cruises DESTINATION SERVICES Volumes develop in line with Sales & Marketing Opening new DMC in Jamaica this April W17/18 1 revenue +6%, bookings +3% Strong growth in bookings for North Africa, Thailand, Cape Verde and Cyprus Long haul continues to grow Good start to S18 - revenue New build announced for TUI +8%, bookings +6% Cruises for Spring 2023 1 These statistics are up to 4 February 2018 and shown on a constant currency basis and relate to all customers whether risk or non-risk 9

FY18 Guidance 1 FY18e FY17 Turnover 2 Around 3% growth 18,535m Underlying EBITA At least 10% growth 1,102m Adjustments ~ 80m 76m Net interest expense ~ 120m 119m Underlying effective tax rate ~20% 20% Net capex & investments incl. PDPs 3 ~ 1.2bn 1.1bn Net (debt)/cash Slightly negative 0.6bn Leverage ratio 3.0x to 2.25x 2.5x Interest cover 5.75x to 6.75x 6.1x Dividend per share Growth in line with underlying EBITA 0.65 1 Assuming constant foreign exchange rates are applied to the result in the current and prior period and based on the current Group structure 2 Excluding cost inflation relating to currency movements 3 Assuming acquisition of Mein Schiff 1 for Marella Cruises 10