ASDA Session 3: Airport Performance More Punctuality 11-November-2016 Chris Schneider
Content: ACARE Mobility challenge The aviation environment The punctuality (and predictability) challenge
ACARE Mobility challenge
The mobility challenge set out by ACAREs Flightpath 2050 European citizens are able to make informed mobility choices 90% of travellers within Europe are able to complete their journey, door-to-door within 4 hours. A coherent ground infrastructure is developed Flights land within 1 minute of the planned arrival time An air traffic management system is capable of handling 25 million flights a year in Europe Advisory Council for Aviation Research and Innovation in Europe 4 Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH Dataset2050 workshop 12-JUL-2016
Addressing this mobility challenge means. A shift from mode-specific to integrated transport solutions (door-to-door vs. airport-to-airport) Need to harmonize processes and interfaces between travel modes Need to enable seamless flows of passengers and freight through the system in order to meet d2d mobility performance targets Need for a step-change in predictability and punctuality of transport operations Customer-centric system also means liberalised and competitive transport market Informed mobility-choices by customers require guidance provided without any bias towards providers or modes Integration and co-operation is key for customer-centric mobility 5 Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH Dataset2050 workshop 12-JUL-2016
A simplified journey involving air travel Travel improvements: Travel decisions based on unbiased information according individual travel preferences (e.g. environmental footprint, cost, reliability, punctuality, health aspects etc.) Integrated door-to-door travel planning, booking, ticketing and payment (one contract for whole journey) Door-to-door (multimodal) travel monitoring & reconfiguration reduces uncertainty, buffers and stress Integrated airport processes provide a hassle-free and predictable walkthrough experience Sufficient system capacity and integration allows customers freedom of choice and unprecedented reliability, service and punctuality levels. 6 Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH Dataset2050 workshop 12-JUL-2016 11/20/2016 6 Source: Munich Airport
The aviation environment
Air traffic in Europe is forecast to double in the next 20 years... Only domestic traffic within China is forecast to outperform intra-european and North American traffic growth until 2034 (absolute growth, RPK): China--China Europe--Europe North America--North America Southeast Asia--Southeast Asia Rest of World South America--South America South Asia--South Asia Europe--Middle East Europe--North America Middle East--South Asia China--Southeast Asia China--North America China--Europe Africa--Europe CIS Region--International Central America--North America Europe--South America North America--South America Middle East--Southeast Asia Southeast Asia--South Asia RPK (billions) Europe 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 North America 0 500 1000 1500 8 Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH Dataset2050 workshop 12-JUL-2016 Data source: Boeing CMO 2015
Lack of airport capacity will most likely limit air travel Global growth Regulated Growth Happy Localism Fragmenting World about. 1500 add. daily mvts. In Germany Dotted lines unconstrained growth Solid lines Growth constrained by airport capacity 9 Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH Dataset2050 workshop 12-JUL-2016
Challenges for growth scenarios are based on completion of planned infrastructure projects... This cannot be taken for granted. E.g. official planning for a third runway in MUC began in 2005, legal approval was obtained in 2012 and confirmed in 2014... But construction is currently blocked by a public vote 10 Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH Dataset2050 workshop 12-JUL-2016
Major airports will be even more congested... Airports w/ summer delay (in minutes/flight). Source: EUROCONTROL 11 Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH Dataset2050 workshop 12-JUL-2016
Airside (Runway) Capacity Curve Delays increase exponentially with traffic levels. Saturation Capacity / max. Throughput: The expected ( average ) number of operations (takeoffs and landings) that can be performed in one hour on a runway without violating ATC rules, assuming continuous aircraft demand. Saturation Capacity Average Delay [min] Declared Capacity: The capacity per hour used in specifying the number of slots available for schedule coordination purposes; no standard method for its determination; generally set to about 85-90% of saturation capacity Declared capacity 4 Practical Capacity Practical Capacity: The average number of operations that can be performed in one hour on a runway with an average delay per operation of 4 minutes. movements / h 12
Disruptive change is in the air. Will it help to meet the challenge? The application and integration of new technologies offer a plethora of new services that can shake up the world as we know it.. Automation & Connectivity Battery technologies 3D printing Smart Systems Internet of Things Intelligent transport Systems Hyperloop Smart cities Drones Industry 4.0 Digitalisation Autonomous Vehicles Alternative Fuels Virtualisation Big data Electrification of transport Blockchains Position based information 13 Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH Dataset2050 workshop 12-JUL-2016
The punctuality & predictability challenge Seite 14
Punctuality challenge 1: Airport (landside) capacity and operations Increasing predictability of operations (e.g. by Total Airport Management) Integration with other modes Hassle free, non-intrusive security procedures Risk based approach to security Use of biometrics Improved screening technologies Time efficiency & process predictability Source: http://www.engadget.com/2011/06/08/iatas-checkpoint-of-the-futureuses-biometric-ids-to-separate-d/ Airport / travel experience Indoor location & route-finding systems Tailored & integrated services Innovative passenger information channels 15
Punctuality challenge 2: Airport (airside) Capacity Improved use of runway system updated runway operating modes based on new CNS/ATM technology (for new and existing infrastructure) reduced separations at increased safety levels reduced runway occupancy times (e.g. Brake-To- Vacate) Increased predictability of runway operations and performance improved AWO systems and procedures Improved system resilience in adverse weather situations 16
Punctuality challenge 3: ATM & airspace capacity Increasing airspace capacity Focus on on-time arrivals for flow management (?) Optimised terminal flight procedures Maintaining capacity levels in various WX conditions Integration of new air vehicle concepts (UAVs, RPAS, new configurations) Facilitating change and adoption of new technologies (e.g. GBAS) Role of automation???? 17
So we do have a real punctuality & predictability challenge How can we meet it? What are the most promising approaches? Do we need disruption? If so, in which area???? 18 Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH Dataset2050 workshop 12-JUL-2016
Thank you