Briefing Melbourne Industrial January 2018

Similar documents
Briefing Melbourne Industrial April 2018

Briefing Melbourne Industrial July 2018

Briefing Brisbane Fringe Office February 2018

Briefing West Perth Office April 2018

Briefing Adelaide Fringe Office February 2018

Briefing Melbourne CBD Office April 2018

Economic Report. Tasmania December Savills Research. Tasmania - Key Economic Indicators. Highlights

Briefing Perth Industrial January 2018

Briefing Parramatta Office February 2018

Briefing Sydney Industrial July 2018

Briefing Sydney Industrial April 2018

Briefing Adelaide CBD Office February 2018

Briefing Sydney CBD Office September 2018

Briefing Brisbane CBD Office August 2017

Briefing Melbourne CBD Office August 2018

m3commentary MELBOURNE CBD OFFICE

Briefing Sydney CBD Office August 2018

Briefing Melbourne Industrial July 2015

Briefing Perth CBD Office February 2019

QUARTERLY UPDATE 31 MARCH 2017

Briefing Perth CBD Office August 2017

m3commentary MELBOURNE INDUSTRIAL

GOLD COAST OFFICE OVERVIEW

Savills Research Western Australia. Quarter Times Perth Industrial Q3/2016

market-view Australian housing markets report Residential construction on the rise - higher and higher?

Sydney CBD Market Commercial Market Overview - Jul 2015

Economic Report. Queensland. December Savills Research. Queensland - Key Economic Indicators. Highlights

MELBOURNE INDUSTRIAL RESEARCH MARKET OVERVIEW JUNE 2015 HIGHLIGHTS

A Conversation With Folkestone. November 2017

Brisbane. Executive Summary. Economic Overview. Q Industrial Market Commentary

LMW Link. Brisbane CBD Office ~ August For more information. Brisbane CBD Office Indicators

New CBD office supply is improving the quality of stock

For personal use only

Demand set to continue for Sydney Suburban Office

DEXUS Property Group (ASX: DXS) ASX release

MELBOURNE INDUSTRIAL RESEARCH MARKET OVERVIEW JUNE 2016 HIGHLIGHTS

GOLD COAST OFFICE OVERVIEW

The Residential Outlook for South Australia

Goodman Property Trust. 30 & 31 October 2018 NAB First Look USPP Conference, Sydney

Investor Briefings First-Half FY2016 Financial Results

Briefing Perth CBD Office August 2018

GRANT THORNTON BANKERS BOOT CAMP

Briefing Brisbane Industrial January 2018

GOING PLACES MACARTHURCOOK OFFICE PROPERTY TRUST

The Melbourne CBD: What is driving centralisation?

MARCH 2018 CHARTER PACK

BRISBANE INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW API State of the Market Brisbane Industrial 22 nd of March 2018

Briefing Brisbane Industrial April 2018

Annual Net Absorption (sq m) Annual Net Additions (sq m)

Housing Outlook. Mr Sam White, Ray White Group Mr Harley Dale, Housing Industry Association. 29 October 2007

RESEARCH INDUSTRIAL SNAPSHOT

State of the States October 2017 State & territory economic performance report. Executive Summary

For personal use only

For personal use only. Merrill Lynch Emerging Stars Conference

Economic Performance of Australia s Cities and Regions Embargoed until Tuesday 5 December 2017

Investment Opportunity

4.5% 1.4% 14.3% Inflation March 2018 y-o-y. Retail Sales, March 2018 y-o-y

FY2016 Financial Results

The Outlook for the Residential Construction Industry Hunter and the Central Coast

Briefing Perth Industrial July 2018

Centuria Property Funds Limited CENTURIA METROPOLITAN REIT

The GPT Group today announced its operational update for the March 2017 quarter.

Positive economic outlook for South Australia

Research and Forecast Report. Accelerating success. INDUSTRIAL. Second Half 2018

RESEARCH INDUSTRIAL SNAPSHOT

South Australian Centre for Economic Studies June 2016 Economic Briefing Report 28 June, 2016

Briefing Adelaide CBD Office September 2018

74 Pirie Street (1,500m²), a 7 storey building is currently being refurbished by Maras Group and is expected to be completed in Q

Assessing the long-term potential of Macquarie Park

HIA-RP Data Residential Land Report

QLD Economic Outlook. Thursday, 21 December Key Points: State Report QLD. Summary

MARKET OUTLOOK. 01 Walkability & Accessibility 02 Infrastructure & Employment 03 Population & Demographics 04 Residential Market 05 Rental Market

Belgrade City Report Q City Reports

A CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD RESEARCH PUBLICATION SYDNEY S NORTH SHORE. Office Markets DECEMBER 2017 CITIES INTO ACTION

Sydney Metropolitan Office

EXCITING+ OPPORTUNITY POWER PARK INDUSTRIAL ESTATE STAGE 3 DISCOVERY ROAD, DANDENONG SOUTH, VICTORIA

CONSOLE SUNSHINE COAST: CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY ACTIVITY AND WORKFORCE PROFILE

1.0% 3.6% 15.9% Inflation March 2017 y-o-y. Retail Sales,

DEXUS Property Group (ASX: DXS) ASX release

Investor Briefing. 4 October 2018 Goodman Property Trust

GREATER SYDNEY SUPPLY & DEMAND. Tourism Accommodation Australia 31 May 2017

1H2018 Financial Results

VPA Leading Practice Series #2 Suburban Renaissance Urban Renewal and Jobs in the Suburbs

Queensland Economic Update. Are there more pots of gold ahead?

ADELAIDE RESEARCH OFFICE MARKET OVERVIEW AUGUST 2017 HIGHLIGHTS

FY2017 Financial Results

COFFS HARBOUR MARKETSNAPSHOT

Australia s Building Industry current conditions and future prospects

SUBURBPROFILE POPULATION TO DOUBLE OV E RVIE W CITY OF WY ND H AM FORECAST POPULATION WYNDHAM CITY COUNCIL

TOWNSVILLE NORTH QUEENSLAND QUARTERLY ECONOMIC SNAPSHOT

INTERIM REVIEW OF AUSTRALIAN CONSTRUCTION MARKET CONDITIONS JULY 2015

29 November The Manager Australian Stock Exchange Limited 20 Bridge Street. Sydney NSW Dear Sir/Madam

Buoyant Melbourne CBD office market underpinned by a healthy economy

National Rural Market Overview. 28 February 2018

A TRIBECA AREA FACT FILE

Property Metrics Median Days on Market 120

Charter Hall Long WALE REIT

Queensland Economic Update

AUSTRALIAN PROPERTY MARKET UPDATE AUGUST 2018 QUANTUMGROUP.COM.AU

Australian Property Growth Fund

Transcription:

Savills Research Victoria Briefing Melbourne Industrial Highlights Prime industrial rents rose in the South East and the Eastern precincts; whilst rents remained stable elsewhere over the last 12 months; The investment activity was 56% lower than the previous 12 months, tempered significantly by lower levels of blue-chip assets offered for sale; Prime average market yields have tightened over the year, and the current compression cycle is likely to continue with an investor focus on specialised assets; Prime Averages (Mel-West) Latest 12mo Diff Outlook Rental N.F. ($/sq m) 74 n/c Incentives (%) 22.5 n/c Yield Market (%) 6.25-25bps IRR (%) 7.38-25bps Capital Values ($/sq m) 1,113 n/c Land Values ($/sq m) 198 (+9.3%) Industrial supply estimated completions over 2017 are the lowest in four years and also below the five-year average.

Report Contents Executive Summary 2 Leasing Activity & Demand 4 Rents and Development 6 Sales Activity 8 Infrastructure & Outlook 9 Key Indicators 10 Key Contacts 10 Associate Director Research Monica Mondkar mmondkar@savills.com.au For our latest national reports, visit savills.com.au/research To join Savills Research mailing list, please email research@savills.com.au Executive Summary Melbourne industrial market has been long profiting from the Port of Melbourne, the largest maritime hub for automotive and general cargo in the country with its volume of container movements supported by the various transportation and infrastructure projects delivered over the years. Furthermore, Melbourne has solidified its position as the largest industrial city in Australia with more than 30% share of nation s freight market evolving it into an aviation gateway. The impact of recent auto-manufacturing closures is expected to be offset by other exports, especially the food sector over the coming years. Victoria accounted for 25% of Australian food and fibre exports over 2016-17, and this share has been rising over the last five years. Similar to the food and fibre industry, e-commerce has been rising on the back of growth in online retail. This structural shift in retail spending is increasing rapidly with technology and population growth at its helm. Trade exports and e-commerce has continued to rise in the state, led by the growth in key industrial drivers; Transport and logistics, Wholesale and Distribution. Victoria has been benefitting from its strongest economic indicators in the country, while forward indicators point to continued strong performance and have provided the impetus for business expansions, consolidations and accommodation upgrades. Major transport infrastructure projects currently under development and in the pipeline are further expected to improve connectivity within the industrial precincts while expanding capacity in the Melbourne s transport network. Melbourne s position as Australia s largest industrial city is expected to be augmented by these projects. Estimated supply levels for 2017 were lowest since 2013 and also below the five-year average. New construction is likely to be led by tenant pre-commitments and owner-occupier developments with speculative development remaining limited in the near term. However, lower stock levels are likely to provide a boost to rental growth through reduction of incentives. Investment levels are lowest since 2013, also below the 10-year average. The lower sales volume in the past 12 months points to a limited number of investment opportunities offered since mid-2016, rather than the tapered investor appetite. Yields have continued to compress, but a wide yield spread still exists between Melbourne s average industrial market yield and RBA s 10-year bond yield. With interest rates likely to remain unchanged over the year, current yield compression cycle is likely to continue. Investor demand has a particular focus on the specialised assets; cold storage and fulfilment centres, boosted by Victoria s population growth and food exports. Melbourne Markets Summary - Prime Warehouse Precincts N.F. Rent ($/sq m) Market Yield (%) IRR (%) Cap. Value ($/sq m) Land Value ($/sq m) MEL - West 74 (n/c) 6.25 (-25 bps) 7.38 (-25 bps) 1,113 (n/c) 198 (+9.3%) MEL South Eastern 83 (+3.1%) 6.25 (-25 bps) 7.50 (-50 bps) 1,300 (+2.0%) 350 (+37.3%) MEL City Fringe 120 (n/c) 6.25 (-25 bps) 7.50 (-38 bps) 1,900 (+0.7%) 950 (n/c) MEL - East 85 (+3.0%) 6.50 (-25 bps) 7.38 (-25 bps) 1,350 (n/c) 305 (+14.2%) MEL - North 75 (n/c) 6.50 (-25 bps) 7.63 (-26 bps) 1,100 (n/c) 275 (+19.6%) ; Note: 12 month change shown in brackets, land values reflect serviced & benched sites (3,000-5,000 sq m). n/c = no change savills.com.au/research 2

Leasing Activity & Demand Savills Research recorded 770,936 square metres (>2,000 square metres) of leasing activity from 84 deals in Melbourne in the 12 months to December 2017. This is 17% lower than the previous 12 months by comparison. However, the take-up levels over the past year were 11% above the 10 year average of 696,765 square metres. The West and the South East recorded highest levels of industrial absorption, accounting for 46% and 34% respectively. The gross take-up in the West has been highest since December 2015, with Transport and Logistics now accounting for 60% of the total leased space in the precinct. The most recent notable leases from the Transport and Logistics sector in the Western precinct included Simplot Australia s (20,725 square metres) precommitment, and Albi Imports direct lease (27,903 square metres), both in Truganina The Transport and Logistics was the dominant sector in overall leasing activity (43%), followed by Wholesale at 24% and Construction, Mining & Agriculture at 11% of the total take-up. The Construction, Mining & Agriculture industry has been rising over the last two years, with gross absorption from the sector at a historical high, largely emanating from the sub-sector of Construction. The low-interest rate environment has supported housing construction activity over recent years. Also, Melbourne s status as the world s most liveable city and relative affordability compared to Sydney continues to be a draw card for overseas migration further elevating the housing boom. Although dwelling construction is anticipated to slow-down over the medium term, this is expected to be offset by growth in infrastructure projects, in turn sustaining demand from construction trade. Of the total industrial stock leased in the last 12 months, 66% of the leases were large tenant requirements sized above 10,000 square metres, measuring 505,052 square metres of gross take-up. Prime grade stock accounted for the majority of the absorption amounting 526,881 square metres of industrial space leased over the past year. Direct - existing leases accounted for 56% of reported industrial transactions, while 24% of gross take-up was from pre-commitments in the 12 months to December 2017. The most notable direct lease over the year was Amazon s lease (24,387 square metres) at 29 National Drive, Dandenong South, while key pre-commitments include Stanley Black and Decker (21,722 square metres) and Clifford Hallam (21,200 square metres), both takingup industrial facilities at Frasers The Key Industrial Park in Keysborough. Leasing Activity by Precinct 1,000,000 North South East West East City Fringe 900,000 1,000,000 800,000 North South East West East City Fringe 900,000 700,000 800,000 600,000 700,000 500,000 600,000 400,000 500,000 300,000 400,000 200,000 300,000 100,000 200,000 100,000 Leasing Activity by Industry Type Transport & Logistics - 332,389sqm Transport &- 43.1% Logistics - 332,389sqm - 43.1% Wholesale - 181,874sqm - 23.6% Wholesale - 181,874sqm - 23.6% Construstion, Mining & Agri - 87,530sqm Construstion, - 11.4% Mining & Agri - 87,530sqm - 11.4% Manuf/Engineering - 85,401sqm Manuf/Engineering - 11.1% - 85,401sqm - 11.1% Health / Community Services / Education Health /- Community 64,635sqm Services - 8.4% / Education - 64,635sqm - 8.4% IT & Technology - 13,119sqm - 1.7% IT & Technology - 13,119sqm - 1.7% Leasing Activity by Lease Type 1,000,000 Direct - Existing Precommit Renewal Prelease Direct - New 900,000 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 savills.com.au/research 3

Victoria s growth in industrial job advertisements has been consistently positive over the last two years with industrial job advertisements in November 2017 at their highest level since February 2012. Although the growth rate is moderating recently, a number of jobs advertised in the state over the year to November 2017 were second highest amongst all the states accounting for 24% of the national job ads in the industrial sector. NAB Index in November 2017 revealed improving business conditions, which were well above the long-run average since the beginning of series in 1997. This lift in conditions was led by the construction industry, likely spurred by public investment in infrastructure and high levels of residential construction. As a result, Savills Research expects a positive outlook to continue for Melbourne industrial market in the near to medium term. Logistics Job Advertisements (12 mo Growth % to Nov-17) SA 22.61 WA 21.86 QLD 20.91 AUS 11.45 ACT 9.93 VIC 8.15 TAS 6.53 NSW 4.34 NT (0.61) Source: DOE / Savills Research Top 15 Leases (by Area Leased) Property Tenant Date Area Leased (sq m) Type Rent Term 9 Shiney Dr, Truganina Albi Imports Oct-17 27,903 d-n 54 7 45-55 South Centre Rd, Tullamarine The Workwear Group Apr-17 26,517 d-e 75 10 M2 Industry Park, Dandenong South Amazon Jul-17 24,387 d-e 75 5 17 Hudson Crt, Keysborough Stanley Black and Decker Jul-17 21,722 p n.a n.a. 17 Hudson Crt, Keysborough Clifford Hallam (CH2) Jul-17 21,200 p n.a n.a. West Park Ind Estate, Derrimut Silk Contract Logistics Jun-17 20,337 d-e n.a 6 West Industry Park, Truganina CS Logistic Solutions Sep-17 20,213 d-e n.a n.a. 2 Keon Pde, Keon Pk Orora Sep-17 19,527 r n.a 15 Cnr National Dr & Bayliss Rd, Dandenong South Dulux Group (Australia) Pty Ltd Jun-17 19,402 p n.a 10 Altona Logistics Park, Altona North Storage & Material Handling Group May-17 16,229 d-e 79 10 45-55 South Centre Rd, Tullamarine Cosmetics Company Jul-17 15,000 p 85 10 235 Hume Hwy, Somerton Westpot Waterproofing & Tiling Apr-17 15,000 d-e 60 5 45-55 South Centre Rd, Tullamarine Direct Couriers Aug-17 14,082 d-e 73 10 2/30 Saintly Drive, Truganina Ceva Aug-17 14,055 d-e 78 2 490-500 Western Port Hwy, Cranbourne West CIMC Vehicle Australia and Marshall Lethlean May-17 13,290 p 75 12 ; Leasing Types: p = Pre-commitment, d-n = Direct New, d-e = Direct Existing, pl = Pre-Lease, s = Sub-Lease, r = Renewal savills.com.au/research 4

Rents As at December 2017, average net face rents on average typically range from $74 to $85 per square metre per annum for a Prime grade; whilst average Secondary grade rents range from $55 to $65 per square metre per annum. Average net face rents in the East and the South Eastern precincts increased by 3% on the back of a reduction of available industrial zoned land. While in the other precincts net face rents remained stable in the past 12 months. Melbourne industrial incentive levels differ by precincts and building by building, with Prime grade incentives ranging from 15% to 22.5% on average. Whilst, Secondary grade incentives are slightly higher, ranging from 17.5% to 25% on average. Although net face rents have not changed considerably over last year, incentives have declined over the 12 months to December 2017 period, resulting in a slight rise in net effective rents. Average Prime Net Face Rents by Precinct MEL - West MEL - City Fringe 130 MEL - South Eastern MEL - East MEL - North 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 Supply / Industrial Development Savills Research estimates 364,452 square metres of new supply was completed over the year 2017, with a third of the industrial space previously pre-committed by tenants. Current supply levels are lowest since 2013 and also below the five-year average (447,295 square metres). A low-interest-rate environment has led to a spur of development activity since 2014. While adding a significant amount of stock this has tempered the rental growth. However, in the short-term a decline in the amount of new supply is expected to reduce the available prime space, tapering incentives and uplifting the net effective rents. Looking forward, Savills Research expects the new supply cycle to commence by means of the design and construct and pre-commitment activity, while speculative construction will remain limited over the course of 2018. In continuing the trend from the past 12 months, the Western precinct accounted for the majority of the new construction in 2017, driven by strong demand from transport and logistics users. Isuzu Trucks, National Tiles and Anbar saw their pre-committed distribution and logistics facilities completed by the end of the year 2017, all in the West. In addition, the refrigeration facilities for New Cold Storage and Natures Dairy have recently been built; whilst, the extension of Laverton Cold Storage is underway within the precinct. Completed Development and Pipeline (sq m) 700,000 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 Completed Under Construction *Source: Cordells / Savills Research; includes new/addition speculative, pre-commitment, owner occupier development types savills.com.au/research 5

Sales Activity Melbourne s industrial transactions (>$2 million) amounted to a total of $1.05 billion in the 12 months to December 2017 from 67 assets. The total sales achieved in the past year were 56% below $2.37 billion that was transacted in the preceding 12 months across 114 industrial properties. The past 12 months have been characterised by a lower volume of sales activity since 2013, also 7% below the 10 year average of $1.13 billion. There were a number of significant investment portfolios sold at the end of 2015 which heightened overall investment activity through the first half of 2016 translating into a higher volume of sales relative to the current year. Foreign Investors, mostly in their pursuit of higher-yielding assets (compared to other overseas markets) and Australia s safehaven status buoyed much of this activity. The decline in investment levels in the last 12 months indicates a lack of assets offered for sale since mid-2016, rather than the diminishing investment appetite. Depreciation of the Australian dollar from its peak in March 2013, has boosted investment in Australian commercial property from foreign investors over the recent years, with this trend still evident. Foreign investors remained the most dominant purchaser type, accounting for 33% of all buyers followed by Funds at 17% in the 12 months to December 2017. Key Fund acquisitions over the past year include Centuria Property Funds purchase of the 207-219 Browns Road in Noble Park ($37 million), Goodman s acquisition of 30-32 Westall Road, Springvale ($22.4 million) and Dexus buying 90 Mills Road, Braeside ($50.55 million). Majority of the Foreign investors such as Blackstone Group, Deutsche Australia, and Ascendas, were largely involved in the national portfolio purchases. Significant vendor activity in the last 12 months involved Propertylink s divestments - 90 Mills Road, Braeside and 45 Fulton Drive, Derrimut ($36 million). Key transaction of the year included Growthpoint sold 522-550 Wellington Road, Mulgrave for $90.75 million. Yield compression has been evident over the last three years with a growing amount of capital chasing Prime investment properties, especially with blue-chip tenants and long WALE. Although the current market yields remain at record low levels, this coincides with historically low interest and 10- year bond rates, incentivising investors to seek a healthy return on property investment. Sales Activity by Price $2,500m $2m - $50m $50m - $100m >$100m $2,000m $1,500m $1,000m $500m $0m Vendor & Purchaser Composition Vendors Vendors Purchasers Purchasers 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 80% 100% 100% Fund Fund Trust Developer Owner Occupier Government Syndicate Owner Occupier Syndicate Foreign Investor Private Investor Other Foreign Investor Private Investor Other Yield Spread to Bond & IRR Melbourne 10yr Bond Rate Average Prime Yield Yield Average Prime Prime IRR IRR 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% % % Source: RBA/Savills savills.com.au/research 6

Market yields in the Melbourne industrial market, as at December 2017, are estimated to range between 5.75% and 7.00% for Prime buildings, and between 6.75% and 8.50% for Secondary grade buildings. Yields for prime assets have tightened by 30 basis points on average, whilst secondary yields compressed by 110 basis points on average over the past 12 months. Capital values have generally increased over the last three years. Amid a low-interest rate environment, driven by investors yield chase, some stabilisation of capital values was realised in 2016. Capital values as at December 2017 are estimated to range from $900 to $1,600 per square metre for Prime grade buildings, and between $550 and $900 per square metre for Secondary grade buildings, with average capital values for both Prime and Secondary grade assets rising marginally over the previous year. Prime Average Market Yield by Precinct 10.0 MEL - West MEL - City Fringe MEL - South Eastern MEL - East 9.0 MEL - North 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 Note: Yields, rents and capital value range and averages exclude City Fringe precinct Top Sales Property Type Price ($m) Date GLA Yield Type $/sq m 522-550 Wellington Rd, Mulgrave Warehouse 90.75 Nov-17 68,144 5.18 r 1,332 7-23 Dunmore Dr, Truganina Warehouse 66.00 May-17 16,960 6.23 e 3,892 90 Mills Rd (Kingston Distribution Centre), Braeside Warehouse 50.55 Jun-17 40,554 6.10 e 1,246 207-219 Browns Rd, Noble Park Warehouse 37.00 Jun-17 43,331 6.97 r 854 45 Fulton Dr, Derrimut Warehouse 36.00 Jan-17 10,848 6.78 e 3,319 260-270 Frankston Dandenong Rd (Nissan HQ), Dandenong South Warehouse 35.00 Oct-17 32,430 n.a n.a 1,079 37 Toll Dr & 12-30 Toll Dr, Altona North Warehouse 27.25 Mar-17 21,270 7.21 e 1,281 140 Northcorp Bvd, Broadmeadows Warehouse 25.60 Jan-17 22,707 7.62 e 1,127 28 Jones Rd, Brooklyn Warehouse 24.62 Jun-17 4,250 6.09 e 5,794 18 Foxley Crt, Derrimut Warehouse 23.82 Mar-17 22,028 6.85 e 1,081 521 Geelong Rd, Brooklyn Warehouse 23.45 Apr-17 12,803 6.61 e 1,832 13-27 & 29-43 Whiteside Rd, Clayton South Warehouse 23.08 May-17 24,534 6.63 e 941 217-225 Boundary Rd, Laverton North Warehouse 22.50 Jan-17 20,723 6.72 e 1,086 30-32 Westall Rd, Springvale Warehouse 22.40 May-17 18,410 6.50 e 1,217 34-38, 39-43 & 44-58 Marshall Crt, Altona Warehouse 18.75 May-17 9,859 7.27 e 1,902 ; i = Initial, r = Reported, e = Equated, v = Vacant, dev = development savills.com.au/research 7

Infrastructure There are several major transport infrastructure projects under development and in the pipeline across Victoria which will profit industrial markets by improving connectivity, reducing travel times and expanding the transportation network. Major transport initiatives currently in progress include the upgrade of Monash freeway and the widening of CityLink Tulla freeway. Upon completion in 2018, both the projects will expand the capacity of the freeways and increase connectivity between the industrial precincts, as well as freight and logistics hubs at the airport and the Port. The West Gate Tunnel project will provide a second river crossing on Maribyrnong and an alternative to the West Gate Bridge, with direct access to Port Melbourne. Also, the State Government has announced $1.8 billion public-private partnership to upgrade about 700 kilometres of arterial road network through the Western suburbs, which will further augment industrial demand in the West. Recently, the Victorian State Premier announced the North East link project to complete the missing link in the Melbourne s ring road network. Key Infrastructure Project Summary - Melbourne Project Est. Cost Status Completion CityLink-Tulla Widening $1.28bn U/C 2018 Monash Freeway Upgrade $400mn U/C 2018 Level Crossing Removal $6.88 bn Ongoing 2022-23 West Gate Tunnel $5.5bn Contracted Mid-2019 Western Roads Upgrade $1.8bn Contracted 2021 North East Link $16.5bn Announced n.a. Inland Rail - Melbourne to Brisbane $10.9 bn Planning 2024-25 Murray Basin Rail Project $440mn Ongoing 2019 ; U/C = Under Construction. While the business case is yet to be finalised, the early cost estimate is $16.5 billion with construction commencement in 2020. Additionally, the Federal Government has committed $9.3 billion funding to build a 1,700 kilometres freight rail network between Brisbane and Melbourne while connecting the regional areas along the eastern seaboard. Balance of the project cost will be funded by public-private partnership.. Outlook Victoria leads Australia in population growth and economic growth rates. Forward-looking drivers point to sustained industrial demand resulting from all of the economic metrics, particularly strong full-time jobs growth and industrial job advertisements. In addition, positive business conditions (at record high levels for the series) are likely to translate into positive leasing activity over the next 12 months. Industrial occupiers expanding or consolidating with a focus on flight to quality into new built (mostly pre-committed) industrial space will remain a feature in the market., Prime grade net face rents are likely to remain stable in the near term despite the recent spike in supply. However, sustained tenant demand may start to taper incentives and uplifting net effective rents. This is likely to be on a building-by-building basis and more pronounced in tightly held industrial markets such as East and South East. The total transaction volumes may remain lower in near term compared to the heightened activity in recent years (2015-16), largely impacted by lower levels of blue-chip investment opportunities offered on-market. Purchaser appetite continues to remain strong for prime industrial properties amid a low-interest rate and low yield environment. Investment appetite is expected to increase for specialised assets; cold storage, and fulfilment centres. Amazon s arrival to Australia is expected to set the trend towards 30 minutes to same day delivery, with other retailers soon following the move, making last-mile fulfilment centres a necessity for the e-commerce industry. Savills Research expects the current compression cycle to continue underpinned by low-interest rates. The $10.9 billion inland rail line between Brisbane and Melbourne will further benefit the last mile delivery and drive a considerable amount of future industrial development centring a freight and logistics theme. The new supply cycle in Melbourne is expected to involve major developers and third-party logistics players participating in the development of intermodal facilities and logistics hubs in the key locations along the mooted rail route. Approximately 16,000 jobs will be created at the peak of construction, with 700 jobs ongoing once Inland Rail is operational. The project is expected to increase GDP by $16 billion over the 10-year delivery period, and the first 50 years of operation. savills.com.au/research 8

Melbourne Industrial Key Indicators (Q4-2017) West (Altona, Derrimut, Laverton North, Sunshine, Truganina) Prime Secondary Low High Low High Rental Net Face ($/sq m) 67 80 50 60 Incentives (%) 15 30 20 30 Yield - Market (%) 5.75 6.75 6.75 8.00 IRR (%) 7.00 7.75 7.75 8.75 Outgoings - Total ($/sq m) 12.00 16.00 10.00 15.00 Capital Values ($/sq m) 900 1,325 550 700 Land Values 3,000-5,000 sq m ($/sq m) Land Values 10,000-50,000 sq m ($/sq m) Land Values 10 ha and above ($/sq m) 220 (high) 175 (low) 200 (high) 150 (low) 150 (high) 80 (low) South Eastern (Braeside, Carrum Downs, Dandenong, Keysborough, Moorabbin) Prime Secondary Low High Low High Rental Net Face ($/sq m) 75 90 55 65 Incentives (%) 15 25 15 25 Yield - Market (%) 5.75 6.75 6.75 8.00 IRR (%) 7.00 8.00 7.75 8.75 Outgoings - Total ($/sq m) 14.00 18.00 12.00 16.00 Capital Values ($/sq m) 1,100 1,500 700 900 Land Values 3,000-5,000 sq m ($/sq m) Land Values 10,000-50,000 sq m ($/sq m) Land Values 10 ha and above ($/sq m) 400 (high) 300 (low) 225 (high) 180 (low) 140 (high) 110 (low) City Fringe (Port Melbourne) Prime Secondary Low High Low High Rental Net Face ($/sq m) 90 150 65 90 Incentives (%) 5 15 5 10 Yield - Market (%) 5.75 6.75 6.75 8.00 IRR (%) 7.00 8.00 7.75 8.75 Outgoings - Total ($/sq m) 25.00 40.00 25.00 40.00 Capital Values ($/sq m) 1,300 2,500 900 1,200 Land Values 3,000-5,000 sq m ($/sq m) Land Values 10,000-50,000 sq m ($/sq m) 1,100 (high) 800 (low) 800 (high) 600 (low) savills.com.au/research 9

East (Mulgrave, Clayton, Rowville, Scoresby, Notting Hill, Knoxfield) Prime Secondary Low High Low High Rental Net Face ($/sq m) 75 95 55 65 Incentives (%) 10 20 20 25 Yield - Market (%) 5.75 6.75 6.75 8.00 IRR (%) 7.00 7.75 8.75 9.00 Outgoings - Total ($/sq m) 15.00 20.00 11.00 13.00 Capital Values ($/sq m) 1,100 1,600 700 900 Land Values 3,000-5,000 sq m ($/sq m) Land Values 10,000-50,000 sq m ($/sq m) 425 (high) 325 (low) 250 (high) 180 (low) North (Broadmeadows, Epping, Somerton, Thomastown, Tullamarine) Prime Secondary Low High Low High Rental Net Face ($/sq m) 70 80 50 65 Incentives (%) 10 25 10 25 Yield - Market (%) 6.00 7.00 7.00 8.50 IRR (%) 7.25 8.00 8.00 8.75 Outgoings - Total ($/sq m) 13.00 17.00 10.00 15.00 Capital Values ($/sq m) 900 1,300 550 700 Land Values 3,000-5,000 sq m ($/sq m) Land Values 10,000-50,000 sq m ($/sq m) Land Values 10 ha and above ($/sq m) Key State Industrial Contacts Research Monica Mondkar +61 (0) 3 8686 8086 mmondkar@savills.com.au Industrial Investments Kosta Filinis +61 (0) 3 9947 5106 kfilinis@savills.com.au Valuations Ross Smillie +61 (0) 3 8686 8068 rsmillie@savills.com.au Asset Management Howard Chapman +61 (0) 2 8215 8870 hchapman@savills.com.au 350 (high) 160 (low) 300 (high) 180 (low) 175 (high) 130 (low) Industrial North & West Greg Jensz +61 (0) 3 8686 8005 gjensz@savills.com.au Project Management David Hayden +61 (0) 3 9445 6806 dhayden@savills.com.au Industrial South & East Lynton Williams +61 (0) 3 9947 5101 lwilliams@savills.com.au The Savills Research & Consultancy team has years of experience, and is supported by our extensive agency, property management and valuation professionals. For national-level consultancy or subscription requirements please contact: Capital Strategy & Research Chris Freeman +61 (0) 2 8215 6093 cfreeman@savills.com.au Savills is a leading global property service provider listed on the London Stock Exchange. Trusted since 1855, we have extensive experience across the Asia Pacific, with over 50 offices, and in Australia, we have over 800 staff focused on meeting all your property needs. This information is general information only and is subject to change without notice. No representations or warranties of any nature whatsoever are given, intended or implied. Savills will not be liable for any omissions or errors. Savills will not be liable, including for negligence, for any direct, indirect, special, incidental or consequential losses or damages arising out of our in any way connected with use of any of this information. This information does not form part of or constitute an offer or contract. You should rely on your own enquiries about the accuracy of any information or materials. All images are only for illustrative purposes. This information must not be copied, reproduced or distributed without the prior written consent of Savills. savills.com.au/research 10