Sunshine Coast Council

Sunshine Coast Council Sunshine Coast Council area Population and Household Forecasts 2016 to 2026 population forecast 1

Table of contents Home 3 About the forecast areas 4 Drivers of population change 5 Population summary 8 Population, households and dwellings 10 Components of population change 12 Population and age structure 14 Household types 16 Dwellings and development 19 Population and age structure 22 Household types 56 Residential development 68 Net migration by age 71 Non-private dwellings 72 Births and deaths 74 About the forecasts 75 Factors of population change 76 Household and suburb life cycles 78 Forecast modelling process 81 Notes on base data 85 Glossary 86 2

Welcome to Sunshine Coast Council area population forecasts The Sunshine Coast Council area Population and Household Forecasts present what is driving population change in the community and how the population, age structure and household types will change each year between 2016 and 2026. The forecasts are designed to provide community groups, Council, investors, business, students and the general public with the knowledge to make confident decisions about the future. These forecasts were last updated in October 2017 by.id, the population experts, on behalf of Sunshine Coast Council. Forecasts are available for each year from 2016 to 2026. Important Population 2016 Population 2026 Change 2016-26 Statistics 303,389 369,839 21.9% Forecast population 3

About the forecast areas The Sunshine Coast Council area includes the suburbs, townships and rural localities of Alexandra Headland, Aroona, Bald Knob, Balmoral Ridge, Battery Hill, Beerburrum, Beerwah, Belli Park, Bells Creek, Birtinya, Bli Bli, Bokarina, Booroobin, Bribie Island North, Bridges, Buddina, Buderim, Burnside, Caloundra, Caloundra West, Cambroon, Chevallum, Coes Creek, Conondale, Coochin Creek, Coolabine, Cooloolabin, Coolum Beach, Crohamhurst, Curramore, Currimundi, Diamond Valley, Dicky Beach, Diddillibah, Doonan (part), Dulong, Eerwah Vale, Elaman Creek, Eudlo, Eumundi, Flaxton, Forest Glen, Gheerulla, Glass House Mountains, Glenview, Golden Beach, Highworth, Hunchy, Ilkley, Image Flat, Kenilworth, Kiamba, Kidaman Creek, Kiels Mountain, Kings Beach, Kulangoor, Kuluin, Kunda Park, Kureelpa, Landers Shoot, Landsborough, Little Mountain, Maleny, Mapleton, Marcoola, Maroochy River, Maroochydore, Meridan Plains, Minyama, Moffat Beach, Mons, Montville, Mooloolaba, Mooloolah Valley, Mount Coolum, Mount Mellum, Mountain Creek, Mudjimba, Nambour, Ninderry, North Arm, North Maleny, Obi Obi, Pacific Paradise, Palmview, Palmwoods, Parklands, Parrearra, Peachester, Pelican Waters, Peregian Beach (part), Peregian Springs, Perwillowen, Point Arkwright, Reesville, Rosemount, Shelly Beach, Sippy Downs, Tanawha, Towen Mountain, Twin Waters, Valdora, Verrierdale, Warana, West Woombye, Weyba Downs, Witta, Woombye, Wootha, Wurtulla, Yandina, Yandina Creek and Yaroomba. Forecast areas Sunshine Coast Council area Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by.id the population experts, October 2017. 4

Drivers of population change Development History The Sunshine Coast Council area is a rapidly growing residential and tourist area located in south-east Queensland, about 100 kilometres north of Brisbane. It encompasses a total land area of about 2,200 square kilometres, including significant beaches, coastline, waterways, national parks, state forests and bushland. The area is diverse in terms of its land use and economic base with a mixture of urban areas, resort towns, tourist developments, inland towns, rural land and parkland. Tourism is a major industry with many resorts and holiday accommodation located along the coast. Much of the rural area is used for dairy farming, cattle grazing and crop growing. Although European settlement of the Sunshine Coast dates back to 1850s, significant development did not occur until the post-war years, as the area began to develop into a centre for tourism. Rapid growth took place particularly from the late 1960s when the population of the Council area increased from about 21,000 in 1947 to about 36,000 in 1971. The population has continued to increase rapidly, rising to nearly 137,000 in 1991, to about 200,000 in 2001, and then to over 267,000 in 2011, becoming one of the fastest growing Council areas in Australia. The Sunshine Coast has several significant urban hubs, concentrated predominantly on the coast at Caloundra, Kawana Waters and Maroochydore; whilst inland centres such as Nambour, Maleny and, increasingly, Beerwah, have developed primarily as commercial centres for the hinterland Migration patterns The primary housing market role that the Sunshine Coast plays is varied: the coastal urban areas attract retirees from Brisbane and interstate (mainly New South Wales) and younger adults accessing employment (generally within tourism and the service economy); new developments along the coast (such as Pelican Waters and Peregian Springs) and established suburban areas (such as Buderim) tend to attract older families as well as empty-nesters; meanwhile, townships within the hinterland predominantly attract families and retirees from the wider rural region. The urban hubs of Maroochydore and Caloundra, and the University of the Sunshine Coast in Sippy Downs attract young people from rural areas, regional Queensland and overseas to educational and employment opportunities, while the Sunshine Coast Region as a whole loses young people to larger centres in Queensland such as Brisbane and interstate. The importance of the Sunshine Coast as a destination for families and retirees is expected to continue into the future, with migration mostly comprised of parents with young children attracted to new greenfield development areas and empty nesters and retirees attracted to coastal centres and, to a lesser degree, the rural hinterland around centres such as Maleny. These trends are driven by large new areas of housing and commercial development, particularly around Kawana Waters and the development of the Maroochydore City Centre, the ongoing development of Peregian Springs and significant greenfield opportunities in Palmview (Harmony) and Caloundra South (Aura). 5

Historical migration flows, Sunshine Coast Council area, 2011-2016 Overseas' refers to arrivals only. Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2026, prepared by.id the population experts, October 2017. Note: The migration flows depicted above do not represent future or forecast migration flows. The arrows represent migration flows to the area as a whole and do not indicate an origin or destination for any specific localities within the area. Overseas flow shows overseas arrivals only, based on answers to the census question where did the person usually live 5-years ago. 6

Housing role and function With a variety of residential, tourism focussed and rural areas as well as the location and development of large institutions such as the Sunshine Coast Public University Hospital (opened 2016) and the University of the Sunshine Coast, different areas within the Sunshine Coast have developed different roles within the housing market. The urban beachside areas of Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise, Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach, Maroochydore and Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland are important retirement destinations as well as significant areas for tourism. Urban hubs such as Maroochydore, Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach and Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland have large amounts of tourist and rental accommodation attractive to retirees and young adults due to their location, relative ease of travelling to the university, employment opportunities and a large stock of medium and high density housing. Other beachside areas such as Golden Beach, Wurtulla - Buddina & District, Pelican Waters, and areas stretching away from the coast, such as Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park, have a more suburban aspect which, whilst attracting significant numbers of empty-nesters and retirees, have a large stock of detached housing that appeals to families with children. This is a similar pattern to that experienced in the rural centres of Nambour, Maleny, Beerwah and Landsborough, which attract retirees from the wider region (wanting to be close to services as needs change) and families. Other rural areas such as Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi, Maleny - Witta - North Maleny, Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North and Yandina - Yandina Creek & District attract large numbers of empty-nesters owing to lifestyle choice and proximity to national parks. In contrast newly developed estates in Mountain Creek (Brightwater) and Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek (Aura) attract predominantly young families with children aged 0-9 years and first-time homebuyers. Housing Supply There are also significant differences in the supply of residential property within the Sunshine Coast which will have a major influence on population and household outcomes over the forecast period. Significant greenfield opportunities have been identified in Palmwoods and Caloundra South that are expected to attract families with children and also provide affordable housing options for first-time home-buyers. Further residential development in Pelican Waters and Peregian Springs is likely to appeal to empty-nesters and retirees as well as established families who are second or third time homebuyers. The construction of Maroochydore s CBD (SunCentral) as a regional centre in an already established town is expected to influence the mix of housing and population in the immediate area. In the longer term, there are likely to be further greenfield opportunities identified within the hinterland in response to increasing longer term demand within South-East Queensland. There are also significant residential opportunities within other established urban areas, with the development of Oceanside at Kawana Waters likely to supply significant numbers of higher and medium density housing opportunities. These projects, together with the continuing development of the Sunshine Coast Public University Hospital, are expected to provide significant employment and economic opportunities for the Region, further stimulating housing demand. The continued development of the University can be expected to have a similar outcome in Sippy Downs, prompting further commercial and residential growth. There are also significant opportunities for greater densification of housing around Nicklin Way with the establishment of the proposed light-rail transport system and, overtime, is expected to add significantly to the dwelling stock. Beachside areas, such as Caloundra, Wurtulla, Maroochydore, Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland and Coolum Beach are expected to have considerable numbers of apartments and units built on redevelopment sites for both tourism and retirement purposes, while older suburbs such as Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park and Sippy Downs are expected to have large rates of infill development due to the age and size of housing lots in the area. Finally, low density residential subdivision is expected to continue around townships throughout the period, collectively adding relatively significant numbers over the forecast period, attracting predominantly families with children and empty-nester households. 7

Population summary This table summarises the population for Sunshine Coast Council area and each of its small areas. This enables you to see how population change is affecting different parts of the LGA in different ways. Some small areas may be rapidly growing whilst others are stable or even declining in population. Please note that population numbers in forecast.id for the 2016 base year are derived from Estimated Resident Population from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. These differ from (and are usually higher than) Census counts as they factor in population missed by the Census and population overseas on Census night. They are generally considered a more accurate measure of population size than Census counts. Population summary Forecast year Change 2016-2026 Area 2016 2021 2026 Number % Average annual change Sunshine Coast Council area 292,950 332,205 369,839 76,889 26.2 4.77 Beerwah 6,328 7,749 8,882 2,554 40.4 7.02 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 2,318 2,326 2,546 228 9.8 1.89 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 12,194 14,518 14,846 2,652 21.7 4.01 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 32,278 33,460 35,048 2,770 8.6 1.66 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 9,866 10,535 11,659 1,793 18.2 3.40 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 14,277 15,635 16,209 1,932 13.5 2.57 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 14,545 14,871 16,043 1,498 10.3 1.98 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 3,524 3,611 3,574 50 1.4 0.28 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 5,824 6,375 7,119 1,295 22.2 4.10 Golden Beach 5,338 5,391 5,404 66 1.2 0.25 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 4,692 4,971 4,929 237 5.1 0.99 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 4,458 4,942 5,512 1,054 23.6 4.34 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 20,350 27,117 37,236 16,886 83.0 12.84 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 5,777 6,163 6,490 713 12.3 2.35 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 2,507 2,728 3,084 577 23.0 4.23 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 10,547 11,461 12,665 2,118 20.1 3.73 Maroochydore 16,404 20,495 23,369 6,965 42.5 7.33 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 11,856 13,056 13,257 1,401 11.8 2.26 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 4,414 4,585 4,759 345 7.8 1.52 8

Forecast year Change 2016-2026 Area 2016 2021 2026 Number % Average annual change Mountain Creek 15,010 16,421 16,548 1,538 10.2 1.97 Nambour - Burnside & District 17,069 19,131 21,839 4,770 27.9 5.05 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 7,714 8,047 8,594 880 11.4 2.18 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 1,849 1,825 1,830-19 -1.0-0.21 Pelican Waters 6,198 8,440 10,414 4,216 68.0 10.94 Peregian Springs 6,617 10,420 10,476 3,859 58.3 9.62 Reesville - Curramore & District 2,613 2,605 2,611-2 -0.1-0.02 Sippy Downs - Palmview 10,777 13,245 20,052 9,275 86.1 13.22 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 4,224 4,193 4,194-30 -0.7-0.14 Woombye 3,185 3,751 4,071 886 27.8 5.03 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 23,259 26,303 27,439 4,180 18.0 3.36 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 6,938 7,834 9,142 2,204 31.8 5.67. 9

Population, households and dwellings This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Sunshine Coast Council area. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes. It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population. Forecast population, households and dwellings Sunshine Coast Council area Forecast year Summary 2016 2021 2026 Population 303,389 332,205 369,839 Change in population (5yrs) 36,137 39,255 37,634 Average annual change 2.57 2.55 2.17 Households 116,140 131,515 146,672 Average household size 2.49 2.48 2.48 Population in non-private dwellings 4,004 5,853 6,017 Dwellings 129,052 147,279 165,250 Dwelling occupancy rate 89.99 89.30 88.76. 10

Forecast population, households and average household size Key findings In 2016, the total population of Sunshine Coast Council area was estimated to be 292,950 people (ABS Census figure is 303,389 people). It is expected to increase by over 76,890 people to 369,839 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 2.39%. This is based on an increase of over 45,200 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household remaining stable at 2.48 to 2026. 11

Components of population change There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population. Components of population change Sunshine Coast Council area Forecast period Component 2012-2016 2017-2021 2022-2026 Births 16,226 18,218 20,809 Deaths 16,868 19,019 21,327 Natural increase/decrease -481-801 -518 Net migration 22,328 38,207 37,988 Change in persons in non-private dwellings 290 1,849 164 Total population change 22,137 39,225 37,634. Forecast population change 12

Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease Forecast in, out and net migration 13

Population and age structure Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care. The forecast age groups of Sunshine Coast Council area are a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles. Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Sunshine Coast Council area 2011 2026 Change between 2011 and 2026 Age group (years) Number % Number % Number 0 to 4 17,849 6.1 22,869 6.2 5,020 5 to 9 18,833 6.4 24,108 6.5 5,275 10 to 14 19,034 6.5 24,201 6.5 5,167 15 to 19 17,386 5.9 21,558 5.8 4,172 20 to 24 15,592 5.3 18,602 5.0 3,010 25 to 29 15,066 5.1 18,713 5.1 3,647 30 to 34 16,535 5.6 21,139 5.7 4,604 35 to 39 18,072 6.2 23,628 6.4 5,556 40 to 44 20,101 6.9 24,693 6.7 4,592 45 to 49 20,267 6.9 23,917 6.5 3,650 50 to 54 19,978 6.8 23,285 6.3 3,307 55 to 59 19,442 6.6 22,879 6.2 3,437 60 to 64 18,433 6.3 22,960 6.2 4,527 65 to 69 17,747 6.1 21,695 5.9 3,948 70 to 74 14,202 4.8 18,719 5.1 4,517 75 to 79 10,241 3.5 15,329 4.1 5,088 80 to 84 7,185 2.5 10,725 2.9 3,540 85 and over 6,987 2.4 10,820 2.9 3,833 Total persons 292,950 100 369,840 100 76,890. 14

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Source: Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2026, prepared by.id, the population experts, October 2015. Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups 15

Key findings In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Sunshine Coast Council area was ages 40 to 44, and 45 to 49, which accounted for 6.9% of the total persons for each age group. The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 5,556 and account for 6.4% of the total persons. The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is forecast to be 40 to 44 years, with a total of 24,693 persons. 16

Household types Analysing the future household structure in Sunshine Coast Council area, especially in conjunction with age structure, provides insight to the role the area plays in the housing market. Some areas, usually with separate housing stock, are dominated by families. Others, with more dense housing in inner city locations have significant numbers of lone person households and couples without dependents. Forecast household types Sunshine Coast Council area - Total persons 2011 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Type Number % Number % Number Couple families with dependents 32,607 28.1 40,874 27.9 8,267 Couples without dependents 38,985 33.6 50,411 34.4 11,426 Group households 4,367 3.8 5,053 3.4 686 Lone person households 26,547 22.9 33,945 23.1 7,398 One parent family 11,732 10.1 14,135 9.6 2,403 Other families 1,910 1.6 2,254 1.5 344. 17

Forecast household types Forecast change in household types, 2016 to 2026 18

Key findings In 2016, the dominant household type in Sunshine Coast Council area was Couples without dependents, which accounted for 33.6% of all households. The largest increase between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in Couples without dependents, which will increase by 11,426 households and account for 34.4% of all households. In contrast Other families is forecast to increase by 344 households, to comprise 1.5% of all households in 2026, compared to 1.6% in 2011. 19

Dwellings and development Legend Visualising the geographic pattern of growth in dwelling stock across Sunshine Coast Council area is a good starting point for assessing the scale and type of change each part of the area is undergoing. Some areas will be experiencing significant growth in new dwellings, either through greenfield development or densification and renewal. However it would be a mistake to assume that areas not experiencing significant housing development are not undergoing change. Other processes will be at work such as the aging-in-place of the existing population and changing household structures. The age structure and household type maps will uncover these population shifts. Forecast dwellings and development map Sunshine Coast Council area, 2016 to 2026 number change. 20

Forecast dwellings and development Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 129,051 100 165,249 100 36,198 28.0 Beerwah 2,512 1.9 3,523 2.1 1,011 40.2 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 969 0.8 1,061 0.6 92 9.5 Bli Bli - Rosemount and District 4,852 3.8 6,029 3.6 1,177 24.3 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 13,547 10.5 14,912 9.0 1,365 10.1 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 6,205 4.8 7,354 4.5 1,149 18.5 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 6,778 5.3 7,763 4.7 985 14.5 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 6,309 4.9 7,129 4.3 820 13.0 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 1,492 1.2 1,584 1.0 92 6.2 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 2,215 1.7 2,749 1.7 534 24.1 Golden Beach 3,193 2.5 3,339 2.0 146 4.6 Ilkley - Eudlo and District 1,715 1.3 1,819 1.1 104 6.1 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 1,788 1.4 2,257 1.4 469 26.2 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 7,602 5.9 14,692 8.9 7,090 93.3 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 2,785 2.2 3,196 1.9 411 14.8 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 1,266 1.0 1,592 1.0 326 25.8 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 5,119 4.0 6,296 3.8 1,177 23.0 Maroochydore 9,351 7.2 13,077 7.9 3,726 39.8 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 6,740 5.2 7,799 4.7 1,059 15.7 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 1,713 1.3 1,909 1.2 196 11.4 Mountain Creek 5,518 4.3 6,294 3.8 776 14.1 Nambour - Burnside and District 7,182 5.6 9,414 5.7 2,232 31.1 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 3,054 2.4 3,478 2.1 424 13.9 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 799 0.6 819 0.5 20 2.5 Pelican Waters 2,551 2.0 4,511 2.7 1,960 76.8 Peregian Springs 2,549 2.0 4,218 2.6 1,669 65.5 Reesville - Curramore and District 1,278 1.0 1,308 0.8 30 2.3 Sippy Downs - Palmview 3,805 2.9 7,368 4.5 3,563 93.6 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 1,683 1.3 1,761 1.1 78 4.6 Woombye 1,244 1.0 1,596 1.0 352 28.3 Wurtulla - Buddina and District 10,472 8.1 12,577 7.6 2,105 20.1 Yandina - Yandina Creek and District 2,766 2.1 3,826 2.3 1,060 38.3 21

Population and age structure Knowing when and where to deliver age-based services is an essential part of local government planning. Mapping the distribution of selected age groups across Sunshine Coast Council area provides the evidence-base for efficiently targeting and delivering these services. Population and age structure map - persons aged 0 to 4 years 22

Population and age structure - persons aged 0 to 4 years Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 17,849 6.1 22,869 6.2 +5,020 +28.1 Beerwah 414 6.5 593 6.7 +179 +43.2 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 109 4.7 129 5.1 +20 +18.3 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 786 6.4 863 5.8 +77 +9.8 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,479 4.6 1,591 4.5 +112 +7.6 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 458 4.6 517 4.4 +59 +12.9 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 928 6.5 971 6.0 +43 +4.6 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 886 6.1 995 6.2 +110 +12.4 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 213 6.0 199 5.6-14 -6.7 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 335 5.8 423 5.9 +88 +26.2 Golden Beach 243 4.6 235 4.4-8 -3.3 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 252 5.4 264 5.4 +12 +4.8 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 259 5.8 324 5.9 +65 +25.0 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,667 8.2 3,444 9.2 +1,777 +106.6 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 228 3.9 252 3.9 +23 +10.3 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 73 2.9 105 3.4 +32 +43.9 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 643 6.1 745 5.9 +102 +15.8 Maroochydore 920 5.6 1,370 5.9 +450 +48.9 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 540 4.6 610 4.6 +70 +13.0 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 285 6.5 302 6.4 +17 +5.9 Mountain Creek 1,324 8.8 1,134 6.9-190 -14.4 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,222 7.2 1,517 6.9 +294 +24.1 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 419 5.4 470 5.5 +51 +12.3 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 107 5.8 90 4.9-17 -15.7 Pelican Waters 293 4.7 533 5.1 +239 +81.7 Peregian Springs 550 8.3 655 6.3 +106 +19.2 Reesville - Curramore & District 134 5.1 133 5.1-1 -0.5 Sippy Downs - Palmview 732 6.8 1,711 8.5 +979 +133.8 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 213 5.1 210 5.0-3 -1.5 Woombye 208 6.5 254 6.2 +46 +22.2 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,474 6.3 1,657 6.0 +184 +12.5 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 456 6.6 574 6.3 +118 +25.9 23

Population and age structure map - persons aged 5 to 9 years 24

Population and age structure - persons aged 5 to 9 years Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 18,833 6.4 24,108 6.5 +5,275 +28.0 Beerwah 447 7.1 599 6.7 +152 +34.1 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 137 5.9 161 6.3 +24 +17.2 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 848 7.0 932 6.3 +84 +9.9 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,040 6.3 2,093 6.0 +53 +2.6 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 410 4.2 555 4.8 +146 +35.6 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 1,002 7.0 1,044 6.4 +42 +4.2 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 939 6.5 1,091 6.8 +152 +16.2 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 232 6.6 232 6.5 -- +0.2 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 391 6.7 485 6.8 +94 +24.0 Golden Beach 278 5.2 271 5.0-7 -2.6 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 315 6.7 313 6.3-2 -0.6 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 304 6.8 363 6.6 +59 +19.4 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,680 8.3 3,278 8.8 +1,598 +95.1 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 283 4.9 326 5.0 +43 +15.2 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 91 3.6 135 4.4 +44 +48.8 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 658 6.2 760 6.0 +103 +15.6 Maroochydore 544 3.3 992 4.2 +448 +82.4 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 459 3.9 559 4.2 +100 +21.7 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 285 6.5 320 6.7 +34 +12.0 Mountain Creek 1,321 8.8 1,287 7.8-34 -2.6 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,173 6.9 1,474 6.7 +300 +25.6 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 497 6.4 542 6.3 +46 +9.2 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 104 5.7 103 5.6-1 -1.3 Pelican Waters 365 5.9 613 5.9 +248 +68.0 Peregian Springs 661 10.0 834 8.0 +173 +26.2 Reesville - Curramore & District 152 5.8 145 5.6-7 -4.4 Sippy Downs - Palmview 791 7.3 1,667 8.3 +877 +110.8 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 283 6.7 262 6.2-21 -7.6 Woombye 242 7.6 292 7.2 +50 +20.6 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,399 6.0 1,718 6.3 +319 +22.8 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 503 7.3 662 7.2 +159 +31.6 25

Population and age structure map - persons aged 10 to 14 years 26

Population and age structure - persons aged 10 to 14 years Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 19,034 6.5 24,201 6.5 +5,167 +27.1 Beerwah 441 7.0 632 7.1 +190 +43.2 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 179 7.7 184 7.2 +5 +3.0 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 806 6.6 1,003 6.8 +198 +24.5 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,262 7.0 2,308 6.6 +46 +2.0 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 464 4.7 607 5.2 +143 +30.9 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 942 6.6 1,050 6.5 +109 +11.6 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 964 6.6 1,097 6.8 +133 +13.8 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 261 7.4 243 6.8-18 -7.0 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 398 6.8 486 6.8 +88 +22.1 Golden Beach 261 4.9 251 4.6-10 -3.7 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 388 8.3 352 7.1-36 -9.4 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 327 7.3 409 7.4 +82 +25.0 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,636 8.0 3,147 8.5 +1,511 +92.4 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 316 5.5 351 5.4 +34 +10.9 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 118 4.7 146 4.7 +28 +23.4 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 618 5.9 731 5.8 +113 +18.3 Maroochydore 502 3.1 828 3.5 +326 +65.0 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 487 4.1 573 4.3 +87 +17.8 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 303 6.9 304 6.4 +1 +0.3 Mountain Creek 1,352 9.0 1,451 8.8 +99 +7.3 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,010 5.9 1,345 6.2 +334 +33.1 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 576 7.5 565 6.6-11 -1.8 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 113 6.1 112 6.1-1 -1.2 Pelican Waters 407 6.6 640 6.1 +233 +57.2 Peregian Springs 582 8.8 876 8.4 +294 +50.5 Reesville - Curramore & District 165 6.3 157 6.0-8 -5.1 Sippy Downs - Palmview 785 7.3 1,510 7.5 +725 +92.3 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 322 7.6 270 6.4-53 -16.3 Woombye 254 8.0 298 7.3 +44 +17.2 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,343 5.8 1,671 6.1 +328 +24.4 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 450 6.5 605 6.6 +154 +34.3 27

Population and age structure map - persons aged 15 to 19 years 28

Population and age structure - persons aged 15 to 19 years Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 17,386 5.9 21,558 5.8 +4,172 +24.0 Beerwah 418 6.6 606 6.8 +188 +45.0 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 137 5.9 132 5.2-5 -4.0 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 706 5.8 916 6.2 +210 +29.7 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,088 6.5 2,176 6.2 +88 +4.2 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 533 5.4 606 5.2 +73 +13.8 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 860 6.0 972 6.0 +111 +13.0 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 879 6.0 897 5.6 +18 +2.1 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 196 5.6 182 5.1-14 -7.0 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 380 6.5 412 5.8 +32 +8.3 Golden Beach 220 4.1 230 4.3 +10 +4.4 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 343 7.3 318 6.5-25 -7.3 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 302 6.8 350 6.4 +48 +16.0 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,289 6.3 2,347 6.3 +1,057 +82.0 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 272 4.7 282 4.3 +10 +3.6 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 119 4.7 123 4.0 +4 +3.3 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 586 5.6 644 5.1 +58 +9.9 Maroochydore 725 4.4 1,063 4.5 +338 +46.6 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 726 6.1 800 6.0 +73 +10.1 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 267 6.1 261 5.5-7 -2.6 Mountain Creek 890 5.9 1,282 7.7 +391 +44.0 Nambour - Burnside & District 975 5.7 1,142 5.2 +167 +17.1 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 467 6.1 450 5.2-18 -3.8 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 92 5.0 79 4.3-13 -13.9 Pelican Waters 335 5.4 541 5.2 +206 +61.6 Peregian Springs 362 5.5 733 7.0 +371 +102.6 Reesville - Curramore & District 148 5.7 127 4.9-20 -13.8 Sippy Downs - Palmview 1,007 9.3 1,501 7.5 +494 +49.1 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 242 5.7 209 5.0-34 -13.9 Woombye 189 5.9 243 6.0 +54 +28.4 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,268 5.5 1,498 5.5 +230 +18.1 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 363 5.2 438 4.8 +75 +20.6 29

Population and age structure map - persons aged 20 to 24 years 30

Population and age structure - persons aged 20 to 24 years Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 15,592 5.3 18,602 5.0 +3,010 +19.3 Beerwah 359 5.7 494 5.6 +135 +37.7 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 71 3.1 80 3.1 +9 +12.8 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 593 4.9 669 4.5 +76 +12.9 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,562 4.8 1,549 4.4-13 -0.8 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 518 5.3 584 5.0 +66 +12.6 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 753 5.3 824 5.1 +71 +9.4 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 677 4.7 645 4.0-32 -4.8 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 115 3.3 118 3.3 +3 +2.8 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 304 5.2 293 4.1-11 -3.5 Golden Beach 196 3.7 199 3.7 +3 +1.6 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 261 5.6 229 4.6-32 -12.4 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 215 4.8 231 4.2 +16 +7.4 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 978 4.8 2,120 5.7 +1,141 +116.7 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 200 3.5 167 2.6-34 -17.0 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 78 3.1 69 2.2-9 -11.5 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 572 5.4 596 4.7 +23 +4.1 Maroochydore 1,165 7.1 1,590 6.8 +424 +36.4 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 1,116 9.4 1,198 9.0 +82 +7.3 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 242 5.5 231 4.8-11 -4.5 Mountain Creek 878 5.8 941 5.7 +64 +7.2 Nambour - Burnside & District 929 5.4 969 4.4 +40 +4.3 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 336 4.4 348 4.1 +12 +3.6 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 65 3.5 47 2.6-19 -28.8 Pelican Waters 208 3.4 330 3.2 +122 +58.6 Peregian Springs 216 3.3 438 4.2 +222 +102.9 Reesville - Curramore & District 115 4.4 102 3.9-13 -11.5 Sippy Downs - Palmview 1,028 9.5 1,637 8.2 +609 +59.2 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 152 3.6 145 3.5-7 -4.9 Woombye 150 4.7 184 4.5 +34 +22.7 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,211 5.2 1,277 4.7 +65 +5.4 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 328 4.7 301 3.3-27 -8.2 31

Population and age structure map - persons aged 25 to 29 years 32

Population and age structure - persons aged 25 to 29 years Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 15,066 5.1 18,713 5.1 +3,647 +24.2 Beerwah 330 5.2 486 5.5 +156 +47.2 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 60 2.6 62 2.5 +3 +4.8 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 617 5.1 643 4.3 +26 +4.3 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,320 4.1 1,382 3.9 +62 +4.7 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 475 4.8 545 4.7 +71 +14.9 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 746 5.2 851 5.3 +105 +14.1 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 622 4.3 698 4.4 +76 +12.3 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 113 3.2 104 2.9-9 -8.0 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 237 4.1 300 4.2 +64 +26.9 Golden Beach 212 4.0 204 3.8-8 -3.6 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 185 3.9 183 3.7-1 -0.8 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 187 4.2 250 4.5 +62 +33.3 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,106 5.4 2,456 6.6 +1,350 +122.0 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 122 2.1 142 2.2 +20 +16.4 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 59 2.4 91 3.0 +32 +54.3 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 564 5.3 661 5.2 +98 +17.3 Maroochydore 1,416 8.6 1,831 7.8 +416 +29.4 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 1,096 9.2 1,129 8.5 +33 +3.0 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 207 4.7 219 4.6 +12 +5.9 Mountain Creek 1,189 7.9 791 4.8-398 -33.4 Nambour - Burnside & District 896 5.2 1,134 5.2 +239 +26.6 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 287 3.7 350 4.1 +62 +21.7 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 52 2.8 44 2.4-9 -16.8 Pelican Waters 150 2.4 261 2.5 +111 +73.7 Peregian Springs 215 3.2 281 2.7 +66 +30.9 Reesville - Curramore & District 101 3.9 107 4.1 +6 +5.6 Sippy Downs - Palmview 700 6.5 1,596 8.0 +896 +128.0 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 98 2.3 106 2.5 +8 +8.4 Woombye 153 4.8 186 4.6 +34 +22.0 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,299 5.6 1,298 4.7 -- 0 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 253 3.7 318 3.5 +65 +25.7 33

Population and age structure map - persons aged 30 to 34 years 34

Population and age structure - persons aged 30 to 34 years Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 16,535 5.6 21,139 5.7 +4,604 +27.8 Beerwah 393 6.2 539 6.1 +147 +37.3 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 81 3.5 101 4.0 +19 +23.9 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 685 5.6 760 5.1 +75 +11.0 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,424 4.4 1,550 4.4 +126 +8.8 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 482 4.9 518 4.4 +36 +7.5 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 905 6.3 944 5.8 +39 +4.3 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 762 5.2 856 5.3 +94 +12.3 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 147 4.2 137 3.8-10 -7.1 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 283 4.9 382 5.4 +99 +34.9 Golden Beach 242 4.5 221 4.1-21 -8.7 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 193 4.1 199 4.0 +5 +2.7 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 239 5.4 304 5.5 +65 +27.2 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,373 6.7 2,892 7.8 +1,519 +110.7 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 177 3.1 207 3.2 +30 +16.8 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 97 3.9 129 4.2 +31 +32.4 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 615 5.8 705 5.6 +90 +14.6 Maroochydore 1,252 7.6 1,760 7.5 +508 +40.6 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 857 7.2 901 6.8 +44 +5.1 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 232 5.2 250 5.3 +18 +7.9 Mountain Creek 1,264 8.4 1,037 6.3-227 -18.0 Nambour - Burnside & District 986 5.8 1,295 5.9 +310 +31.4 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 330 4.3 393 4.6 +63 +19.1 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 54 2.9 56 3.1 +2 +4.6 Pelican Waters 208 3.4 413 4.0 +205 +98.7 Peregian Springs 372 5.6 401 3.8 +28 +7.7 Reesville - Curramore & District 126 4.8 126 4.8 -- +0.1 Sippy Downs - Palmview 713 6.6 1,756 8.8 +1,043 +146.2 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 130 3.1 139 3.3 +9 +7.1 Woombye 186 5.8 218 5.3 +32 +17.0 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,376 5.9 1,469 5.4 +94 +6.8 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 350 5.0 480 5.3 +130 +37.2 35

Population and age structure map - persons aged 35 to 39 years 36

Population and age structure - persons aged 35 to 39 years Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 18,072 6.2 23,628 6.4 +5,556 +30.7 Beerwah 415 6.6 606 6.8 +191 +46.1 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 121 5.2 132 5.2 +11 +9.2 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 792 6.5 906 6.1 +114 +14.4 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,779 5.5 1,904 5.4 +125 +7.0 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 473 4.8 550 4.7 +77 +16.3 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 1,018 7.1 1,041 6.4 +23 +2.3 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 894 6.1 992 6.2 +98 +11.0 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 182 5.2 179 5.0-2 -1.2 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 357 6.1 441 6.2 +84 +23.7 Golden Beach 257 4.8 265 4.9 +8 +3.2 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 250 5.3 258 5.2 +8 +3.3 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 302 6.8 385 7.0 +83 +27.3 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,472 7.2 2,945 7.9 +1,473 +100.1 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 249 4.3 274 4.2 +25 +10.0 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 102 4.1 157 5.1 +55 +53.7 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 604 5.7 711 5.6 +107 +17.7 Maroochydore 980 6.0 1,604 6.9 +624 +63.7 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 705 5.9 839 6.3 +134 +19.0 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 279 6.3 285 6.0 +6 +2.1 Mountain Creek 1,244 8.3 1,338 8.1 +94 +7.5 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,040 6.1 1,357 6.2 +317 +30.5 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 420 5.4 448 5.2 +28 +6.7 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 75 4.1 80 4.4 +5 +7.2 Pelican Waters 330 5.3 625 6.0 +295 +89.5 Peregian Springs 546 8.3 646 6.2 +99 +18.2 Reesville - Curramore & District 141 5.4 138 5.3-2 -1.5 Sippy Downs - Palmview 714 6.6 1,707 8.5 +994 +139.2 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 225 5.3 204 4.9-22 -9.6 Woombye 203 6.4 262 6.4 +59 +29.2 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,424 6.1 1,711 6.2 +287 +20.1 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 481 6.9 638 7.0 +157 +32.7 37

Population and age structure map - persons aged 40 to 44 years 38

Population and age structure - persons aged 40 to 44 years Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 20,101 6.9 24,693 6.7 +4,592 +22.8 Beerwah 453 7.2 643 7.2 +189 +41.8 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 160 6.9 181 7.1 +21 +13.0 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 895 7.3 1,012 6.8 +118 +13.1 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,273 7.0 2,256 6.4-16 -0.7 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 543 5.5 637 5.5 +94 +17.3 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 1,128 7.9 1,132 7.0 +4 +0.4 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 972 6.7 1,062 6.6 +90 +9.3 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 248 7.0 230 6.4-18 -7.2 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 410 7.0 494 6.9 +84 +20.4 Golden Beach 323 6.0 289 5.3-34 -10.7 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 362 7.7 339 6.9-24 -6.5 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 365 8.2 404 7.3 +40 +10.9 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,510 7.4 2,659 7.1 +1,149 +76.1 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 334 5.8 355 5.5 +21 +6.3 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 111 4.4 159 5.2 +49 +43.8 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 650 6.2 701 5.5 +51 +7.9 Maroochydore 883 5.4 1,438 6.2 +556 +62.9 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 752 6.3 881 6.6 +128 +17.1 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 306 6.9 287 6.0-19 -6.1 Mountain Creek 1,239 8.3 1,408 8.5 +169 +13.6 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,024 6.0 1,320 6.0 +295 +28.9 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 512 6.6 515 6.0 +4 +0.7 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 128 6.9 96 5.2-33 -25.4 Pelican Waters 415 6.7 741 7.1 +326 +78.6 Peregian Springs 549 8.3 768 7.3 +219 +40.0 Reesville - Curramore & District 160 6.1 149 5.7-10 -6.3 Sippy Downs - Palmview 700 6.5 1,413 7.0 +713 +101.9 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 320 7.6 283 6.8-37 -11.5 Woombye 237 7.5 279 6.9 +42 +17.6 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,583 6.8 1,845 6.7 +262 +16.6 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 556 8.0 715 7.8 +159 +28.6 39

Population and age structure map - persons aged 45 to 49 years 40

Population and age structure - persons aged 45 to 49 years Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 20,267 6.9 23,917 6.5 +3,649 +18.0 Beerwah 461 7.3 599 6.7 +138 +29.9 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 210 9.1 184 7.2-26 -12.4 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 883 7.2 1,082 7.3 +199 +22.5 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,444 7.6 2,353 6.7-91 -3.7 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 667 6.8 660 5.7-7 -1.0 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 1,091 7.6 1,120 6.9 +28 +2.6 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 995 6.8 1,025 6.4 +29 +2.9 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 298 8.5 260 7.3-39 -12.9 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 456 7.8 482 6.8 +26 +5.8 Golden Beach 301 5.6 281 5.2-20 -6.7 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 432 9.2 372 7.5-60 -13.9 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 312 7.0 373 6.8 +60 +19.4 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,303 6.4 2,247 6.0 +944 +72.4 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 399 6.9 385 5.9-14 -3.5 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 142 5.6 164 5.3 +22 +15.5 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 746 7.1 666 5.3-81 -10.8 Maroochydore 843 5.1 1,303 5.6 +460 +54.6 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 789 6.7 936 7.1 +147 +18.7 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 324 7.3 292 6.1-32 -10.0 Mountain Creek 1,012 6.7 1,328 8.0 +316 +31.2 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,067 6.3 1,249 5.7 +182 +17.1 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 564 7.3 532 6.2-32 -5.7 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 133 7.2 105 5.8-28 -21.0 Pelican Waters 451 7.3 733 7.0 +282 +62.6 Peregian Springs 424 6.4 765 7.3 +341 +80.4 Reesville - Curramore & District 163 6.2 147 5.6-16 -9.9 Sippy Downs - Palmview 601 5.6 1,136 5.7 +535 +89.0 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 391 9.3 320 7.6-71 -18.3 Woombye 239 7.5 272 6.7 +33 +13.8 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,600 6.9 1,881 6.9 +282 +17.6 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 523 7.5 665 7.3 +142 +27.1 41

Population and age structure map - persons aged 50 to 54 years 42

Population and age structure - persons aged 50 to 54 years Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 19,978 6.8 23,285 6.3 +3,307 +16.6 Beerwah 396 6.3 550 6.2 +154 +38.8 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 197 8.5 182 7.1-15 -7.8 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 892 7.3 1,084 7.3 +192 +21.6 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,453 7.6 2,408 6.9-45 -1.8 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 677 6.9 736 6.3 +59 +8.8 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 1,005 7.0 1,134 7.0 +129 +12.9 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 1,024 7.0 977 6.1-46 -4.5 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 333 9.4 271 7.6-62 -18.5 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 431 7.4 457 6.4 +26 +6.1 Golden Beach 342 6.4 355 6.6 +13 +3.9 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 424 9.0 366 7.4-58 -13.8 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 338 7.6 394 7.1 +56 +16.6 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 967 4.8 1,886 5.1 +919 +95.0 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 374 6.5 403 6.2 +29 +7.6 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 206 8.2 196 6.4-10 -4.7 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 763 7.2 746 5.9-17 -2.3 Maroochydore 1,009 6.1 1,313 5.6 +304 +30.1 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 822 6.9 918 6.9 +96 +11.7 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 350 7.9 325 6.8-25 -7.1 Mountain Creek 871 5.8 1,144 6.9 +273 +31.4 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,131 6.6 1,289 5.9 +158 +13.9 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 599 7.8 612 7.1 +13 +2.1 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 158 8.6 133 7.3-25 -15.8 Pelican Waters 395 6.4 674 6.5 +280 +70.8 Peregian Springs 335 5.1 637 6.1 +302 +90.2 Reesville - Curramore & District 206 7.9 165 6.3-42 -20.2 Sippy Downs - Palmview 517 4.8 849 4.2 +332 +64.3 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 352 8.3 329 7.8-23 -6.5 Woombye 218 6.8 268 6.6 +50 +23.1 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,647 7.1 1,854 6.8 +207 +12.6 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 548 7.9 630 6.9 +82 +15.0 43

Population and age structure map - persons aged 55 to 59 years 44

Population and age structure - persons aged 55 to 59 years Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 19,442 6.6 22,879 6.2 +3,437 +17.7 Beerwah 365 5.8 531 6.0 +166 +45.5 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 206 8.9 227 8.9 +21 +10.4 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 834 6.8 1,051 7.1 +217 +26.0 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,349 7.3 2,454 7.0 +104 +4.4 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 784 8.0 855 7.3 +70 +9.0 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 948 6.6 1,143 7.0 +195 +20.6 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 925 6.4 972 6.1 +47 +5.1 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 280 8.0 280 7.8 -- -0.1 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 376 6.5 481 6.8 +105 +27.9 Golden Beach 388 7.3 382 7.1-5 -1.4 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 379 8.1 382 7.7 +3 +0.8 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 348 7.8 370 6.7 +22 +6.4 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 843 4.1 1,453 3.9 +610 +72.4 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 467 8.1 488 7.5 +21 +4.5 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 236 9.4 251 8.1 +15 +6.3 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 794 7.5 860 6.8 +66 +8.4 Maroochydore 1,116 6.8 1,337 5.7 +221 +19.8 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 811 6.8 861 6.5 +49 +6.1 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 340 7.7 345 7.2 +4 +1.2 Mountain Creek 628 4.2 835 5.0 +207 +33.0 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,095 6.4 1,339 6.1 +244 +22.3 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 658 8.5 684 8.0 +26 +3.9 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 174 9.4 154 8.4-19 -11.0 Pelican Waters 429 6.9 732 7.0 +302 +70.5 Peregian Springs 351 5.3 587 5.6 +236 +67.3 Reesville - Curramore & District 213 8.2 195 7.5-19 -8.8 Sippy Downs - Palmview 398 3.7 672 3.3 +274 +68.8 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 358 8.5 345 8.2-13 -3.6 Woombye 201 6.3 262 6.4 +61 +30.5 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,590 6.8 1,745 6.4 +155 +9.7 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 558 8.0 609 6.7 +51 +9.2 45

Population and age structure map - persons aged 60 to 64 years 46

Population and age structure - persons aged 60 to 64 years Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 18,433 6.3 22,960 6.2 +4,527 +24.6 Beerwah 346 5.5 496 5.6 +150 +43.3 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 216 9.3 227 8.9 +11 +5.2 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 757 6.2 1,020 6.9 +263 +34.7 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,082 6.4 2,507 7.2 +425 +20.4 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 754 7.6 862 7.4 +107 +14.3 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 862 6.0 1,062 6.6 +200 +23.2 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 911 6.3 1,082 6.7 +171 +18.8 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 286 8.1 295 8.2 +9 +3.2 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 381 6.5 483 6.8 +102 +26.7 Golden Beach 396 7.4 421 7.8 +25 +6.2 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 334 7.1 368 7.5 +35 +10.3 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 275 6.2 366 6.6 +91 +33.2 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 873 4.3 1,207 3.2 +334 +38.2 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 575 10.0 565 8.7-10 -1.8 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 270 10.8 304 9.8 +34 +12.5 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 777 7.4 927 7.3 +150 +19.3 Maroochydore 1,170 7.1 1,481 6.3 +311 +26.6 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 751 6.3 751 5.7-1 -0.1 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 286 6.5 367 7.7 +81 +28.3 Mountain Creek 465 3.1 689 4.2 +224 +48.1 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,025 6.0 1,322 6.1 +297 +29.0 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 550 7.1 669 7.8 +119 +21.7 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 179 9.7 191 10.5 +12 +6.8 Pelican Waters 491 7.9 808 7.8 +317 +64.5 Peregian Springs 401 6.1 633 6.0 +232 +57.8 Reesville - Curramore & District 246 9.4 219 8.4-26 -10.7 Sippy Downs - Palmview 363 3.4 635 3.2 +272 +75.0 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 321 7.6 327 7.8 +6 +1.8 Woombye 206 6.5 256 6.3 +50 +24.4 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,392 6.0 1,784 6.5 +392 +28.2 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 492 7.1 636 7.0 +144 +29.2 47

Population and age structure map - persons aged 65 to 69 years 48

Population and age structure - persons aged 65 to 69 years Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 17,747 6.1 21,695 5.9 +3,948 +22.2 Beerwah 358 5.7 465 5.2 +107 +30.0 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 191 8.3 209 8.2 +18 +9.2 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 715 5.9 900 6.1 +184 +25.8 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,024 6.3 2,377 6.8 +353 +17.4 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 765 7.8 888 7.6 +123 +16.1 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 719 5.0 949 5.9 +230 +32.0 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 904 6.2 992 6.2 +88 +9.7 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 232 6.6 251 7.0 +19 +8.1 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 380 6.5 430 6.0 +49 +13.0 Golden Beach 444 8.3 437 8.1-7 -1.6 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 227 4.8 312 6.3 +85 +37.6 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 267 6.0 336 6.1 +69 +25.9 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 958 4.7 1,200 3.2 +243 +25.3 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 606 10.5 633 9.8 +27 +4.5 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 272 10.8 296 9.6 +24 +8.8 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 707 6.7 914 7.2 +206 +29.2 Maroochydore 1,123 6.8 1,434 6.1 +311 +27.7 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 660 5.6 651 4.9-9 -1.4 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 261 5.9 314 6.6 +53 +20.2 Mountain Creek 431 2.9 561 3.4 +130 +30.1 Nambour - Burnside & District 964 5.6 1,205 5.5 +241 +25.0 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 492 6.4 638 7.4 +146 +29.6 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 196 10.6 187 10.2-9 -4.8 Pelican Waters 591 9.5 841 8.1 +250 +42.4 Peregian Springs 395 6.0 679 6.5 +285 +72.0 Reesville - Curramore & District 202 7.7 196 7.5-6 -2.9 Sippy Downs - Palmview 362 3.4 529 2.6 +167 +46.2 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 328 7.8 317 7.5-12 -3.6 Woombye 177 5.6 233 5.7 +56 +31.4 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,390 6.0 1,700 6.2 +310 +22.3 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 405 5.8 621 6.8 +216 +53.3 49

Population and age structure map - persons aged 70 to 74 years 50

Population and age structure - persons aged 70 to 74 years Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 14,202 4.8 18,719 5.1 +4,517 +31.8 Beerwah 281 4.4 392 4.4 +111 +39.6 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 119 5.1 159 6.2 +40 +33.6 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 533 4.4 741 5.0 +208 +39.1 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,560 4.8 2,015 5.8 +456 +29.2 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 637 6.5 784 6.7 +147 +23.1 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 500 3.5 766 4.7 +266 +53.3 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 704 4.8 883 5.5 +179 +25.4 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 177 5.0 238 6.7 +61 +34.4 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 311 5.3 386 5.4 +75 +24.1 Golden Beach 401 7.5 378 7.0-23 -5.8 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 175 3.7 259 5.3 +83 +47.7 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 183 4.1 242 4.4 +59 +32.4 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 967 4.8 1,240 3.3 +273 +28.2 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 472 8.2 589 9.1 +117 +24.9 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 218 8.7 276 9.0 +58 +26.7 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 531 5.0 775 6.1 +244 +46.0 Maroochydore 913 5.6 1,224 5.2 +311 +34.1 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 485 4.1 586 4.4 +101 +20.9 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 200 4.5 236 5.0 +36 +17.9 Mountain Creek 299 2.0 445 2.7 +145 +48.6 Nambour - Burnside & District 813 4.8 1,045 4.8 +231 +28.4 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 384 5.0 484 5.6 +100 +26.1 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 113 6.1 147 8.0 +34 +30.0 Pelican Waters 511 8.2 730 7.0 +219 +42.9 Peregian Springs 295 4.5 634 6.1 +339 +115.0 Reesville - Curramore & District 168 6.4 202 7.7 +34 +20.3 Sippy Downs - Palmview 380 3.5 458 2.3 +78 +20.5 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 234 5.5 276 6.6 +42 +18.1 Woombye 133 4.2 210 5.2 +77 +57.7 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,174 5.0 1,425 5.2 +251 +21.4 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 332 4.8 494 5.4 +162 +48.8 51

Population and age structure map - persons aged 75 to 79 years 52

Population and age structure - persons aged 75 to 79 years Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 10,241 3.5 15,329 4.1 +5,088 +49.7 Beerwah 197 3.1 306 3.4 +110 +55.6 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 53 2.3 100 3.9 +46 +87.0 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 352 2.9 597 4.0 +245 +69.6 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,256 3.9 1,730 4.9 +474 +37.7 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 504 5.1 687 5.9 +183 +36.4 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 372 2.6 536 3.3 +164 +44.1 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 570 3.9 753 4.7 +182 +32.0 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 111 3.1 169 4.7 +59 +52.8 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 204 3.5 322 4.5 +117 +57.5 Golden Beach 298 5.6 374 6.9 +76 +25.4 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 90 1.9 159 3.2 +69 +76.5 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 122 2.7 209 3.8 +87 +71.1 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 747 3.7 1,052 2.8 +304 +40.7 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 312 5.4 490 7.5 +177 +56.8 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 164 6.5 230 7.5 +67 +40.7 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 342 3.2 590 4.7 +248 +72.4 Maroochydore 729 4.4 996 4.3 +266 +36.5 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 309 2.6 444 3.4 +135 +43.7 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 119 2.7 199 4.2 +80 +67.6 Mountain Creek 210 1.4 369 2.2 +159 +75.8 Nambour - Burnside & District 616 3.6 906 4.1 +290 +47.1 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 268 3.5 389 4.5 +121 +45.1 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 60 3.2 119 6.5 +59 +97.6 Pelican Waters 308 5.0 578 5.6 +270 +87.7 Peregian Springs 166 2.5 470 4.5 +304 +182.9 Reesville - Curramore & District 109 4.2 153 5.8 +43 +39.7 Sippy Downs - Palmview 391 3.6 435 2.2 +44 +11.2 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 156 3.7 247 5.9 +91 +58.6 Woombye 98 3.1 151 3.7 +53 +54.2 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 833 3.6 1,210 4.4 +377 +45.2 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 173 2.5 360 3.9 +188 +108.5 53

Population and age structure map - persons aged 80 years and over 54

Population and age structure - persons aged 80 years and over Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2016 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 14,172 100 21,545 100 +7,373 +52.0 Beerwah 255 1.8 345 1.6 +90 +35.3 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 70 0.5 97 0.5 +27 +38.6 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 502 3.5 667 3.1 +165 +32.9 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,883 13.3 2,395 11.1 +512 +27.2 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 721 5.1 1,066 4.9 +345 +47.9 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 498 3.5 670 3.1 +172 +34.5 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 917 6.5 1,025 4.8 +108 +11.8 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 101 0.7 187 0.9 +86 +85.1 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 190 1.3 363 1.7 +173 +91.1 Golden Beach 537 3.8 612 2.8 +75 +14.0 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 81 0.6 256 1.2 +175 +216.0 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 114 0.8 203 0.9 89 +78.1 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 980 6.9 1,664 7.7 +684 +69.8 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 389 2.7 582 2.7 +193 +49.6 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 152 1.1 253 1.2 +101 +66.4 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 377 2.7 934 4.3 +557 +147.7 Maroochydore 1,115 7.9 1,806 8.4 +691 +62.0 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 490 3.5 621 2.9 +131 +26.7 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 127 0.9 224 1.0 +97 +76.4 Mountain Creek 392 2.8 508 2.4 +116 +29.6 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,102 7.8 1,931 9.0 +829 +75.2 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 354 2.5 504 2.3 +150 +42.4 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 45 0.3 87 0.4 +42 +93.3 Pelican Waters 310 2.2 619 2.9 +309 +99.7 Peregian Springs 199 1.4 439 2.0 +240 +120.6 Reesville - Curramore & District 64 0.5 149 0.7 +85 +132.8 Sippy Downs - Palmview 597 4.2 840 3.9 +243 +40.7 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 98 0.7 206 1.0 +108 +110.2 Woombye 90 0.6 202 0.9 +112 +124.4 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 1,257 8.9 1,695 7.9 +438 +34.8 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 167 1.2 396 1.8 +229 +137.1 55

Household types Mapping the distribution of different household types across the Sunshine Coast Council area provides insight into the roles that different areas play in the housing market and how these are changing. It also identifies where there are concentrations of households which have specific service requirements. Forecast household types map Couple families with dependents 56

Forecast household types Couple families with dependents Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2011 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 32,607 100 40,874 100 8,267 25.4 Beerwah 754 2.3 1,058 2.6 304 40.4 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 264 0.8 279 0.7 15 5.6 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 1,518 4.7 1,779 4.4 262 17.2 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 4,022 12.3 4,105 10.0 83 2.1 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 712 2.2 826 2.0 113 15.9 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 1,581 4.8 1,714 4.2 133 8.4 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 1,621 5.0 1,761 4.3 139 8.6 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 422 1.3 401 1.0-20 -4.9 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 719 2.2 857 2.1 138 19.2 Golden Beach 380 1.2 370 0.9-11 -2.8 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 616 1.9 589 1.4-27 -4.4 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 552 1.7 661 1.6 109 19.7 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 2,599 8.0 4,879 11.9 2,281 87.8 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 500 1.5 532 1.3 32 6.4 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 194 0.6 235 0.6 41 21.2 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 1,083 3.3 1,225 3.0 141 13.0 Maroochydore 1,095 3.4 1,804 4.4 709 64.8 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 946 2.9 1,102 2.7 156 16.5 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 563 1.7 571 1.4 7 1.3 Mountain Creek 2,039 6.3 2,276 5.6 237 11.6 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,785 5.5 2,243 5.5 458 25.7 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 940 2.9 1,000 2.4 61 6.4 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 194 0.6 172 0.4-22 -11.2 Pelican Waters 721 2.2 1,262 3.1 541 75.1 Peregian Springs 917 2.8 1,318 3.2 401 43.7 Reesville - Curramore & District 247 0.8 230 0.6-18 -7.2 Sippy Downs - Palmview 1,224 3.8 2,569 6.3 1,345 109.8 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 552 1.7 508 1.2-44 -7.9 Woombye 401 1.2 492 1.2 91 22.7 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 2,591 7.9 2,975 7.3 384 14.8 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 852 2.6 1,080 2.6 228 26.8 57

Forecast household types map Couples without dependents 58

Forecast household types Couples without dependents Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2011 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 38,985 100 50,411 100 11,426 29.3 Beerwah 756 1.9 1,083 2.1 327 43.2 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 357 0.9 420 0.8 63 17.7 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 1,505 3.9 1,965 3.9 460 30.6 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 4,352 11.2 5,092 10.1 740 17.0 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 1,472 3.8 1,716 3.4 244 16.6 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 1,701 4.4 2,116 4.2 415 24.4 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 1,855 4.8 2,125 4.2 270 14.5 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 486 1.2 546 1.1 60 12.4 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 775 2.0 977 1.9 202 26.1 Golden Beach 933 2.4 952 1.9 19 2.0 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 562 1.4 687 1.4 125 22.3 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 563 1.4 738 1.5 175 31.1 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 2,401 6.2 4,158 8.2 1,757 73.2 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 1,053 2.7 1,217 2.4 163 15.5 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 500 1.3 603 1.2 103 20.7 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 1,579 4.0 1,949 3.9 370 23.4 Maroochydore 2,531 6.5 3,353 6.7 822 32.5 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 1,570 4.0 1,689 3.4 119 7.6 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 563 1.4 672 1.3 109 19.5 Mountain Creek 1,368 3.5 1,694 3.4 326 23.8 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,987 5.1 2,497 5.0 510 25.7 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 1,065 2.7 1,339 2.7 274 25.7 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 313 0.8 344 0.7 31 10.0 Pelican Waters 1,138 2.9 1,854 3.7 716 62.9 Peregian Springs 859 2.2 1,596 3.2 737 85.8 Reesville - Curramore & District 418 1.1 455 0.9 36 8.7 Sippy Downs - Palmview 1,086 2.8 1,971 3.9 885 81.5 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 633 1.6 698 1.4 65 10.2 Woombye 397 1.0 541 1.1 144 36.2 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 3,312 8.5 4,035 8.0 723 21.8 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 895 2.3 1,329 2.6 434 48.5 59

Forecast household types map - Group households 60

Forecast household types - Group households Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2011 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 4367 100 5053 100 687 15.7 Beerwah 77 1.8 109 2.2 33 42.7 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 24 0.6 24 0.5 0-0.4 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 123 2.8 142 2.8 18 14.6 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 369 8.4 388 7.7 20 5.4 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 224 5.1 254 5.0 30 13.4 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 272 6.2 302 6.0 30 11.1 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 153 3.5 157 3.1 4 2.4 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 39 0.9 30 0.6-8 -21.4 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 54 1.2 64 1.3 10 19.0 Golden Beach 56 1.3 55 1.1-1 -1.6 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 54 1.2 55 1.1 0 0.9 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 55 1.3 67 1.3 12 21.7 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 161 3.7 280 5.5 120 74.5 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 64 1.5 67 1.3 3 4.0 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 35 0.8 39 0.8 4 11.2 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 211 4.8 226 4.5 14 6.7 Maroochydore 537 12.3 690 13.6 152 28.3 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 524 12.0 566 11.2 42 8.0 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 48 1.1 52 1.0 4 8.3 Mountain Creek 223 5.1 201 4.0-22 -9.8 Nambour - Burnside & District 214 4.9 260 5.1 46 21.6 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 58 1.3 65 1.3 7 11.4 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 18 0.4 16 0.3-2 -10.6 Pelican Waters 30 0.7 49 1.0 19 65.6 Peregian Springs 46 1.0 71 1.4 25 54.6 Reesville - Curramore & District 44 1.0 40 0.8-4 -8.6 Sippy Downs - Palmview 174 4.0 260 5.1 85 49.0 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 18 0.4 17 0.3-1 -7.4 Woombye 20 0.5 27 0.5 6 31.0 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 371 8.5 399 7.9 28 7.4 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 69 1.6 81 1.6 12 17.8 61

Forecast household types map Lone person households 62

Forecast household types Lone person households Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2011 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 26,547 100 33,945 100 7,398 27.9 Beerwah 419 1.6 566 1.7 147 35.2 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 181 0.7 191 0.6 10 5.5 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 959 3.6 1,248 3.7 289 30.2 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 2,591 9.8 2,983 8.8 392 15.1 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 1,680 6.3 2,006 5.9 327 19.4 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 1,399 5.3 1,620 4.8 221 15.8 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 1,326 5.0 1,540 4.5 215 16.2 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 255 1.0 295 0.9 40 15.8 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 345 1.3 459 1.4 115 33.4 Golden Beach 888 3.3 968 2.9 80 9.0 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 223 0.8 230 0.7 7 3.2 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 309 1.2 388 1.1 79 25.5 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 1,171 4.4 2,162 6.4 992 84.7 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 639 2.4 792 2.3 153 24.0 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 326 1.2 443 1.3 117 35.9 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 1,047 3.9 1,343 4.0 296 28.2 Maroochydore 2,880 10. 8 3,735 11. 0 855 29.7 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 1,724 6.5 2,015 5.9 291 16.9 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 241 0.9 282 0.8 40 16.8 Mountain Creek 698 2.6 802 2.4 104 14.9 Nambour - Burnside & District 1,807 6.8 2,552 7.5 745 41.2 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 511 1.9 528 1.6 18 3.4 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 116 0.4 131 0.4 15 13.3 Pelican Waters 353 1.3 683 2.0 330 93.6 Peregian Springs 264 1.0 529 1.6 266 100.8 Reesville - Curramore & District 272 1.0 288 0.8 17 6.2 Sippy Downs - Palmview 735 2.8 1,325 3.9 589 80.2 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 231 0.9 293 0.9 61 26.4 Woombye 235 0.9 301 0.9 65 27.8 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 2,211 8.3 2,555 7.5 344 15.6 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 514 1.9 691 2.0 176 34.3 63

Forecast household types map One parent family 64

Forecast household types One parent family Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2011 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 11,732 100 14,135 100 2,403 20.5 Beerwah 306 2.6 432 3.1 126 41.1 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 51 0.4 54 0.4 2 4.8 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 436 3.7 510 3.6 74 17.1 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,104 9.4 1,129 8.0 25 2.3 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 530 4.5 615 4.3 85 16.0 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 689 5.9 748 5.3 59 8.6 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 691 5.9 733 5.2 42 6.0 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 124 1.1 119 0.8-5 -3.8 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 191 1.6 227 1.6 37 19.2 Golden Beach 265 2.3 261 1.8-4 -1.5 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 142 1.2 134 0.9-8 -5.6 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 177 1.5 215 1.5 38 21.2 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 660 5.6 1,114 7.9 454 68.7 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 283 2.4 299 2.1 16 5.7 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 102 0.9 120 0.8 17 17.1 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 489 4.2 558 3.9 69 14.1 Maroochydore 831 7.1 1,150 8.1 319 38.3 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 564 4.8 646 4.6 82 14.4 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 134 1.1 135 1.0 1 0.9 Mountain Creek 677 5.8 734 5.2 56 8.3 Nambour - Burnside & District 787 6.7 988 7.0 201 25.6 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 246 2.1 261 1.8 15 5.9 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 52 0.4 48 0.3-4 -7.4 Pelican Waters 110 0.9 199 1.4 89 81.1 Peregian Springs 200 1.7 310 2.2 111 55.5 Reesville - Curramore & District 114 1.0 109 0.8-6 -4.9 Sippy Downs - Palmview 386 3.3 669 4.7 283 73.4 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 107 0.9 100 0.7-7 -6.5 Woombye 111 0.9 134 1.0 23 21.0 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 910 7.8 1,060 7.5 150 16.5 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 262 2.2 324 2.3 62 23.6 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2026, prepared by.id, the population experts, October 2015 65

Forecast household types map Other families 66

Forecast household types Other families Sunshine Coast Council area 2016 2026 Change between 2011 and 2026 Area Number % Number % Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 1,910 100 2,254 100 344 18.0 Beerwah 49 2.6 70 3.1 20 40.9 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 20 1.0 20 0.9 1 4.9 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 92 4.8 113 5.0 20 21.9 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 185 9.7 196 8.7 11 6.0 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 55 2.9 63 2.8 8 14.8 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 75 3.9 87 3.8 11 15.2 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 111 5.8 119 5.3 9 7.8 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 27 1.4 28 1.2 0 0.7 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 42 2.2 53 2.3 11 25.7 Golden Beach 42 2.2 43 1.9 1 2.5 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 46 2.4 48 2.1 1 3.1 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 25 1.3 31 1.4 6 25.4 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 99 5.2 177 7.9 78 78.6 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 27 1.4 39 1.7 12 42.2 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 15 0.8 18 0.8 3 21.4 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 53 2.8 63 2.8 10 18.6 Maroochydore 114 6.0 126 5.6 11 9.9 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 87 4.6 93 4.1 6 6.5 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 40 2.1 43 1.9 3 6.2 Mountain Creek 98 5.1 101 4.5 4 3.6 Nambour - Burnside & District 136 7.1 169 7.5 32 23.7 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 57 3.0 62 2.8 5 9.3 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 23 1.2 22 1.0-1 -3.9 Pelican Waters 32 1.6 53 2.4 22 68.8 Peregian Springs 9 0.5 13 0.6 5 51.5 Reesville - Curramore & District 6 0.3 6 0.3 0-3.2 Sippy Downs - Palmview 56 2.9 75 3.3 19 34.3 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 28 1.5 27 1.2-1 -3.5 Woombye 34 1.8 44 1.9 10 28.0 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 164 8.6 180 8.0 16 9.5 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 60 3.1 72 3.2 12 19.2 67

Residential development The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces). Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up..id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Sunshine Coast Council area. 68

Forecast residential development, 2011 to 2026 Sunshine Coast Council area Change in dwelling between 2011 and 2026 Area Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 36,198 28.0 Beerwah 1,011 40.2 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 92 9.5 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 1,177 24.3 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 1,365 10.1 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 1,149 18.5 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 985 14.5 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 820 13.0 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 92 6.2 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 534 24.1 Golden Beach 146 4.6 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 104 6.1 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 469 26.2 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 7,090 93.3 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 411 14.8 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 326 25.8 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 1,177 23.0 Maroochydore 3,726 39.8 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 1,059 15.7 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 196 11.4 Mountain Creek 776 14.1 Nambour - Burnside & District 2,232 31.1 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 424 13.9 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 20 2.5 Pelican Waters 1,960 76.8 Peregian Springs 1,669 65.5 Reesville - Curramore & District 30 2.3 Sippy Downs - Palmview 3,563 93.6 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 78 4.6 Woombye 352 28.3 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 2,105 20.1 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 1,060 38.3 69

Forecast residential development 70

Net migration by age Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area. Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks. Between 2016 and 2026, migration assumptions influenced by: Substantial population gain over the forecast period owing to significant new housing opportunities across the Council area, especially in the growth areas of Caloundra South (Aura), Palmview (Harmony) and the Kawana development area. Additionally, the localities of Pelican Waters, Sippy Downs and Peregian Springs continue to grow. The redevelopment of the Maroochydore CBD (SunCentral) will encourage migration to the business centre of the sunshine Coast. Strong attraction of young and established families (0-14 and 20-49 years) fuelled by the availability of new housing in greenfield areas The traditional net loss due to migration of young adults (15-24 years), attracted by employment, education and housing opportunities elsewhere (but principally in Brisbane and interstate) is forecast to begin to reduce for the 20-24 year olds post 2016, with greater availability of housing choice and the growth in employment opportunity as SunCentral develops. Strong attraction of empty-nesters and retirees (50-69 years) to coastal areas and other areas offering lifestyle and retirement options Attraction of older persons (aged 70+) to lifestyle options and aged-care support and services 71

Forecast net migration by age group Non-private dwellings Residential non-private dwellings include aged care facilities as well as defence force facilities, hospitals, prisons, staff quarters and boarding houses. As a general rule, an increase in people aged 18 to 24 living in non-private dwellings indicates a growth in student accommodation, defence force facilities or prisons. Similarly an increase in people aged over 75 living in non-private dwellings indicates growth in aged care facilities. 72

Persons in non-private dwellings Sunshine Coast Council area Year Change between 2016 and 2026 2016 2026 Number % Sunshine Coast Council area 4,004 6,017 2,013 50.3 Beerwah 101 101 0 0 Belli Park - Cooloolabin - Gheerulla - Coolabine - Kureelpa - Kiamba 0 0 0 0 Bli Bli - Rosemount & District 88 130 42 47.7 Buderim - Kuluin - Mons - Kunda Park 297 521 224 75.4 Caloundra - Kings Beach - Moffat Beach - Shelly Beach 321 450 129 40.2 Coolum Beach - Mount Coolum - Yaroomba - Point Arkwright 260 314 54 20.8 Currimundi - Aroona - Battery Hill - Dicky Beach 273 273 0 0 Eumundi - Eerwah Vale - North Arm - Bridges 0 0 0 0 Glass House Mountains - Beerburrum - Coochin Creek - Bribie Island North 14 14 0 0 Golden Beach 30 30 0 0 Ilkley - Eudlo & District 10 104 94 940.0 Landsborough - Mount Mellum 0 0 0 0 Little Mountain - Caloundra West - Meridan Plains - Bells Creek 248 388 140 56.5 Maleny - Witta - North Maleny 98 98 0 0 Mapleton - Flaxton - Obi Obi 8 8 0 0 Marcoola - Twin Waters - Pacific Paradise - Mudjimba 25 296 271 1084.0 Maroochydore 237 583 346 146.0 Mooloolaba - Alexandra Headland 290 290 0 0 Mooloolah Valley - Diamond Valley - Balmoral Ridge - Bald Knob 30 30 0 0 Mountain Creek 9 9 0 0 Nambour - Burnside & District 533 934 401 75.2 Palmwoods - Chevallum - Montville - Hunchy 75 75 0 0 Peachester - Crohamhurst - Booroobin - Wootha 0 0 0 0 Pelican Waters 86 86 0 0 Peregian Springs 32 32 0 0 Reesville - Curramore & District 5 5 0 0 Sippy Downs - Palmview 771 811 40 5.2 Weyba Downs - Verrierdale - Doonan (part) 0 0 0 0 Woombye 7 57 50 714.3 Wurtulla - Buddina & District 158 380 222 140.5 Yandina - Yandina Creek & District 1 1 0 0 Source: Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2026, prepared by.id, the population experts, October 2015 73

Key findings There were 4,004 people estimated to be living in non-private dwellings in Sunshine Coast Council area in 2016. The number of persons in non-private dwellings in Sunshine Coast Council area is expected to increase to 6,017 persons in 2026. Between 2016 and 2026, Nambour Burnside & District is forecast to experience the greatest change, with a gain of 401 persons in non-private dwellings. This is due to an increase of persons in non-private dwellings aged 75 years and over, which is predominantly aged care. Births and deaths The number of births in Sunshine Coast Council area are derived by multiplying age specific fertility rates of women aged 15-49 by the female population in these age groups for all years during the forecast period. Birth rates are especially influential in determining the number of children in an area, with most inner urban areas having relatively low birth rates, compared to outer suburban or rural and regional areas. Birth rates have been changing, with a greater share of women bearing children at older ages or not at all, with overall increases in fertility rates. This can have a large impact on the future population profile. Death rates The forecast number of deaths in Sunshine Coast Council area is a reflection of death rates assumed for small areas. For historical years, this will equal the number of deaths published by the ABS, where this information was available at the time of forecasting. These rates are based on historical estimates for Sunshine Coast Council area, which have been extrapolated into the future, assuming an increase in expectation of life in all age groups (except 85 years and over). Death rates are influential in shaping the numbers of older people in an area's population. Death rates too have been changing, with higher life expectancy at most ages, with men's life expectancy increasing more than that of women. 74

About the forecasts The Sunshine Coast Council area population and household forecasts are undertaken by.id, the population experts, on behalf of the Sunshine Coast Council area. During the forecast modelling process,.id assesses what is driving population change in the area and forecasts how the age structure and household types will change as result. Forecasts are only as good as the assumptions they are based on, and.id works closely with the council to ensure we have detailed information about current and planned residential development activity. The forecasts are updated on a rolling cycle to take into account changes in the real world. All assumptions, as well as the results of the forecasts, are made available in this site. The forecasts were last updated in October 2017. Forecasts are available for Sunshine Coast Council area and small areas for each year from 2011 to 2026. The forecasts are designed to provide community groups, Council, investors, business, students and the general public with knowledge to make confident decisions about the future. Whilst all due care has been taken to ensure the content of this website is accurate and current, there may be errors or omissions in it and no legal responsibility is accepted for the information and opinions in this report. In addition, as the website is based on historic information which is subject to revision, we do not guarantee its currency. 75

Factors of population change At the small area level, the key factors of population change are the age structure of the existing population, the housing markets attracted to and away from an area and their associated demographic characteristics (fertility patterns, household types etc.) and the supply of dwellings and mix of housing stock in the area. Dwelling additions The addition of dwellings is the major driver of population growth, providing opportunities for new households (such as young people leaving the family home and divorces) or households relocating from other areas. Current age structure The age structure of the local population impacts on Sunshine Coast Council area's household types and size, the likelihood of the local population having children and to die, as well as the propensity for people to move. Age specific propensities for a population to have children or die are applied to each small area's base population. An older population will have fewer births, more deaths, while a younger population will have vice versa. Birth rates Birth rates are especially influential in determining the number of children in an area, with most inner urban areas having very low birth rates, compared to outer suburban or rural and regional areas. Birth rates have been changing, with a greater share of women bearing children at older ages or not at all, with overall increases in fertility rates. This can have a large impact on the future population profile. 76

Death rates Death rates are influential in shaping the numbers of older people in an area's population. Death rates too have been changing with higher life expectancy at most ages, with men gaining on women's greater life chances. Migration Migration is one of the most important factors of population change. While births and deaths are relatively easy to predict due to reliable age specific behaviour, migration is volatile, often changing due to housing market preferences, economic opportunities and changing household circumstances. Migration patterns vary across Australia and change across time, but most moves tend to be short and incremental in nature. Regional areas have larger moves due to the distances between towns and cities, where people often move for economic reasons, mainly the availability of employment or education and training opportunities. The most mobile age groups in the population are the young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. It is for this reason that young people often move the greatest distances and sometimes move against pre-established patterns. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation if appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks. 77

Household and suburb life cycles Household life cycles The type of households that people live in and changing preferences over time affects the way in which a population changes. As people grow from children to adults and into old age, they change the type of households that they live in. The traditional path has been to start as a child in a family household, move into a group or lone person household as a youth, becoming a part of a couple relationship within 5-10 years. Rearing of children is followed by an empty-nester period and ultimately being a lone person, as partners die. Understanding the changes that people make at different ages in their life, and the different types of housing they are likely to consume at those life stages is an important factor in forecasting future population and household types. The life stage which the majority of households in an area are going through gives an insight into its location in the suburb life-cycle (see below), and the likely life-path of those households in the future. 78

Suburb life cycles The dominant household types present in a suburb or town - where the majority of the populations sit in the household life path - dictate in part the role and function of the area. This is shown by its place in the "suburb life cycle". New areas are typically settled by young households (young couples and young families, perhaps some mature families). As the families grow and mature, household size increases. After initial rapid development, most households "age in place", with slowly shifting demand for services, facilities and dwelling types. As households age further and children begin to leave home, the average household size decreases, resulting in more empty nester (two person) households, often still living in large family homes. Family breakups can also result in single parent families and lone person households. If a suburb can't attract young families back to the area, it slowly becomes populated by older couples whose children have left home and older lone persons whose partners have died, resulting in declining population for some time. Alternatively, if a suburb is in a location close to economic drivers of change, it may be able to attract families to move back into the older dwellings in the area, increasing household size and population again. This will generally happen sooner, with less loss of services if the area has a diversity of housing options suiting a wide variety of household types. Empty nesters are likely to downsize into lower maintenance properties, freeing up larger format housing for families to move into, and continue the cycle again. The loop in the diagram represents the process of sustainability of an area, if it can attract families back into older housing in the area. Depending on the proximity of an area to work and education it may also attract young lone persons and group households. The attractiveness of an area to family groups, group and lone person households is shown in the migration assumptions section. Generally, more diverse communities are more sustainable in the long term, as they are able to maintain a range of services and facilities useful to all age groups. Certain policy responses can influence the suburb life cycle in different directions. 79

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Forecast modelling process Approach The diagram below describes the general approach used by.id in its population and household forecasts. An analysis of the current population and household structure often reveals the role and function of an area and the degree to which an area may be going through some form of demographic transition. Demographic changes, such as birth, death and migration rates are applied to the base population. At the same time, scrutiny of urban development drivers is undertaken (residential development opportunities, vacancy rates etc.). The combination of varied assumptions about these inputs results in forecast population and households by type. 81

Modelling process The modelling process used for producing the small-area forecasts is based on a 'bottom-up' approach, with all assumptions being derived from a local perspective. The components of the model are derived exclusively from housing and demographic assumptions. The drivers of the forecasts are predominantly based on levels of new residential development and demographic assumptions, such as in and out migration rates from the local areas. The diagram below describes the detail of the modelling process used by.id in its population and household forecasts. 82