Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) via Satellite

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Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) via Satellite Report Brief www.nsr.com 2013 NSR

Report Description NSR s Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) via Satellite is a new report providing comprehensive analysis of the UAS markets, and assesses their impact on and use of satellite communications. Building on years of data and analysis from NSR s coverage of UAVs for government and military markets, this new study presents readers with an in-depth look at regional conditions, capacity demand, and drivers for High Altitude Long Endurance (HALE) and Medium Altitude Long Endurance (MALE) UAS globally over the next ten years. This report analyzes the civilian and military UAS markets for both HALE and MALE platforms, in terms of the growth in their number of airframes, in-service Satcom terminals, revenues, and capacity qualitative analysis of future markets, the report offers not only an overview of the UAS and Satcom ecosystem, but also a thorough look forward at the future development of long endurance UAS as a potential complement or competitor of the Satcom industry. The report s findings are aimed at enabling Satcom service providers to plan accordingly so as to capitalize on the market opportunities that these UAS bring, and also protect and enhance their current market position by gaining a competitive edge by allocating their satellite resources efficiently across the globe. The report features more detailed analysis of the UAS Satcom the impact of policy and regulatory framework changes on civilian and military UAS flights that will affect Satcom procurement by the governments, providing actionable information and perspective to players. The report contains information about key UAS government programs over the next 10 years, potential of Satcom links for small and tactical UAS, geographical analysis of potential civilian and military UAS Satcom demand, and the technological and market trends that will drive the UAS and Satcom industry. www.nsr.com 2014 NSR 3

Key Features Report Segmentation NSR s Unmanned Aircraft Systems Communications via Satellite is divided into 3 market segments with further segmentation by region, by frequency band, by type of capacity, and by customer. Data and forecasts are outlined in the chart below: : www.nsr.com 2014 NSR 4

Who Should Purchase this Report: Mobile and Fixed Satellite Services Operators Satellite Service Providers Satellite Capacity Resellers UAS Manufacturers and Operators Satcom Equipment Manufacturers Satellite Manufacturers National Defense Organizations Using Commercial Satellite Capacity Government Regulators and Agencies Involved in Procurement, Planning, and Operations of UAS and Satellite Communications Networks www.nsr.com 2014 NSR 5

Table of Contents Executive Summary 1. Global Market Overview 1.1 Scope and Definitions 1.2 Terminology 1.3 Market Segmentation Vertical Markets 1.4 Macroeconomic Analysis 1.5 State of the Market- Key Government UAS Programs Policy and Regulatory Framework Geo-Political Influences Geographical Influences Market Trends Technology Trends Segment Trends Market Size Market Updates 2. UAS vs Satcom 2.1 Industry Competitive Analysis 2.2 Impact of UAS on the Satcom Industry as: Customer Complement Competitor Bottom Line 2.3 Future Markets: Tactical UAS www.nsr.com 2014 NSR 6

3. Global UAS Forecasts 3.1 Aggregate UAS Airframe In-Service Units HALE Platforms MALE Platforms 3.2 Aggregate UAS Satcom In-Service Units 3.3 Satcom Revenues 3.4 Satcom Capacity Demand 3.5 Satcom Capacity Revenues 3.6 Tactical Military UAS Airframes In-Service Units 4. Defense & Intelligence UAS Satcom Forecast 4.1 Scope of Forecast 4.2 Defense & Intelligence Aggregate Forecasts Airframes In-Service Units Satcom Terminal In-Service Units Revenues by Frequency band Capacity Demand Capacity Revenues 4.3 Defense & Intelligence HALE UAS Forecasts Airframes In-Service Units Satcom Terminal In-Service Units Revenues by frequency band Capacity Demand Capacity Revenues 4.4 Defense & Intelligence MALE UAS Forecasts Airframes In-Service Units Satcom Terminal In-Service Units Revenues by frequency band Capacity Demand Capacity Revenues www.nsr.com 2014 NSR 7

5. Civilian Government UAS Satcom Forecast 5.1 Scope 5.2 Civilian Forecasts Airframes In-Service Units Satcom Terminal In-Service Units Revenues by frequency band Capacity Demand Capacity Revenues 5.3 Civilian HALE UAS Forecasts Airframes In-Service Units Satcom Terminal In-Service Units Revenues by Frequency band Capacity Demand Capacity Revenues 5.4 Civilian Government MALE UAS Forecasts Airframes In-Service Units Satcom Terminal In-Service Units Revenues by frequency band Capacity Demand Capacity Revenues Appendix A Research Methodology www.nsr.com 2014 NSR 8

List of Exhibits 1.1 UAS Report Segmentation 1.2 UAS Definition 1.3 Technical Acronyms 1.4 Regional Acronyms 1.5 UAS Characteristics by Type 1.6 UAS Classes 1.7 UAS Segmentation 1.8 UAS Market Verticals PEST Analysis 1.9 UAS Market Drivers & Restraints 1.10 UAS Industry PEST Analysis 1.11 UAS Markets Conditions 1.12 Key Government UAS Programs 1.13 U.S. Procurement Budget for UAS 1.14 UAS Developing, Operating and Procuring Nations 1.15 UAS Market Share by Revenues 1.16 UAS Market Share by Production 1.17 UAS Market Share by Applications 1.18 UAS Technology Trends 1.19 Non-Military UAS Market Share by Applications 1.20 Global UAS Satcom Services, 2007-2012 1.21 UAS Verticals Historic Market 1.22 UAS Historic Market Size by Region 1.23 UAS Manufacturers Market Share by Revenues 2.1 UAS Industry Competitive Intensity Assessment 2.2 UAS vs Satcom Macro-Analysis 2.3 UAS Payload and Usage 2.4 UAS SAR Data Rates 2.5 Potential UAS Competitors to Satcom 2.6 UAS as a Competition to Satcom www.nsr.com 2014 NSR 9

3.1 Aggregate UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Scenario 3.2 Aggregate UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Region 3.3 Aggregate HALE UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Scenario 3.4 Aggregate HALE UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Region 3.5 Aggregate MALE UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Scenario 3.6 Aggregate MALE UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Region 3.7 Aggregate UAS Satcom In-Service Units by Scenario 3.8 Aggregate UAS Satcom In-Service Units by Region 3.9 Aggregate UAS Satcom In-Service Units by Capacity 3.9 Global UAS Satcom In-Service Units Summery 3.10 UAS Ku-Band Aggregate Capacity Demand by Region 3.11 Aggregate UAS Retail & Wholesale Revenues 3.12 Aggregate UAS Satcom Retail Services Revenues 3.13 Global UAS Satcom In-Service Units & Revenues Summary 3.14 Aggregate HALE UAS Retail & Wholesale Revenues 3.15 Aggregate MALE UAS Retail & Wholesale Revenues 3.16 Aggregate HALE UAS Total Retail Revenues 3.17 Aggregate HALE UAS Wholesale Revenues 3.18 Aggregate MALE UAS Wholesale Revenues 3.19 Aggregate MALE UAS Total Retail Revenues 3.20 MALE UAS Revenues Summary 3.21 HALE UAS Revenues Summary 3.22 Aggregate UAS Satcom Total Retail Revenues by Airframe 3.23 Aggregate UAS Satcom Total Retail Revenues by Capacity 3.24 Global UAS Satcom Revenues by Capacity Summary 3.25 Aggregate UAS Ku-band Capacity Demand by Region 3.26 Aggregate UAS Satcom Capacity Demand by Region 3.27 Aggregate UAS X-band Capacity Demand by Region 3.28 Aggregate UAS Satcom L-Band Total Retail Revenues 3.29 Aggregate UAS Capacity Revenues by Frequency 3.30 Aggregate UAS X-Band Capacity Revenues www.nsr.com 2014 NSR 10

3.31 Aggregate UAS Ku-Band Capacity Revenues 3.32 Aggregate UAS GEO-HTS Capacity Revenues 3.33 Tactical UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Scenario 3.34 Tactical UAS Airframe In-Service units by Region 4.1 UAS D&I Forecast Drivers and Restraints 4.2 UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Scenario: D&I 4.3 UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Region: D&I 4.4. UAS Satcom In-Service Units by Scenario: D&I 4.5 UAS Satcom In-Service Units by Region: D&I 4.6 UAS Satcom Terminals Comparison 4.7 UAS Retail & Wholesale Revenues: D&I 4.8 UAS Wholesale Revenues: D&I 4.9 UAS Total Retail Revenues: D&I 4.10 UAS Satcom Total Retail Revenues by Capacity: D&I 4.11 UAS Satcom GEO HTS Total Retail Revenues: D&I 4.12 UAS Ku-band Retail Services Revenues: D&I 4.13 UAS L-band Retail Services Revenues: D&I 4.14 UAS Satcom Wholesale Revenues by Capacity: D&I 4.15 UAS Capacity Revenues: D&I 4.16 UAS Ku-band Capacity Revenues by Region: D&I 4.17 UAS X-band Capacity Revenues by Region: D&I 4.18 UAS Capacity Demand: D&I 4.19 UAS GEO HTS Capacity Demand by Region: D&I 4.20 UAS X-band Capacity Demands by Region: D&I 4.21 HALE UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Scenario: D&I 4.22 HALE UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Region: D&I 4.23 HALE UAS Satcom In-Service Units by Scenario: D&I 4.24 HALE UAS Satcom In-Service Units by Capacity: D&I 4.25 HALE UAS Retail & Wholesale Revenues: D&I 4.26 HALE UAS Total Retail Revenues: D&I 4.27 HALE UAS Wholesale Revenues: D&I www.nsr.com 2014 NSR 11

4.28 HALE UAS Capacity Demand: D&I 4.29 HALE UAS Ku-Band Capacity Demand by Region: D&I 4.30 HALE UAS GEO HTS Capacity Demand by Region: D&I 4.31 MALE UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Scenario: D&I 4.32 MALE UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Region: D&I 4.33 MALE UAS Satcom In-Service Units by Scenario: D&I 4.34 MALE UAS Satcom In-Service Units by Capacity: D&I 4.35 MALE UAS Retail & Wholesale Revenues: D&I 4.37 MALE UAS Retail & Wholesale ARPU: D&I 4.38 MALE UAS Wholesale Revenues: D&I 4.39 MALE UAS Capacity Demand: D&I 4.40 MALE UAS GEO HTS Retail Services Revenues: D&I 5.1 Civilian Government Forecast Drivers and Restraints 5.2 UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Scenario: Civilian 5.3 UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Region: Civilian 5.4 UAS Satcom In-Service Units by Scenario: Civilian 5.5 UAS Satcom In-Service Units by Region: Civilian 5.6 UAS Retail & Wholesale Revenues: Civilian 5.7 UAS Retail Services Revenues: Civilian 5.8 Civilian UAS Satcom Revenues Summary 5.9 UAS Satcom Retail Equipment Revenues by Capacity: Civilian 5.10 UAS Satcom Retail Services Revenues by Capacity: Civilian 5.11 UAS Satcom Wholesale Revenues by Capacity: Civilian 5.12 UAS Satcom Ku-band Total Retail Revenues: Civilian 5.13 UAS X-band Total Retail Revenues: Civilian 5.14 UAS Satcom Total Retail Revenues by Capacity: Civilian 5.15 UAS Ku-band Capacity Demand by Region: Civilian 5.16 UAS X-band Capacity Demand by Region: Civilian 5.17 UAS GEO HTS Capacity Revenues: Civilian 5.18 UAS Capacity Demand: Civilian 5.19 UAS Satcom Retail Services Revenues by Capacity: Civilian www.nsr.com 2014 NSR 12

5.20 Civilian UAS Satcom Capacity Revenues Summary: By Region 5.21 HALE UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Scenario: Civilian 5.22 HALE UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Region: Civilian 5.23 Civilian HALE UAS Airframes In-Service Units Summary 5.24 HALE UAS Satcom In-Service Units Forecast: Civilian 5.25 HALE UAS Satcom In-Service Units by Region: Civilian 5.26 HALE UAS Satcom In-Service Units by Capacity: Civilian 5.27 HALE UAS Retail & Wholesale Revenues: Civilian 5.28 HALE UAS Retail & Wholesale ARPU: Civilian 5.29 HALE UAS Retail Services Revenues: Civilian 5.30 HALE UAS Capacity Demand: Civilian 5.31 HALE UAS Satcom Total Retail Revenues: Civilian 5.32 HALE UAS Satcom Wholesale Services Revenues: Civilian 5.33 MALE UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Scenario: Civilian 5.34 MALE UAS Airframe In-Service Units by Region: Civilian 5.35 MALE UAS Satcom In-Service Units Forecast: Civilian 5.36 MALE UAS Satcom In-Service Units by Region: Civilian 5.37 MALE UAS Satcom In-Service Units by Capacity: Civilian 5.38 MALE UAS Retail Services Revenues: Civilian 5.39 MALE UAS Retail & Wholesale ARPU: Civilian 5.40 MALE UAS Wholesale Revenues: Civilian 5.41 MALE UAS Capacity Demand: Civilian 5.42 MALE UAS Satcom Total Retail Revenues: Civilian 5.43 MALE UAS Satcom Retail Equipment Revenues by Capacity: Civilian www.nsr.com 2014 NSR 13