Lease Rate Digest. Issue: 17B August Member of ISTAT UK CAA Approval No. UK.MG.0622

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Transcription:

Lease Rate Digest Issue: 17B August 2017 Member of ISTAT UK CAA Approval No. UK.MG.0622 www.iba.aero

Table of Contents Typical Monthly Lease Rental Definition Market Reference Data i vii viii Section i: Lease Rate Comparison by Seating Capacity i.1 30 69 Seat Regional Jets i.2 70 99 Seat Regional Jets i.3 100 119 Seat Regional Jets i.4 100 119 Seat Commercial Jets i.5 130 156 Seat Commercial Jets i.6 150 189 Seat Commercial Jets i.7 180 230 Seat Commercial Jets i.8 200 229 Seat Commercial Jets i.9 230+ Seat Commercial Jets i.10 250 299 Seat Commercial Jets i.11 300+ Seat Commercial Jets i.12 i

Section 1: Airbus 1.0 Summary Information 1.1 A300B4-600R 1.5 A310-300 1.5 A318-100 1.5 A319-100 1.5 A320-200 1.5 A320neo 1.6 A321-100 1.6 A321-200 1.6 A321neo 1.6 A330-200 1.6 A330-300 1.7 A340-200 1.7 A340-300 1.7 A340-500 1.7 A340-600 1.8 A350-900XWB 1.8 A350-1000XWB 1.8 A380-800 1.8 ii

Section 2: AvCraft 2.0 Summary Information 2.1 Dornier 328JET 2.2 Section 3: BAE SYSTEMS 3.0 Summary Information 3.1 Avro RJ100 3.2 Avro RJ85 3.2 BAe 146-100 3.2 BAe 146-200 3.2 BAe 146-300 3.2 Section 4: Boeing 4.0 Summary Information 4.1 717-200 4.6 737-300 4.6 737-400 4.6 737-500 4.6 737-600 4.6 iii

Section 4: Boeing (continued) 737-700 4.7 737-800 4.7 737 MAX 8 4.7 737-900 4.7 737-900ER 4.7 747-400 4.8 747-8I 4.8 757-200 4.8 757-300 4.8 767-200ER 4.8 767-300 4.9 767-300ER 4.9 777-200 4.9 777-200ER 4.9 777-200LR 4.9 777-300 4.10 777-300ER 4.10 787-8 4.10 787-9 4.10 iv

Section 5: Bombardier 5.0 Summary Information 5.1 CRJ100/200/440 5.3 CRJ700 5.3 CRJ900 5.3 CRJ1000 5.3 CS100 5.4 CS300 5.4 Section 6: Embraer 6.0 Summary Information 6.1 ERJ 135 6.3 ERJ 140 6.3 ERJ 145 6.3 Embraer 170 6.4 Embraer 175 6.4 Embraer 190 6.4 Embraer 195 6.4 Section 7: Fokker 7.0 Summary Information 7.1 Fokker 70 7.2 v

Section 7: Fokker (continued) Fokker 100 7.2 Section 8: McDonnell Douglas 8.0 Summary Information 8.1 MD-82 8.3 MD-83 8.3 MD-87 8.3 MD-88 8.3 MD-90-30 8.3 Section 9: Sukhoi 9.0 Summary Information 9.1 SSJ 100-95B 9.2 vi

Typical Monthly Lease Rental (TMLR) The total monetary value of a lease transaction can vary significantly depending on such factors as the operator and its credit risk, length of term of the lease or aircraft type involved, to name a few. As such, the high and low values for Typical Monthly Lease Rental published in this digest are meant as indicative and have been calculated in accordance with the definition below. In addition, IBA s own database of lease transactions and other general market information has been used as a guide in developing the rates published here. For each aircraft type and year of build, a range of typical monthly rental rates is shown, bracketed by high and low values. Along with the lease rental values, a graphical representation of the data is also included for easy comparison between similar types based on seating capacity. These charts show the average values for the entire build cycle of each aircraft type. It should be noted that each point on the line represents the average lease rate for a specific year of delivery of an aircraft type and NOT a historical indication of lease rates. Definition The lease transaction is considered to be "arm s length" between a willing lessor and a willing lessee for a single aircraft transaction of a medium-term lease of five years for secondary leases or 8-12 years for primary leases, with no extension or early termination options. The lessee is considered to be a medium-risk credit, paying cash or cash equivalent deposits in the amount of three months rental with no history of early returns or defaults. Further, the lessee pays full maintenance reserves for all aspects of the aircraft, i.e. "D" Check (or equivalent), engine refurbishment, engine life limited parts, landing gear and auxiliary power unit. The lessor is a typical operating lessor specialising in commercial jet aircraft with costs of funding typical of others in its field of expertise. Funding for aircraft transactions are structured as non-recourse to the lessor (recourse to the aircraft only) and has been obtained without guarantees or assistance from any vii

parent or holding company with a better or worse credit rating than the lessor. The lessor has had the aircraft returned from a previous lessee (if not new) without major faults or defects, with no rework required and without any down-time between leases. The aircraft will be flown in an operation that is typical of its intended role in terms of utilisation and hour:cycle ratio, etc. All lease rentals are paid monthly or quarterly as applicable, in advance in cash and are for the lease of the aircraft alone, with no recovery of transfer costs, modifications or previous arrears etc. Market Reference Data Information regarding general characteristics of the aircraft is given for comparison purposes at the beginning of each section. Every effort has been made to convey correct technical data and whenever possible, the information shown in the Lease Rate Digest has been sourced from the manufacturer. Disclaimer IBA Group Limited (IBA) has prepared the enclosed Lease Rate Digest. The Lease Rate Digest is subject to the disclaimer below. IBA has no present interest in the aircraft being appraised for the purpose of the Lease Rate Digest. At the date of the Lease Rate Digest, IBA does not anticipate acquiring any subsequent interest in the Aircraft. Unless otherwise stated, IBA has had no prior interest in the Aircraft. IBA s appraisal of the Aircraft is honestly held and the Lease Rate Digest shall be deemed advisory only, with such advice being solely to the extent noted in the Lease Rate Digest. To the fullest extent permitted by law, IBA assumes no responsibility or legal liability for any action taken, or not taken, whether directly or indirectly by the Client or by any third party, with regard to the Aircraft and the Client agrees that IBA shall bear no such responsibility or legal liability in respect of the same. To the fullest extent permitted by law, IBA, its associated companies, subsidiaries, directors, sub-contractors, agents and employees are not liable for any oversights, errors or omissions in relation to the Lease Rate Digest. To the fullest extent permitted by law, in relation to the Lease Rate Digest, IBA shall bear no responsibility for any interpretation applied, inference made or conclusion reached by the Client or any third party. viii

200-229 Seat Commercial Jets Average Typical Monthly Lease Rental; Based on Original Year of Aircraft Delivery Section i: Lease Rate Comparison by Seating Capacity $140 $130 $120 767-200ER (CF6-80C/PW4000) 767-200ER (CF6 80C/PW4000) Average Monthly Lease Rate (US$ '000) $110 $100 $90 $80 $70 $60 767-200ER (CF6-80A/JT9D 7R4) A310-300 $50 $40 '82 '83 '84 '85 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 Year of Delivery IBA Group Limited, IBA House, 7 The Crescent, Leatherhead, Surrey, KT22 8DY, UK i.9 T: +44 (0) 1372 22 44 88 F: +44 (0) 1372 22 44 89 www.iba.aero VAT No: 123 37 13 47 Registered in England Reg. No: 2246507

Boeing Summary Information Section 4: Boeing 747-400 747-8I 757-200 757-300 767-200ER First Delivery January, 1989 May, 2012 December, 1982 March, 1999 December, 1982 Total Net Orders 568 aircraft 52 aircraft 994 aircraft 55 aircraft 125 aircraft Backlog 0 aircraft 5 aircraft 0 aircraft 0 aircraft 0 aircraft Operators * 26 operators 3 operators 37 operators 6 operators 6 operators Current Passenger Fleet 250 aircraft 34 aircraft 490 aircraft 55 aircraft 44 aircraft Currently Owned 72% 97% 65% 65% 66% Average Fleet Age 21.1 years 3.0 years 22.4 years 15.9 years 26.2 years Seats, Typical Configuration 405 seats 467 seats 195 seats 243 seats 210 seats MTOW, Standard 800,000 lb 987,000 lb 220,000 lb 270,000 lb 345,000 lb MTOW, Optional 875,000 lb - 255,000 lb 272,500 lb 387,000 lb Range, Standard 6,900 nm 8,000 nm 2,510 nm 2,235 nm 5,000 nm Range, Optional 7,260 nm - 3,920 nm 3,465 nm 6,655 nm Engine Options Manufacturer & General Electric General Electric Pratt & Whitney Pratt & Whitney Pratt & Whitney Engine Variant(s) CF6-80C2B1F GEnx-2B67 PW2037, PW2040 PW2043 JT9D-7R4D,-7R4E/4, PW4000 Pratt & Whitney Rolls-Royce Rolls-Royce General Electric PW4156 RB211-535C, -535E4, RB211-535E4, CF6-80A, -80A2, Rolls-Royce -535E4B -535E4B -80C2 RB211-524G/H, -524G/H/-T Average Utilisation ** Flight Hours, Prev. 12 months 4,133 FH 449 FH 3,161 FH 3,341 FH 3,579 FH Cycles, Prev. 12 months 554 cycles 142 cycles 992 cycles 1,137 cycles 593 cycles Average Flight Time 7.46 FH/cycle 3.16 FH/cycle 3.19 FH/cycle 2.94 FH/cycle 6.04 FH/cycle High-Time Utilisation ** Total Flight Hours 115,645 FH 573 FH 92,609 FH 41,543 FH 102,087 FH Total Cycles 17,631 cycles 200 cycles 43,338 cycles 15,049 cycles 29,325 cycles List Price (2017) Low, US$ 000 000 Production Ended $386.8 Production Ended Production Ended Production Ended High, US$ 000 000 (March, 2007) (March, 2005) (March, 2005) (February 2002) * Based on current active fleet ** As of 2Q 2015 IBA Group Limited, IBA House, 7 The Crescent, Leatherhead, Surrey, KT22 8DY, UK 4.3 T: +44 (0) 1372 22 44 88 F: +44 (0) 1372 22 44 89 www.iba.aero VAT No: 123 37 13 47 Registered in England Reg. No: 2246507

Typical Monthly Lease Rental Section 4: Boeing 747-400 747-8i 757-200 757-300 767-200ER Year of Delivery Low (US$) High (US$) Low (US$) High (US$) Low (US$) High (US$) Low (US$) High (US$) Low (US$) High (US$) 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 $100,000 $160,000 2000 $100,000 $160,000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 $90,000 $140,000 1992 $85,000 $135,000 1991 $80,000 $129,000 1990 $75,000 $122,000 1989 $70,000 $115,000 1988 $65,000 $108,000 1987 $60,000 $101,000 1986 $60,000 $94,000 1985 $60,000 $90,000 1984 $60,000 $90,000 1983 IBA Group Limited, IBA House, 7 The Crescent, Leatherhead, Surrey, KT22 8DY, UK 4.8 T: +44 (0) 1372 22 44 88 F: +44 (0) 1372 22 44 89 www.iba.aero VAT No: 123 37 13 47 Registered in England Reg. No: 2246507