AirportInfo ACI-NA 2011 Traffic Report July 2012
2011 ACI World Airport Traffic Summary North America 2011 % Change 2010 Worldwide 2011 % Change 2010 Total Passengers 1.5B Up 1.8% 5.1B Up 5.2% Total International Passengers 21M Up 4.4% 2.1B Up 6.6% Total Cargo metric tons 28.26M Down 1.3% 94.20M Up 0.26% Total International Freight - metric tons 9.3M Down 0.7% 56.95M Up 0.08% Total Aircraft Movements 30.05M Down 0.5% 77.32M Up 2.65% With the combined effects of economic woes from pending austerity programs and overall domestic capacity constraints in air transport, only modest growth in passenger traffic was observed in North America at 1.8 percent. In contrast, more robust growth was experienced in Latin America (up 8.6 percent), the Middle East (up 8.4 percent) and Asia-pacific (up 5.7 percent). The key contributors to the global rise in passenger traffic can be attributed to airports in emerging markets. With the rise in per capita income in many of these markets, the demand for air travel has risen correspondingly. Coupled with the fact that many of these regions are home to some of the most populous countries on the globe have helped fortify this phenomenon. Source: ACI-World 2
2011 ACI Airport Traffic Rankings North America Rankings Top 5 Passenger Top 5 Cargo Top 5 Movement Atlanta (Up 3.5%) Memphis (0.0%) Atlanta (Down 2.7%) Chicago O Hare (Down 0.1%) Anchorage (Down 3.9%) Chicago O Hare (Down 0.4%) Los Angles (Up 4.7%) Louisville (Up 1.0%) Los Angles (Up 5.4%) Dallas/Ft Worth (Up 1.5%) Miami (Up 0.3%) Dallas/Ft Worth (Down 0.8%) Denver (Up 1.7%) Los Angles (Down 3.8%) Denver (Down 0.2%) Worldwide Rankings Top 5 Passenger Top 5 Cargo Top 5 Movement Atlanta (Up 3.5%) Hong Kong (Down 4.7%) Atlanta (Down 2.7%) Beijing (Up 4.7%) Memphis (0.0%) Chicago O Hare (Down 0.4%) London Heathrow (Up 5.4%) Shanghai (Down 4.3%) Los Angles (Up 5.4%) Chicago O Hare (Down 0.1%) Anchorage (Down 3.9%) Dallas/Ft Worth (Down 0.8) Tokyo (Down 2.9%) Incheon (Down 5.4%) Denver (Down 0.2%) *Passenger traffic is defined as the aggregate total of arriving (deplanement) and departing (enplanement) passengers. Transfer passengers are only counted once. Source: ACI-World 3
Billion Passengers % Change ACI World Airport Traffic Evolution 6 14% 5 4 3 2 1 0 3.48 Aviation traffic from 2000 to 2011 has been growing at an annual growth of 4.2%. Within the past 11 years, aviation traffic has been on a pendulum. From 2001-2003, the terrorist attacks of September 11, slow economy, SARS outbreak, and the war in Iraq hindered aviation growth. Recovery and growth was experienced from 2004-2007, but was once again stalled by high fuel prices and an economic depression in 2008, 2009 and 2011. Source: ACI-World 3.39-2.5% 3.45 1.7% 3.50 1.6% 3.93 12.2% 4.19 6.4% 4.49 7.3% 4.80 6.9% 4.88 1.6% 4.73-3.1% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 5.17 9.3% 5.44 5.3% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% 4
% Change World Passenger Trends 9 International Domestic Total 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Jun-11 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May-12 Passenger demand expanded by 3 percent in May 2012. Airports also reported a 2 percent increase in domestic passenger traffic and a 4 percent increase in international passenger traffic as compared to May 2011. The first five months of 2012 showed world passenger traffic increasing by almost 5 percent with international and domestic traffic rising by 6 and 4 percent respectively. Source: ACI-World - PaxFlash 5
% Change World Freight Trends 8 International Domestic Total 6 4 2 0-2 -4-6 -8-10 Jun-11 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May-12 Total freight traffic worldwide showed almost no growth for May 2012 as compared to May 2011. International freight declined by almost -2 percent whereas domestic traffic increased by 6.5 percent. The first five months of 2012 showed total and international freight declining by almost -2 percent with domestic freight showing no year over year growth for the same period. Source: ACI-World - FreightFlash 6
Million Passengers Annual Growth Rate FAA U.S. Airport Traffic Forecast 1,400 1,200 Passengers Growth Rate 6% 5% 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 771 747 722 707 704 0.49% 2.05% 3.51% 3.18% 2.77% 2.69% 2.76% 933 814 792 2009E 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2020 2030 1,210 2.64% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Medium term economic indicators point to a stable 2.6% annual growth in passenger enplanement from 2011 to 2030 in the U.S. While the U.S. market remains fragile and is limited by job creation and consumer spending, further bilateral agreements with developing nations and a slow economic recovery will enable U.S. aviation traffic to grow. Source: FAA Traffic Forecast 7
U.S. Aviation Traffic: CY 2010 vs. CY 2011 Jan-Dec, 2010 Jan-Dec, 2011 Change Total Passengers 726.5 million 737.4 million 1.5% Domestic Passengers 632.6 million 641.6 million 1.4% International Passengers 93.9 million 95.8 million 2.0% Flights (thousands) 9,694.0 9,665.9-0.3% Available Seat Miles 991.9 billion 1,012.6 billion 2.1% Load Factor 81.9 percent 81.6 percent -0.4% Flight Stage Length 729.1 miles 743.2 miles 2.1% U.S. passenger traffic grew only 1.5% in 2011 as compared to the previous year. Growth continued to slow towards the end of the year as domestic traffic continue to grow moderately. While international traffic growth still outpaced domestic, traffic growth has slowed compared to a 2.4% growth witnessed from 2008-2009. Carriers continued to maintain capacity discipline as fuel costs again became significant. Source: BTS 8
U.S. Aviation Traffic: Q1 2011 vs. Q1 2012 Jan-Mar, 2011 Jan-Mar, 2012 Change Total Passengers 167.4 million 171.9 million 2.7% Domestic Passengers 145.6 million 149.5 million 2.8% International Passengers 21.7 million 22.4 million 3.2% Flights (thousands) 2,383.9 2,377.6-0.3% Available Seat Miles 241.7 billion 243.5 billion 0.7% Load Factor 82.3 percent 83.2 percent 0.9% Flight Stage Length 742.1 miles 750.8 miles 1.2% U.S. passenger traffic grew 2.7% during the Q1 2012 as compared to the same period the previous year. Growth for both the domestic and international segment continue at 2.8%, and 3.2% respectively. While international traffic growth is still lagging compared to pre-recession time, growth is continued to be expected as U.S. carriers increase their international market share despite increasing fuel costs. Source: BTS 9
AirportInfo November 2013 Contact: Economic Affairs and Research Tel: 202-293-8500 Email: EconomicAffairs@aci-na.org www.aci-na.org