February 2016 Needs Assessment

Aviation Maintenance Technology February 2016 Needs Assessment Prepared by Danielle Pearson Date: February 1, 2016 Aviation Maintenance Technology Aviation Maintenance Technology Needs Assessment Page 1

Scope Data compiled in this report covers San Bernardino, Riverside, Orange, and Los Angeles counties. Data were drawn from external sources, including the Employment Development Department s California Labor Market Information, the U.S. Department of Education s Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS), O*NET OnLine, and Chaffey College s Colleague Administrative database. Data Sources and Calculations Educational Program Data TOP Code Program of Study 0950.10 Aviation Airframe Mechanics 0950.20 Aviation Powerplant Mechanics The Taxonomy of Programs (TOP) is a standardized system used at the state level to classify programs and courses that are intended to achieve the same outcome at different colleges throughout the state. CIP Code Program of Study 47.0607 Airframe Mechanics and Aircraft Maintenance Technology/Technician 47.0608 Aircraft Powerplant Technology/Technician The Classification of Instructional Programs (CIP) is a standardized coding system used at the federal level to facilitate accurate tracking, assessment, and reporting of fields of study and program completion at educational institutions throughout the country. This report draws on two CIP codes: 1) Airframe Mechanics and Aircraft Maintenance Technology/Technician and 2) Aircraft Powerplant Technology/Technician. These CIP Codes map to the Aviation Airframe Mechanics and Aviation Powerplant Mechanics TOP codes, respectively, to compare Chaffey College to other institutions and examine employment trends. Completions Data Degree and certificate data regarding students at Chaffey College were collected from the Colleague Administrative database. Degree and certificate data for all comparison schools were collected from the U.S. Department of Education s Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). All comparison institutions included in this report are postsecondary and have provided data to IPEDS. IPEDS defines postsecondary education as a formal program designed primarily for students beyond high school age. These include academic, vocational, and continuing professional education, and exclude avocational and adult basic education programs. Occupational Data SOC Code Occupational Title Aviation Airframe Mechanics 49.2091 Avionics Technicians 49.3011 Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians 51.2011 Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers Aviation Maintenance Technology Needs Assessment Page 2

Aviation Powerplant Mechanics 49.3011 Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians 51.2011 Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers The Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) system is used by federal statistical agencies to classify workers into occupational categories. The Airframe Mechanics and Aircraft Maintenance Technology/Technician and Aircraft Powerplant Technology/Technician CIP codes were mapped to the SOC codes listed in the table above using the crosswalk described in the paragraph below. Educational Program to Occupation Crosswalk The TOP-CIP-SOC Crosswalk (Employment Development Department, 2009) was used in this report to map TOP codes to CIP and SOC codes. This crosswalk allows the user to estimate labor market demand for California Community College program completers using SOC based projections from the Labor Market Information Division. Industry Data The North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) is used by federal statistical agencies to classify business establishments for the purpose of conducting and reporting research on the U.S. business economy. Using the Standard Occupational Classification codes listed above, associated NAICS industries were identified. Aviation Maintenance Technology Needs Assessment Page 3

Introduction and Contents Contents Background Information 5 Regional Job Outlook 7 Largest & Fastest Growing Industry Employers 10 Regional Graduation Summary 12 Chaffey College s Performance on Core Indicators 13 Purpose and Goals Chaffey College currently offers two degrees (Airframe and Powerplant) and three certificate options (Airframe, Powerplant, and Aviation Maintenance) in the Aviation Maintenance Technology program. The Aviation Maintenance Certificate requires 64 total units, whereas the Airframe and Powerplant certificates each require 40 units. The Associate Degree with emphasis in either Airframe or Powerplant requires a total of 16 core units and 40 units in the area of emphasis. The following is a description of the Aviation Maintenance Technology program as outlined in the 2015-16 Catalog: This program provides coursework needed for the Associate in Science degree major in Aviation Maintenance Airframe and/or Powerplant Technology and is intended for those students who wish to transfer to a four-year institution. The program also meets requirements for the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Airframe and Powerplant Certificates. Airframe and Powerplant technicians are in demand by airlines and aviation maintenance providers. The Aviation Maintenance Technology program at Chaffey College is fully approved by the FAA to provide the experience required to become an Airframe or Powerplant technician. The Aviation Maintenance certificate is intended for students who desire a comprehensive course of study in both the airframe and powerplant systems, as opposed to those requiring only one certificate. This certificate will meet the needs of students who per Federal guidelines require continuous enrollment throughout each and every semester of the two year Aviation Maintenance Technician (AMT) Program. The purpose of this report is to integrate and analyze data from multiple sources to determine labor market needs for the Aviation Maintenance Technology program at Chaffey College. Regional Definitions Inland Empire includes the Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) Los Angeles County includes the Los Angeles- Long Beach-Glendale Metro Division Orange County includes the Santa Ana- Anaheim-Irvine Metro Division Key Terms and Concepts Replacement Jobs: Replacement jobs refer to the number of job openings due to workers leaving an occupation. Annual Openings: Annual openings are calculated by adding the number of new jobs to the number of replacement jobs, divided by the number of years in the projection period. Projections: Projections of employment are calculated by the Employment Development Department and are based on a mathematical formula that includes historical employment and economic indicators along with national, state, and local trends. Occupation: Jobs are grouped into occupations using the federal Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) system. Industry: Occupations are grouped into industries using the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). Wages: Hourly wages are reported in percentiles and averages. The 25 th percentile is a useful proxy of entry-level wages and the 75 th percentile of experienced-level wages. Aviation Maintenance Technology Needs Assessment Page 4

Background Information Aviation Airframe Mechanics Aviation Airframe Mechanics programs in California Community Colleges focus on the inspection, repair, service, maintenance, and overhaul of airframes and aircraft systems. The program is designed to meet Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) requirements for licensing as an airframe mechanic. 1 Aviation Powerplant Mechanics Aviation Powerplant Mechanics programs in California Community Colleges focus on the inspection, repair, service, maintenance, and overhaul of aircraft engines and engine systems. The program is designed to meet Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) requirements for licensing as a powerplant mechanic. 1 The descriptions of job duties for Aviation Airframe Mechanics and Aviation Powerplant Mechanicsrelated occupations are provided by the Occupational Information Network. 2 Avionics Technicians 2 Avionics Technicians install, inspect, test, adjust, or repair equipment, such as radar, radio, navigation, and missile control systems in aircraft or space vehicles. Typical Tasks Test and troubleshoot instruments, components, and assemblies, using circuit testers, oscilloscopes, or voltmeters Keep records of maintenance and repair work Adjust, repair, or replace malfunctioning components or assemblies, using hand tools or soldering irons Install electrical and electronic components, assemblies, and systems in aircraft, using hand tools, power tools, or soldering irons Set up and operate ground support and test equipment to perform functional flight tests of electrical and electronic systems Assemble components such as switches, electrical controls, and junction boxes, using hand tools or soldering irons Lay out installation of aircraft assemblies and systems, following documentation such as blueprints, manuals, and wiring diagrams Connect components to assemblies such as radio systems, instruments, magnetos, inverters, and in-flight refueling systems, using hand tools and soldering irons Interpret flight test data to diagnose malfunctions and systemic performance problems Coordinate work with that of engineers, technicians, and other aircraft maintenance personnel 1 California Community Colleges, Chancellor s Office, Taxonomy of Programs, Sixth Edition (Corrected Version). 2 O*Net Online: http://www.onetonline.org/find/ Aviation Maintenance Technology Needs Assessment Page 5

Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians 2 Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians diagnose, adjust, repair, or overhaul aircraft engines and assemblies, such as hydraulic and pneumatic systems. This includes helicopter and aircraft engine specialists. Typical Tasks Examine and inspect aircraft components, including landing gear, hydraulic systems, and deicers to locate cracks, breaks, leaks, or other problems Conduct routing and special inspections as required by regulations Inspect completed work to certify that maintenance meets standards and that aircraft are ready for operation Read and interpret maintenance manuals, service bulletins, and other specifications to determine the feasibility and method of repairing or replacing malfunctioning or damaged components Maintain repair logs, documenting all preventive and corrective aircraft maintenance Modify aircraft structures, space vehicles, systems, or components, following drawings, schematics, charts, engineering orders, and technical publications Inspect airframes for wear or other defects Measure parts for wear, using precision instruments Obtain fuel and oil samples and check them for contamination Maintain, repair, and rebuild aircraft structure, functional components, and parts such as wings and fuselage, rigging, hydraulic units, oxygen systems, fuel systems, electrical systems, gaskets, and seals Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers 2 Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers assemble, fit, fasten, and install parts of airplanes, space vehicles, or missiles, such as tails, wings, fuselage, bulkheads, stabilizers, landing gear, rigging and control equipment, or heating and ventilating systems. Typical Tasks Assemble parts, fittings, or subassemblies on aircraft, using layout tools, hand tools, power tools, or fasteners, such as bolts, screws, rivets, or clamps Read blueprints, illustrations, or specifications to determine layouts, sequences of operations, or identities or relationships of parts Attach brackets, hinges, or clips to secure or support components or subassemblies, using bolts, screws, rivets, chemical bonding, or welding Inspect or test installed units, parts, systems, or assemblies for fit, alignment, performance, defects, or compliance with standards, using measuring instruments or test equipment Adjust, repair, rework, or replace parts of assemblies to ensure proper operation Cut, trim, file, bend, or smooth parts to ensure proper fit and clearance Fabricate parts needed for assembly or installation, using shop machinery or equipment Layout and mark reference points and locations for installation of parts or components, using jigs, templates, or measuring and marking instruments Clean, oil, or coat system components as necessary before assembly or attachment Assemble prefabricated parts to form subassemblies Aviation Maintenance Technology Needs Assessment Page 6

Regional Job Outlook Projected Regional Job Outlook The table below displays 2012 employment estimates and 2022 projections for the three occupational groups associated with Aviation Maintenance Technology programs. Avionics Technician positions are expected to grow at a rate of approximately 5-6% based on data from Los Angeles County and statewide. Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers can expect slightly higher growth, from approximately 6-10% depending on region. Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technician positions are expected to grow by approximately 6% in Los Angeles County to 14.5% in the Inland Empire. Total Estimated 2012 Jobs Total Projected 2022 Jobs Projected Growth (%) Ave. Annual New Job Openings Ave. Annual Replacement Job Openings Ave. Annual Total Job Openings Avionics Technicians State of California 1,700 1,800 100 (5.9%) 10 40 50 Inland Empire -- -- -- -- -- -- Los Angeles CO 590 620 30 (5.1%) 3 12 15 Orange CO -- -- -- -- -- -- Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians State of California 12,000 13,300 1,300 (10.8%) 130 320 450 Inland Empire 760 870 110 (14.5%) 11 20 31 Los Angeles CO 4,640 4,920 280 (6.0%) 28 124 152 Orange CO -- -- -- -- -- -- Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers State of California 3,000 3,300 300 (10.0%) 30 50 80 Inland Empire -- -- -- -- -- -- Los Angeles CO 1,050 1,130 80 (7.6%) 8 17 25 Orange CO 340 360 20 (5.9%) 2 5 7 Source: Labor Market Information Division, Employment Development Department, Occupation Profile, on the Internet at: http://www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov/occguides/search.aspx (visited February 2, 2016) -- Indicates there are no data available. Aviation Maintenance Technology Needs Assessment Page 7

Projected Job Growth by Region The graphs below show the projected growth from 2012 to 2022 of occupations that employ completers of Aviation Maintenance Technology programs. Low to moderate growth is expected, depending on region, for all three occupations. 50 40 Avionics Technicians % Growth 30 20 10 0 5.9 5.1 N/A N/A California Inland Empire LA County Orange County Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians 50 40 % Growth 30 20 10 10.8 14.5 6.0 0 N/A California Inland Empire LA County Orange County Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, & Systems Assemblers 50 40 % Growth 30 20 10 10.0 7.6 5.9 0 N/A California Inland Empire LA County Orange County Source: Labor Market Information Division, Employment Development Department, Occupation Profile, on the Internet at: http://www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov/occguides/search.aspx (visited February 2, 2016). Aviation Maintenance Technology Needs Assessment Page 8

Hourly Wages by Region This table displays the first quarter 2015 hourly wage statistics of individuals employed in occupations for Aviation Maintenance Technology program completers. Avionics Technicians can expect to earn between approximately $25.00 and $41.00 per hour, with average hourly rates ranging from $31.16 in Los Angeles County to $33.22 statewide. Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians can expect to earn between approximately $20.00 and $41.00 per hour, with average hourly rates ranging from $28.89 in the Inland Empire to $32.95 in Los Angeles County. Wages for Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers are slightly lower, with average hourly rates ranging from $24.05 in Los Angeles County to $26.51 statewide. No wage data specific to Orange County were available. Mean Hourly Rate 25 th Percentile Median Hourly Rate 75 th Percentile Avionics Technicians State of California $33.22 $26.67 $34.55 $41.16 Inland Empire $32.35 $27.61 $34.23 $35.49 Los Angeles CO $31.16 $25.06 $31.64 $38.19 Orange CO -- -- -- -- Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians State of California $31.17 $24.95 $31.03 $38.69 Inland Empire $28.89 $20.67 $29.18 $35.49 Los Angeles CO $32.95 $26.61 $34.05 $40.59 Orange CO -- -- -- -- Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers State of California $26.51 $19.30 $27.36 $33.99 Inland Empire $24.29 $18.25 $23.19 $30.47 Los Angeles CO $24.05 $16.44 $22.53 $31.68 Orange CO -- -- -- -- -- Indicates there are no data available. Source: Labor Market Information Division, Employment Development Department, Occupation Profile, on the Internet at: http://www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov/occguides/search.aspx (visited February 2, 2016). Aviation Maintenance Technology Needs Assessment Page 9

Largest and Fastest Growing Industry Employers Largest Industry Employers of Avionics Maintenance Technology Occupations The graphs below display the 2012 staffing patterns of the largest industries employing completers of Avionics Maintenance Technology Occupations programs across the state of California. Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing is one of the largest employers of both Avionics Technicians and Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians. Avionics Technicians are also employed primarily by Architectural and Engineering Services and Scheduled Air Transportation employs the largest group of Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians. Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers are only employed by Employment Services. Avioncs Technicians Number of Employees 500 400 300 200 100 0 Architectural & Engineering Svc Aerospace Product & Parts Mfg Federal Government Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians Number of Employees 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Scheduled Air Transportation Aerospace Product & Parts Mfg Federal Government Architectural & Engineering Svc Employment Svc Local Government Number of Employees 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, & Systems Assemblers Employment Svc Source: Labor Market Information Division, Employment Development Department, Staffing Patterns, on the Internet at: http://www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov/iomatrix/staffing-patterns1.asp (visited February 2, 2016). Aviation Maintenance Technology Needs Assessment Page 10

Change Over Time of the Largest Industry Employers of Avionics Maintenance Technology Occupations The graphs below display projections of change over time from 2012-2022 of the largest industries employing Avionics Maintenance Technology-related occupations in the state of California. Growth is generally expected for Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians, although no growth is expected for Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, & Systems Assemblers, and a decline in the employment of Avionics Technicians is expected in the federal government. Avionics Technicians Percent Change 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% -50% -60% 0.0% 0.0% Architectural & Engineering Svc Aerospace Product & Parts Mfg -50.0% Federal Government Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians Percent Change 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% 0.0% Scheduled Air Transportation -5.6% Aerospace Product & Parts Mfg 9.1% -15.4% Federal Architectural Government & Engineering Svc 33.3% Employment Svc 0.0% Local Government Percent Change 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, & Systems Assemblers 0.0% Employment Svc Source: Labor Market Information Division, Employment Development Department, Staffing Patterns, on the Internet at: http://www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov/iomatrix/staffing-patterns1.asp (visited February 2, 2016). Aviation Maintenance Technology Needs Assessment Page 11

Regional Graduation Summary Education and Training 3 Education and training requirements for Avionics Technicians and Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians are slightly higher than those for Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers. Employers of Avionics Technicians and Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians are usually looking for candidates with post-secondary vocational training, and top skills required include repairing, equipment maintenance, operation monitoring, troubleshooting, critical thinking, and complex problem solving. Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers are usually expected to be able to do the job after long-term on-the-job training of 12+ months in length. Regional Completers in Aviation Maintenance Technology Programs The table below displays the number of program completers in the 2013-14 academic year at regional institutions offering Aviation Maintenance Technology programs. Besides Chaffey College, there are 10 institutions offering degrees and/or certificates below the baccalaureate level across the four-county region. Institution Name < 1 year Certificate 1 to < 2 year Certificate Award Level Associate s Degree Airframe Mechanics and Aircraft Maintenance Technology/Technician 2 to < 4 year Certificate Antelope Valley College 4 23 8 -- Chaffey College -- 10 6 -- Long Beach City College -- 30 7 -- Mt. San Antonio College -- 31 4 -- Orange Coast College -- 0 9 14 San Bernardino Valley College -- 25 3 -- Spartan College of Aeronautics & Technology -- 3 -- 201 Victor Valley College 53 -- -- -- West Los Angeles College -- 21 5 -- Total 57 143 42 215 Aircraft Powerplant Technology/Technician Antelope Valley College -- 28 6 -- Chaffey College -- 19 5 -- Mt. San Antonio College -- 29 -- -- Orange Coast College -- 0 -- -- San Bernardino Valley College -- 16 -- -- Spartan College of Aeronautics & Technology -- 2 -- -- Victor Valley College 35 -- -- -- West Los Angeles College -- 23 -- -- Total 35 117 11 0 Note: -- indicates that this type of degree is not offered. 0 indicates that this degree is offered but no degrees or certificates were granted. Source: National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Department of Education, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System, on the Internet at: http://www.nces.ed.gov/collegenavigator/ 3 Labor Market Info, Employment Development Department, California Occupational Guides, on the Internet at: http://www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov/occguides (visited February 2, 2016). Aviation Maintenance Technology Needs Assessment Page 12

Chaffey College s Performance on Core Indicators The Perkins IV Career and Technical Education Improvement Act of 2006 mandates that all state and local postsecondary institutions provide data on six core performance indicators for their career and technical education programs. These indicators are: 1) Technical Skill Attainment; 2) Completions; 3) Persistence and Transfer; 4) Employment; 5a) Nontraditional Participation; and 5b) Nontraditional Completion. Performance goals are set at the state and local levels and progress is monitored based on a comparison between the actual percentage of students who master each performance area and the negotiated levels of performance. 2014-2015 Chaffey College Performance on Core Indicators The table below displays negotiated and actual core performance indicator levels for all Chaffey College students classified under the Aviation Airframe Mechanics and Aviation Powerplant Mechanics TOP codes. This CTE Cohort is defined by the Chancellor s Office as those with 12+ CTE units in the discipline in 3 years. Chaffey College performed above the district negotiated level for Cores 1 and 2 for each TOP code. Core Performance Indicators Negotiated Level State District Chaffey College Performance Percent Above or Below District Negotiated Level Aviation Airframe Mechanics Core 1 Technical Skill Attainment 89.50% 89.50% 94.74% 5.2 Core 2 Completions- Credential, Certificate, Degree, or Transfer Ready 81.50% 75.61% 85.71% 10.1 Core 3 Persistence and Transfer 86.50% 83.24% 61.11% -22.1 Core 4 Employment 80.85% 77.65% 50.00% -27.7 Core 5a Non-traditional Participation 22.60% 20.29% 10.53-9.8 Core 5b Non-traditional Completions 26.50% 22.49% 16.00-6.5 Aviation Powerplant Mechanics Core 1 Technical Skill Attainment 89.50% 89.50% 97.96% 8.5 Core 2 Completions- Credential, Certificate, Degree, or Transfer Ready 81.50% 75.61% 83.87% 8.3 Core 3 Persistence and Transfer 86.50% 83.24% 74.47% -8.8 Core 4 Employment 80.85% 77.65% 56.00% -21.7 Core 5a Non-traditional Participation 22.60% 20.29% 14.29% -6.0 Core 5b Non-traditional Completions 26.50% 22.49% 15.38% -7.1 DR indicates privacy requirements. N/A (Not Applicable) indicates denominators < 10. N/R (Not Reported) indicates categories where no participants were recorded. Source: CA Community Colleges Reporting Services, College Core Indicator Information by 6-Digit TOP (2014-2015 Fiscal Year Planning). Aviation Maintenance Technology Needs Assessment Page 13