Regional Aviation Safety Group Pan America (RASG-PA)

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Regional Aviation Safety Group Pan America (RASG-PA) 6 th Pan American Aviation Safety Summit Medellin, Colombia, 23-24 June 2015 Melvin Cintron, Oscar Derby and Gerardo Hueto RASG-PA Secretary & Co-Chairpersons States/Territories & International Organizations and Industry

RASG-PA Introduction First in the World (2008) Multi-regional States/Territories, Intl Organizations & Industry Adopted in other ICAO Regions Aligned with GASP Data-driven Results Oriented 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 2

RASG-PA Mission Improve safety and efficiency in the Pan American Region 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 3

RASG-PA Vision Involve all the stakeholders in a coordinated effort 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 4

RASG-PA Membership 34 NAM/CAR/SAM States, 19 Territories and 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 5

RASG-PA Fatality Risk Reduction Goal 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 6

Pan American Scheduled Commercial Air Transport Accidents Pan American Scheduled Commercial Air Transport Accidents Year Total Accidents Fatal accidents Total fatalities 2004-2013 avg. 39.3 3.3 81.8 2013 36 4 18 2014 35 0 0 Scheduled Commercial Air Transport Accidents Aircraft MTOM above 5,700 kilograms Source: RASG-PA ASR 6 th Edition - preliminary 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 7

RASG-PA Safety Management Process ANNUAL SAFETY REPORT (ASRT) SAFETY ENHANCEMENT INITIATIVES- SEIs (RASG-PA) INFORMATION ANALYSIS TEAM (IAT) DETAILED IMPLEMENTATION PLANS-DIPs (PA-RAST) 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 8

RASG-PA uses different types of safety data/information REACTIVE: safety analysis based upon past occurrences (accidents and incidents) in the Pan American Region PROACTIVE: includes analysis of States existing conditions (ICAO SARPs implementation, traffic variations) and service providers (IATA Operational Safety Audits, ramp inspections) PREDICTIVE: based upon analysis of Flight Operations Quality Assurance (FOQA) deidentified data, oriented towards identifying potential future hazards for initiating corresponding mitigation actions 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 9

RASG-PA produces safety intelligence from different sources

RASG-PA publishes Annual Safety Reports Measuring results 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 11

RASG-PA develops Safety Enhancement Initiatives for: Runway Excursion (RE) Controlled Flight Into Terrain (CFIT) Loss of Control-Inflight (LOC-I) Mid-Air Collision (MAC) and Detailed Implementation Plans (DIPs) 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 12

Pan America - Regional Aviation Safety Team PA-RAST BRAZIL & IATA CFIT DIPS LOC-I DIPs RE DIPs CFIT/02 CFIT/04 LOC-I/06 LOC-I/07 LOC-I/09 RE/04 RE/08 RE/09 RE/11 IATA IFALPA/IFATCA PA-RAST ALTA IFALPA ALTA ACI-LAC ALTA MEXICO All DIPs completed 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 13

RASG-PA Risk Management Strategy Reactive: Apply the risk reduction formula to accident set to prioritize SEIs Proactive: Implement SEIs targeting specific high fatality risk areas Predictive: Verify effectiveness of SEIs using precursor trends in FOQA 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 14

RASG-PA Risk Analysis RASG-PA Goal: 50% fatality risk reduction (2010 2020) Fatality risk: full loss passenger load equivalent per million departures Baseline: 5 year average fatality risk in 2010 = 0.6 2020 Goal = 0.3 Calculated risk reduction due to SEIs implemented in the period 2009-2013 = 25% Calculated Risk through 2014 = 0.39, actual = 0.37 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 15

Fatality Risk* of Commercial Jet Air Travel by Region of the World (10-year rolling average) Western-built jet transports >60,000-pounds onboard fatal accidents, by airline domicile 2004 2009 2014 World 0.35 0.27 0.20 United States & Canada 0.15 0.06 0.08 Latin America & Caribbean 0.96 0.61 0.37 Europe 0.26 0.23 0.11 Middle East 0.97 0.59 0.22 Africa 1.81 2.25 1.74 China 0.16 0.06 0.02 CIS 0.54 1.89 1.06 Asia (excluding China) 0.62 0.35 0.32 Oceania 0.00 0.00 0.00 * Fatality Risk Full passenger load loss equivalents per million departures

Other RASG-PA Deliverables 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 17

RASG-PA created the Proposal for Amendment to Aeronautical Legislation to Protect Safety Information Sources 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 18

Pan American Aviation Safety Summits 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 19

and 8 th RASG-PA Annual Plenary Meeting Medellin, Colombia, 25 June 2015 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 20

RASG-PA Projects Completed Created Active New Use of Std Spanish and English Phraseology in accordance with the ICAO PANS-ATM Air Traffic Management (Doc 4444) Bird Strike Reduction Programme Regional Aviation Accidents Investigation Group (GRIAA) in Central America Flight Information Quality Assurance (FOQA) Programme in Central America (PASO) Development of Metrics to Measure Institutional Strengths of the Civil Aviation Authorities CAR and SAM Regions Safety Information Project 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 21

RASG-PA Plan 2015-2016 Keep RASG-PA work programme aligned with GASP Support roll-out of GASP and Annex 19 Mitigate RE, CFIT, LOC-I and MAC Monitor/act Regional safety issues Coordinate with GREPECAS and RSOOs Increase participation of stakeholders Positioning as strategic regional safety forum Collect info for ICAO Reg. Performance Dashboard 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 22

Challenges Regional Traffic growth New air transport operators and new aircraft orders Demand for skilled aviation personnel Training capacity Attractiveness of aviation Attrition related impact Infrastructure deficiencies Resources Political will 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 23

RASG-PA is one of the key contributors for the Regional Safety Enhancement 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 24

Join the Group! 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 25

info@rasg-pa.org www.rasg-pa.org Thank you! 23-24 June 2015 RASG-PA 6 PAASS 26