Near Term Potential for System Capacity Gains from RNP and RNAV Procedures

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National Airspace System Performance Workshop Near Term Potential for System Capacity Gains from RNP and RNAV Procedures By Bill Dunlay Leigh Fisher Associates 1

Purpose and Agenda Briefly describe features and benefits of RNP and RNAV procedures Suggest ways we can leverage the recent successes of the RNP & RNAV programs to obtain earliest possible capacity benefits 2

Attributes of a Successful Capacity Enhancement Initiative Provides immediate benefits for early equippers as well as late equippers, and possibly even nonequippers Uses available, proven technologies Can be coupled with many other technologies Long-term viability Continuous improvement with anticipated advances in technologies Is part of virtually all future ATC modernization concepts and plans on the horizon Basic building blocks of all future systems 3

Build on Success of RNP & RNAV Procedures RNP & RNAV meet these success criteria With continued development of beneficial RNP & RNAV procedures, how can we reach a tipping point where: Sufficient aircraft will be equipped to enable significant increases in airport capacity Equipping will become a competitive necessity for the airlines If you re not equipped, you can t compete 4

RNP & RNAV Background Area Navigation (RNAV) -- Method of navigation that permits operation on any desired flight path, independent of ground-based navaid location Required Navigation Performance (RNP) Statement of navigation performance accuracy necessary for operation within a defined airspace RNP is RNAV with on-board navigation monitoring and alerting Dual flight management system computers Monitor actual navigation performance (ANP) Alerts when the RNP operational requirement cannot be met 5

RNAV Definitions and Types RNAV Q routes and T routes RNAV STARS RNAV SIDS RNAV approaches RNAV (GPS) LPV (WAAS) LNAV/VNAV LNAV RNAV (RNP) RNAV Navigation Standards Specify DME/DME/IRUor GPS; or an RNP value; or Type (A or B) En route: RNP 5 (RNAV 5), Type A (RNAV 2) Terminal: Type A (RNAV 2), Type B (RNAV 1) 6

RNAV & RNP in all Phases of Flight Source: RNAV/RNP Program Update, Federal Aviation Administration 7

Las Vegas Example First all-rnav SIDS and STARS SIDS Unique waypoints for each runway (at least initially) RNAV 1 STARS All runways expect vectors to final approach Runway 25L intercept localizer Ultimate goal runway-specific STARS and SIDS Coming from different directions Tromboning issue 8

RNAV Standard Instrument Departures (SIDS) Radar Flight Tracks Before & After RNAV ATL RNAV Standard Instrument Departures DFW (AAL) RNAV Standard Instrument Departures Source: RNAV/RNP Program Update, Federal Aviation Administration 9

Departure Procedures- Before & After RNAV BEFORE Departures are vectored Headings, altitudes and speeds issued by controllers Large number of voice transmissions required Significant dispersion Tracks are inconsistent and inefficient Limited exit points AFTER Departures fly RNAV tracks (not vectored) Headings, altitudes and speeds are automated (via avionics) Voice transmissions reduced (30-50%) Dispersions reduced Tracks are more consistent and more efficient Additional exit points available Improved vertical profiles More time to focus on unequipped aircraft 10

RNP Definitions Onboard avionics keep aircraft within a tightly specified airspace corridor ANP Containment Radius RNP-x is aircraft path conformance (with accuracy x (nm) or better, 95% of time) RNP Containment Region is an area 2 x RNP-x on either side 99.999% probability that aircraft is within containment region RNP=RNAV + Monitoring/Alerting Source: RNAV/RNP Program Update, Federal Aviation Administration 11

RNP Background Alaska Airlines Pioneered RNP in Alaska To serve "terrain-challenged" airports in remote areas (e.g., Juneau- Gastineau Channel ) Exploit advanced avionics on its Boeing 737-400+ s Now using 17 RNP approaches and 12 RNP departures in Alaska Source: Alaska Airlines System-wide, flying 6,000 RNP approaches or departures per year 858 saves in 2005 Saves airline up to $8 million per year 12 Source: Alaska Airlines

RNP & RNAV Enables Stabilized Approaches FAF (5 to 7 miles from runway) Landing flaps / configuration Landing check complete Lateral/vertical flight guidance to runway Lateral and vertical flight guidance through missed approach procedure Autopilot/autothrottle fully available Typical unstabilized non-precision approach Missed approach Balked landing DA(H) (as low as 250 ft above airport) Barometric vertical navigation (VNAV) Runway Eliminates Dive and Drive (Non-Precision) approaches Provided a Stabilized Approach with LNAV/VNAV guidance to runway threshold Source: Alaska Airlines 13

Public RNP SAAAR Approach Criteria Enabling Features (Source: FAA) Source: RNAV/RNP Program Update, Federal Aviation Administration 14

First Certified Public RNP SAAAR Approach to Runway 19 at DCA Established 9/28/05, RNP 0.11 LDA approach requires 720-ft. decision altitude 2 & 1/4 mi. visibility RNP approach requires 475 ft. decision altitude 1 & 1/4 mi. visibility Alaska has flown 10 of these approaches Three have been "saves or avoided diversions Diversions can cost airline $5,000- $10,000 each, and possibly more Source: RNAV/RNP Program Update, Federal Aviation Administration 15

Palm Springs Public RNP SAAAR* Approaches (31L, 13R) Expected February 2006 * Special Aircraft & Aircrew Authorization Required (SAAAR) Source: RNAV/RNP Program Update, Federal Aviation Administration RNP 0.3 VOR/GPS-B minima of 1,823 & 3 mi. Alaska Airlines Special RNP Minima as low as 250 and 3/4 mi. Initiated in January 2005 24 flights diverted/cancelled in 6 weeks before implementation 20 SAVES since implementation Public RNP SAAAR Approach Existing RNAV (RNP) Y Approaches 409 and 1.5 mi. to Runway 13R 304 and 1 mi. to Runway 31L Future Public SAAAR minima of 254 & 1 mi. Expected March 2006 16

RNP Parallel Approach Transition (RPAT) Provides up to 60% greater capacity over single runway Applicable to parallel runways spaced as close as 750 feet Provides ILS approach to accommodate mixed equipage Maintains second arrival stream if one ILS is out of service Source: FAA and MITRE CAASD 17

Multiple RNP Approach Procedures Current Requirements for Simultaneous Independent ILS Approaches in IMC Future RPA Concept Source: RNAV/RNP Program Update, Federal Aviation Administration 18

Potential Benefits of RNP IAP s where none possible before & backup procedures Reduced landing minimums Reduced voice communications and radar vectoring Precise navigation accuracy throughout terminal area Curved or segmented procedures More efficient vertical profiles and reduced fuel consumption Predictable, repeatable tracks (potential noise abatement tool) Reduced separation and obstacle-clearance standards More simultaneous operations Increased arrival/departure throughput Reduced delays, flying times, cancellations, and diversions More stable visual procedures Improved situational awareness and safety enhancement Most importantly -- immediate benefits to early equippers 19

ILS Approaches to JFK Runway 13L and ILS Approaches to LGA Runways 4 and 22 20

Planned RNP SAAAR Approach to JFK Runway 13L/R Sponsored by JetBlue Airways 21

Planned RNP SAAAR Approach to JFK Runway 13L/R Sponsored by JetBlue Airways 22

Planned RNP SAAAR Approach to JFK Runway 13L/R Sponsored by JetBlue Airways RNP value of 0.3 naut. mi. GPS & inertial are used for guidance Existing landing minimums 800 & 2.5 mi. FMS CDU Source: Federal Aviation Administration 23

Radar Flight Tracks Showing Existing Interactions 24

Radar Vectors: RNP about 1.0 25

RNAV with Current Sensors: RNP about 0.3 26

RNAV Enhanced with GPS: RNP about 0.1 27

Swedish Flight Trials of 4D Trajectories SAS B-737-600 FMS updated for downlinking 4D trajectories to the ground up to an hour in advance Will enable controllers to: Establish a required time of arrival (RTA) Call for speed adjustments to change spacing early in the arrival stream Will allow pilots to: Cross threshold within ±10 sec. of RTA Conduct continuous-descent approaches Conserves fuel while reducing noise and emissions Could save 32 gal. of fuel per approach Source: Aviation Week & Space Technology 11/07/2005, page 50 28

Aircraft Equipage About 90% of aircraft in U.S. airline fleet are ready to use RNAV procedures About 30% of airline aircraft in U.S. are currently equipped to use RNP < 1.0 New aircraft are equipped with RNP-capable FMSs All new airliners can meet RNP 0.3 Boeing has certified next-generation 737 for RNP 0.1 Future projections of RNP equipage rate: Without existing aircraft retrofit, expected to reach 60% by 2020 With retrofit, RNP equipage rate could reach 100% by 2017 Could this schedule be accelerated? 29

Air Traffic Control challenges Ability to distinguish RNP-capable from other aircraft Suffixes tell a good story but limited to one letter /E: Flight Management System (FMS) with DME/DME and IRU position updating /G: Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), including GPS or WAAS, with en route and terminal capability /R: Required Navigational Performance. The aircraft meets the RNP type prescribed for the route segment (s), route (s) and/or area concerned. /W: RVSM /J : /E with RVSM /L: /G with RVSM /Q: /R with RVSM Sharing of responsibility for separation assurance Integration with existing and emerging surveillance and communication capabilities and radar-vectoring procedures 30

Air Traffic Control challenges Enhanced clearance procedures, phraseology, and training aids for controllers and pilots (already underway) FAA Order 7110.65 AIM Pilot/Controller Glossary Other challenges (for pilots and controllers) Breaking out on a curved path Leaving the autopilot coupled below the decision altitude (sy for a DA of 500 feet) 31

Status and Outlook for RNP Airports where RNP approach procedures are being developed Include JFK, PDX, SFO, PSP, IAH, SUN, and DCA Airlines developing RNP approach procedures include Alaska, JetBlue, Continental, Delta, Southwest, WestJet, Quantas, and Air New Zealand All the RNP procedures developed so far are Approach procedures Require GNSS (unaugmented GPS) The FAA plans to implement 25 RNP SAAAR approaches per year Priorities based on collaboration between FAA and industry Performance Based Operations Aviation Rulemaking Committee (PARC) 32

Recent FAA Publications FAA Orders -- Procedures and Criteria 1. FAA Order 8260.52, United States Standard for Required Navigation Performance (RNP) Approach Procedures with Special Aircraft and Aircrew Authorization Required (SAAAR) 2. FAA Advisory Circular (AC) 90-RNP SAAAR 3. FAA Notice 8000.300, Required Navigation Performance (RNP) Airworthiness Approval, Operational Approval, and Design Guidelines for Special Aircraft and Aircrew Authorization Required (SAAAR) Approach Procedures 4. FAA Order 8260.(RNP), United States Standard for Required Navigation Performance (RNP) Approach Procedures (in development) http://www.faa.gov/ats/atp/rnp/rnav.htm 33

RNP Research Recommendations Open up participation in RNP procedure development to wider range of stakeholders Involve Airports How can we find win-win-win-win situations for the airlinesairports-faa-communities? Encourage and coordinate continued development of beneficial RNP approach and departure procedures 34

RNAV & RNP Research Recommendations Do the math FAA cost to develop RNP procedure about $20,000, with annual M&O cost of $3,000 One saved diversion is worth about $30,000 - $50,000 to the airline AL says it s more like $5,000 - $10,000 per save, considering 3 kinds of saves: reduce delay, avoid cancellation, and avoid diversion Main cost to airlines is for training and equipage Goal: Reach a tipping point where Sufficient aircraft will be equipped to enable significant increases in airport capacity Equipping will become a competitive necessity for the airlines If you re not equipped, you can t compete 35