Panama City Beach 2016 Travel Market Economic Impact Report Presented by: Berkeley Young, President Young Strategies, Inc. Data Analysis: Larry D. Gustke, PhD Steve Morse, PhD Prepared for: Panama City Beach Convention & Visitors Bureau Study Conducted: December, 2015 January, 2017 Presentation of Research & Findings & 2016 Economic Impact: April 10, 2017-0 -
Trends and Data Used to Calculate Economic Impact PCB is an extremely large, diverse destination Year-end economic impact data is typically reported 9-16 months after year-end close of books Fact Tourist Development Tax Revenue Fact STR hotel data Fact VisaVue data from domestic travel expenditures in PCB Survey Young Strategies online surveys with visitors to PCB Survey Young Strategies intercept interviews with visitors to PCB - 1 -
PANAMA CITY BEACH Tourist Development Tax 3-Year Trend - 2 -
PCB Tourist Development Tax Trend $4,500,000 $4,000,000 $4,362,155 2014 2015 2016 $3,500,000 $3,491,951 $3,000,000 $2,500,000 $2,000,000 $1,876,251 $1,671,868 $1,500,000 $1,000,000 $500,000 $475,427 $662,198 $1,193,280 $1,445,763 $1,422,161 $1,312,781 $523,191 $393,263 $- - 3 -
PANAMA CITY BEACH HOTEL/MOTEL STR DATA - 4 -
PCB Lodging Properties Reporting to STR Lodging Analysis Beachbreak By The Sea Upper Midscale Class 100 Beachcomber By The Sea Upscale Class 96 Comfort Suites Panama City Beach Upper Midscale Class 74 Country Inn & Suites Panama City Beach Upper Midscale Class 82 Days Inn Panama City Beach Ocean Front Economy Class 188 Hampton Inn & Suites Panama City Beach Pier Park Area Upper Midscale Class 95 Hampton Inn Panama City Beach Upper Midscale Class 89 Hawthorn Suites by Wyndham Panama City Beach Midscale Class 80 Holiday Inn Resort Panama City Beach Upper Midscale Class 340 La Quinta Inns & Suites Panama City Beach Midscale Class 86 La Quinta Inns & Suites Panama City Beach Commerce Park Midscale Class 90 Legacy By The Sea Upscale Class 139 Sleep Inn & Suites Panama City Beach Midscale Class 90 The Beachside Resort Upscale Class 147 6,146 Hotel/Motel Rooms in PCB STR Total Rooms Reporting (28%) 1,696-5 -
Lodging Analysis 2016 Comparative STR Data USA & PCB USA PCB Source: STR 6-YR Trend PCB 2016 STR-Participating Properties - 6 - OCC 65.5% (+0.1%) ADR $124.00 (+3.1%) REVPAR $81.17 (+3.2%) 66.9% (-0.6%) $143.98 (+3.0%) $96.34 (+2.3%) SUPPLY (change) 1.6% 0.0% DEMAND (change) 1.7% -0.6% REVENUE (change) 4.8% 2.3%
Lodging Analysis Hotel Annual Occupancy 6-YR Trend - PCB vs. National 70.0% PCB National 65.6% 65.5% 65.0% 61.4% 62.3% 64.4% 64.4% 67.3% 66.9% 59.9% 60.0% 60.8% 55.0% 56.5% 57.8% 50.0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: STR 6-YR Trend PCB 2016 STR-Participating Properties - 7 -
Lodging Analysis Hotel Annual Occupancy 3-YR Monthly Occupancy Trend 2014 2015 2016 100% 90% 91.4% 94.8% 80% 70% 70.8% 77.8% 70.4% 74.7% 73.2% 60% 58.0% 60.9% 50% 40% 41.3% 50.0% 41.0% 30% 20% Source: STR 6-YR Trend PCB 2016 STR-Participating Properties - 8 -
Lodging Analysis STR Lodging Room Revenue Trend 2014 2016 12,000,000 $11,299,233 10,000,000 $9,168,093 2014 2015 2016 8,000,000 6,000,000 $5,007,157 $5,295,707 $6,249,777 $5,505,315 $4,724,280 $4,529,836 4,000,000 2,000,000 $1,602,077 $2,255,749 STR Hotels 2016 vs 2015 Overall 2.3% revenue growth $2,329,195 $1,773,144 0-9 -
Young Surveys - 2016 Visitor Profile ONLINE VISITOR SURVEY RESPONDENTS Season 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Winter (Dec Feb) 567 400 195 175 309 Spring (Mar May) 787 564 441 407 475 Summer (Jun - Aug) 477 761 1,236 991 869 Fall (Sep Nov) 225 195 449 449 378 Total Responses 2,056 1,920 2,321 1,917 2,031-10 -
2016 Visitor Profile 2016 Visitor Survey Respondents Map - 11 -
2016 Visitor Profile Average Party Size 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Fall 3.4 Summer 4.1 Spring 3.4 Winter (-13) 2.8 Winter (14+) 2.2 0 1 2 3 4 5-12 -
2016 Visitor Profile Average Length of Stay 2012-2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Fall 6.1 Summer 5.9 Spring 5.4 Winter (-13) 5.7 Winter (14+) 73.3 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80-13 -
2016 Visitor Profile PCB VISITOR SPENDING DATA - 14 -
2016 Visitor Profile Total Spending per Party 2013-2016 $3,000 $2,463 $2,483 $2,491 2013 2014 2015 2016 $2,000 $2,205 $2,227 $2,046 $2,063 $1,880 $1,676 $1,607 $1,454 $1,444 $1,430 $1,349 $1,312 $1,598 $1,000 $0 Summer Spring Winter Fall - 15 -
2016 Visitor Economic Impact PANAMA CITY BEACH 2016 ECONOMIC IMPACT FROM VISITORS - 16 -
2016 Visitor Economic Impact PCB Residential & Lodging/Rental Inventory (June 2016) PCB Residential Property Tax Category Property Tax Inventory TDT Inventory Clerk of Court TDT Inventory SINGLE FAMILY 8,674 627 Single Family Home SINGLE FAMILY/CONDO 302 MOBILE HOME 1,219 MOBILE HOME/CONDO 523 MULTI-FAMILY 10+ UTS 29 CONDOMINIUM 16,843 9,575 Condo/Townhome MULTI-FAMILY 10 LESS 549 1,230 Miscellaneous Total 28,139 11,432 (40.6%) 4,664 Hotel Motel Total Housing Units 28,139 16,096 Lodging/Rent Inv. U.S. Census Data (2015): Households 5,241 Population 12,624-17 -
2016 Visitor Economic Impact 2016 Paid Rental Overnight Visitors 2016 Lodging Tax Revenue 2016 Lodging Revenue Person Days/Nights Average Spending Per Person/ Per Day Total Overnight Renter Spending $18,932,139 $378,642,780 11,133,875 $109.70 $1,221,428,322 2016 Owner Occupied Rental Units Rental Inventory (Rental Units only) Owner Occupied Nights (9% occupancy) Person Days/Nights (avg. party of 5) Average Spending Per Person/ Per Day Total Overnight Rental Owner Spending 11,572 380,140 1,900,700 $66 (+3%) $125,446,200-18 -
2016 Visitor Economic Impact 2016 Vacation Home Usage non-resident owners who do not rent Non-Rental Vacation Inventory (Units) Owner Occupied Nights (38% occupancy) Person Days/Nights (avg. party of 4) Average Spending Per Person/ Per Day Total Vacation Owner Spending 5,217 723,597 2,894,392 $66 (+3%) $191,029,872 2016 Visiting Friends & Relatives (VFR) - Staying With Year-Round Residents Year-round Households in PCB (US Census) Number of Houseguests (10 guests per house) (5.5 avg. length of stay) Houseguests Person Days/Nights (avg. party of 4) Average Spending Per Person/ Per Day Total VFR Spending 5,146 51,460 283, 030 $36 (+3%) $10,755,080 Total 2016 Overnight Visitor Spending in PCB $1,548,659,474. - 19 -
2016 Visitor Economic Impact Day-Tripper Spending $77,432,974 Day-trippers to PCB from outside of Bay County are estimated to account for 5% of the overall overnight visitor spending therefore totals $77,432,974. The majority of this day-trip spending in PCB is realized at large scale retail, unique PCB attractions, unique dining experiences, festivals/events and Northwest Florida Beaches International airport and rental car operations. The growth in large scale retail and dining has increased the number of daytrippers that come into PCB for day-trips. Total 2016 Overnight & Daytrip Visitor Spending in PCB $1,626,092,448. - 20 -
2016 Visitor Economic Impact Economic Indicator Direct Impacts Indirect Impacts Induced Impacts Total Impacts (Direct + Indirect + Induced) Visitor Spending 2015 $1,526,348,664 ($1.52 billion) $451,346,786 ($451.34 million) $453,660,923 ($453.66 million) $2,431,356,374 ($2.43 billion) 2016 $1,626,092,448 ($1.62 Billion) $480,841,381 ($480.84 million) $483,306,742 ($483.30 million) $2,590,240,572 ($2.59 billion) Worker Income & Paychecks 2015 $495,773,102 ($495.77 million) $132,3023,684 ($132.30 million) $138,825,095 ($138.82 million) $766,900,881 ($766.90 million) 2016 $528,170,868 ($528.17 million) $140,949,461 ($140.94 million) $147,897,033 ($147.89 million) $817,017,363 ($817.01 million) Employment/Jobs 2015 22,290 4,160 4,383 30,833 2016 23,747 4,432 4,669 32,848-21 -
2016 Visitor Economic Impact DEFINITION OF DIRECT AND SECONDARY ECONOMIC EFFECTS Economists distinguish direct, indirect and induced economic effects. The total economic impact of tourism is the sum of direct, indirect and induced effects within a region. Indirect and induced effects are sometimes collectively called secondary effects. These impacts or effects may be measured in terms of gross output, sales, income, employment, or value added. Although they are often used somewhat loosely by non-economists, these terms have precise definitions that are important when interpreting economic impact study results. Direct effects are production changes associated with the immediate effects of changes in tourism expenditures. For example, an increase in the number of tourists staying overnight in hotels would directly increase room sales in the hotel sector. The additional hotel sales and associated changes in hotel payments for wages, salaries, taxes, supplies and services are direct effects of the tourist spending. Indirect effects are the production changes resulting from various rounds of re-spending of the tourism industry's receipts in backward-linked industries (e.g. industries supplying products and services to hotels). Changes in sales, jobs and income in the linen supply industry, for example, represent indirect effects of changes in hotel sales. Businesses supplying products and services to the linen supply industry represent another round of indirect effects, eventually linking hotels by varying degrees to most other economic sectors in the region. Induced effects are the changes in economic activity resulting from household spending of income earned directly or indirectly as a result of tourism spending. For example, hotel and linen supply employees, supported directly or indirectly by tourism, spend their income in the local region for housing, food, transportation, and the usual array of household product and service needs. The sales, income, and jobs that result from household spending of added wage, salary, or proprietor s income are induced effects. - 22 -
Contact Information Berkeley Young Young Strategies, Inc byoung@youngstrategies.com (704) 677-4018 (704) 770-3333 www.facebook/berkeleyyoung www.linkedin.com/berkeleyyoung - 23 -
Young Strategies Research Team Experience Destination research and strategic planning Development and management of conference centers Research for 100+ destinations in 26 states Communities, regions and states Travel industry focused National research data and trends analysis Writing and speaking Board workshops & planning sessions Listening to travelers - 24 -