Real Estate Indicators Summary

real estate 103

Real Estate Indicators Summary Housing Starts Date Value Change/Rate (%) Year-to-Date Year-Over-Year C hange October 2017 Geography 9,347 24.2% Calgary CMA Total Value of Building Permits Thousands; Year-Over-Year C hange October 2017 $315,718-74.1% Calgary CMA Major Calgary Projects Billions; Month-Over-Month C hange November 2017 $23.5 0.6% City of Calgary Benchmark Detached Calgary House Price Year-Over-Year C hange November 2017 $504,000 1.02% City of Calgary Downtown Office Vacancy Rate Q3 2017 27.4% City of Calgary Suburban Office Vacancy Rate Q3 2017 21.4% City of Calgary Industrial Real Estate Vacancy Rate Q3 2017 7.6% City of Calgary * Seasonally adjusted, 3 month moving average Sources: City of Calgary Corporate Economics, Statistics Canada, Conference Board of Canada, CMHC, CB Richard Ellis, Calgary Real Estate Board, Alberta Enterprise and Advanced Education, Alberta Major Projects 104

Major Canadian City Comparison Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Saskatoon Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada Housing Starts YTD October 2017 20,927 9,792 9,347 1,556 32,598 7,391 19,214 152,549 Total Value of Building Permits (Billions) YTD October 2017 $7.38 $4.25 $3.90 $0.73 $15.55 $2.95 $7.76 $77.04 Downtown Office Vacancy Rate Q3 2017 5.0% 20.3% 27.4% N/A 4.0% 9.5% 8.7% 11.1% MLS Benchmark Single Detached Housing Prices $1,608,500 $394,000 $482,100 $311,900 $861,400 $403,500 $347,700 $662,900 November 2017 MLS Benchmark Composite Housing Price Growth 15.3% -1.4% -0.4% -1.6% 8.1% 8.3% 5.9% 3.2% October 2016 October 2017 Source: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Canadian Real Estate Association, CBRE Limited, Statistics Canada 105

Total Value of Building Permits ($ Billions) Total Value of Building Permits Across Canada $90 $85.9 30% $75 $60 $45 $30 17.6% 12.5% 3.3% 17.2% 19.0% -5.5% $68.7 6.2% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% Five-Year Growth Rate $18.2 $15 $0 $13.8-32.8% $8.19 $6.65 $5.41 $5.42 $7.40$6.65 $3.79 $3.60 $3.27 $0.87 $2.59 $0.66 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Saskatoon Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada -30% -40% 2016 Total Value 2017 Year-to-Date Total Value Five-Year Growth Rate (2012-2016) Source: Statistics Canada, Census Metropolitan Area, September 2017 106

Total Value of Permits ($ Billions) City of Calgary Annual Building Permit Values $7 Note: Number of permits does not include demolition permits. $6.05 (17,944 permits) 35.3% $6.50 $6.30 (18,350 permits) (15,630 permits) 44% $6 $4.53 (15,514 permits) 32% $5 $4 $3 $2 23.9% $2.27 $4.47 (16,592 permits) $1.88-1.3% $2.61 $3.43 $2.48 7.5% $4.02 $2.62-3.2% $3.67 $4.66 (14,683 permits) $1.85 $3.56 (5,416 permits) $1.90 20% 8% -4% Growth Rate Over Previous Year $1 $2.26 $2.59 $2.81 $1.66-16% $0-26.0% -23.6% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017-28% Residential Non-Residential Growth Rate Over Previous Year Source: City of Calgary, September 2017 107

28% Commercial Real Estate Vacancy Rates 27.4% Across Canada High quality space available to lease 24% 20% 20.3% 18.8% 21.4% 16% 12% 8% 4% 5.0% 11.3% 2.6% 15.5% 15.0% 13.8% 12.2% 11.1% 10.7% 9.5% 8.5% 8.7% 8.1% 8.5% 6.2% 4.8% 3.8% 4.0% 4.3% 2.3% 0% Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Winnipeg Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada Downtown Office Vacancy Rate Suburban Office Vacancy Rate Industrial Availability Rate Source: CBRE Limited, Q3 2017 108

Overall Power SC Enclosed SC Community SC Street Front Neighbourhood SC Big Box Retailer Calgary Retail Vacancy 45,000,000 40,000,000 40,601,219 8.1% 9.0% 8.0% 35,000,000 7.0% 30,000,000 6.0% 25,000,000 20,000,000 3.1% 4.0% 4.2% 5.0% 4.0% 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 10,276,960 8,137,430 8,087,561 0.9% 1.1% 6,025,523 2.5% 4,750,938 3,322,807 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0 0.0% Total Area (SF) Vacancy Rate (%) Source: Barclay Street, Q4 2017, *Shopping Centre (SC) 109

Average Rental Rate (per square foot per year) Commercial Real Estate Net Rental Rates $35.00 $30.00 $30.83 Across Canada $29.85 Lowest downtown office Class A net rental rates compared to other markets $25.00 $24.39 $22.82 $20.72 $22.96 $22.82 $22.42 $20.00 N/A $18.49 $17.04 $16.91 $16.22 $18.18 $15.00 $10.00 $9.99 $9.70 $9.23 $7.02 $6.27 $5.59 $6.93 $5.00 $0.00 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada Downtown Office Average Class A Net Rent Suburban Office Average Class A Net Rent Industrial Average Net Rent Source: CBRE Limited, Q3 2017 110

Square Feet Office Space Absorption Across Canada 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,223,462 1,000,000 800,000 697,269 600,000 400,000 395,926 419,393 366,407 313,716 460,380 200,000 0 69,093 46,348 113,746 101,193 10,527 38,136-200,000-137,841-106,841-400,000-355,518-600,000 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Winnipeg Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada Downtown Office Absorption Suburban Office Absorption Source: CBRE Limited, Q3 2017 111

Square Feet 8,000,000 Industrial Space Absorption Across Canada 7,000,000 6,783,514 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 2,361,423 2,173,722 1,000,000 0 921,101 402,805 1,169,338 99,248-2,413-1,000,000 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Winnipeg Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada Source: CBRE Limited, Q3 2017 112

Square Feet Under Construction Downtown Office Space Under Construction Across Canada 8,000,000 6% 7,000,000 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 0 6,911,711 3.9% 3.9% 3.7% 2.7% 2.7% 3,392,362 2.3% 1.0% 1,001,200 645,784 600,000 430,000 365,000 0.0% 0 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Winnipeg Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Percentage of Inventory Construction Represents Downtown Office Under Construction Percentage of Downtown Inventory Construction Represents Source: CBRE Limited, Q3 2017 113

Square Feet Under Construction Suburban Office Space Under Construction Across Canada 4,000,000 5% 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 3,435,721 4.1% 1,420,073 1.7% 1.6% 1.9% 1.3% 956,800 0.6% 319,391 157,546 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 176,440 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Winnipeg Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Percentage of Inventory Construction Represents Suburban Office Under Construction Percentage of Suburban Inventory Construction Represents Source: CBRE Limited, Q3 2017 114

Square Feet Under Construction Industrial Space Under Construction Across Canada 14,000,000 3.0% 12,000,000 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 0 2.4% 11,706,744 4,577,694 4,186,190 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 469,400 818,241 222,455 96,000 0 0.0% Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Winnipeg Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% Percentage of Inventory Construction Represents Industrial Under Construction Percentage of Industrial Inventory Construction Represents Source: CBRE Limited, Q3 2017 115

$12.00 $10.00 Estimated Residential Property Taxes per $1,000 of Assessment FIGURES IN THIS CHART ARE CALCULATED BY MULTIPLYING THE RESIDENTIAL TAX RATE BY 1000 TO GIVE THE TAXES PAID PER $1,000 OF ASSESSMENT. WHERE MILL RATES ARE APPLICABLE, THE MILL RATE IS MULTIPLIED BY THE MILL RATE FACTOR BEFORE CALCULATING THE RATIO. $9.29 $10.52 $9.89 Lower residential property taxes than other markets in Canada $8.00 $8.00 $6.88 $6.17 $6.00 $4.00 $3.17 $2.00 $0.00 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Saskatoon Toronto Ottawa Montreal Source: REALpac, 2016 116

Number of Housing Starts Year-to-Date Housing Starts Across Canada and their Five-Year Averages 30,000 25,000 24,079 20,000 16,915 16,913 15,000 10,000 8,519 5,238 5,000 4,012 4,216 5,576 5,663 3,684 923 633 2,153 2,301 0 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Saskatoon Toronto Ottawa Montreal Source: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, October 2017 117

$394,000 $332,500 $222,000 $302,500 $257,400 $311,900 $227,900 $189,000 $342,250 $296,700 $243,900 $270,700 $482,100 $403,500 $347,700 $270,800 $430,700 $393,000 $544,400 $464,000 $369,400 $330,500 $461,700 $420,900 Benchmark Resale Price $648,200 $662,900 $600,000 $805,200 $861,400 $744,700 $1,046,900 $1,608,500 Current Benchmark Resale Housing Prices $1,800,000 Across Canada Affordable housing prices $1,600,000 $1,400,000 $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $400,000 $200,000 $0 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Saskatoon Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada Single Detached Townhouse Apartment All Housing Types Source: Canadian Real Estate Association, November 2017 118

Growth Rate Year-Over-Year Growth in Benchmark Resale 30% 72.4% Housing Prices Across Canada Balanced housing market 25% 20.7% 22.6% 20.4% 20.4% 20% 15% 14.2% 11.9% 10% 5% 0% -5% 6.3% 15.3% 3.3% 0.0% -0.6% 0.5% -1.4% -1.9% -0.4% -2.3% 4.6% -1.6% 11.6% 8.3% 10.3% 8.1% 8.3% 5.9% 5.9% 3.2% -0.2% -1.9% -10% -15% -4.6% -6.7% -11.2% Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Saskatoon Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada Single Detached Townhouse Apartment All Housing Types Source: Canadian Real Estate Association, November 2017 119

Average Price / Qualifying Income $250,500 $294,800 $306,200 $437,500 $541,100 $441,900 $381,500 $321,900 $562,400 $458,600 $421,200 $551,200 $1,083,600 $1,484,300 Housing Affordability Across Canada $1,600,000 $1,400,000 Average Price - Single-Family Detached Average Price - Standard Condominium Single-Family Detached Affordability Measure Standard Condominium Affordability Measure 140% 120% $1,200,000 100% $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 80% 60% Affordability Measure $400,000 40% $200,000 20% $0 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada 0% Source: RBC Economics, Q2 2017 120

Average Rental Rate Average Two-Bedroom Apartment Rent & $1,800 $1,600 $1,400 $1,552 Vacancy Rates Across Canada 9.6% $1,404 12.0% 10.0% Affordable and higher vacancy rates than other CMAs $1,200 $1,000 $800 $1,215 7.0% $1,247 6.3% $1,082 $1,232 $782 $1,021 8.0% 6.0% Vacancy Rate $600 4.0% 2.8% 2.7% $400 1.7% 2.0% $200 0.9% 1.0% $0 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Saskatoon Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada CMAs 0.0% Average Two-Bedroom Apartment Rental Rate Overall Apartment Vacancy Rate Source: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Fall 2017 (Updated Annually) 121

Average Rental Rate $2,500 $2,000 Average Two-Bedroom Condo Rent & Vacancy Rates Across Canada $2,301 $2,301 6.9% $1,874 8.0% 7.0% 6.0% More affordable and higher vacancy rates than most other CMAs $1,500 $1,000 $1,346 $1,512 3.8% $1,566 2.9% $1,180 $1,421 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% Vacancy Rate $500 1.8% 1.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% $0 Vancouver Edmonton Calgary Saskatoon Toronto Ottawa Montreal Canada CMAs 0.0% Average Two-Bedroom Condominium Rental Rate Overall Condominium Vacancy Rate Source: Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Fall 2017 (Updated Annually) 122

Calgary Major Projects November 2017 Developer Project Description Project Cost $ Millions Timing Status City of Calgary Green Line LRT $4,650.0 2020-2026 Proposed WAM Development Group / AIMCo StoneGate Landing $3,000.0 2010-2021 Under Construction Calgary Sport and Entertainment Corp. CalgaryNEXT Multisport Fieldhouse Stadium $1,800.0 Commencing 2021 Proposed City of Calgary Crowchild Trail Project $1,550.0 Commencing 2017 Under Construction Government of Alberta / Alberta Cancer Foundation Calgary Cancer Centre $1,400.0 2017-2023 Under Construction Brookfield Properties Ltd. Brookfield Place Calgary Office Tower $1,000.0 2013-2018 Under Construction Maple Projects Inc. Highland Park Redevelopment $1,000.0 Proposed Oxford Properties Oxford Airport Business Park $500.0 2011-2019 Under Construction Shepard Development Corp. Shepard Suburban Office Campus $500.0 2014-2019 Under Construction ATCO Pipelines Calgary Urban Pipeline Replacement Project $450.0 Completion by 2018 Proposed Source: Alberta Major Projects, Government of Alberta 123

Alberta Major Projects November 2017 Sector Number of Projects Total Value of Projects $ Millions Agriculture and Related 11 $767.8 Biofuels 5 $2,192.8 Chemical 3 $6,925.0 Commercial 41 $3,257.0 Forestry and Related 1 $85.0 Industrial 10 $1,392.6 Infrastructure 168 $18,878.5 Institutional 163 $7,373.3 Metals 3 $475.0 Mixed-Use 21 $8,026.2 Oil and Gas 10 $14,874.5 Oil Sands 19 $69,475.0 Pipelines 11 $39,369.0 Power 12 $8,175.0 Residential 62 $3,898.7 Retail 10 $543.0 Telecommunications 7 $1,258.1 Tourism / Recreation 106 $6,584.0 Total 663 $193,550.5 Source: Alberta Major Projects, Government of Alberta 124

Why Calgary Built-in Incentives, Favourable High Enviable Competitive Real Estate Quality Lifestyle Tax Rates Market Talent 125

Keep in Touch (403) 221-7831 (888) 222-5855 info@calgaryeconomicdevelopment.com calgaryeconomicdevelopment.com 731 1 st St. SE Calgary, AB T2G 2G9 Facebook.com/calgaryeconomic Twitter.com/calgaryeconomic Youtube.com/calgaryeconomic LinkedIn.com/calgaryeconomic 126