SAS AB:s Press Conference. Augusti 14 th 2008

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Transcription:

SAS AB:s Press Conference Augusti 14 th 2008 1

Weak second quarter due to unprecedented challenging market conditions Combination of record high fuel prices and economic slowdown probably largest industry challenge ever SAS Group EBT bef. non rec Apr-Jun 2008: MSEK 262 (806) Not possible to fully offset Jet fuel prices in short term Profit 2008 intensified Targeting SEK 1.5 bn result improvement (2008) Total capacity adjustments 18 aircraft 1 500 FTE s reduction Spanair launched 90 MEUR program with effect 2009 Total group capacity reduction 33 aircraft and 2500 FTE Stable financial situation 2

Profit 2008 program launched Q1 Intensified Short term measures on top of Strategy 2011 to get us back on course Intensified August 2008 Secure performance in 2008 3

Continued focus on S11 strategy including long term cost program P08 Program to protect 2008 result Launched April 2008 - Implementation on track - Intensified August 2008 Cultural Turnaround Focus and concentration Harmonization and development of customer offer Competitiveness Cost Gap of 3-4 billion to be addressed as from 2009 Profitable growth 4

Customer offer: Punctuality and regularity best in many years Scandinavian airlines was Europe s most punctual airline on arrivals in 2 nd quarter Scandinavian Airlines Punctuality 90,0% 85,0% 80,0% 75,0% 70,0% Punctuality 2007 Punctuality 2008 5

Gunilla Berg CFO

2 nd Quarter 2008 positive before non recurring Result development MSEK 2 nd Quarter 2008 First half year 2008 Revenues 17703 32532 EBT bef nonrecurring items (cont. operations) 262-1053 Ebt-margin 1.5% -3.2% Ebt -106-1421 EBT-margin (12 months rolling) -0,9% EBT margin target 7% 7

Scandinavian Airlines affected by yield pressure and record oil prices Scandinavian Airlines SAS Norge SAS Danmark SAS Sverige SAS International Q2 2008 Change Q2 2008 Change Q2 2008 Change Q2 2008 Change EBIT before nonrec. (MSEK) 205-246 4-268 76-167 29 +9 EBIT-margins, 12 months rolling SAS Norge SAS Danmark SAS Sverige SAS International 2.9% 0.3% 2.5% 1.3% 8

Mixed development for other group companies 2 nd Quarter Business Area Subsidiary EBIT EBIT Margin, 12 months rolling Change vs. last year SAS Individually Branded Airlines Widerøe 7 Blue1 45 2.2% 5.1% Spanair -197-5.1% SAS Aviation Services STS 22-3.0% SGS -10-3.1% SAS Cargo 38 3.0% 9

Fuel increased hedge level - Expected to be approx SEK 14 bn in 2008 at current market levels More challenging but strategy intact Hedging 40-60% of expected consumption (12 months rolling) Yield management Cost initiatives Current hedges 60% of the consumption hedged for 2008 Of which appr. 11 p.u. with swaps Of which appr. 45 p.u. with options Remaining with 3-ways 47% of consumption hedged until June 2009 Fuel prices at all time high 1600 Jet CIF Cargoes NWE Spanair 1400 1200 1000 Add 2.5-3.0 billion to fuel cost USD / Ton 800 600 400 200 0 03-01-02 03-04-02 03-07-02 03-10-02 04-01-02 04-04-02 04-07-02 04-10-02 05-01-02 05-04-02 05-07-02 05-10-02 06-01-02 06-04-02 06-07-02 06-10-02 07-01-02 07-04-02 07-07-02 07-10-02 08-01-02 08-04-02 08-07-02 10

Profit 2008 & Spanair measures April July August Total Profit 2008 Spanair measures Profit 2008 intensified SAS Group SEK 1.1bn SEK 90 MEUR (2009) SEK 0.4 bn SEK 1.5 bn result effect 11 aircraft 15 aircraft 7 aircraft 2008 1 000 FTE corresponding to 500 FTE Spanair 90 MEUR (2009) 25 % of capacity 33 aircraft 1 000 FTE 2 500 FTE 11

Underlying unit cost down by 2.3%. Unit cost development up by 5.1%. Fuel has a negative impact by 4.6 % and Q400 by 2.8% in 2nd quarter Structural cost program of SEK 2,8 bn by 2009 41% 59% Implemented Remaining Cost GAP after this program 2010 onwards 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Procurement Central adm. Flight operational Sales/adm. Ground/Technical Remaining Implemented 12

Stable financial position Solid liquidity of MSEK 8 204 Available credit facilities of MSEK 5 767 350% 300% Interest bearing liabilities reduced by SEK 1.7 bn 250% Net Debt : 0 MUSD 729 in aircraft CAPEX in 2008-2010 CRJ/ Q400- financing secured (several options) B 737 2009 deliveries to be placed on operating leases 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% dec-98 mar-03 jun-04 sep-05 dec-07 mar-08 Fin. Net Debt + 7*Op lease / Equity 13

Sum up 1 st Half Market Profit 2008 Strategy 2011 Probably largest industry challenge ever Rapid increase of fuel prices to new records Economic slowdown 33 aircraft will be taken out (Incl Spanair) Capacity reduced by 10 % 1.5 SEK billion result effect plus Spanair effect Redundancy 2500 FTE`S (Incl Spanair) 2,8 SEK billion cost program More cost reduction needed 2009 Cultural turnaround Customer focus product and quality improvements 14