STATUS QUO ANALYSIS GORENJSKA REGION SLOVENIA Date: 05.12.2013 Bojan Rosi (Faculty of logistics / University of Maribor) Jurij Mežnaršič, Stanislav Bobnar (Aerodrom Ljubljana, d. d.) Igor Žula (3 Projekt d.o.o.)
Ljubljana Airport
Ljubljana Airport through time 1963 - Operating since December 24, 1963 (January 9, 1964) 1978 - intercontinental traffic (1st interconti: Ljubljana - New York in December) 1987 - peak number of 886,248 passengers 1991 Slovenia independance - primary national airport 1992 - only 248,851 passengers, Adria Airways biggest bussines partner 1997 - privatization was finished Aerodrom Ljubljana, d.d. 2004 - the first low-cost carrier easyjet, first served million passengers 2008 the taxiway and apron extension, the passenger terminal extension, the first building of the ambitious Airport city project. New airlines, including UPS cargo services, important regional passenger and cargo hub.
SQA Gorenjska Region DELIMINATION OF THE AIRPORT IMPACT ZONE
Impact zones of Ljubljana Airport by cartesian distance
Impact zones of Ljubljana Airport by time access (20, 60, 120 min)
SQA Gorenjska Region ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
Protected areas in the direct and indirect impact zones of Ljubljana Airport
Use of the territory and limitations on the areas with acoustic pollution issues of Ljubljana Airport
Ground usage at Airport Ljubljana
Population density in the municipalities in an area of 40 km from the airport
SQA Gorenjska Region LJUBLJANA AIRPORT ARCHITECTURE
Ljubljana Airport today and tomorrow Today, the existing passenger and freight terminals do not allow a substantial traffic volume increase or an expansion of facilities on existing sites. Both terminals are already impeded by bottlenecks and thus represent a limiting factor in terms of passengers and cargo traffic. The planned and completed investments in and around the airport cover three types of developments: 1. Infrastructure developments carried out by the State, financed partly by EU funds. The projects were focused mainly on railway, road or motorway network development. 2. Some of the investments are financed by the airport operator. The projects are part of development following the Masterplan that includes the short-and mid-term developments of the airport operator. 3. The thirds type of investments is carried out by private developers and are focused on logistic parks, industrial areas and retail or business centers.
General plan of airport zone development The new terminal: o 33.783 m2 gross area o 31.175 m² net usable spaces on four floors connected with the first phase of the terminal built in 2007. o 8.553 m² - commercial purposes New capacity - 1.800 passengers per hour. C-level services in line with the IATA standard
General plan of airport zone development
The new cargo terminal 9.945 m2 of warehouse area 3.500 m2 of office area and supporting facilities Access from north through the eastern roundabout on the main road G2-104 Kranj - Brnik. On the plateau in front - 174 parking spaces for cars for employees and visitors Plateau for trucks manipulation and access to the 22 doors with lifting platforms new 54.000 m2 apron for cargo aircraft supply estimated storage capacity is 40.000 tonnes / year
Aeropolis - Masterplan Aeropolis a premium location for doing business, especially for: hotel and catering services, logistics and distribution, high-tech companies, banks and insurance companies, offices and agencies, congresses and fairs, regional branches of airline companies, small businesses and start-ups, retail and entertainment, leisure, fitness and recreation (golf ), other street-level services (drugstore, hairdresser, etc.).
No Carried out investments Location of Type of Value of the expenditure for Carried out and planned investments the inside realisation of the the investment borders of the airport and in its impact In thousands area of EUR Value of cofinancing from EU funds 1 New passanger terminal T2 A B 52.600 0 2 New cargo termial with A B 22.500 0 platform for the aircraft supply 3 Parking garage with hotel A B 14.000 0 4 Parking spaces B B 2.500 0 5 Land purchase B B 2.500 0 6 Business-shopping centre B B 61.309 0 (LT1/10, 11, 14) 7 Business park (LT1/13) B B 9.902 0 8 Logistics centre (LT1/21, 24, B B 27.969 0 LT6 A, B 9 Logistics centre (LT1/19, 20 B B 13.128 0 10 Aircraft maintenance (LT6 C, D, I, J - Hangars A B 33.715 0 - Aprons and A C 6.809 0 coupling 11 Commercial park L4 B B 27.700 0 12 Business-shopping zone L8 B B 85.343 0 13 Change of main road B C 7.000 0 14 Train connection Ljubljana- C A 489.000 0 Jesenice 15 Train connection loop B A 94.000 0 airport 16 Utility and energy B C 28.200 23.970 infrastructure including land 17 Energy sufficiency B B 5.400 0
Updated BP In April 2013, an updated Business Plan for the period 2013-2017 of Aerodrom Ljubljana was adopted. In this Business Plan, the traffic forecast presumes the following growth: Increase in number of passengers to 1.5 million, Increase in number of aircraft movement at 33.000, Increase of volume of transported cargo to 18.800 tons.
% Past trends 140% 120% 100% 80% Trends 60% 40% 20% 0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Aircraft movements 100% 95% 89% 82% 73% Passengers 100% 86% 83% 82% 72% Cargo (in tonnes) 100% 83% 101% 114% 99%
Traffic forecast 2013-2030 Plan Projection 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025 2030 Average 13-30 Passengers 1.224.931 1.332.547 1.377.726 1.452.286 1.534.917 1.573.291 1.612.623 1.652.938 1.906.925 2.189.268 103,5 179% Aircraft movements 34.697 35.164 35.195 35.485 36.366 36.743 37.661 38.604 44.533 51.127 102,3 147% Cargo (in tonnes) 16.404 16.732 17.067 17.568 18.826 19.108 19.395 19.686 21.207 22.846 102,0 139%
SQA Gorenjska Region AIRPORT ACCESSIBILITY
Major transport nodes and Pan European transport corridors in Slovenia
Planned road and railway connections in the area around the Ljubljana Airport According to Masterplan Ljubljana Airport with rail connection to Ljubljana and Kranj (new rail connection Ljubljana Jesenice). It follows the Eusecurity directives. Direkcija RS za vodenje investicij v javno železniško infrastrukturo, december 2010.
Direct scheduled flights from Ljubljana Airport 23 Direct destinations
Road network in an area of 40 km from the Ljubljana Airport
SQA Gorenjska Region AIRPORT POTENTIAL CATCHMENT AREA SOCIO- ECONOMIC PROFILE
Catchment area 40 km from the Ljubljana Airport The number of population in the direct impact zone (inside the 10 kilometers radius) is around 40.000 people. The population of the indirect impact zone (inside of the 40 kilometers circle) is more than a million.
Population Number of inhabitants in Slovenia, 2004-2013 2.080.000 2.060.000 2.040.000 2.020.000 2.000.000 1.980.000 1.960.000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 600.000 Number of inhabitants in Gorenjska & Central Slovenia, 2004-2013 500.000 400.000 300.000 200.000 100.000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Osrednjeslovenska (Central Slovenia) Gorenjska 795.000 695.000 595.000 495.000 395.000 295.000 195.000 Number of inhabitants in Gorenjska & Central Slovenia, 2004-2013 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Population employed 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 SLOVENIA Total 813.529 833.003 864.351 880.205 844.655 818.975 817.311 792.948 Male 454.704 468.256 489.779 498.978 475.402 456.823 452.062 435.493 Female 358.825 364.746 374.572 381.227 369.253 362.152 365.249 357.455 Osrednjeslovenska (Central Slovenia) Gorenjska Total 212.897 217.408 225.218 231.056 227.045 220.475 220.250 215.218 Male 114.897 118.311 123.692 127.222 124.012 119.140 117.907 114.421 Female 98.001 99.097 101.526 103.834 103.033 101.335 102.343 100.797 Total 81.424 83.040 85.560 86.528 83.922 81.641 81.627 80.037 Male 45.118 46.146 47.668 48.289 46.616 45.035 44.673 43.627 Female 36.307 36.894 37.892 38.239 37.306 36.606 36.954 36.410 Osrednjeslovenska (Central + Slovenia)Gorenjska City municipality Kranj Total 294.321 300.448 310.778 317.584 310.967 302.116 301.877 295.255 Male 160.015 164.457 171.360 175.511 170.628 164.175 162.580 158.048 Female 134.308 135.991 139.418 142.073 140.339 137.941 139.297 137.207 Total 21.875 22.489 23.369 23.713 23.250 22.648 22.567 21.980 Male 12.009 12.448 13.002 13.297 12.971 12.545 12.322 11.919 Female 9.865 10.041 10.368 10.416 10.279 10.103 10.245 10.061 Municipality Cerklje na Gorenjskem Municipality Šenčur Osrednjeslovenska (Central + Slovenia)Gorenjska Total 2.727 2.782 2.876 2.977 2.995 2.909 2.948 2.924 Male 1.548 1.607 1.653 1.715 1.733 1.645 1.617 1.596 Female 1.179 1.175 1.223 1.262 1.262 1.264 1.331 1.328 Total 3.258 3.303 3.392 3.615 3.626 3.517 3.471 3.472 Male 1.779 1.812 1.866 2.009 2.063 1.952 1.897 1.914 Female 1.480 1.491 1.526 1.606 1.563 1.565 1.574 1.558 Total 36% 36% 36% 36% 37% 37% 37% 37% Male 35% 35% 35% 35% 36% 36% 36% 36% Female 37% 37% 37% 37% 38% 38% 38% 38%
Bussiness activity EUROPE STATE OF ART REPORT (KTI Institute for Transport Sciences Nonprofit Ltd.) The global accessibility can be a basic decision element on business location decisions. For example the good connections of the Vienna Airport have enabled Vienna to provide the location for the East European headquarters of several global companies and this is the case in Prague and Budapest as well. While the strong high tech industries as a hinterland can also contribute to the economic development of the airport and the airport regions like in the cases of the Nice, Copenhagen or even of the Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport. This air intensive business sectors can be the following: Insurance, Banking and finance Printing and publishing Coke, petroleum and nuclear fuel Extraction Transport Communication Research and development Basic materials Computer activities Precision and optical instruments Other business services This are activities which needs more air traffic services to develop their business by contacting clients, suppliers and business partners.
Research organisations in Slovenia Production of electrical devices Branch Production of Comuters and electronic and optical devices Dr. Patricia Kotnik; The analyses of the sectors and R&D activities for the purpose of smart specialisation identification, (TIA, 2013)
Revenue trends in Air intensive business sectors 6.000.000 Revenue thrends (in 1000 EUR) 5.000.000 4.000.000 3.000.000 2.000.000 1.000.000-2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 C21 Mfr.of basic pharmaceutical prod.,prep. C26 Mfr.of computer,electronic,optical prod. C27 Mfr.of electrical equipment D ELECTRIC ENERGY, GAS AND STEAM SUPPLY H52 Warehousing and storage H53 Postal act.under universal ser.obligat. 3 Projekt d.o.o. J IINFORMATION Zaupno! AND COMMUNIC. ACT. M PROFFESIONAL, SCIENCE AND TECHNICAL ACT. N OTHER BUSSINES ACT,
Bussiness activity EUROPE STATE OF ART REPORT (KTI Institute for Transport Sciences Nonprofit Ltd.) Air intensive business sectors can be the following: Insurance, Banking and finance Printing and publishing Coal, petroleum and nuclear fuel Extraction Transport Communication Research and development Basic materials Computer activities Precision and optical instruments Other business services
No. of Nights in acc. Tourism European Union Countries - Total Domestic Foreign 2008 2.298.802.224 1.335.020.711 58,07% 963.781.513 41,93% Hotels; holiday and other shortstay accommodation; camping 2009 2.251.854.199 1.338.408.868 59,44% 913.445.331 40,56% 2010 2.358.939.384 1.385.340.066 58,73% 973.599.318 41,27% (27 countries) grounds, recreational vehicle 2011 parks and trailer parks 2.436.802.882 1.394.819.442 57,24% 1.041.983.440 42,76% 2012 DNA DNA DNA 2008 373.666.688 211.869.254 56,70% 161.797.434 43,30% 12.000.000 Hotels; holiday and other shortstay accommodation; camping 2009 370.762.377 211.268.511 56,98% 159.493.866 43,02% Italy 2010 375.542.550 210.340.052 56,01% 165.202.498 43,99% grounds, recreational vehicle 2011 parks and trailer parks 386.894.732 210.420.670 54,39% 176.474.062 45,61% 2012 381.412.228 200.947.161 52,69% 180.465.067 47,31% 10.000.000 2008 DNA DNA Hotels; holiday and other shortstay accommodation; camping 2009 DNA DNA Friuli-Venezia 2010 8.665.896 4.814.489 55,56% 3.851.407 44,44% Giulia grounds, recreational vehicle 2011 parks and trailer parks 8.949.565 4.711.419 52,64% 4.238.146 47,36% 2012 8.802.721 4.539.559 51,57% 4.263.162 48,43% 8.000.000 2008 104.709.683 29.978.727 28,63% 74.730.956 71,37% Hotels; holiday and other shortstay accommodation; camping 2009 102.833.458 30.608.853 29,77% 72.224.605 70,23% Austria 2010 103.942.335 31.356.359 30,17% 72.585.976 69,83% grounds, recreational vehicle 2011 parks and trailer parks 105.339.662 31.692.337 30,09% 73.647.325 69,91% 6.000.000 2012 109.540.720 32.382.289 29,56% 77.158.431 70,44% 2008 10.998.768 4.061.380 36,93% 6.937.388 63,07% Hotels; holiday and other shortstay accommodation; camping 2009 10.816.952 4.153.533 38,40% 6.663.419 61,60% Kärnten 2010 10.438.031 4.104.182 39,32% 6.333.849 60,68% grounds, recreational vehicle 2011 10.678.729 4.255.554 39,85% 6.423.175 60,15% 4.000.000 parks and trailer parks 2012 10.888.704 4.277.493 39,28% 6.611.211 60,72% 2008 8.870.148 3.784.840 42,67% 5.085.308 57,33% Hotels; holiday and other shortstay accommodation; camping 2009 8.556.122 3.899.297 45,57% 4.656.825 54,43% Slovenia 2010 8.424.741 3.744.285 44,44% 4.680.456 55,56% grounds, recreational vehicle 2.000.000 2011 parks and trailer parks 8.860.328 3.753.876 42,37% 5.106.452 57,63% 2012 9.406.009 3.703.703 39,38% 5.702.306 60,62% 2008 3.855.823 2.183.253 56,62% 1.672.570 43,38% Hotels; holiday and other shortstay accommodation; camping 2009 3.801.693 2.210.887 58,16% 1.590.806 41,84% Vzhodna 2010 3.765.892 2.188.856 58,12% 1.577.036 41,88% Slovenija grounds, 0 recreational vehicle 2011 parks and trailer 2008 parks 2009 3.917.611 2010 2.214.806 56,53% 2011 1.702.805 2012 43,47% Slovenia 8.870.148 2012 8.556.122 4.074.219 8.424.741 2.156.034 52,92% 8.860.328 1.918.185 9.406.009 47,08% West Slovenija 5.014.325 2008 4.754.429 5.014.325 4.658.849 1.601.587 31,94% 4.942.717 3.412.738 5.331.790 68,06% Hotels; holiday and other shortstay accommodation; camping Kärnten 10.998.768 2009 10.816.952 4.754.429 10.438.031 1.688.410 35,51% 10.678.729 3.066.019 10.888.704 64,49% West Friuli-Venezia Slovenija Giulia 2010 4.658.849 8.665.896 1.555.429 33,39% 8.949.565 3.103.420 8.802.721 66,61% grounds, recreational vehicle 2011 parks and trailer parks 4.942.717 1.539.070 31,14% 3.403.647 68,86% 2012 5.331.790 1.547.669 29,03% 3.784.121 70,97%
Bussiness activity
SQA Gorenjska Region LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORT ANALYSIS
Road network
SQA Gorenjska Region SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
Ljubljana Airport and distance of other airports Graz
Conclusions From geographical, topological and socio-economical point of view, it is to be mentioned: Additional market can be air passengers from Airports in distance up to 150 km. These airports are Graz, Klagenfurt, Maribor, Trieste and Zagreb. Potential additional flight passengers can be estimated on 4 mio. Indirect impact zone up to 40 km from the airport is represented by Gorenjska region and Central Slovenia region, which represents almost 37% population of Slovenia. Ljubljana is the capital of Slovenia and located 20 minutes from the Airport. Important cities like Maribor, Klagenfurt, Zagreb or Trieste can be reached within 1 2 hours. Airport owns the land around and has no development limitation for further activities related to the Airport City. Airport is close to the junction of 5 th and 10 th PanEuropean corridor. Two TEN-T Core Network Corridors are crossing Slovenian territory: The Baltic- Adriatic Corridor and Mediterranean Corridory.
Conclusions Tourist sites in indirect impact zone: o Ski runs : most of ski runs in Slovenia (Kranjska gora, Krvavec, Vogel, Cerkno, Soriška planina,.. Significant number of ski places in Carinthia/Austria o Hiking and moutineering: o o o Julian Alps Kamnik-Savinja Alps Karavanke Other touris attractions: Postojna and Škocjan cave Logarska valley Lipica Bled & Bohinj Soča Valley Tourist and congress citys ETC Ljubljana, Koper, Portorož, Piran, Brdo, Bled
Conclusions Bussiness activities: o o Research organisation density is biggest in Gorenjska and Cenrtal Slovenia region. Biggest density is in the branches production of electrical devices and production of computers, electronical and optical devices. Both branches are air intensive business sectors. Altough Slovenian GDP still has a negative thrend, some air intensive business sectors still grow. o o o o o o o o Coal, petroleum and nuclear fuel Extraction Transport Communication Research and development Computer activities Precision and optical instruments Other business services
Naslov osi Traffic forecast Plan Projection 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025 2030 Average 13-30 Passengers 1.224.931 1.332.547 1.377.726 1.452.286 1.534.917 1.573.291 1.612.623 1.652.938 1.906.925 2.189.268 103,5 179% Aircraft movements 34.697 35.164 35.195 35.485 36.366 36.743 37.661 38.604 44.533 51.127 102,3 147% Cargo (in tonnes) 16.404 16.732 17.067 17.568 18.826 19.108 19.395 19.686 21.207 22.846 102,0 139% Registered unemployed persons in Osrednjeslovenska (Central Slovenia) and Gorenjska, 2005-2012 40.000 35.000 30.000 25.000 20.000 15.000 10.000 5.000 0 dec 2005 dec 2006 dec 2007 dec 2008 dec 2009 dec 2010 dec 2011 dec 2012 Total 23.973 20.128 17.328 16.734 25.560 31.922 32.457 35.533 Male 0 0 0 0 0 17.832 18.091 19.691 Female 0 0 0 0 0 14.090 14.366 15.842
CONCLUSION Geographical, topological and socioeconomical factors show, that Ljubljana Airport has a great potential and no significant development obstacles.
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