Draw Your Future Merced 2015 Districting Presentation by Douglas Johnson
Current Timeline 2 1. Commission Organization March/April 2. First Round hearings May 5, 19 & 30 3. Time for public to draw plans May / June 4. Second Round hearings July 7, 22 & Aug. 1 5. Consider plans and make recommendation Aug. 4, 18 & Sept. 1 6. Agenda deadline for Council s September 21 st meeting mid-september 7. Present plan to Council September 21 8. Deadline for Council to select and approve plan Jan. 1, 2016 9. First three districts hold election Nov. 2016 10. Last three districts hold election Nov. 2018
Legal and Traditional Criteria 3 Federal Laws Traditional Criteria Equal Population Federal Voting Rights Act Settlement Language Communities of interest Compact Contiguous Visible (Natural & man-made) boundaries Continuity in office (avoid pairing) Planned future growth 3 seats north of Santa Fe railroad, 3 seats south of railroad
Summary of Plans 4 Excellent level public participation, with 20 plans submitted by the public 3 additional plans from NDC The NDC plans show options that may not have been covered by the public plans, and to show options that combined different elements of different plans 12 plans (9 from the public and 3 from NDC) have balanced populations use the Santa Fe Railroad as the north-south border. Population balanced and 3 North / 3 South districts: Belluomini 1 & 2 Benner 1 Ensminger 6 Ewing 1 Flores 1 Lentz 1 Palma 1 Trounstine 1 NDC A, B and C Not Population balanced: Anonymous 1 * Donovan 1 Ensminger 1*, 2*, 3* (Except D2), 4*, 5 Foster 1* * = these plans also do not use the RR as a border. Population balanced, but not 3 North / 3 South: Ensminger 7 DNA 1a and 1b These two groups of maps still provide ideas about communities of interest, even if they cannot be adopted as drawn.
5 Map Options by Region Focusing on population balanced plans that use the Santa Fe Railroad as the north/south border.
Map Choices: Northern Districts 6 Railroad to Bear Creek area: 1. south of the north seat: Benner, Ewing & NDC A 2. Linked to northeast area: Ensminger 6 (part), Lentz (part), Palma, Trounstine (part), NDC B, NDC C 3. Linked to north-central area: Flores 1
Map Choices: Northern Districts 7 Far northern district: 1. Northwestern vertical: Ensminger 6, Benner, NDC B, Flores 2. Northeastern vertical: Ewing 3. Northern only: Lentz, Palma, Trounstine, NDC A, NDC C
Map Choices: Northern Districts 8 Third district: 1. In the west: Belluomini, Palma, Lentz, Ewing, Trounstine, NDC C 2. In the middle: Ensminger 6, NDC B 3. In the Northeast: Benner 4. In the east: NDC A, Flores
Map Choices: Southern Districts 9 Southeastern district: 1. West to MLK: Lentz, Palma, NDC A 2. West to G St and down to Childs: Benner, Ensminger 6, Trounstine, NDC B 3. Stays below Yosemite / Hwy 99: NDC C, Flores
Map Choices: Southern Districts 10 Western area: 1. Fully western district: Benner, Lentz, Palma, Trounstine, NDC A, NDC B 2. Southwestern district: Ensminger 6, Flores
Map Choices: Southern Districts 11 Third district: 1. Central corridor from south to Santa Fe Railroad: Benner, Trounstine 2. South-central district: Lentz, Palma, NDC A, NDC B 3. South-central to northwest: Ensminger 6 4. North of Hwy 99: NDC C, Flores
12 Plan Group 1a Plans that are not population balanced
Anonymous 1 13 Population Deviation: 33.6% (D3 and D5 are out of balance, the others are good.) Uses Santa Fe RR border: No
Donovan 1 14 Population Deviation: 44.13% Uses Santa Fe RR border: Yes
Ensminger 1 15 Population Deviation: 88.39% Uses Santa Fe RR border: No
Ensminger 2 16 Population Deviation: 52.34% Uses Santa Fe RR border: No
Ensminger 3 17 Population Deviation: 68.97% Uses Santa Fe RR border: No
Ensminger 4 18 Population Deviation: 103.05% Uses Santa Fe RR border: No
Ensminger 5 19 Population Deviation: 51.65% Uses Santa Fe RR border: No
Foster 1 20 Population Deviation: 100.69% Uses Santa Fe RR border: No
21 Plan Group 1b Plans that are population balanced but do not have 3 districts north of, and 3 districts south of, the Santa Fe Railroad
DNA 1a 22 Downtown Neighborhood Association ( DNA ) Submission Population Deviation: 4.08 % Uses Santa Fe RR border: No
DNA 1b 23 Downtown Neighborhood Association ( DNA ) modified by NDC to unite non-contiguous areas. Population Deviation: 2.16 % Uses Santa Fe RR border: No
Ensminger 7 24 Population Deviation: 5.69 % Uses Santa Fe RR border: No
25 Plan Group 2 Plans that are population balanced and have 3 districts north of Santa Fe railroad and 3 south of it.
Belluomini 2 26 Population Deviation: 3.90% Uses Santa Fe RR border: Yes Population-balancing changes from Belluomini 1: Area just north of University Dr moved from D6 to D5. Area between G St and Cherokee Ave, north of Brookdale Dr and south of Black Rascal Creek, moved from D5 to D4.
Benner 1 27 Population Deviation: 5.83% Uses Santa Fe RR border: Yes
Ensminger 6 28 Population Deviation: 2.69 % Uses Santa Fe RR border: Yes
Ewing 1 29 Population Deviation: 12.30% Uses Santa Fe RR border: Yes (drew only the northern 3 districts)
Flores 1 30 Population Deviation: 1.82% Uses Santa Fe RR border: Yes
Lentz 1 31 Population Deviation: 5.33% Uses Santa Fe RR border: Yes
Palma 1 32 Population Deviation: 5.82% Uses Santa Fe RR border: Yes
Trounstine 1 33 Population Deviation: 3.27 % Uses Santa Fe RR border: Yes
NDC A 34 Population Deviation: 2.55% Uses Santa Fe RR border: Yes
NDC B 35 Population Deviation: 2.27% Uses Santa Fe RR border: Yes
NDC C 36 Population Deviation: 1.63% Uses Santa Fe RR border: Yes
Most-Latino Districts 37 Plan Most-Latino CVAP District 2 nd -Most Latino CVAP District 3 rd southern district Belluomini 2 59% 47% 35% Benner 51% 46% 42% Ensminger 6 55% 42% 42% Ewing Did not include southern districts in plan Flores 53% 46% 40% Lentz 61% 42% 38% Palma 60% 42% 38% Trounstine 53% 44% 42% NDC A 57% 46% 38% NDC B 61% 42% 38% NDC C 59% 47% 36% Caution: Race/Ethnicity and the Latino percentages of CVAP can be one factor in the choice of a plan, but a plan is an illegal racial gerrymander if it is the predominant factor.
Pairings 38 Plan Pairings # 1 Pairings # 2 Belluomini 2 Benner Ensminger 6 Ewing Flores Lentz Palma Trounstine NDC A NDC B NDC C 3 in D6 (Lor, Pedrozo & Dossetti) 4 in D1 (Murphy, Lor, Pedrozo & Dossetti) 4 in D1 (Murphy, Lor, Pedrozo & Dossetti) 4 in D2 (Murphy, Lor, Pedrozo & Dossetti) 4 in D1 (Murphy, Lor, Pedrozo & Dossetti) 4 in D2 (Lor, Pedrozo, Dossetti & Belluomini) 4 in D4 (Lor, Pedrozo, Dossetti & Belluomini) 4 in D2 (Lor, Pedrozo, Dossetti & Belluomini) 4 in D1 (Murphy, Lor, Pedrozo & Dossetti) 4 in D1 (Murphy, Lor, Pedrozo & Dossetti) 4 in D2 (Lor, Pedrozo, Dossetti & Belluomini) The impact on Councilmembers is a criterion, but some pairing is inevitable. 2 in D5 (Murphy, Blake) 2 in D6 (Murphy, Blake) 2 in D6 (Murphy, Blake) 2 in D3 (Blake, Belluomini) 2 in D1 (Murphy, Blake)