Poverty and Housing UC Center Sacramento October 24, 218 Walter Schwarm Director, California State Data Center California Department of Finance
Official Poverty Rate for California and the United States: 198 to 217 2 18 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 198 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 199 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 /1 214 215 216 217 California United States
217 California Poverty by Metropolitan/Micropolitan Statistical Area Eureka-Arcata- Fortuna, CA Redding, CA Ukiah, CA Clearlake, CA Santa Rosa, CA Chico, CA Yuba City, CA Napa, CA Vallejo- Fairfield, CA San Francisco- Oakland- Hayward, CA Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA Sacramento-- Roseville-- Arden-Arcade, CA Stockton- Lodi, CA Modesto, CA San Jose- Sunnyvale- Santa Clara, CA Truckee-Grass Valley, CA Merced, CA Madera, CA Fresno, CA Salinas, CA Visalia-Porterville, CA Hanford- Corcoran, CA San Luis Obispo- Paso Robles- Arroyo Grande, CA Bakersfield, CA Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA Ratio of Income to Official Poverty Level Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA Los Angeles- Long Beach- Anaheim, CA Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA 5.6% to 9.9% (6) 1.% to 13.5% (8) 13.6% to 15.8% (5) 15.9% to 18.3% (3) 18.4% to 24.6% (8) Counties San Diego-Carlsbad, CA El Centro, CA Source: 217 American Community Survey (1-year estimates), Table S171
217 California Poverty by Metropolitan/Micropolitan Statistical Area Eureka-Arcata- Fortuna, CA Redding, CA Note: The ratios of income to official poverty level were adjusted using geographic factors derived from the 217 American Community Survey, Table B2531, to account for variation in housing costs by MSA. Baseline for the geographic factors was the median gross rent for a 2- bedroom unit in the United States. Chico, CA Ukiah, CA Clearlake, CA Santa Rosa, CA Yuba City, CA Napa, CA Vallejo- Fairfield, CA San Francisco- Oakland- Hayward, CA Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA Sacramento-- Roseville-- Arden-Arcade, CA Stockton- Lodi, CA Modesto, CA San Jose- Sunnyvale- Santa Clara, CA Truckee-Grass Valley, CA Merced, CA Madera, CA Fresno, CA Salinas, CA Visalia-Porterville, CA Hanford- Corcoran, CA San Luis Obispo- Paso Robles- Arroyo Grande, CA Bakersfield, CA Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA Ratio of Income to Adjusted Poverty Level Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA Los Angeles- Long Beach- Anaheim, CA Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA 9.7% to 9.9% (1) 1.% to 13.5% (1) 13.6% to 15.8% (5) 15.9% to 18.3% (11) 18.4% to 24.4% (12) Counties San Diego-Carlsbad, CA El Centro, CA Source: 217 American Community Survey (1-year estimates), Table S171
217 California Poverty by Metropolitan/Micropolitan Statistical Area Eureka-Arcata- Fortuna, CA Redding, CA Note: The ratios of income to official poverty level were adjusted using geographic factors derived from the 217 American Community Survey, Table B2531, to account for variation in housing costs by MSA. Baseline for the geographic factors was the median gross rent for a 2- bedroom unit in California. Chico, CA Ukiah, CA Clearlake, CA Santa Rosa, CA Yuba City, CA Napa, CA Vallejo- Fairfield, CA San Francisco- Oakland- Hayward, CA Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA Sacramento-- Roseville-- Arden-Arcade, CA Stockton- Lodi, CA Modesto, CA San Jose- Sunnyvale- Santa Clara, CA Truckee-Grass Valley, CA Merced, CA Madera, CA Fresno, CA Salinas, CA Visalia-Porterville, CA Hanford- Corcoran, CA San Luis Obispo- Paso Robles- Arroyo Grande, CA Bakersfield, CA Ratio of Income to Adjusted Poverty Level 6.5% to 9.9% (5) Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA Los Angeles- Long Beach- Anaheim, CA Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA 1.% to 13.5% (18) 13.6% to 15.8% (6) 15.9% to 16.3% (1) Counties San Diego-Carlsbad, CA El Centro, CA Source: 217 American Community Survey (1-year estimates), Table S171
217 - Percentage of Persons in California Below Federal Poverty in the Past 12 Month by Age Group age85+ age8to84 age75to79 age7to74 age65to69 age6to64 age55to59 age5to54 age45to49 age4to44 age35to39 age3to34 age25to29 age2to24 age15to19 age1to14 age5to9 ageto4 16.6% 17.7% 17.6% 18.4% 18.9% 9.9% 8.6% 8.2% 7.6% 8.5% 1.1% 9.4% 9.4% 8.8% 9.% 9.3% 9.1% 9.9% 13.4% 14.4% 11.9% 1.7% 1.2% 11.3% 1.2% 1.4% 11.5% 12.4% 14.1% 13.7% 14.8% 22.1% 18.3% 17.6% 18.8% 18.% 25% 2% 15% 1% 5% % 5% 1% 15% 2% 25% Male Female Source: 217 American Community Survey, Custom tabulation - Public Use Microdata Sample
Percentage of Persons Below 1% FPL Chico, CA Metro Area age85+ age8to84 age75to79 age7to74 age65to69 age6to64 age55to59 age5to54 age45to49 age4to44 age35to39 age3to34 age25to29 age2to24 age15to19 age1to14 age5to9 ageto4 5.9% 7.9% 1.8% 12.4% 9.% 9.5% 18.9% 12.9% 4.1% 13.6% 28.2% 8.9% 2.7% 26.8% 23.9% 16.7% 25.4% 21.2% 1.1% 16.4% 5.4% 8.4% 4.2% 22.3% 17.4% 7.% 16.1% 11.8% 13.9% 25.4% 23.1% 31.3% 27.9% 25.5% 18.% 4.5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% % 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% Male Female Source: 217 American Community Survey, PUMS Custom Tabulation
Housing and Poverty In 217: 13,5,97 Households 7,125,9 Owners 13.7% pay over 5% of income on housing 5,88,7 Renters 28.9% pay over 5% of income on housing One out of Five Households in CA pay more than 5% of income on housing 1.5 Million Households in Poverty Of the poor 76% are renters and 73% pay more 5% of income on housing
Net Housing Unit Growth 198-218 27, 245, 22, 195, 17, 145, 12, 95, 7, 45, 2, -5, 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 21 23 25 27 29 211 213 215 217 Single-Family Multiple Unit Mobile Homes
2, Mobile Home Yearly Change 15, 1, 5, 198 199 2 21-5,
Proportion CA Pop and HU by Tenure 14,, 12,, 1,, 8,, 6,, 4,, 2,, 198 199 2 21 217 HU own HU rent Pop own Pop rent 4,, 35,, 3,, 25,, 2,, 15,, 1,, 5,, HH Size by Tenure 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1.5 198 199 2 21 217 PPH own PPH rent
Percentage of Income in Gross Rent US 1% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% % 199 2 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Less than 3% 3%-5% More than 5% Percentage of Income in Gross Rent CA 1% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% % 199 2 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Less than 3% 3%-5% More than 5%
CA vs. U.S. Differences in 3%+ and 5%+ Rent to Income 7.% 6.% 5.% 4.% 3.% 2.% 1.%.% 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 3%+ 5%+
CA Renter Income Distribution- Inflation adj Constant Quartiles 6,, 5,, 4,, 3,, 2,, 1,, 2 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Bottom Low-mid High-mid Top CA Rent Distribution- Inflation adj Constant Quartiles 6,, 5,, 4,, 3,, 2,, 1,, 2 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Bottom Low-mid High-mid Top
1,4, 1,2, 1,, 8, 6, 4, 2, Bay Area Renter Income Distribution- Inflation adj Constant Quartiles 2 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Bottom Low-mid High-mid Top Bay Area Rent Distribution- Inflation adj Constant Quartiles 1,4, 1,2, 1,, 8, 6, 4, 2, 2 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Bottom Low-mid High-mid Top
LA Renter Income Distribution- Inflation adj Constant Quartiles 3,, 2,5, 2,, 1,5, 1,, 5, 2 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Bottom Low-mid High-mid Top LA Rent Distribution- Inflation adj Constant Quartiles 3,, 2,5, 2,, 1,5, 1,, 5, 2 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Bottom Low-mid High-mid Top
Sacramento Renter Income Distribution- Inflation adj Constant Quartiles 35, 3, 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, 2 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Bottom Low-mid High-mid Top Sacramento Rent Distribution- Inflation adj Constant Quartiles 35, 3, 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, 2 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Bottom Low-mid High-mid Top
Central Valley Renter Income Distribution- Inflation adj Constant Quartiles 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, 2 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Bottom Low-mid High-mid Top Central Valley Rent Distribution- Inflation adj Constant Quartiles 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, 2 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Bottom Low-mid High-mid Top
Valley as Part of Total California Yearly Housing Unit Growth 25, 2, 17 % 15, 1, 1.5% 5, 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 Rest CA Central Valley
Percent of Workers in County Commuting to Bay Area 25% 2,5 person Increase 2% 15% 1% 5,2 Person Increase 5% % 212 213 214 215 216 217 San Joaquin Stanislaus
Bay Area Commuters > 1% by County of Origin 3.% 25.% 2.% 15.% 1.% 5.%.% Approximately 5% (28,) of Bay Area workers (4,26,) commute from outside the 9 county ABAG region. All those above 1% are shown above. San Joaquin is the largest, representing 3% of all commuters (62,).
Thank You! Questions & Comments: Walter Schwarm Demographic Research Unit California Department of Finance Walter.Schwarm@dof.ca.gov