Exploratory Study on Features for a PIREP Submittal Tool: Preliminary Results

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FAA Technical Point of Contact (POC) Ian Johnson Gary Pokodner PEGASAS Project 4 Phase 4 General Aviation Weather Technology in the Cockpit (WTIC) PEGASAS Project 4 Lead POC Barrett Caldwell Purdue University West Lafayette, IN 47906 Exploratory Study on Features for a PIREP Submittal Tool: Preliminary Results Purdue University Team Members: Mary E. Johnson, Ph.D., Yue Gu and Yilin Feng Presenter: Brandon Pitts, Ph.D. October 17, 2018 Contact: mejohnson@purdue.edu 765-494-1064

PIREPs PIREPs are one way that pilots may help other pilots know more about the weather conditions along their flight path. 2

How are PIREPs used? Making a PIREP is the most direct way that you can help another pilot. NASA Valuable only if made available to others in the National Airspace System (NAS) Air traffic controllers, dispatchers, and other pilots use PIREPs to plan short- or long-term actions Flight Service (FSS) uses PIREPs in their briefings, in-flight advisories and WX avoidance procedures Weather forecasters use them to enhance their forecasts, better understand developing weather phenomena, and develop improved weather models https://www.ntsb.gov/safety/safety-alerts/documents/sa_064.pdf; https://ntsb.gov/safety/safety-studies/documents/sir1702.pdf 3

What are some of the Issues for PIREPs? Overall, GA pilots do not submit a number of PIREPs that is proportionate to their amount of flying Not all PIREPs are disseminated Submitting a PIREP in-flight for GA pilots may mean switching the radio to FSS or talking to a controller for extended periods of time GA pilots may be busy flying when the WX event occurs and may have to report several minutes later and rely on best estimates of altitude and location.

The overall goal of this study is to explore methods to help pilots more easily submit accurate, timely, and needed PIREPs. The research team: Summarized 15 gaps that influence PIREP submission o Purpose and Structure of an Exploratory PIREP Study Focused on GA Pilots Lack of awareness of importance; unfamiliar with submission procedure; lack of dissemination of past reports; increased workload; reporting and data entry errors; no feedback from ATCs Identified 6 potential features for electronic PIREP submission Developed animated mockups of the features of potential inflight app or tool for an exploratory study

Purpose: Determine which of 6 features on a PIREP submission tool pilots believe will make them more likely to submit PIREPs 1. PIREP Waypoint 2. Auto-detect 3. Type-in 4. One-touch icons 5. Do it later 6. Speech-to-text Purpose and Structure of an Exploratory PIREP Study Focused on GA Pilots Structure: Ask qualified volunteers to view realistic, animated mock-ups of PIREP submission tool features shown on a tablet device and to provide feedback

Demographics of Participants ATP, 18, 18% Sport pilot, 1, 1% 103 certificated pilots over 18 years of age at EAA AirVenture 2018 volunteered to provide feedback during this study. Commercial pilot, 26, 25% Private pilot, 55, 53% Student pilot, 3, 3% Statistical analysis shows that responses to the 6 features did not vary significantly by pilot certification type

After each of these features was shown, the pilot was asked to answer: Do you believe that this feature will make you more likely to submit PIREPs? Answer using a Likert-type scale from 1 to 7 on a paper form. 1 Strongly disagree 2 Disagree 3 Somewhat disagree 4 Neither agree or disagree 5 Somewhat agree 6 Agree 7 Strongly agree H 0 : The true mean of the Likert-type scale scores =4 H a : The true mean of the Likert-type scale scores >4 A significance value of 0.05 was selected to evaluate the hypotheses for this exploratory study. At the end, each pilot was asked to answer an open-ended question: What features would make it more likely for you to submit PIREPs?

The preliminary results for these six features are: Table 2. The results of the one-sample t tests on the six potential features Null hypothesis: H₀: True mean = 4 Alternative hypothesis: H a : True mean > 4 Significant when 0.05 Feature n Mean *PIREP Waypoint 103 5.709 *Auto-Detect 103 5.961 Type-In. 103 4.233 *One-Touch Icons 103 5.951 *Speech to Text 103 5.447 *Do it Later 101 4.861 Note. * Significant in one-sample t test Standard Deviation p-value 1.202 < 0.001 1.328 < 0.001 1.705 0.168 1.132 < 0.001 1.551 < 0.001 1.913 < 0.001

A Sampling of Pilot Feedback Organized into Categories Category PIREP Waypoint Themes PIREP Waypoint would increase workload. It would be good if waypoints can be set up automatically when receiving a request from ATC or FSS. It would let pilots know that where PIREPs are wanted. It would not make me more likely to submit more PIREPs because I only report the weather that does not match the forecast. Auto-Detect Auto Detect is good. Auto Detect may interrupt or annoy pilots during flight. Auto Detect should be able to be turned off. One-Touch Icons One-Touch Icons provide too many choices and too crowded. Using universal symbols to represent weather conditions. One-Touch Icons is easy to use and don t have to talk over radio.

Summary Highlights of the study findings: Overall, pilots indicated that 5 of the 6 features would make them more likely to submit PIREPs The data collected in the open-ended question is summarized into themes; the raw data itself is also valuable. Additional study data was collected and analyzed There is more work to do to develop electronic PIREP submission tools. Submission and dissemination of PIREPs is vital to aviation safety.

References FAA (2017). Aeronautical Information Manual. Sections 7-1-20 7-1-29. https://www.faa.gov/air_traffic/publications/media/aim.pdf NASA (2016). A Pilot s Guide to Inflight Icing. Module 1 Before You Fly. https://aircrafticing.grc.nasa.gov/1_1_5_11.html NTSB (June 2017). Pilot Weather Reports (PIREPs): Pay it Forward. NTSB Safety Alert. https://www.ntsb.gov/safety/safetyalerts/documents/sa_064.pdf NTSB (2017). Special Investigation Report SIR-17/02, Improving Pilot Weather Report Submission and Dissemination to Benefit Safety in the National Airspace System. https://ntsb.gov/safety/safetystudies/documents/sir1702.pdf 12