Leaving the Competition Behind. Second Quarter (Apr-Jun) 2009 Results

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Transcription:

Leaving the Competition Behind Second Quarter (Apr-Jun) 2009 Results 12 Aug 2009

1 Disclaimer Information contained in our presentation is intended solely for your reference. Such information is subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed and it may not contain all material information concerning the Company. Neither we nor our advisors make any representation regarding, and assumes no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of, or any errors or omissions in, any information contained herein. In addition, the information may contain projections and forward-looking statements that reflect the company s current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views are based on current assumptions which are subject to various risks factors and which may change over time. No assurance can be given that future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the company s assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from those projected. This presentation can be distributed without any consent of the Company as this is a publicly available announcement.

2 Key Highlights for Second Quarter Disciplined growth Group fleet size of 75 operational aircraft (end of June) capacity growth of 22% and passenger growth of 24% year on year Second quarter results exceeds expectations core operating profit 128 million, 328% growth core operating profit margin 19.5% Lowest cost airline in the world at 2.25 US cents / ASK Bucking the trend increase frequency and launched new routes Defer eight Airbus A320 aircraft for 2010 deliveries Early return of Boeing 737-300 aircraft from the fleet Resolution with MAHB on airport charges lower airport cost imminent Abolished administrative fee in June

AirAsia Outperforming the Industry Significantly Net Income in First Half 2009 (RM million) 342m AirAsia profits not uplifted by mark to market gains on hedge instruments. Profits are derived from:- lowest cost lowest fare efficiency and great service is key Source: Bloomberg, Company data 3

Our Route Network Getting Bigger and Bigger Period # Routes Served 2002 6 2003 11 2004 26 2005 52 2006 65 2007 75 2008 104 NOW 117 Latest Route KL Colombo Penang Hong Kong Upcoming Route Bangkok Taipei Kota Kinabalu Taipei 43 unique routes 4

Deferring Aircraft Due to Infrastructure Constraints Deferred eight Airbus order for 2010 very likely to defer an additional eight in 2011 new delivery schedule is more conducive for current environment There has been no progress on the new Low Cost Terminal MAHB have not provided any blue prints on the terminal MAHB have yet to provide a commercial service agreement no ground breaking yet, originally scheduled to be in June 2009 Lower Capex requirements and gearing ratio Capex Requirements for AirAsia Group (RM million) Original Schedule New Schedule 3.5 3.3 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.2 2009 2010F 2011F 5

Result Commentary - Second Quarter 2009

Q2 2009: Revenue Growth Components Year-Over-Year % Change Revenue growth driven by volume price is not the primary growth component Robust volume growth driven by new routes frequency addition 24% Load active, yield passive lower fares to gain more market share deflationary environment new routes requires time to stabilise Ancillary to offset fare reduction new products and services to push more revenues 8% 3% Revenue Volume Price Ancillary -19% 7

Capacity Rollout Matches Demand ASK (million) 22% 5,520 4,514 Q1-2008 Q1-2009 Load Factor 75.2% -0.4 ppt 74.8% Capacity growth of 22% YoY new routes introduced increase frequency Load factor remains stable the only airline that is able to grow capacity and maintain stable load factor Q1-2008 Q1-2009 Passenger Carried 2,835,671 24% 3,519,486 Passenger growth of 24% low fare strategy has succeeded in driving strong growth more people switching to AirAsia Q1-2008 Q1-2009 8

800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 No Impact from Competitor s Sales Campaign Domestic Malaysia Passengers Carried ( 000) AirAsia continues to dominate the Malaysian domestic sector 9

Driving Growth From Ancillary Income 120 RM million 14.5% 0.2 100 % Revenue 12.8% 0.1 0.1 0.1 80 10.3% 8.2% 91.2 95.1 0.1 0.1 60 7.6% 8.1% 69.7 73.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 40 40.9 50.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 20 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2008 2009 0.0 Ancillary to support high profit margins and stable profits able to produce stable profits as it is NOT seasonally sensitive 10

Core Operating Profit Quarter Ended: 30 June RM'000 Apr-Jun 2009 Apr-Jun 2008 (%) Profit before taxation 138,162 (46,901) -395% Adjustments: Unwinding of derivatives (gain) / loss 6,238 0 n/a Forex (gain) / loss (11,678) 76,885-115% Disposal of assets (gain) / loss (4,296) 0 n/a Core Operating Profit 128,426 29,984 328% Took advantage of the low price and unwound fuel hedges Forex gain due to the strengthening of Malaysia Ringgit against USD Disposal of asset gains relates to engine sale disposing surplus spare engines as part of Boeing 737-300 phase out process 11

Result Commentary - First Half 2009

First Half 2009: Revenue Growth Components Year-Over-Year % Change Revenue growth primarily volume driven 20% Passenger volume growth driven by new routes frequency addition 22% Lower fare to drive high traffic growth load active, yield passive Ancillary to offset fare reduction new products and services to push more revenues 6% Revenue Volume Price Ancillary -8% 13

Summary of First Half Result First Half Ended: 30 June Jan-Jun 2009 Jan-Jun 2008 (%) Revenue (RM 000) EBITDAR (RM 000) Core Operating Profit (RM 000) 1,371,622 586,171 288,151 1,143,673 278,345 53,992 20% 111% 434% EBITDAR Margin Core Operating Profit Margin 42.7% 21.0% 24.3% 4.7% 18.4 ppt 16.3 ppt Revenue / ASK (sen) Cost / ASK (sen) Load factor 12.79 8.30 72.3% 12.88 11.05 73.7% -1% -25% -1.4 ppt Strong core operating profit performance RM288 million, five times more than same period last year industry leading margins of 21.0% Stable yields lower fares compensated by higher ancillary income Lower cost underpinning high profitability Stable load factors despite significant capacity addition and new routes 14

Associate Updates

AirAsia Thai Updates Quarter Ended: 31 March THB' 000 Apr-Jun 2009 Apr-Jun 2008 (%) Revenue 2,025,312 2,062,413 (2%) EBITDAR 352,618 (125,675) n/a Profit after Tax (80,575) (446,376) 82% Profit after Tax (RM'000) (8,187) (44,266) 82% EBITDAR Margin 17.4% -6.1% n/a Profit after Tax Margin -4.0% -21.6% n/a Contained losses to minimal level losses after tax of THB81 million (RM8.1 million) carried 10% more passengers YoY despite very difficult environment average fare are 15% lower YoY with 69% load factor Thailand now has nine new Airbus A320 aircraft competitors are scaling back capacity and cancelling flights 16

AirAsia Indonesia Updates Quarter Ended: 31 March IDR million Apr-Jun 2009 Apr-Jun 2008 (%) Revenue 452,286 332,797 36% EBITDAR 59,379 (35,554) n/a Profit after Tax (64,634) (71,976) 10% Profit after Tax (RM'000) (21,763) (24,958) 13% EBITDAR Margin 13.1% -10.7% n/a Profit after Tax Margin -14.3% -21.6% n/a Strong revenue growth driven by Airbus A320 revenue growth of 36% driven by 47% passenger growth average fare down by 11%, significant capacity addition of 56% necessitates aggressive promotions and low fare EBITDAR of IDR59 billion with 13% margins June performance is profitable, Bali-Perth route is underpinning sustained profitability and strong third quarter performance 17

AirAsia X Updates First Half Ended: 30 June RM million Jan-Jun Jun 2009 Revenue EBITDAR Core Operating Profit 278 67.9 4.7 EBITDAR Margin Core Operating Profit Margin 24.5% 1.7% Profitable with strong cash flow carried 364k passengers with 69% load factor EBITDAR of RM68 million with 25% margins launched new service to Taipei in the period operating with five aircraft (3 Airbus A330 and 2 Airbus A340) 18

Balance Sheet

Enhancing Balance Sheet Liquidity Net Gearing (Net Debt/ Equity) Cash Cover (EBIT / Interest Paid) Fuel Hedge Unwinding 3.1 3.8 3.7 3.5 2.6 2.7 2.5 1.6 1.9 1.5 1.5 0.0 Q1-2008 Q2-2008 Q3-2008 Q4-2008 Q1-2009 Q2-2009 Q1-2008 Q2-2008 Q3-2008 Q4-2008 Q1-2009 Q2-2009 Gearing coming down cash from operations enhancing cash balances Debt servicing capabilities at comfortable levels cash cover is at comfortable levels (>2 times) 20

Objective of Capital Raising and Timeline Address investor s concern over our high gearing ratio it was the single largest concern of the investment community remove share overhang Improve balance sheet liquidity build up our war chest to fend off market adversities to enable us to capture opportunities quickly as and when they arise The capital raised may be used for the following:- Up to 20% of issued capital - repay part of Company s borrowings - working capital requirements 21

Balance Sheet Outlook with RM500 million Equity Injection Net Gearing (Net Debt/ Equity) Cash Cover (EBIT / Interest Paid) 2.6 2.4 strong profits defer 15 aircraft to 2014 equity raising 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.0 1.9 2.0 2009F 2010F 2011F 2012F 2013F 2009F 2010F 2011F 2012F 2013F Cash position in excess of RM1 billion by end of 2009 RM500 capital raising RM224 existing cash in bank Cash from operations Debt repayment by associates Assumptions:- 1. Load factor of 75% 2. Fuel price of US$70/bbl in 2009, US$80/bbl thereafter 3. 5% lower yield in 2009, constant thereafter 4. Weighted average interest rate of 5.00% 22

Capital Raising History of LCC US$ million Equity raising exercise 1. 328 (May 97) 2. 139 (Sep 01) 3. 142 (Aug 02) 1. 279 (Nov 00) 2. 214 (Feb 01) 1. 158 (Apr 02) 2. 111 (Oct 03) 3. 135 (Jul 05) 4. 98 (Mar 09) 1. 564 (Jun 04) 2. 156 (Apr 05) 3. 49 (Apr 05) 4. 90 (Mar 09) 1. 200 (Nov 04) Total 609 493 502 859 200 Years since IPO 12 9 7 5 5 Source: Bloomberg, Company data Only the second time AirAsia raising equity 23

Outlook

Demand Remains Robust % Total seats sold as of 11 August 67% 65% 2009 2008 34% 31% 24% 26% 21% 18% Aug Sep Oct Nov AirAsia Berhad 2009 2008 % Seats sold in first quarter 3,147,609 2,611,556 21% Seats sold in second quarter 3,519,486 2,835,671 24% Seats sold year to date 9,005,828 7,390,498 22% 25

Summary Full year 2009 Guidance passenger growth upwards of 20% lower yields lower operating cost Emphasis on commercial branding competitors are slowing, we are continuing to develop our brand recognition as a high quality airline with unmatched value for money Streamlining a young and modern fleet removal of Boeing 737-300 aircraft from the fleet by 2010 AirAsia will have the youngest fleet in the region Most comprehensive route network in Asia new routes are enjoying strong support competitors are slowing, we are continuing to expand the network 26

Appendix

Fleet Composition (30 June 2009) Number of Operational Aircraft Malaysia Thailand Indonesia Group Total Aircraft Type # Airbus A320 # Boeing 737-300 June 2009 44 17 14 75 60 15 Note: 3 Boeing 737-300 is awaiting to be sold off and is excluded from the fleet calculation 28

Financial Data Second Quarter Quarter Ended: 30 June RM'000 unless otherwise stated Apr-Jun 2009 Apr-Jun 2008 (%) Ticket Sales 562,323 558,020 1% Ancillary Income 95,121 50,332 89% Revenue 657,445 608,352 8% EBITDAR 271,331 149,152 82% Core Operating Profit 128,426 29,984 328% Profit/(Loss) after Tax 139,176 9,417 1378% EBITDAR Margin 41.3% 24.5% 16.8 ppt Core Operating Profit Margin 19.5% 4.9% 14.6 ppt Profit after Tax Margin 21.2% 1.5% 19.6 ppt 29

Operating Data Second Quarter Quarter Ended: 30 June Apr-Jun 2009 Apr-Jun 2008 (%) Passengers Carried 3,519,486 2,835,671 24% ASK (million) 5,520 4,514 22% RPK (million) 4,056 3,286 23% Seat Load Factor 74.8% 75.2% -0.4 ppt Average Fare (RM) 159.8 197.7-19% Ancillary Income per pax (RM) 27.0 17.7 52% Unit Revenue (RM) 186.8 215.4-13% Rev / ASK (sen) 11.91 13.48-12% Rev / ASK (US cents) 3.35 4.19-20% Cost / ASK (sen) 7.97 11.49-31% Cost / ASK (US cents) 2.25 3.57-37% Cost / ASK-ex fuel (sen) 4.31 4.38-2% Cost / ASK-ex fuel (US cents) 1.21 1.14 6% Aircraft (end of period) 47 44 7% 30

Operating Data Second Quarter Quarter Ended: 30 June Apr-Jun 2009 Apr-Jun 2008 (%) Fuel consumed ( barrels) 943,703 768,665 23% Unit fuel price ($/barrel) 60.3 142.5-58% Average stage length (km) 1,185 1,200-1% Number of flights 26,082 21,208 23% Aircraft Utilisation (block hours / day) Flights / aircraft.day 11.8 6.7 11.8 6.4 n/a 5% 31

Cost / ASK year on year Comparison Cost Breakdown (US cents / ASK) Apr-Jun 2009 Apr-Jun 2008 (%) Reason Staff 0.30 0.38 (21%) Productivity gains Fuel and Oil 1.03 2.43 (58%) Lower jet fuel price User & Station Charges 0.14 0.00 n/a Airport credit and rebates granted Maintenance and Overhaul 0.17 0.13 31% Redelivery of Boeing 737-300 cost Cost of Aircraft (0.24) (0.13) 85% Sub-lease income from associates Depreciation & Amortisation 0.52 0.54 (4%) Higher aircraft utilisation rate Sales and Marketing 0.12 0.14 (14%) Economies of scale Others 0.21 0.09 133% Overheads and additional business Cost / ASK 2.25 3.58 (37%) Cost / ASK excluding fuel 1.22 1.15 6% Finance Cost 0.44 0.40 10% More aircraft being financed Cost / ASK inc. finance cost 2.69 3.98 (32%) 32

Cost Component Breakdown (Malaysia) Operating Expenses (RM 000) Q1 2009 Q2 2009 % Revenue Q1 Q2 Revenue 714,178 657,445 Staff Cost Fuel and Oil User & Station Charges Maintenance & Overhaul Sales and Marketing Others (63,465) (196,011) (49,747) (32,072) (20,589) (37,453) (59,413) (202,177) (28,326) (33,563) (24,128) (38,507) (8.9%) (27.4%) (7.0%) (4.5%) (2.9%) (5.2%) (9.0%) (30.8%) (4.3%) (5.1%) (3.7%) (5.9%) EBITDAR - Cost of aircraft 314,840 47,465 271,331 47,728 44.1% 6.6% 41.3% 7.3% EBITDA - Depreciation & Amortisation 362,305 (98,163) 319,059 (101,827) 50.7% (13.7%) 48.5% (15.5%) EBIT 264,142 217,232 37.0% 33.0% Net finance cost (98,092) (88,296) (13.7%) (13.4%) Net non-recurring items (87) (510) n/a n/a Core Operating Profit 165,963 128,426 23.2% 19.5% 33

Financial Data First Half First Half Ended: 30 June RM'000 unless otherwise stated 1H 2009 1H 2008 (%) Ticket Sales 1,185,253 1,052,402 13% Ancillary Income 186,369 91,271 104% Revenue 1,371,622 1,143,673 20% EBITDAR 586,171 278,345 111% Core Operating Profit 288,151 53,992 434% Profit/(Loss) after Tax 342,326 170,693 101% EBITDAR Margin 42.7% 24.3% 18.4 ppt Core Operating Profit Margin 21.0% 4.7% 16.3 ppt Profit after Tax Margin 25.0% 14.9% 10.0 ppt 34

Operating Data First Half First Half Ended: 30 June Jan-Jun Jun 2009 Jan-Jun Jun 2008 (%) Passengers Carried 6,667,095 5,447,227 22% ASK (million) 10,727 8,878 21% RPK (million) 7,543 6,256 21% Seat Load Factor 72.3% 73.7% -1.4 ppt Average Fare (RM) 177.8 193.2-8% Ancillary Income per pax (RM) 28.0 16.8 67% Unit Revenue (RM) 205.7 210.0-2% Rev / ASK (sen) 12.79 12.88-1% Rev / ASK (US cents) 3.56 4.01-11% Cost / ASK (sen) 8.30 11.05-25% Cost / ASK (US cents) 2.31 3.44-33% Cost / ASK-ex fuel (sen) 4.59 4.03 14% Cost / ASK-ex fuel (US cents) 1.28 1.25 2% Aircraft (average) 41.9 36.3 15% 35

Operating Data First Half First Half Ended: 30 June Jan-Jun Jun 2009 Jan-Jun Jun 2008 (%) Fuel consumed ( barrels) 1,821,951 1,537,330 19% Unit fuel price ($/barrel) 60.9 126.1-52% Average stage length (km) 1,174 1,203-2% No. of flights 51,166 41,893 22% Aircraft utilisation (block hours/day) 12.0 11.8 2% 36

Yasmin Ahmad 1958-2009 We All Miss You A great storyteller. A true Malaysian. Thank You, Yasmin.