The role of Serbia in the security of supply in Europe

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1 The role of Serbia in the security of supply in Europe

What is the goal of security of supply? 1. Obtaining sufficient natural gas quantities to cover end-customer demand even under extreme conditions. 2. Ensuring availability of capacity and network supply in order to meet customer requirements. 2

EU Regulation on Security of Gas Supply Regulation EU no. 994/2010 of November 2010 came into force on December 2, 2010 for all member states. - Member states are obligated to establish a competent authority responsible to implement provisions under the Regulation - Preparing a preventative action and emergency plans without jeopardizing other EU member states or the EU as a whole - The supply standard ensuring there is enough capacity to cover gas demand in the event of the largest piece of gas infrastructure going offline, occurring with a statistical probability of once in 20 years (the n-1 standard) - Enabling permanent physical bi-directional capacity on interconnectors, excluding connections to production facilities, LNG terminals or distribution networks - Ensuring gas to protected customers - The competent authority to provide that the market players fulfill their obligations regarding security of supply without making any constraints to the competition or market operation, and that the security measures affecting more than one state are fully and efficiently implemented - Access to the interconnections as referred to in Regulation 715/2009 - The EU Commission is authorized to revoke emergency measures imposed by the member states; Defined role of the Co-ordination Group for Gas - Communication during an gas supply emergency... 3

Energy Community and Serbia Role of the Energy Community of South East Europe The main role of the EC is to ensure security of supply through a stable regulatory and market framework, obtain diversification through investments connecting new supply sources from the Caspian region, North Africa and Middle East, together with further development of the indigenous ones. Establishing a single borderless market in the region of South East Europe with the integral mechanism for cross-border transport and solidarity in the event of gas supply emergency. Regulatory rules and their implementation in the Republic of Serbia Provisions of the security of supply have been transposed into Serbian Energy Law, with some of the aspects being set out under the Law and others under relevant secondary legislation in line with the Directive 994/2010. At this point Serbia is not able to fulfill all the obligations imposed by the Regulation 994/2010, since that 80 % of the supplies is provided through a single supply route with more potential supply sources, but almost 90% of the supplies from that route came from one supply source. Over the last few years, however, that situation has been gradually changing. The Underground Gas Storage Facility contributes to security level increase, but it can not fully replace the supply route from Hungary with respect to the standard once in 20 years 4

How is Serbia solving problems with fulfilling obligations imposed by the Regulation 994/2010? - Through meeting the requirements arising from the Energy Community Treaty - Directly through the implementation of the relevant provisions of the Energy Law entered into force in August 2011 - By updating incident classification and management procedures - Through development and full integration of the respective regulations into the legal system of the Republic of Serbia - Developing secondary legislation to the Energy Law - By making arragements with the cooperating neighbouring countries in order to unify the procedures regarding security of supply - Through necessary investment into the infrastructure, foremost in international gas pipeline projects, storage capacities and interconnectiona.kroz neophodno investiranje u infrastrukturu. U prvom redu u međunarodne gasovode, skladišne kapacitete i interkonekcije - Through its membership in the ENTSO G 5

6 Operating pressures in the system of JP Srbijagas in January 2009 (it happended once, should not happen again)

7 Gas Pipeline South Stream

Gas Pipeline South Stream Ga Pipeline Transmission Capacity Transmission through Serbia Тannual Transmission Capacity (in bcm) Gas Quantities for Domestic Market Transmission to Hungary Transit to Bosnia and Herzegovina Transit to Republic of Srpska Transit to Croatia 63.0 40.5 3.9 32.5 0.7 0.5 2.7

Republic of Serbia Existing and Planned Interconnections Hungary Horgoš - Kiskundorozsma Rumania Mokrin-Arad Croatia Bačka Palanka Ilok Bosnia and Herzegovina Loznica-Zvornik Маčvanski Prnjavor-Bijeljina Bulgaria Niš-Sofia (Dupnica) Macedonia Leskovac-Kumanovo

STRATEGIC PROJECTS OF JP SRBIJAGAS UP TO 2015 of the highest priority level CONTRACTED PROJECTS 2.867.500.000 Pos. Investment Investment Description Investment Costs in 1. Construction of the high pressure gas pipeline South Stream DN 1400; 415 km 1.650.000.000 2. Underground Gas Storage Facility Itebej Capacity 1.000.000.000 m 3 75.000.000 3. Interconnection with Bulgaria DN 600; 109 km 60.000.000 4. Connecting with Rumanian System DN 600; 5 km 2.500.000 5. Construction of gas fired thermal power plants Novi Sad(300 МWe + 200 MWt), Belgrade (400 МWe + 260 MWt), Pančevo (60 МWe + 30 MWt), and Niš(100 МWe + 60 MWt) 1.000.000.000 6. LNG Terminal, Port Pančevo 80.000.000 There are intensive ongoing discussions with large energy companies (General Electric and Simens) on future cooperation model and potential joint investments in the construction of CHP gas fired thermal power plants as well as the construction of LNG Terminal, Pančevo. 10

Gas Power Plants According to the preliminary analysis under Republic of Serbia Long-term Energy Development Strategy, potential locations for the CCGT are: City of Subotica (30 MW electric power + 40 MW basic thermal load) City of Novi Sad (300 MWe + 200 MWt), City of Zrenjanin (60 MWe + 30 MWt), City of Sremska Mitrovica (60 MWe + 90 MWt), City of Belgrade Novi Beograd (400 MWe + 260 MWt), City of Kragujevac (100 MWe + 60 MWt) and City of Niš (100 MWe + 60 MWt). Total: 850 MWe + 740 MWt 11

Summary Serbia is willing and capable of increasing the security of natural gas supply, partially including also security of electricity supply, to a significantly higher level. How? Through investment activities: Construction of the Gas Pipeline South Stream (63/40,5 bcm) Construction of interconnections with the neighbouring countries and establishing regional gas markets Increase in natural gas storage capacity up to 6 bcm Through transposition of EU Directives into regulations, in line with the obligations arising from its EU candidate status and being a Signatory State to the Energy Community Treaty. 12