PATA Strategic Intelligence Centre Tsunami Recovery Update Wednesday June 22, 2005 Page 1 of 6
Y-T-D Inbound (Source: Relevant NTOs, Airport Authorities) Year Destination Period 2004 2005 Change The Americas Canada (Total) Jan-Apr 3,741,455 3,774,297 0.9 Chile Jan-Apr 734,901 821,312 11.8 Mexico Jan-Apr 6,834,160 7,573,010 10.8 USA (Total) Jan-Mar 7,993,788 9,011,527 12.7 Sub-total 19,304,304 21,180,146 9.7 South Asia India Jan-Apr 1,126,586 1,328,094 17.9 Maldives Jan-Apr 240,804 113,594-52.8 Nepal (air only) Jan-May 130,886 92,865-29.0 Sri Lanka Jan-May 192,786 208,389 8.1 Sub-total 1,691,062 1,742,942 3.1 Northeast Asia China (PRC) Jan-Mar 24,171,962 28,216,763 16.7 China (PRC) (Foreign only) Jan-Mar 3,293,860 4,359,796 32.4 Chinese Taipei Jan-Apr 902,510 1,069,392 14.8 Hong Kong SAR (Total) Jan-Apr 6,671,696 7,413,380 11.1 Hong Kong SAR (excl China (PRC), Macau SAR) Jan-Apr 2,693,077 3,237,805 20.2 Japan Jan-Apr 1,991,293 2,165,740 8.8 Korea (ROK) Jan-Apr 1,729,203 1,966,342 13.7 Macau SAR Jan-Apr 5,106,709 5,950,714 16.5 Sub-total 46,560,310 54,379,932 16.8 Southeast Asia Cambodia Jan-Mar 254,437 380,599 49.6 Indonesia (13 ports of entry) Jan-Apr 1,356,382 1,337,310-1.4 Lao (PDR) Jan-Mar 221,623 272,564 23.0 Malaysia Jan-Apr 5,245,100 5,477,606 4.4 Myanmar Jan-Mar 71,743 72,264 0.7 Philippines Jan-Apr 771,569 852,583 10.5 Singapore Jan-Apr 2,523,026 2,728,388 8.1 Thailand (Air arrivals at Don Muang Airport-BKK) Jan-May 3,182,481 3,184,496 0.1 Vietnam Jan-May 1,178,067 1,398,424 18.7 Sub-total 14,804,428 15,704,234 6.1 The Pacific Australia Jan-Apr 1,710,052 1,878,281 9.8 New Zealand Jan-Apr 878,492 908,861 3.5 Cook Islands Jan-May 28,895 29,886 3.4 Guam Jan-May 477,555 508,933 6.6 New Caledonia Jan-Mar 21,464 25,904 20.7 Northern Marianas Jan-May 218,458 218,137-0.1 Page 2 of 6
Palau Jan-Jan 8,136 8,581 5.5 Papua New Guinea Jan-Apr 19,829 23,322 17.6 Samoa Jan-Apr 28,098 26,784-4.7 Tahiti Jan-Apr 62,062 62,189 0.2 Sub-total 3,453,041 3,690,878 6.9 Asia Pacific Y-T-D 85,813,145 96,698,132 12.7 Tsunami-affected Countries (major) Year Destination Period 2004 2005 Change Maldives Jan-Apr 240,804 113,594-52.8 Sri Lanka Jan-May 192,786 208,389 8.1 Indonesia (13 ports of entry) Jan-Apr 1,356,382 1,337,310-1.4 Bali Jan-Apr 399,284 435,990 9.2 Thailand (Air arrivals at Don Muang Airport-BKK) Jan-May 3,182,481 3,184,496 0.1 Air Arrivals Phuket (HKT) (Source: Airports of Thailand) International Inbound: HKT Month 2004 2005 Ch Jan 119,291 7,978-93.3 Feb 76,841 30,264-60.6 Mar 73,851 42,324-42.7 Apr 66,214 26,015-60.7 Total 336,197 106,581-68.3 Domestic Inbound: HKT Month 2004 2005 Ch Jan 123,177 69,664-43.4 Feb 112,987 76,612-32.2 Mar 103,185 95,682-7.3 Apr 110,299 86,024-22.0 Total 449,648 327,982-27.1 Total Inbound: HKT Month 2004 2005 Ch Jan 242,468 77,642-68.0 Feb 189,828 106,876-43.7 Mar 177,036 138,006-22.0 Apr 176,513 112,039-36.5 Total 785,845 434,563-44.7 Page 3 of 6
Air Arrivals: BKK by Nationality (Jan-May) (Source: Airports of Thailand) Jan-May Nationality 2004 2005 Ch Finland 20,000 28,864 44.3 Lao PDR 3,714 4,941 33.0 Malaysia 94,756 124,685 31.6 Singapore 139,437 177,262 27.1 Myanmar 15,879 20,144 26.9 Brunei 2,651 3,246 22.4 Sweden 58,642 71,765 22.4 Other Africa 14,371 17,472 21.6 Denmark 31,888 38,760 21.6 UAE 7,194 8,190 13.8 Pakistan 13,135 14,865 13.2 Philippines 49,600 55,352 11.6 Other South Asia 4,877 5,442 11.6 Switzerland 35,174 39,149 11.3 India 116,634 129,424 11.0 Indonesia 36,373 39,742 9.3 Other Middle East 27,444 29,638 8.0 Australia 112,311 120,939 7.7 UK 235,172 251,440 6.9 Norway 25,732 27,509 6.9 Spain 11,182 11,913 6.5 Argentina 1,305 1,384 6.1 Saudi Arabia 1,709 1,812 6.0 Kuwait 6,844 7,253 6.0 Netherlands 47,275 49,328 4.3 Germany 154,434 160,434 3.9 Japan 393,395 407,247 3.5 Belgium 16,367 16,888 3.2 France 88,701 91,318 3.0 NZ 23,582 24,140 2.4 USA 217,268 221,855 2.1 Austria 19,341 19,636 1.5 Canada 53,412 54,208 1.5 Other Pacific 565 573 1.4 Italy 34,348 34,832 1.4 Nepal 7,183 7,267 1.2 Egypt 2,871 2,858-0.5 Other Asia 6,408 6,378-0.5 South Africa 10,925 10,826-0.9 Sri Lanka 12,862 12,714-1.2 Other Americas 7,787 7,618-2.2 Brazil 2,812 2,722-3.2 Other Europe 38,774 36,036-7.1 Cambodia 10,300 9,383-8.9 Eastern Europe 30,700 27,407-10.7 Vietnam 41,230 36,764-10.8 Bangladesh 17,666 15,749-10.9 Page 4 of 6
Hong Kong SAR 138,218 114,912-16.9 Chinese Taipei 135,841 112,640-17.1 Israel 33,214 27,441-17.4 Russia 35,829 29,299-18.2 Korea (ROK) 268,046 209,874-21.7 China (PRC) 267,103 202,958-24.0 Total 3,182,481 3,184,496 0.1 Accommodation Statistics (Source: Deloitte HotelBenchmark Survey) Jan-May 2005 (Prelim) Room Occupancy Rates Y-O-Y Change Country City/Region R-O-R pp Change ARR RevPAR Indonesia Jakarta 57.6 + 8.1 + 16.7 + 35.9 Bali 55.8 + 0.2 + 25.2 +25.7 Malaysia Kuala Lumpur 65.9-0.4 + 7.2 + 6.6 Penang 46.2-8.7 + 16.4-2.0 Thailand Bangkok 73.9-0.4 + 9.8 + 10.3 Phuket 42.1-25.9-4.5-40.8 Note: ARR & RevPAR calculated from local currency rates Air Capacity Changes HKT (Source: APGData on-line database) Schedule Airline Change Report for HKT for Jun05 vs. Jun04 Flights Departing Seats Available Airline Code Jun-05 Jun-04 Change Jun-05 Jun-04 Change Airasia Sdn Bhd. AK 14 7 100.0 1,848 924 100.0 Asiana Airlines, Inc. OZ 0 2-100.0 0 420-100.0 Bangkok Airways Co. Ltd. PG 0 28-100.0 0 3,276-100.0 Bangkok Airways Co. Ltd.: Regional PG 24 14 71.4 1,680 980 71.4 China Airlines CI 0 9-100.0 0 2,171-100.0 China Eastern Airlines MU 4 4 0.0 624 624 0.0 Far Eastern Air Transport Corp EF 0 2-100.0 0 414-100.0 Hong Kong Dragon Airlines Limited KA 0 3-100.0 0 474-100.0 Malaysia Airline System Berhad MH 7 14-50.0 1,085 2,170-50.0 Nok Air DD 14 0. 2,086 0. Orient Thai Airlines OX 16 21-23.8 4,937 5,474-9.8 Phuket Airlines Co Ltd. 9R 14 7 100.0 1,610 805 100.0 Phuket Airlines Co Ltd.: Regional 9R 14 10 40.0 896 640 40.0 Shanghai Airlines Co. Ltd. FM 2 2 0.0 360 400-10.0 Silkair (S) Pte. Ltd. MI 21 21 0.0 2,838 2,790 1.7 Thai AirAsia Aviation Co., Ltd. FD 21 21 0.0 2,793 2,793 0.0 Page 5 of 6
Thai Airways International Ltd. TG 77 92-16.3 20,824 27,428-24.1 Tiger Airways TR 13 0. 1,937 0. TOTAL 241 257-6.2 43,518 51,783-16.0 Note: all departures and seat totals given are per week. Key Issues The Maldives: Latest reports indicate that 72 resorts are in operation,11 remain closed and are being renovated and 4 are still under construction; After 4 months of calendar year 2005, the international arrivals count remains at more than 50 down on the comparative period of 2004; Sri Lanka: Arrivals numbers to May show a comparative gain of +8.1; The mix of arrivals appears distinctly different however as hotel occupancy statistics show growth in Colombo city but significant losses in the Southern regions which is where much of the affected tourism plant is located; Thailand: International air arrivals to Bangkok for the Jan-May period are on a par with the Jan-May 2004 results at least in aggregate; Key issue is that traffic from the significant markets of China (PRC), Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong SAR and Korea (ROK) is well down. Collectively these markets make up one-quarter of total arrivals to Thailand; Accommodation statistics for Phuket show continuing losses. Air traffic data likewise shows significant softening; Scheduled air capacity for the remainder of the year to/from Phuket (HKT) looks soft with carriers from some of the major markets withdrawing completely (for how long is unknown). Page 6 of 6