Southern Africa Floods and Cyclones Situation Update# 7 02 March 2011

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Southern Africa Floods and Cyclones Situation Update# 7 02 March 2011 This report was issued by the Regional Office for Southern & Eastern Africa (ROSEA). It covers the period 23 February to 01 March 2011. The next report will be issued on or around 09 March 2011. I. HIGHLIGHTS/KEY PRIORITIES In northern Namibia, flooding has started to occur in the Oshana region. Between 100 and 200 people are reported to have moved to Government-run relocation sites Water levels in the upper Zambezi River are in general subsiding In Mozambique, the flood alert for the Zambezi Basin has been downgraded from red to orange In southern Madagascar, 310 people are still displaced from the flooding caused by Tropical Disturbance Bingiza In Zambia, localized flooding has caused some damage to infrastructure and crops II. Regional Situation Overview Probability of 7-day total rainfall exceeding 50mm 01 07 March 2011 08 14 March 2011 Source: NOAA Between 20 and 26 February 2011, rainfall deficits persisted over much of South Africa, southern and central Mozambique, southern Malawi, the southern areas of Zambia and Zimbabwe and eastern Botswana. Rainfall was also below average along the west coast of Madagascar. However, moisture surpluses persisted over the northern areas of Madagascar and Mozambique, and especially over northern Namibia and southern Angola. Between 01 and 07 March 2011, there is a high chance for seven-day total rainfall to exceed 50 mm over Madagascar, northern Mozambique, Zambia, and southeastern Angola. Thereafter, between 08 and 14 March 2011, the chance for seven-day total precipitation to exceed 50 mm in these areas is much reduced. Based on this forecast, it is expected that over the next two weeks, flood conditions will continue across southern Angola and northern Namibia, where flooding is already being recorded. Current rainfall over the upper Zambezi Basin should also lead to a continuation of high water levels in the Zambezi River, although a downward trend in the water levels of the upper Zambezi River is being recorded. The Okavango River, which has registered a new flood wave, should continue to rise due to rainfall activity over the Okavango Basin. Madagascar and northern Mozambique will also experience rainfall over the next two weeks. IV. Angola No new information available. 1

OCHA Situation Report IV. Lesotho Following the impact of heavy rainfall in early January 2011, the World Bank and partners, together with Government, have agreed to conduct a Post Disaster Needs Assessment (PDNA) and map out a recovery strategy. V. Madagascar Some localized flooding is continuing in south-east Madagascar. The districts of Mandritsara (in the north) and Vondrozo and Midongy Sud (in the south) remain largely inaccessible due to road damage caused by flooding. Those that were displaced have returned home, except for 310 people still displaced in the district of Ambovombe-Androy in southern Madagascar. The aerial assessment of the damage caused by Tropical Disturbance Bingiza in south-eastern Madagascar reported less damage than expected. The districts of Vohipeno, Farafangàna and Vangaindrano are the most affected, with significant damage to the agricultural sector being reported in these three districts. The National Disaster Management Authority (BNGRC) and partners are responding to the needs of the affected communities. More sectoral assessments are ongoing to improve the response. For more information, please see the Madagascar Situation Report No. 4, available on the ROSEA website (http://ochaonline.un.org/rosea). VI. Malawi Since the last update on 23 February 2011, no new cases of flooding have occurred. VII. Mozambique The Council of Ministers has downgraded the flood alert for the Zambezi Basin from red to orange. A reduction in rainfall in neighboring countries (South Africa, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Malawi and Angola) has contributed to a progressive improvement in the emergency situation in the southern and central regions of Mozambique. With the downgrading of the alert status, the focus has moved to monitoring river levels, phase-out strategies and support for early recovery activities. To date, 12,952 people (3,052 households) have been affected by strong winds throughout the country, 20,039 people (4,044 households) have been affected by flooding in the Incomati and Limpopo basins and 955 people have been affected by flooding in the Zambezi Basin. The Ministry of Agriculture has reported that 33,841 ha of the total 4,810,589 ha of planted area have been affected, with the most affected provinces being Maputo (16,279 ha), Gaza (12,442 ha), Sofala (3,092 ha) and Tete (910 ha). A full Vulnerability Assessment Committee (VAC) assessment is ongoing in order to determine the needs of the affected populations. At present, the keys needs are: 1,121 latrine slabs, 2,633 plastic sheets, 2,800 mosquito nets, agricultural seeds, and 43 school tents to ensure the continuation of lessons in the affected area; also 7,163 beneficiaries in Gaza will continue to require food assistance for another two months (totaling 182 metric tons). The receding water levels have revealed a widespread lack of adequate sanitation facilities, as well as a high risk of water and vector borne diseases. Both challenges require immediate responses to ensure that health risks are minimized in the coming months. In light of this, Government, in collaboration with the Humanitarian Country Team (HCT) Cluster members and partners, continue to provide assistance with the provision of long lasting insecticidal nets (LLIN), water sanitation and hygiene (WASH) services, hygiene promotion activities, food assistance and the distribution of shelter kits to support the rebuilding process. 2

OCHA Situation Report With the downgrading of the alert level from red to orange in all basins in the country, coordination meetings will start taking place on weekly basis at national, district and provincial levels. The National Centre for Emergency Operations (CENOE) at Caia continues to provide support to ensure the effective implementation of the Zambezi Operational Plan. The HCT clusters members and partners, via clusters leads, continue to collaborate with the National Disaster Management Institute (INGC) on all assessments, as well as in the monitoring and response missions to cover the needs of those affected and the consolidation of early recovery efforts. Coordination meetings continue to take place to track progress of follow-up actions and ensure continued monitoring of water levels in all river basins. For more information on the situation in Mozambique, specifically with regards to identified sector gaps, please see the Mozambique Flood Preparedness and Response Situation Report No. 7, available on the ROSEA website (http://ochaonline.un.org/rosea). VIII. Namibia Following the issuing of a flood alert last week by the Hydrological Services in the Ministry of Agriculture, Water and Forestry, some flooding have started to occur in the Cuvelai Basin in northern Namibia, specifically around Oshakati, in Oshana region. Evacuation of people has started in informal settlements around Oshakati town, and some houses have been flooded. Between 100 and 200 people are reported to have moved to Government-run relocation sites, with the assistance of the Oshakati Town Council. In the coming days a slow rise in water levels in the area is expected, with more waters still arriving from the north. Any new heavy rains will accelerate and increase this rise. Readiness for flood response in Oshakati should be kept at the highest alert level. On 01 March 2011 a meeting was held at the Office of the Prime Minister, attended by line ministries, UN agencies and the Namibia Red Cross Society (NRCS), to discuss preparedness in the various regions. Government will focus on three southern regions for preparedness and monitoring in addition to the six flood prone regions in the north. The Directorate for Disaster Risk Management (DDRM) will lead a team from NRCS, UN and Government to conduct a rapid field mission to these nine regions this weekend, starting with Oshana, and will report back in a week s time. The flood wave in the upper Zambezi River is stabilizing below 6.50 m at Katima Mulilo. This flood wave is now also pushing back into the Chobe River at Ngoma Gate. Water levels of the Zambezi River upstream from Katima Mulilo are in general subsiding. At Lukulu, from which water takes about two weeks to reach Katima Mulilo, water levels dropped 10 cm over the past week. Graphic: Water Levels of Zambezi River at Katima Mulilo 2009, 2010, 2011 and Normal Source: Namibia Hydrological Services, Ministry of Agriculture, Water and Forestry A new flood wave has appeared in the Okavango River at Nkurenkuru. Water levels of the Okavango River at Rundu were already slowly rising, and this rise will now accelerate in the coming days due to this new 3

OCHA Situation Report flood wave. It is expected that the flood wave will reach and more likely exceed the level of 7.39 m reached at Rundu in early January 2011. IIX. South Africa Results of Government s flood assessment that took place from 07-09 February 2011 have not yet been published. IX. Zambia Localized flooding has caused some damage to infrastructure and crops in Zambia. The Disaster Management and Mitigation Unit (DMMU) is managing the situation, based on preparedness measures undertaken before the flood season, such as clearing drainage systems to avoid flooding in urban areas and prepositioning maize stocks in flood prone districts. A report on the extent of the damage and the districts affected will be released by DMMU shortly. DMMU assessed twenty districts between 10 and 18 February 2011 to ascertain flood risk. Only Kazungula and Sinazongwe had received below normal rainfall, while Kaoma and Zambezi received above normal rainfall. Further analysis indicated that 69,875 households are at risk of being effected by floods. Regarding public health in these twenty districts, trends in malaria, acute respiratory infection (ARI) and diarrhoearelated diseases were normal. Medical supplies were also available, although stocks of mosquito nets and antibiotics were low at the time of assessment. There was no risk to health infrastructure in these districts, although accessibility, especially in the provinces of North-Western and Western, could become an issue if rains continued. X. Zimbabwe Since the last update on 23 February 2011, no new cases of flooding have occurred. XI. Contact Kelly David Head of Office, OCHA Regional Office for Southern and Eastern Africa +27 11 517 1609 david1@un.org, Cell Phone +27 (0) 82 908 1338 Hein Zeelie Associate Humanitarian Affairs Officer, OCHA Regional Office for Southern and Eastern Africa +27 11 517 1665 zeelie@un.org, Cell Phone +27 (0)82 328 3038 To be added or deleted from this SitRep mailing list, please email zeelie@un.org or visit ochaonline.un.org/rosea. Sources: Namibia Hydrological Services, Zambia Disaster Management and Mitigation Unit (DMMU), Mozambique National Water Directorate, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the United States of America, relevant United Nations Country Teams, UN Agencies, SADC HYCOS. Malawi Department of Disaster Management Affairs (DODMA), Zimbabwe Department of Civil Protection (DCP), Madagascar National Disaster Management Authority (BNGRC), National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) of the United States of America. Note: Household size estimated at five persons. 4

Southern Africa: Storm, Flood and Cyclone Damage in 2011 (Total) 02 March 2011 Country Affected Displaced or evacuated Deaths Houses Destroyed Food Security Infrastructure Damage Angola 6,797 households 34,380 88 4,980 Lesotho NK 3,360 672 4,708 livestock animals killed, crops waterlogged. Damage to roads reported. Madagascar 21,256 29 5,696 Malawi 27,600 1,500 2,608 ha of crops damaged. Mozambique 33,946 955 33,841 ha of crops damaged. Namibia 170 1,625 houses damaged; One hospital and 4 health care centres partially damaged in Mananara Nord by Bingiza, which also destroyed 149 classrooms in one of the most affected areas, and damaged roads and bridges. Some damage to school and transport infratructure. South Africa NK 91 Zimbabwe 371 Total 61,917 and 6,797 households 61,621 208 11,348 13,043 houses damaged, as well as roads and bridges. Cost of damage estimated at over $138,000. Rain and flood damage to roads, bridges and schools have been reported. Compiled by OCHA ROSEA. Date: 09 February 2011. Data partial and incomplete. NK means Not Known. Household size estimated at five persons. Sources: Namibia Hydrological Services, Zambia Disaster Management and Mitigation Unit (DMMU), Mozambique National Water Directorate, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the United States of America, relevant United Nations Country Teams, UN Agencies, SADC HYCOS. Malawi Department of Disaster Management Affairs (DODMA), Zimbabwe Department of Civil Protection (DCP), Madagascar National Disaster Management Authority (BNGRC), National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) of the United States of America.

Cuvelai Mogadishu São Tomé Libreville Southern Africa Flood and Cyclone Update as at 2 March Kampala2011 Kigali Nairobi CONGO Brazzaville Kinshasa Bujumbura KENYA Victoria Congo Zaire Lualaba Lake Tanganyika In Zambia, localized flooding has caused some damage to infrastructure and crops. DMMU is managing the situation. A report on the extent of the damage and the districts affected will be released by the DMMU shortly. The floodwave in the upper Zambezi River is stabilizing below 6.50m at Katimo Mulilo. Water levels upstream of Katimo Mulilo are subsiding. Flooding has begun around Oshakati in the Oshana region. Evacuation of people has started in informal settements around the town. Between 100 and 200 people are reported to have moved to Government-run relocation sites with the assistance of the Oshakati Town Council. A new floodwave has appeared in the Okavango River at Nkurenkuru. This is likely to accelerate rising water levels at Rundu in the coming days. It is expected that the flood wave will reach or exceed the 7.39m reached at Rundu in early January 2011. In South Africa, the Government led a senior level assessment to flood affected provinces from 7-9 Feb 2011, the results of which have not yet been released. Map ID:ROSEA181v07_Southern Africa Flood Update Creation Date: 02 March 2011 Data Sources: Flood Information: Humanitarian Partners on the ground (See data sources in attached report) Mapping Data: HYCOS, GIST, ESRI, UN OCHA, ReliefWeb Disclaimer: The designations employed and the presentation of material on this map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. 0 100 200 km Luanda Benguela Baia Farta Luacho Kalahanga Ganda Dombe Grande Cunene Luanda ANGOLA DRC Zambezi SOUTH AFRICA ZAMBIA Maseru Berea Vanderkloof Dam LESOTHO Lake Mweru Wantipa Lake Bangweulu Lake Rukwa Cahora Bassa Dam SWAZILAND Lake Malawi MALAWI Lilongwe Mashonaland Oshakati Rundu Katima Mulilo Ruacana Dam Kongola Gokwe North East Caia Nkurenkuru Harare Caprivi Ngoma Mupfure Manyame Etosha Pan Hwange Marromeu Kavango Mohembo Mhondoro-Ngezi Osborne Tsholotsho Dam Gweru Okavango Delta Makgadigadi Pans Dombe Tutume ZIMBABWE Chipinge Malelejwe Dukwi Mberengwa NAMIBIA Borolong Windhoek BOTSWANA Tonota Mogapi Beitbridge Pafuri Palapye Chadibe Gaza Inhambane Gobabeb Mahalapye Tshwaane Province Province Guija Gaborone Massinger Chokwé Hardap Dam Chibuto Ramotswa Chokwe Mogobane Magude Otse Pretoria Caia Xai-Xai Bilene Maputo Mbabane Maputo Cunene Atlantic Ocean 1:23,000,000 Ekuma Malanje Cunene Mulavi Kuiseb Cubango Okavango Fish Lunda Norte Seeheim Noord Naute Dam Ai-Ais Noordoewer Moxico Cuando Cubango Lunda Sul Orange Luena Cuando Luakano Chavuma Okavango Lukulu Luena Bloemhof Dam Tete Mazabuka Hurungwe Muzarabani Lake Kariba Orange Gariep Dam Limpopo Lusaka Sanyati Vaal Dam Vaal Musengezi Limpopo Zambezi Pungwe Buzi Incomati Indian Ocean Karonga Lucite Save TANZANIA Lake Malombe Shire Ruvuma Lake Chilwa MOZAMBIQUE Zambezia SEYCHELLES Moroni COMOROS Tulear Mangoky Mamoudzou MAYOTTE Mahajanga Betsibuka MADAGASCAR Ambovombe-Androy Bealanana Tsiribihina Ikongo (Fort Carnot) Manakara Sud Vohipeno Vondrozo Farafangana Midongy-Sud Befotaka Vangaindrano Amboasary Maroantsetra Mandritsara Mananara-Nord Soanierana-Ivongo Antananarivo In Mozambique the flood alert level has been downgraded from red to orange in all hydrometric basins. To date 12,952 people have been affected by strong winds, 20,039 people affected by floods in the Incomati and Limpopo basins and the numbers of families affected by flooding in the Zambezi basin have stabilized at 955 people.the recession of water levels has revealed a widespread lack of adquate sanitation facilities and high risk of water and vector borne diseases. Following the impact of heavy rainfall in Lesotho in early January 2011, the World Bank and partners, together with Government, have agreed on conducting a Post Disaster Needs Assessment (PDNA) and mapping out a recovery strategy. Legend Please note that flood areas are mapped at district level, except for Angola and Mozambique where some data was provided at a provincial level only. Vohipeno, Farafangana and Vangaindrano districts were most Port affected by Tropical Disturbance Saint-Denis Bingiza, with significant damage to agriculture reported. Mandritsara, Vondrozo and Midongy Sude Vohipeno districts remain to a large extent inaccesible. 310 People are still displaced in Ambovombe-Androy district. Some localized flooding is continuing in the south east. Main Cities Main Rivers Dams and Lakes International Boundaries Cyclone Affected Districts New Flooding Reports Since Last Update (23 Feb) Flood Affected Districts Districts at Risk of Floods Te