Montreal September 24, 2008

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Transcription:

1 Montreal September 24, 2008

Air Canada Diversified network Proven revenue model Canada a stronger market New efficient fleet New onboard product Well hedged fuel Strong financial performance 2

Diversified network Proven revenue model Canada a stronger market New efficient fleet New onboard product Well hedged fuel Strong financial performance 3

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Air Canada Has Larger Intn'l Presence 60% International as % of system ASMs* 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% AC CAL NWA UAL DAL AMR USA WJA** 6 *last 12 months - July 2008 **estimate

Diversified network Proven revenue model Canada a stronger market New efficient fleet New onboard product Well hedged fuel Strong financial performance 7

Revenue Model Based on Choice and Transparency Over 49%* of customers purchase a higher fare than the lowest available fare 8 *Q2 2008

aircanada.com Customers Pay To Customize And, what would you like with that seat? 9

Ancillary Revenue per Passenger North America up 52% since 2005 $8.00 $7.82 $7.00 $6.00 $5.14 $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 2005 2006 2007 2008 (Q1/Q2) North America Total 10

Ancillary Revenue $71M Increase Over 2005 $179M $210M $139M +23% H1'08 / H1'07 2005 2006 2007 Main contributors Change/cancellation fee Tango advance seat selection fee Excess baggage fee Same day change fee On board meal purchase 11

While LCC s Continue to Grow in US 30% LCC % Share of Domestic U.S. ASMs 25% 20% 15% 12 10% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Air Canada Has Retained Domestic Market Share Against LCCs LCC % Share* of Domestic Canada ASMs 45% 40% AC Domestic revenue up 31% for 2004-2007 35% 30% 13 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 *4 quarter moving average

Direct Sales - Web Penetration Continues Web penetration - 12 month moving average 70% Domestic System total 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 04 05 05 05 05 06 06 06 06 07 07 07 07 08 Dec- Mar- Jun- Sep- Dec- Mar- Jun- Sep- Dec- Mar- Jun- Sep- Dec- Mar- Jun- 08 14 Source: Network Planning Portal/Daily Booking Enhanced

10% Distribution Costs Sharply Reduced Distribution Costs as % of Passenger Revenue 8% 7.8% Over $400 mln in annual savings from 2001 6% 6.2% 5.3% 5.0% 4% 3.8% 3.3% 2.9% 2.7% 2% 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (projection) 15

Self-Serve Check-in Continues to Grow % Self-serve of total check-in system wide 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 16 0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2005 2006 2007 2008

Diversified network Proven revenue model Canada a stronger market New efficient fleet New onboard product Well hedged fuel Strong financial performance 17

Dom. Psgr. Revenue Growth for Canadian Industry Exceeds That of US Industry 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (1) Canada* U.S. Industry** 1 *estimate **source ATA (1) 1 st half 2008

Smaller Capacity Reduction in Canada than in the U.S. Est. Domestic Capacity Sept-Dec 08/07 0% -2% -4% -6% -8% -10% -12% -14% AC* UAL DAL AMR Avg US Legacies CAL NWA USA 2-16% Source: APGDat (OAL) as of August 4, 2008 *Q2 2008 press release

Diversified network Proven revenue model Canada a stronger market New efficient fleet New onboard product Well hedged fuel Strong financial performance 3

Fleet Renewal Nearing Completion EMB190 45 Aircraft (23 options) cash operating costs 19% cheaper than A319 on a per trip basis B777 17 firm (18 options) additional annual EBITDAR per aircraft B777-300: $13M B777-200: $10M B787 37 firm (23 options) expected to be 30% cheaper on fuel and maintenance than B767-300 deliveries delayed to 2012 from 2010 4

Air Canada Has a Young & Fuel Efficient Fleet Years 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Average age of mainline fleet 2007 WJA AC LUV CAL USA DAL UAL AMR NWA 5

And Will Be More Efficient % B777 Share of Total Capacity 17.6% 19.3% 23.2% 10.9% 12.9% 8.3% 2.7% Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3* Q4* 2007 2008 6 *Estimate

Diversified network Proven revenue model Canada a stronger market New efficient fleet New onboard product Well hedged fuel Strong financial performance 7

Every Seat, System Wide USB Power Standard Power Plug 80 Hours On Demand 8

9 Leading International Executive First Cabin Now On All 777 and 767 Aircraft!! Now On All 777 and 767 Aircraft!!

New Executive First Product Producing Dividends 2 nd Quarter 2008 Improvement in Business Class Unit Revenue 9.5% 7.4% Paris-Montreal HongKong-Toronto 10

Diversified network Proven revenue model Canada a stronger market New efficient fleet New onboard product Well hedged fuel Strong financial performance 11

Fuel Hedging Position Hedged position as of Q2-2008 49% for ROY 2008 weighted average price of US$99 WTI 24% hedge position for 2009 portfolio value US$214 million Import program self-supply with jet fuel in Southern Ontario/Quebec and Vancouver 1.5 million barrels of off-airport marine storage for self-supply 12

% Fuel Hedged: North American Carriers 80% 2008 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% LUV AAI USA ALK NWA DAL CAL JBLU AC AMR UAL WJA 13

Diversified network Proven revenue model Canada a stronger market New efficient fleet New onboard product Well hedged fuel Strong financial performance 14

Air Canada's EX Fuel Unit Cost Continues to Decline 6% % change YOY 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Q1-08 Q2-08 Air Canada U.S. Network Carriers 15

Cost Initiatives Blitz program - $100 million target Started early 2008 expect to deliver savings by Y/E Consists of approximately 100 different projects Weight reduction - $25-$50 million target Cross-functional team reduce weight on aircraft Short-term and long-term actions Renegotiate supplier contracts - $20-$40 million target Lobby efforts Provincial & federal governments excise tax & airport rents 16

Margin Gap Widening Cents 18 Four Quarters Rolling 4% 16 (8)% 8% 14 43% 12 CASM with Fuel CASM excl Fuel RASM 10 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 17

Winter 08/09 Capacity Reduction Driven by $0.8 Billion 2008 Fuel Cost Increase Planned ASM decrease from winter 07/08* Domestic (2)% US (13)% International (7)% System (7)% Estimated labour reductions up to 2000 FTEs Aircraft removals under review 18 *Q2 2008 press release

Revenue What is Next Continued improvement of the revenue model New products addressing customer concerns such as irregular operations Further expansion of new Executive Class product Cost Additional B777s and impact B787s in 2012 Efficiency through IT infrastructure investments (Netline, Polaris, Oasis) Cost focused culture Further simplification of the business 19

Our Investment Proposition Diversified network Proven revenue model Canada a stronger market New efficient fleet New onboard product Well hedged fuel Strong financial performance 20

Caution Regarding Forward-looking Information Air Canada s public communications may include written or oral forward looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws. Such statements are included in this presentation and may be included in filings with regulatory authorities and securities regulators. Forward-looking statements relate to analyses and other information that are based on forecasts of future results and estimates of amounts not yet determinable. These statements may involve, but are not limited to, comments relating to strategies, expectations, planned operations or future actions. These forward-looking statements are identified by the use of terms and phrases such as anticipate", believe", could", estimate", expect", intend", may", plan", predict", project", will", would", and similar terms and phrases, including references to assumptions. Forward-looking statements, by their nature, are based on assumptions, including those described below, and are subject to important risks and uncertainties. Any forecasts or forward-looking predictions or statements cannot be relied upon due to, amongst other things, changing external events and general uncertainties of the business. Results indicated in forward-looking statements may differ materially from actual results due to a number of factors, including without limitation, energy prices, general industry, market and economic conditions, currency exchange and interest rates, competition, war, terrorist acts, epidemic diseases, insurance issues and costs, changes in demand due to the seasonal nature of the business, the ability to reduce operating costs, employee and labour relations, pension issues, supply issues, changes in laws, regulatory developments or proceedings, pending and future litigation and actions by third parties as well as the factors identified throughout this presentation and, in particular, those identified in the Risk Factors" section (Section 17) of Air Canada s 2007 MD&A dated February 6, 2008 and section 13 of our second quarter MD&A dated August 8, 2008. Except as otherwise provided, the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation represent the Corporation s expectations as of the date of this presentation and are subject to change after such date. However, the Corporation disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forwardlooking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required under applicable securities regulations. 21

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